PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Alba Berlin vs Fenerbahce Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 08 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 75-104
18-24 17-30 17-30 23-20
Position#17
Record3-8
FormLLLWW
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game82.5
vs
Position#7
Record9-2
FormWWWLW
Points / game85.5
Allowed / game76.3
EuropeEuroleagueRound 12
European cup2022
Meetings · Alba Berlin v Fenerbahce
17 Oct 2024
ABE71
FEN78
22 Dec 2023
ABE82
FEN91
08 Dec 2022
ABE75
FEN104
12 Oct 2021
ABE84
FEN70
10 Dec 2020
ABE89
FEN63
09 Dec 2008
ABE72
FEN63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alba Berlin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fenerbahce winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alba BerlinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
L
81-88
81
88
-7
85avg 82
A04/11
Euroleague
Bayern
#16
L
77-79
77
79
-2
76avg 82
H10/11
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
L
72-90
72
90
-18
58avg 82
A17/11
Euroleague
Ludwigsburg
#6
W
99-91
99
91
+8
101avg 82
H20/11
BBL
Crvena zvezda
#11
L
84-88 OT
84
88
-4
no box
H22/11
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
L
76-86
76
86
-10
71avg 82
A24/11
Euroleague
Gottingen
#7
L
95-96
95
96
-1
93avg 82
A27/11
BBL
Barcelona
#3
L
86-88
86
88
-2
82avg 82
H01/12
Euroleague
Gottingen
#8
W
99-71
99
71
+28
no box
A04/12
German Cup
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
95-90
95
90
+5
94avg 82
A06/12
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-13
19-19
17-22
20-34
15-26
24-19
19-23
19-11
20-26
17-27
15-17
20-20
23-24
22-20
27-25
27-22
19-20
21-17
17-18
18-20
21-18
17-21
21-22
17-25
20-20
23-25
27-26
25-25
19-30
27-15
11-26
29-17
27-24
24-22
31-16
17-9
25-20
19-23
27-17
24-30
173.1Avg total
86.4Scored
86.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)81.582.5164.0-0.927%
Season at home (5)88.280.8169.0+7.440%
Season away (6)76.083.8159.8-7.817%
Last 10 (10)86.486.7173.1-0.330%
Last 5 (5)90.286.2176.4+4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)81.685.2166.8-3.620%
vs Similar (6)81.580.2161.7+1.333%
vs Weaker (18)89.278.4167.6+10.889%
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FenerbahceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFenerbahce
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#3
L
80-81
80
81
-1
72avg 78
A04/11
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#11
W
93-79
93
79
+14
95avg 78
H10/11
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#15
W
107-77
107
77
+30
108avg 78
H18/11
Euroleague
Tofas
#6
W
82-68
82
68
+14
no box
H20/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Monaco
#4
W
96-93
96
93
+3
95avg 78
A22/11
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
82-72
82
72
+10
81avg 78
A24/11
Euroleague
Galatasaray
#8
W
97-91
97
91
+6
no box
A27/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#14
W
81-72
81
72
+9
no box
A29/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Real Madrid
#2
L
71-85
71
85
-14
55avg 78
H02/12
Euroleague
Gaziantep
#15
W
76-68
76
68
+8
no box
A04/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-21
17-18
13-23
31-19
24-23
18-18
24-16
27-22
22-25
33-15
23-15
29-22
26-18
17-15
21-15
18-20
21-18
24-20
34-22
17-33
15-21
17-16
26-11
24-24
31-23
15-28
26-19
25-21
31-20
22-20
12-17
16-15
16-25
18-21
20-22
17-17
20-16
15-26
19-14
22-12
165.1Avg total
86.5Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)85.576.3161.7+9.282%
Season at home (6)86.775.3162.0+11.383%
Season away (5)84.077.4161.4+6.680%
Last 10 (10)86.578.6165.1+7.980%
Last 5 (5)81.477.6159.0+3.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)87.682.5170.1+5.170%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)86.172.9158.9+13.295%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +4.4+4.4Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +2.1+2.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +4.4+4.4Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +2.1+2.1
Alba BerlinFenerbahce
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A04/11
Euroleague
Bayern
#16
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H10/11
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
L
37-53
37
53
-16
A17/11
Euroleague
Ludwigsburg
#6
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H20/11
BBL
Crvena zvezda
#11
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H22/11
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A24/11
Euroleague
Gottingen
#7
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A27/11
BBL
Barcelona
#3
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H01/12
Euroleague
Gottingen
#8
W
51-46
51
46
+5
A04/12
German Cup
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A06/12
BBL
85.6Avg total
42.7Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.340.183.5+3.263%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.641.384.9+2.464%-
Last 30 away (16)43.139.182.2+3.962%-
Last 10 (10)42.742.985.6-0.260%-
Last 5 (5)44.443.688.0+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)43.844.288.0-0.440%-
vs Similar (6)40.537.878.3+2.767%-
vs Weaker (18)44.139.383.3+4.872%-
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FenerbahceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#3
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A04/11
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#11
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H10/11
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#15
W
55-40
55
40
+15
H18/11
Euroleague
Tofas
#6
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H20/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Monaco
#4
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A22/11
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A24/11
Euroleague
Galatasaray
#8
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A27/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#14
W
53-40
53
40
+13
A29/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Real Madrid
#2
L
34-46
34
46
-12
H02/12
Euroleague
Gaziantep
#15
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A04/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
82.8Avg total
42.1Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.238.881.0+3.560%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.839.381.1+2.556%-
Last 30 away (14)42.738.180.9+4.664%-
Last 10 (10)42.140.782.8+1.450%-
Last 5 (5)40.043.283.2-3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)43.439.683.0+3.860%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)42.638.280.8+4.563%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 84.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.520.2
55.3%
53.5%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.110.0
38.3%
36.2%30.0
🏀 Free throws20.714.4
69.6%
78.5%14.4
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Fenerbahcetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fenerbahce: 86.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.4 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.822.5
59.5%
53.5%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.410.4
39.4%
36.2%31.2
🏀 Free throws20.110.4
51.7%
78.5%10.4
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Dec 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alba Berlin
WWLLLLWLLL
Fenerbahce
WLWWWWWWWL
#17
League position
#7
-1.7
Net rating
+14.6
113.3
Offensive rating
116.1
115.0
Defensive rating
101.5
56.2%
Effective FG%
59.3%
54.9%
Opp. effective FG%
51.0%
19.2%
Turnover %
14.2%
35.0%
Off. rebound %
29.4%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.31
38.3%
3-point %
39.4%
70.2%
Assist %
60.8%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence113.3 · 116.1Defence115.0 · 101.5Shooting56.2% · 59.3%3-point %38.3% · 39.4%Ball care19.2% · 14.2%Off. rebounds35.0% · 29.4%Free throws0.33 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)30% · 80%
■ Alba Berlin   ■ Fenerbahce
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Alba Berlin wins
2
Fenerbahce wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/22ABasketball Braunschweig95-90
04/12/22AGottingen99-71
01/12/22HBarcelona86-88
27/11/22AGottingen95-96
24/11/22AOlympiacos76-86
22/11/22HCrvena zvezda84-88 OT
20/11/22HLudwigsburg99-91
17/11/22AReal Madrid72-90
10/11/22HBayern77-79
04/11/22AZalgiris Kaunas81-88
Fenerbahcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/12/22AGaziantep76-68
02/12/22HReal Madrid71-85
29/11/22ABesiktas81-72
27/11/22AGalatasaray97-91
24/11/22AOlimpia Milano82-72
22/11/22AMonaco96-93
20/11/22HTofas82-68
18/11/22HPanathinaikos107-77
10/11/22HCrvena zvezda93-79
04/11/22ABarcelona80-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alba Berlin
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL27%
HomeWWLLL40%
AwayLLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %27%40%17%
Points / game81.588.276.0
Allowed / game82.580.883.8
Point differential-0.9+7.4-7.8
Avg total164.0169.0159.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %18%20%17%
Fenerbahce
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL82%
HomeWWWWL83%
AwayWWLWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %82%83%80%
Points / game85.586.784.0
Allowed / game76.375.377.4
Point differential+9.2+11.3+6.6
Avg total161.7162.0161.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%67%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce119282%85.576.3+9.2
2 Real Madrid118373%84.678.0+6.6
3 Barcelona118373%81.077.1+3.9
4 Monaco118373%83.480.2+3.2
5 Olympiacos117464%84.079.1+4.9
6 Anadolu Efes116555%83.579.2+4.3
7 Baskonia116555%87.083.7+3.3
8 Zalgiris Kaunas116555%77.578.8-1.4
9 Maccabi Tel Aviv115645%82.584.6-2.2
10 Panathinaikos115645%79.581.7-2.3
11 Valencia115645%80.382.9-2.6
12 Crvena zvezda115645%73.677.8-4.2
13 Virtus Bologna114736%75.077.5-2.5
14 Bayern114736%75.878.6-2.8
15 Partizan114736%85.388.1-2.8
16 Alba Berlin113827%81.582.5-0.9
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne113827%72.077.9-5.9
18 Olimpia Milano113827%67.775.5-7.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alba Berlin1817172375
Fenerbahce24303020104
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.