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Fenerbahce vs CSKA Moscow Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 28 Apr 2021
Tip-off: 17:45
Final 68-85
24-17 15-27 11-27 18-14
Position#9
Record20-16
FormWLLLL
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game79.4
Fenerbahce
vs
CSKA Moscow 🏆
Position#1
Record26-10
FormWLWWW
Points / game84.4
Allowed / game79.3
EuropeEuroleagueEuroleague - Quarter-finals
European cup2020
Meetings · Fenerbahce v CSKA Moscow
28 Apr 2021
FEN68
CMO85
14 Oct 2020
FEN77
CMO78
18 Dec 2018
FEN79
CMO75
16 Mar 2018
FEN79
CMO81
02 Feb 2017
FEN77
CMO71
15 May 2016
FEN96
CMO101
17 May 2015
FEN80
CMO86
02 Jan 2015
FEN81
CMO84
31 Oct 2013
FEN86
CMO60
29 Jan 2009
FEN48
CMO66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fenerbahce winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
CSKA Moscow winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FenerbahceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFenerbahce
Date
Competition
Buyukcekmece
#13
W
81-70
81
70
+11
87avg 80
H21/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olympiacos
#12
W
76-71
76
71
+5
73avg 80
A26/03
Euroleague
Afyon Belediye
#9
W
97-87
97
87
+10
92avg 80
A28/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bayern
#5
W
77-68
77
68
+9
69avg 80
A30/03
Euroleague
Barcelona
#2
L
73-82
73
82
-9
66avg 80
H02/04
Euroleague
Karsiyaka
#3
W
117-59
117
59
+58
131avg 80
H04/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Real Madrid
#7
L
67-93
67
93
-26
58avg 80
H08/04
Euroleague
Bursaspor
#10
L
77-82
77
82
-5
72avg 80
A11/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
76-92
76
92
-16
66avg 80
A21/04
Euroleague
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
67-78
67
78
-11
59avg 80
A23/04
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-20
18-19
23-15
17-16
20-11
23-16
15-22
18-22
28-27
28-12
21-19
20-29
18-15
17-19
18-10
24-24
25-26
17-21
16-15
15-20
29-10
34-19
25-20
29-10
11-23
25-26
21-18
10-26
15-20
19-20
28-20
15-22
23-28
21-25
22-11
10-28
25-23
17-27
13-10
12-18
159.0Avg total
80.8Scored
78.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)78.179.4157.5-1.356%
Season at home (17)81.678.1159.6+3.559%
Season away (19)75.080.6155.6-5.653%
Last 10 (10)80.878.2159.0+2.650%
Last 5 (5)80.880.8161.6+0.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)83.486.6170.0-3.250%
vs Similar (10)83.473.7157.1+9.780%
vs Weaker (12)86.679.0165.6+7.667%
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSKA MoscowLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMoscow
Date
Competition
Zenit Petersburg
#6
W
86-74
86
74
+12
82avg 82
A30/03
Euroleague
Khimki M.
#18
W
97-72
97
72
+25
96avg 82
H02/04
Euroleague
Zenit Petersburg
#1
L
77-81
77
81
-4
65avg 82
A05/04
VTB United League
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#14
W
88-70
88
70
+18
83avg 82
H08/04
Euroleague
Astana
#12
W
100-77
100
77
+23
100avg 82
H11/04
VTB United League
Panathinaikos
#16
W
93-86
93
86
+7
93avg 82
H14/04
Euroleague
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
L
94-103
94
103
-9
80avg 82
A17/04
VTB United League
Fenerbahce
#9
W
92-76
92
76
+16
89avg 82
H21/04
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#9
W
78-67
78
67
+11
75avg 82
H23/04
Euroleague
Nizhny Novgorod
#5
W
85-84
85
84
+1
81avg 82
H25/04
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-18
26-24
15-15
23-17
21-17
26-17
29-13
21-25
14-23
24-23
11-20
28-15
18-15
24-21
16-24
30-10
23-22
35-17
15-15
27-23
27-19
22-20
25-22
19-25
22-27
31-26
19-23
22-27
28-23
25-21
11-22
28-10
23-25
27-17
10-13
18-12
22-22
24-25
22-14
17-23
168.0Avg total
89.0Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)84.479.3163.6+5.172%
Season at home (19)83.875.6159.4+8.274%
Season away (17)85.083.4168.4+1.671%
Last 10 (10)89.079.0168.0+10.080%
Last 5 (5)88.483.2171.6+5.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)78.784.3163.0-5.629%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)89.880.5170.3+9.374%
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +5.3+5.3Q3Q3: +4.2+4.2Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -4.5-4.5Q4: +4.6+4.6
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +5.3+5.3Q3Q3: +4.2+4.2Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -4.5-4.5Q4: +4.6+4.6
FenerbahceCSKA Moscow
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FenerbahceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buyukcekmece
#13
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H21/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olympiacos
#12
W
43-27
43
27
+16
A26/03
Euroleague
Afyon Belediye
#9
W
56-39
56
39
+17
A28/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bayern
#5
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A30/03
Euroleague
Barcelona
#2
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H02/04
Euroleague
Karsiyaka
#3
W
63-29
63
29
+34
H04/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Real Madrid
#7
L
36-49
36
49
-13
H08/04
Euroleague
Bursaspor
#10
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A11/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
44-53
44
53
-9
A21/04
Euroleague
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A23/04
Euroleague
84.3Avg total
43.6Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.640.083.7+3.667%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.740.785.3+4.073%-
Last 30 away (15)42.639.482.0+3.260%-
Last 10 (10)43.640.784.3+2.950%-
Last 5 (5)43.844.288.0-0.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)44.147.191.2-3.025%-
vs Similar (10)41.935.177.0+6.880%-
vs Weaker (12)44.839.484.2+5.383%-
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSKA MoscowLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zenit Petersburg
#6
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A30/03
Euroleague
Khimki M.
#18
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H02/04
Euroleague
Zenit Petersburg
#1
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A05/04
VTB United League
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#14
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H08/04
Euroleague
Astana
#12
W
58-39
58
39
+19
H11/04
VTB United League
Panathinaikos
#16
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H14/04
Euroleague
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
D
53-53
53
53
+0
A17/04
VTB United League
Fenerbahce
#9
W
53-44
53
44
+9
H21/04
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#9
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H23/04
Euroleague
Nizhny Novgorod
#5
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H25/04
VTB United League
90.6Avg total
48.4Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.940.786.6+5.360%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.839.685.4+6.165%-
Last 30 away (13)46.242.088.2+4.254%-
Last 10 (10)48.442.290.6+6.270%-
Last 5 (5)50.245.095.2+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)39.044.683.6-5.629%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)48.039.587.5+8.670%-
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fenerbahcetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fenerbahce: 79.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.020.5
56.9%
52.7%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.78.6
39.6%
38.1%25.8
🏀 Free throws16.113.0
80.7%
79.3%13.0
They take 57.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
CSKA Moscowtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CSKA Moscow: 88.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.122.3
61.8%
52.7%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.810.2
41.1%
38.1%30.6
🏀 Free throws18.713.4
71.7%
79.3%13.4
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Apr 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fenerbahce
LLLLWLWWWW
CSKA Moscow
WWWLWWWLWW
#9
League position
#1
+3.1
Net rating
+15.2
112.3
Offensive rating
124.7
109.2
Defensive rating
109.5
57.9%
Effective FG%
61.7%
54.0%
Opp. effective FG%
57.4%
19.0%
Turnover %
17.3%
26.6%
Off. rebound %
34.1%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.31
39.6%
3-point %
41.1%
60.5%
Assist %
57.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence112.3 · 124.7Defence109.2 · 109.5Shooting57.9% · 61.7%3-point %39.6% · 41.1%Ball care19.0% · 17.3%Off. rebounds26.6% · 34.1%Free throws0.28 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Fenerbahce   ■ CSKA Moscow
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Fenerbahce wins
5
CSKA Moscow wins
DateGameScore
23/04/21CSKA Moscow v Fenerbahce78-67
21/04/21CSKA Moscow v Fenerbahce92-76
22/01/21CSKA Moscow v Fenerbahce83-89
14/10/20Fenerbahce v CSKA Moscow77-78 OT
21/03/19CSKA Moscow v Fenerbahce70-68
18/12/18Fenerbahce v CSKA Moscow79-75
16/03/18Fenerbahce v CSKA Moscow79-81
17/11/17CSKA Moscow v Fenerbahce93-95 OT
02/02/17Fenerbahce v CSKA Moscow77-71
23/12/16CSKA Moscow v Fenerbahce79-95 OT
Fenerbahcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/04/21ACSKA Moscow67-78
21/04/21ACSKA Moscow76-92
11/04/21ABursaspor77-82
08/04/21HReal Madrid67-93
04/04/21HKarsiyaka117-59
02/04/21HBarcelona73-82
30/03/21ABayern77-68
28/03/21AAfyon Belediye97-87
26/03/21AOlympiacos76-71
21/03/21HBuyukcekmece81-70
CSKA Moscowlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/04/21HNizhny Novgorod85-84
23/04/21HFenerbahce78-67
21/04/21HFenerbahce92-76
17/04/21ALokomotiv Kuban94-103
14/04/21HPanathinaikos93-86
11/04/21HAstana100-77
08/04/21HLyon-Villeurbanne88-70
05/04/21AZenit Petersburg77-81
02/04/21HKhimki M.97-72
30/03/21AZenit Petersburg86-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fenerbahce
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL56%
HomeWLWLL59%
AwayLWWLL53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games361719
Win %56%59%53%
Points / game78.181.675.0
Allowed / game79.478.180.6
Point differential-1.3+3.5-5.6
Avg total157.5159.6155.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%35%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)25% (4)100% (3)
Overtime %3%6%0%
CSKA Moscow
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW72%
HomeWWWWW74%
AwayWWLWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games361917
Win %72%74%71%
Points / game84.483.885.0
Allowed / game79.375.683.4
Point differential+5.1+8.2+1.6
Avg total163.6159.4168.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%47%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (13)60% (5)62% (8)
Overtime %11%0%24%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSKA Moscow36261072%84.479.3+5.1
2 Barcelona37261170%80.473.7+6.7
3 Anadolu Efes37241365%84.276.3+7.8
4 Olimpia Milano36231364%81.377.7+3.6
5 Bayern36211558%78.077.4+0.6
6 Zenit Petersburg37211657%78.275.1+3.1
7 Real Madrid37211657%79.378.2+1.1
8 Valencia34191556%81.981.2+0.6
9 Fenerbahce36201656%78.179.4-1.3
10 Baskonia34181653%80.977.6+3.3
11 Zalgiris Kaunas34171750%77.477.8-0.4
12 Olympiacos34161847%78.679.8-1.2
13 Maccabi Tel Aviv34142041%78.479.2-0.9
14 Lyon-Villeurbanne34132138%76.780.6-3.9
15 Alba Berlin34122235%78.682.7-4.1
16 Panathinaikos34112332%79.783.7-4.0
17 Crvena zvezda34102429%74.179.7-5.6
18 Khimki M.3443012%77.590.2-12.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fenerbahce2415111868
CSKA Moscow1727271485
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