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Alba Berlin vs Fenerbahce Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 22 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 82-91
26-24 21-27 12-21 23-19
Position#18
Record3-12
FormLWLWW
Points / game76.1
Allowed / game85.4
vs
Position#7
Record8-7
FormLLWWW
Points / game81.1
Allowed / game81.0
EuropeEuroleagueRound 16· Uber Arena
European cup2023
Meetings · Alba Berlin v Fenerbahce
17 Oct 2024
ABE71
FEN78
22 Dec 2023
ABE82
FEN91
08 Dec 2022
ABE75
FEN104
12 Oct 2021
ABE84
FEN70
10 Dec 2020
ABE89
FEN63
09 Dec 2008
ABE72
FEN63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alba Berlin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fenerbahce winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alba BerlinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Syntainics MBC
#13
L
75-108
75
108
-33
66avg 80
H19/11
BBL
Real Madrid
#1
L
75-99
75
99
-24
60avg 80
A23/11
Euroleague
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
79-87
79
87
-8
74avg 80
A26/11
BBL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
81-102
81
102
-21
72avg 80
A30/11
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
64-62
64
62
+2
46avg 80
H05/12
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
89-97
89
97
-8
83avg 80
H07/12
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#6
W
85-70
85
70
+15
84avg 80
A09/12
German Cup
Crvena zvezda
#16
L
71-85
71
85
-14
71avg 80
A14/12
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#8
W
90-85
90
85
+5
85avg 80
A17/12
BBL
Barcelona
#5
W
74-70
74
70
+4
66avg 80
H19/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-22
18-35
21-25
17-26
17-27
16-17
18-23
24-32
21-19
13-28
29-21
16-19
14-29
28-29
24-23
15-21
13-20
12-8
14-17
25-17
15-22
25-15
25-27
24-33
29-9
16-27
20-16
20-18
22-25
20-26
11-20
18-14
19-25
21-22
26-27
24-11
19-22
19-19
18-11
18-18
164.8Avg total
78.3Scored
86.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)76.185.4161.5-9.320%
Season at home (7)78.782.0160.7-3.343%
Season away (8)73.988.4162.2-14.50%
Last 10 (10)78.386.5164.8-8.240%
Last 5 (5)81.881.4163.2+0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)76.185.4161.5-9.320%
vs Similar (2)93.090.0183.0+3.050%
vs Weaker (13)90.880.9171.8+9.969%
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FenerbahceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFenerbahce
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#8
L
79-87
79
87
-8
71avg 76
A23/11
Euroleague
Petkim Spor
#7
W
96-85
96
85
+11
99avg 76
H26/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Real Madrid
#1
W
100-99 OT
100
99
+1
84avg 76
H30/11
Euroleague
Besiktas
#3
L
64-68
64
68
-4
55avg 76
A02/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Baskonia
#9
L
79-80
79
80
-1
76avg 76
A06/12
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
L
81-89
81
89
-8
71avg 76
A08/12
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#2
L
80-81
80
81
-1
78avg 76
A11/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Monaco
#3
W
86-74
86
74
+12
87avg 76
H15/12
Euroleague
Turk Telekom
#9
W
99-71
99
71
+28
104avg 76
H17/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
80-78
80
78
+2
75avg 76
H20/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-25
17-21
14-24
21-17
26-16
32-24
20-17
18-28
16-29
21-15
22-23
28-20
15-19
9-12
21-16
19-21
18-10
19-28
18-19
24-23
19-16
31-22
14-25
17-26
21-24
23-25
15-20
21-12
24-21
22-24
22-12
18-17
26-18
20-10
25-20
28-23
22-26
15-22
19-14
24-16
165.6Avg total
84.4Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)81.181.0162.1+0.153%
Season at home (7)87.780.7168.4+7.0100%
Season away (8)75.281.2156.5-6.012%
Last 10 (10)84.481.2165.6+3.250%
Last 5 (5)85.278.6163.8+6.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)94.5102.0196.5-7.550%
vs Similar (8)81.479.0160.4+2.462%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)84.576.1160.6+8.565%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +1.5+1.5
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +1.5+1.5
Alba BerlinFenerbahce
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Syntainics MBC
#13
L
37-57
37
57
-20
H19/11
BBL
Real Madrid
#1
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A23/11
Euroleague
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A26/11
BBL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
42-58
42
58
-16
A30/11
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
25-28
25
28
-3
H05/12
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H07/12
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#6
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A09/12
German Cup
Crvena zvezda
#16
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A14/12
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#8
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A17/12
BBL
Barcelona
#5
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H19/12
Euroleague
82.2Avg total
37.6Scored
44.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.444.186.5-1.737%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.842.885.5+0.038%-
Last 30 away (17)42.145.187.2-3.035%-
Last 10 (10)37.644.682.2-7.020%-
Last 5 (5)41.042.483.4-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)38.244.182.3-5.913%-
vs Similar (2)53.046.599.5+6.5100%-
vs Weaker (13)45.643.889.4+1.854%-
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FenerbahceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#8
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A23/11
Euroleague
Petkim Spor
#7
W
58-40
58
40
+18
H26/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Real Madrid
#1
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H30/11
Euroleague
Besiktas
#3
L
24-31
24
31
-7
A02/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Baskonia
#9
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A06/12
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
W
50-38
50
38
+12
A08/12
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#2
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A11/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Monaco
#3
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H15/12
Euroleague
Turk Telekom
#9
W
46-28
46
28
+18
H17/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
37-48
37
48
-11
H20/12
Euroleague
83.0Avg total
42.3Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.539.582.0+3.060%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.538.783.2+5.773%-
Last 30 away (15)40.540.380.8+0.347%-
Last 10 (10)42.340.783.0+1.640%-
Last 5 (5)44.641.686.2+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)47.547.595.0+0.050%-
vs Similar (8)45.239.084.2+6.288%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)40.938.979.8+2.050%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 77.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.620.6
52.0%
53.4%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.57.7
32.8%
36.6%23.1
🏀 Free throws17.012.8
75.3%
77.4%12.8
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Fenerbahcetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fenerbahce: 83.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.720.4
54.1%
53.4%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.29.4
37.3%
36.6%28.2
🏀 Free throws16.914.4
85.2%
77.4%14.4
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alba Berlin
WWLWLWLLLL
Fenerbahce
WWWLLLLWWL
#18
League position
#7
-11.6
Net rating
+4.5
103.9
Offensive rating
116.2
115.5
Defensive rating
111.8
51.0%
Effective FG%
54.8%
57.1%
Opp. effective FG%
53.0%
21.9%
Turnover %
16.2%
36.0%
Off. rebound %
31.7%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.27
32.8%
3-point %
37.3%
58.7%
Assist %
63.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence103.9 · 116.2Defence115.5 · 111.8Shooting51.0% · 54.8%3-point %32.8% · 37.3%Ball care21.9% · 16.2%Off. rebounds36.0% · 31.7%Free throws0.27 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Alba Berlin   ■ Fenerbahce
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Alba Berlin wins
4
Fenerbahce wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/12/23HBarcelona74-70
17/12/23AOldenburg90-85
14/12/23ACrvena zvezda71-85
09/12/23ASyntainics MBC85-70
07/12/23HAnadolu Efes89-97
05/12/23HZalgiris Kaunas64-62
30/11/23AMaccabi Tel Aviv81-102
26/11/23ALudwigsburg79-87
23/11/23AReal Madrid75-99
19/11/23HSyntainics MBC75-108
Fenerbahcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/23HZalgiris Kaunas80-78
17/12/23HTurk Telekom99-71
15/12/23HMonaco86-74
11/12/23AAnadolu Efes80-81
08/12/23ABarcelona81-89
06/12/23ABaskonia79-80
02/12/23ABesiktas64-68
30/11/23HReal Madrid100-99 OT
26/11/23HPetkim Spor96-85
23/11/23AVirtus Bologna79-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alba Berlin
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW20%
HomeLLWLW43%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %20%43%0%
Points / game76.178.773.9
Allowed / game85.482.088.4
Point differential-9.3-3.3-14.5
Avg total161.5160.7162.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)60% (5)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Fenerbahce
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW53%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %53%100%12%
Points / game81.187.775.2
Allowed / game81.080.781.2
Point differential+0.1+7.0-6.0
Avg total162.1168.4156.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%43%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)100% (4)0% (4)
Overtime %13%29%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid1615194%88.174.4+13.7
2 Barcelona1611569%83.278.3+4.9
3 Virtus Bologna1611569%82.880.7+2.1
4 Partizan169756%85.884.6+1.2
5 Valencia169756%74.173.8+0.2
6 Baskonia169756%83.183.1+0.0
7 Maccabi Tel Aviv169756%87.087.8-0.8
8 Panathinaikos158753%82.581.2+1.3
9 Monaco158753%80.079.7+0.3
10 Fenerbahce158753%81.181.0+0.1
11 Olympiacos168850%76.474.4+2.0
12 Bayern157847%79.280.7-1.5
13 Anadolu Efes167944%81.186.9-5.9
14 Olimpia Milano156940%80.077.9+2.1
15 Crvena zvezda1661038%81.880.5+1.3
16 Zalgiris Kaunas1651131%79.181.4-2.3
17 Alba Berlin1531220%76.185.4-9.3
18 Lyon-Villeurbanne1621412%78.688.4-9.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alba Berlin2621122382
Fenerbahce2427211991
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