Alba Berlin vs Ludwigsburg Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Feb 2016

Tip-off: 17:30

Final 74-78

16-23 17-20 17-21 24-14

Position#7

Record14-5

FormWWLWL

Points / game82.1

Allowed / game71.8

Alba Berlin

Ludwigsburg 🏆

Position#5

Record13-6

FormWLLWW

Points / game82.6

Allowed / game77.9

BBLRound 21

Domestic2015-16

Meetings · Alba Berlin v Ludwigsburg

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alba Berlin winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Ludwigsburg winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alba Berlin Germany

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

s.Oliver Wurzburg

#10

80-69

+11

A30/12

BBL

Ludwigsburg

80-90

-10

A02/01

BBL

Olimpia Milano

#13

83-67

+16

H06/01

Eurocup

Neptunas

#20

65-73

-8

A13/01

Eurocup

Basketball Braunschweig

43-46

-3

A16/01

BBL

Aris

#11

82-67

+15

H19/01

Eurocup

s.Oliver Wurzburg

102-73

102

+29

H23/01

German Cup

Aris

#11

63-73

-10

A27/01

Eurocup

Mitteldeutscher

#16

84-75

A31/01

BBL

Olimpia Milano

#13

78-91

-13

A03/02

Eurocup

21-17

17-10

22-19

20-23

11-25

21-19

24-26

24-20

25-21

16-19

19-12

23-15

9-20

20-18

23-12

13-23

14-13

10-7

10-13

9-13

21-20

17-17

20-21

24-9

26-18

30-18

22-12

24-25

19-15

15-27

20-13

9-18

22-17

25-19

16-16

21-23

29-24

16-23

12-22

21-22

148.4Avg total

76.0Scored

72.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (19)	82.1	71.8	153.9	+10.3	74%
Season at home (8)	83.4	71.9	155.2	+11.5	75%
Season away (11)	81.2	71.8	153.0	+9.4	73%
Last 10 (10)	76.0	72.4	148.4	+3.6	50%
Last 5 (5)	81.8	75.8	157.6	+6.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	82.0	82.6	164.6	-0.6	40%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	77.0	76.4	153.4	+0.6	40%
vs Weaker (14)	80.4	71.5	151.9	+8.9	79%

This opponent (Ludwigsburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Ludwigsburg Germany

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Crailsheim Merlins

#18

100-65

100

+35

H30/12

BBL

Alba Berlin

90-80

+10

H02/01

BBL

Zielona Gora

#19

73-82

-9

H05/01

Eurocup

Zenit Petersburg

80-83

-3

A13/01

Eurocup

Tubingen

#14

84-94

-10

A16/01

BBL

Venezia

#31

94-84

+10

H20/01

Eurocup

Bamberg

58-71

-13

H24/01

German Cup

Venezia

#31

64-71

-7

A27/01

Eurocup

Basketball Braunschweig

83-61

+22

H30/01

BBL

Zielona Gora

#19

81-76

A03/02

Eurocup

23-7

25-26

18-21

34-11

25-11

19-21

26-24

20-24

25-16

16-22

16-23

16-21

22-24

19-22

14-13

25-24

14-26

26-25

25-19

19-24

18-23

26-22

22-19

28-20

11-20

25-14

14-20

8-17

16-17

12-19

14-21

22-14

18-20

32-13

20-12

13-16

21-16

23-26

19-13

18-21

157.4Avg total

80.7Scored

76.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (19)	82.6	77.9	160.5	+4.6	68%
Season at home (10)	81.6	74.7	156.3	+6.9	70%
Season away (9)	83.7	81.6	165.2	+2.1	67%
Last 10 (10)	80.7	76.7	157.4	+4.0	50%
Last 5 (5)	76.0	72.6	148.6	+3.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	77.3	85.0	162.3	-7.7	0%
vs Similar ◀ (5)	81.6	83.2	164.8	-1.6	60%
vs Weaker (21)	81.6	74.5	156.1	+7.1	71%

This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Alba BerlinLudwigsburg

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	19.9	39.8	+0.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.5	21.4	41.9	-0.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.5	18.5	38.0	+1.0	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	19.0	38.7	+0.7	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	18.8	42.2	+4.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	17.2	25.4	42.6	-8.2	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	18.2	19.4	37.6	-1.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (14)	21.8	18.4	40.1	+3.4	71%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	17.6	36.2	+1.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.4	16.1	35.5	+3.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.8	19.0	36.8	-1.2	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	18.0	37.3	+1.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	19.2	36.0	-2.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	14.3	18.3	32.7	-4.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	20.0	19.2	39.2	+0.8	40%	-
vs Weaker (21)	19.2	17.0	36.2	+2.3	48%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	18.9	38.5	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.2	19.4	39.6	+0.9	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.2	18.4	37.6	+0.8	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	17.7	36.4	+1.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	20.8	41.4	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	19.2	22.6	41.8	-3.4	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	20.0	20.5	40.5	-0.5	40%	-
vs Weaker (14)	18.9	16.4	35.3	+2.4	64%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	18.3	38.8	+2.2	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.7	18.4	40.1	+3.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.4	18.2	37.6	+1.2	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	21.0	43.3	+1.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	18.8	42.4	+4.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	17.7	18.3	36.0	-0.7	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	19.4	18.8	38.2	+0.6	40%	-
vs Weaker (21)	21.0	18.4	39.4	+2.6	57%	-

Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

s.Oliver Wurzburg

#10

38-27

+11

A30/12

BBL

Ludwigsburg

32-44

-12

A02/01

BBL

Olimpia Milano

#13

41-40

H06/01

Eurocup

Neptunas

#20

29-38

-9

A13/01

Eurocup

Basketball Braunschweig

24-20

A16/01

BBL

Aris

#11

38-37

H19/01

Eurocup

s.Oliver Wurzburg

56-36

+20

H23/01

German Cup

Aris

#11

34-42

-8

A27/01

Eurocup

Mitteldeutscher

#16

47-36

+11

A31/01

BBL

Olimpia Milano

#13

45-47

-2

A03/02

Eurocup

75.1Avg total

38.4Scored

36.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.6	38.7	78.4	+0.9	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.7	40.8	81.5	-0.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.7	36.9	75.6	+1.8	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.4	36.7	75.1	+1.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.0	39.6	83.6	+4.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	36.4	48.0	84.4	-11.6	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	38.2	39.9	78.1	-1.7	40%	-
vs Weaker (14)	40.6	34.8	75.4	+5.9	79%	-

This opponent (Ludwigsburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

LudwigsburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Crailsheim Merlins

#18

48-33

+15

H30/12

BBL

Alba Berlin

44-32

+12

H02/01

BBL

Zielona Gora

#19

41-38

H05/01

Eurocup

Zenit Petersburg

41-46

-5

A13/01

Eurocup

Tubingen

#14

40-51

-11

A16/01

BBL

Venezia

#31

44-45

-1

H20/01

Eurocup

Bamberg

36-34

H24/01

German Cup

Venezia

#31

28-36

-8

A27/01

Eurocup

Basketball Braunschweig

50-33

+17

H30/01

BBL

Zielona Gora

#19

44-42

A03/02

Eurocup

80.6Avg total

41.6Scored

39.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.1	35.9	75.0	+3.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.1	34.5	75.6	+6.5	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.2	37.2	74.4	+0.0	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.6	39.0	80.6	+2.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.4	38.0	78.4	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	32.0	36.7	68.7	-4.7	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	39.4	38.0	77.4	+1.4	40%	-
vs Weaker (21)	40.2	35.3	75.6	+4.9	57%	-

This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	16.9	36.7	+2.9	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.1	16.5	36.6	+3.6	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.6	17.2	36.8	+2.4	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	16.6	35.4	+2.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	16.8	34.8	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	21.4	15.0	36.4	+6.4	80%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	19.2	17.7	36.9	+1.5	60%	-
vs Weaker (14)	19.5	17.3	36.8	+2.2	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	18.8	38.3	+0.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.9	18.7	37.6	+0.1	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.1	18.9	39.1	+1.2	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	18.5	37.3	+0.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	17.0	34.8	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	25.3	23.0	48.3	+2.3	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	19.0	19.0	38.0	+0.0	60%	-
vs Weaker (21)	19.0	18.1	37.2	+0.9	52%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	19.0	39.3	+1.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.6	17.9	40.6	+4.7	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.2	20.0	38.2	-1.8	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	19.1	37.9	-0.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	19.4	39.2	+0.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	24.2	19.6	43.8	+4.6	60%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	19.6	18.8	38.4	+0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (14)	19.1	18.6	37.7	+0.6	43%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	20.8	40.4	-1.1	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.5	20.9	40.3	-1.4	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.9	20.7	40.5	-0.8	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	19.2	39.5	+1.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	17.6	35.4	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	20.0	25.3	45.3	-5.3	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	21.0	24.6	45.6	-3.6	20%	-
vs Weaker (21)	19.9	19.4	39.2	+0.5	43%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.1	35.9	76.0	+4.2	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.7	34.4	77.1	+8.3	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.8	37.2	75.0	+0.6	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.6	35.7	73.3	+1.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.8	36.2	74.0	+1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	45.6	34.6	80.2	+11.0	80%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	38.8	36.5	75.3	+2.3	60%	-
vs Weaker (14)	38.6	35.9	74.5	+2.8	43%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.2	39.6	78.8	-0.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.3	39.6	77.9	-1.3	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.0	39.6	79.6	+0.4	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.1	37.7	76.8	+1.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.6	34.6	70.2	+1.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	45.3	48.3	93.7	-3.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	40.0	43.6	83.6	-3.6	40%	-
vs Weaker (21)	38.9	37.5	76.4	+1.4	62%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Alba Berlin wins

Ludwigsburg wins

Date	Game	Score
02/01/16	Ludwigsburg v Alba Berlin	90-80
17/11/15	Alba Berlin v Ludwigsburg	79-90
14/10/15	Ludwigsburg v Alba Berlin	79-60
22/02/15	Ludwigsburg v Alba Berlin	67-55
09/12/14	Alba Berlin v Ludwigsburg	93-76
26/02/14	Ludwigsburg v Alba Berlin	89-77
12/10/13	Alba Berlin v Ludwigsburg	83-52
12/03/13	Alba Berlin v Ludwigsburg	89-76
27/10/12	Ludwigsburg v Alba Berlin	93-84 OT
25/02/12	Ludwigsburg v Alba Berlin	78-83

Alba Berlinlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
03/02/16	A	Olimpia Milano	78-91
31/01/16	A	Mitteldeutscher	84-75
27/01/16	A	Aris	63-73
23/01/16	H	s.Oliver Wurzburg	102-73
19/01/16	H	Aris	82-67
16/01/16	A	Basketball Braunschweig	43-46
13/01/16	A	Neptunas	65-73
06/01/16	H	Olimpia Milano	83-67
02/01/16	A	Ludwigsburg	80-90
30/12/15	A	s.Oliver Wurzburg	80-69

Ludwigsburglast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
03/02/16	A	Zielona Gora	81-76
30/01/16	H	Basketball Braunschweig	83-61
27/01/16	A	Venezia	64-71
24/01/16	H	Bamberg	58-71
20/01/16	H	Venezia	94-84
16/01/16	A	Tubingen	84-94
13/01/16	A	Zenit Petersburg	80-83
05/01/16	H	Zielona Gora	73-82
02/01/16	H	Alba Berlin	90-80
30/12/15	H	Crailsheim Merlins	100-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alba Berlin

BBL 2015-16

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLW	74%
Home	WLLWW	75%
Away	WWLLW	73%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	19	8	11
Win %	74%	75%	73%
Points / game	82.1	83.4	81.2
Allowed / game	71.8	71.9	71.8
Point differential	+10.3	+11.5	+9.4
Avg total	153.9	155.2	153.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	58%	75%	45%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (4)	-	50% (4)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Ludwigsburg

BBL 2015-16

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLW	68%
Home	WLWWW	70%
Away	WWLLL	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	19	10	9
Win %	68%	70%	67%
Points / game	82.6	81.6	83.7
Allowed / game	77.9	74.7	81.6
Point differential	+4.6	+6.9	+2.1
Avg total	160.5	156.3	165.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	32%	50%	11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	60% (5)	-	60% (5)
Overtime %	16%	10%	22%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Bamberg	19	17	2	89%	90.2	72.7	+17.5
2	Bayern	19	15	4	79%	90.7	76.9	+13.8
3	Alba Berlin	19	14	5	74%	82.1	71.8	+10.3
4	Frankfurt	19	14	5	74%	76.7	70.3	+6.4
5	Ludwigsburg	19	13	6	68%	82.6	77.9	+4.6
6	Oldenburg	19	13	6	68%	81.4	78.5	+2.8
7	s.Oliver Wurzburg	19	12	7	63%	82.3	82.9	-0.6
8	Ulm	20	12	8	60%	81.8	77.9	+3.9
9	Basketball Braunschweig	21	11	10	52%	74.5	74.2	+0.3
10	Phoenix Hagen	21	10	11	48%	84.5	85.7	-1.2
11	Giessen	19	8	11	42%	79.1	79.8	-0.7
12	Bonn	20	7	13	35%	80.6	85.8	-5.2
13	Bayreuth	20	7	13	35%	74.6	80.9	-6.3
14	Tubingen	20	6	14	30%	81.8	86.5	-4.7
15	Crailsheim Merlins	19	5	14	26%	73.8	88.7	-14.9
16	Bremerhaven	20	5	15	25%	77.6	80.9	-3.3
17	Gottingen	18	4	14	22%	74.3	88.3	-13.9
18	Mitteldeutscher	19	2	17	11%	77.5	86.1	-8.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Alba Berlin	16	17	17	24	74
Ludwigsburg	23	20	21	14	78

← all games of the day

Alba Berlin vs Ludwigsburg Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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