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Alba Berlin vs Ludwigsburg Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 04 May 2021
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 79-78
23-21 18-27 17-16 21-14
Position#1
Record26-6
FormWLWWW
Points / game86.5
Allowed / game75.8
Alba Berlin 🏆
Germany
vs
Ludwigsburg
Germany
Position#2
Record29-3
FormWWWLW
Points / game89.3
Allowed / game77.0
GermanyBBLRound 33
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Alba Berlin v Ludwigsburg
10 Jan 2027
ABE v LUD
upcoming
29 Dec 2025
ABE80
LUD47
01 Dec 2024
ABE60
LUD74
07 Apr 2024
ABE100
LUD91
20 Nov 2022
ABE99
LUD91
29 May 2022
ABE100
LUD76
27 May 2022
ABE89
LUD84
23 Jan 2022
ABE75
LUD76
04 May 2021
ABE79
LUD78
26 Jun 2020
ABE88
LUD65
15 Jun 2020
ABE97
LUD89
04 Apr 2020
ABE v LUD
upcoming
26 Oct 2018
ABE86
LUD80
27 May 2018
ABE91
LUD88
21 May 2018
ABE102
LUD87
14 Apr 2018
ABE96
LUD86
01 May 2017
ABE86
LUD76
19 Feb 2017
ABE84
LUD70
06 Feb 2016
ABE74
LUD78
17 Nov 2015
ABE79
LUD90
09 Dec 2014
ABE93
LUD76
12 Oct 2013
ABE83
LUD52
12 Mar 2013
ABE89
LUD76
05 Jan 2012
ABE88
LUD69
17 Oct 2010
ABE86
LUD60
01 May 2010
ABE74
LUD67
15 Mar 2009
ABE86
LUD57
19 Nov 2008
ABE70
LUD59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alba Berlin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ludwigsburg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alba BerlinGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#11
L
86-96
86
96
-10
84avg 78
A30/03
Euroleague
Valencia
#8
L
86-90
86
90
-4
82avg 78
H02/04
Euroleague
Bonn
#13
W
80-75
80
75
+5
83avg 78
A04/04
BBL
Crvena zvezda
#17
W
81-58
81
58
+23
80avg 78
H08/04
Euroleague
Hamburg
#7
L
68-75
68
75
-7
72avg 78
H10/04
BBL
Giessen
#17
W
102-96
102
96
+6
102avg 78
A13/04
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#9
L
82-87
82
87
-5
78avg 78
H22/04
BBL
Bayern
#4
W
100-62
100
62
+38
105avg 78
A25/04
BBL
Vechta
#18
W
82-81
82
81
+1
75avg 78
A30/04
BBL
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#16
W
99-79
99
79
+20
94avg 78
A02/05
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-21
28-20
10-27
25-28
26-13
27-29
17-22
16-26
21-22
16-20
21-13
22-20
24-22
25-8
17-16
15-12
10-15
19-15
16-23
23-22
29-20
20-30
25-24
28-22
17-11
19-23
14-23
32-30
23-21
29-9
31-16
17-16
14-21
29-21
16-20
23-19
25-18
33-19
23-19
18-23
166.5Avg total
86.6Scored
79.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)86.575.8162.3+10.781%
Season at home (16)86.874.2161.1+12.681%
Season away (16)86.277.4163.6+8.881%
Last 10 (10)86.679.9166.5+6.760%
Last 5 (5)93.081.0174.0+12.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)79.889.5169.2-9.80%
vs Similar ◀ (8)83.180.8163.9+2.450%
vs Weaker (18)88.475.3163.7+13.178%
This opponent (Ludwigsburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LudwigsburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLudwigsburg
Date
Competition
Ulm
#6
W
83-77
83
77
+6
no box
A20/03
BBL
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#16
W
82-72
82
72
+10
72avg 80
A23/03
BBL
Bayreuth
#10
W
97-92
97
92
+5
89avg 80
H28/03
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#15
W
93-74
93
74
+19
86avg 80
H01/04
BBL
Gottingen
#11
W
90-81
90
81
+9
86avg 80
A05/04
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#9
W
107-71
107
71
+36
106avg 80
A13/04
BBL
Giessen
#17
W
89-80
89
80
+9
84avg 80
A24/04
BBL
Frankfurt
#12
W
106-69
106
69
+37
102avg 80
H27/04
BBL
Bamberg
#8
L
93-94
93
94
-1
79avg 80
A30/04
BBL
Bonn
#13
W
89-73
89
73
+16
76avg 80
H02/05
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-14
18-25
21-19
29-19
18-17
21-14
24-13
19-28
29-24
20-27
28-20
20-21
32-23
19-12
19-19
23-20
20-24
30-16
16-26
24-15
34-19
26-23
24-15
23-14
20-15
28-12
26-25
15-28
35-15
23-27
25-13
23-14
10-25
27-22
29-22
27-25
22-24
24-14
25-16
18-19
171.2Avg total
92.9Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)89.377.0166.3+12.391%
Season at home (16)91.576.1167.6+15.4100%
Season away (16)87.177.9165.1+9.281%
Last 10 (10)92.978.3171.2+14.690%
Last 5 (5)96.877.4174.2+19.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (6)84.581.7166.2+2.883%
vs Weaker (24)90.275.8166.0+14.492%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: +5.1+5.1Q2: +4.4+4.4Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +4.9+4.9Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +1.8+1.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: +5.1+5.1Q2: +4.4+4.4Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +4.9+4.9Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +1.8+1.8
Alba BerlinLudwigsburg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#11
W
51-41
51
41
+10
A30/03
Euroleague
Valencia
#8
W
53-42
53
42
+11
H02/04
Euroleague
Bonn
#13
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A04/04
BBL
Crvena zvezda
#17
W
49-30
49
30
+19
H08/04
Euroleague
Hamburg
#7
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H10/04
BBL
Giessen
#17
L
49-50
49
50
-1
A13/04
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#9
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H22/04
BBL
Bayern
#4
W
52-30
52
30
+22
A25/04
BBL
Vechta
#18
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A30/04
BBL
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#16
W
58-37
58
37
+21
A02/05
BBL
83.5Avg total
45.7Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.638.982.5+4.767%-
Last 30 at home (12)40.334.274.6+6.175%-
Last 30 away (18)45.841.987.7+3.861%-
Last 10 (10)45.737.883.5+7.970%-
Last 5 (5)47.638.686.2+9.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)46.040.886.8+5.275%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)40.641.482.0-0.838%-
vs Weaker (18)44.437.381.7+7.178%-
This opponent (Ludwigsburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LudwigsburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ulm
#6
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A20/03
BBL
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#16
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A23/03
BBL
Bayreuth
#10
L
49-51
49
51
-2
H28/03
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#15
W
51-35
51
35
+16
H01/04
BBL
Gottingen
#11
W
50-40
50
40
+10
A05/04
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#9
W
60-42
60
42
+18
A13/04
BBL
Giessen
#17
W
48-27
48
27
+21
A24/04
BBL
Frankfurt
#12
W
58-42
58
42
+16
H27/04
BBL
Bamberg
#8
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A30/04
BBL
Bonn
#13
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H02/05
BBL
86.3Avg total
47.1Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.138.084.2+8.173%-
Last 30 at home (15)48.639.287.8+9.480%-
Last 30 away (15)43.736.980.5+6.867%-
Last 10 (10)47.139.286.3+7.970%-
Last 5 (5)49.839.289.0+10.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (6)41.238.579.7+2.733%-
vs Weaker (24)47.437.985.3+9.583%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 85.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.9 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.021.5
59.7%
54.2%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.510.3
37.5%
37.1%30.9
🏀 Free throws14.811.7
79.1%
78.0%11.7
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ludwigsburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ludwigsburg: 92.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.8 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.9 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.219.8
56.2%
54.2%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.612.6
36.4%
37.1%37.8
🏀 Free throws18.514.7
79.5%
78.0%14.7
They take 69.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 May 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alba Berlin
WWWLWLWWLL
Ludwigsburg
WLWWWWWWWW
#1
League position
#2
+8.3
Net rating
+18.0
116.7
Offensive rating
118.5
108.4
Defensive rating
100.5
58.2%
Effective FG%
55.4%
54.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
17.5%
Turnover %
13.2%
29.6%
Off. rebound %
28.8%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.27
37.5%
3-point %
36.4%
74.8%
Assist %
57.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence116.7 · 118.5Defence108.4 · 100.5Shooting58.2% · 55.4%3-point %37.5% · 36.4%Ball care17.5% · 13.2%Off. rebounds29.6% · 28.8%Free throws0.23 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)60% · 90%
■ Alba Berlin   ■ Ludwigsburg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Alba Berlin wins
2
Ludwigsburg wins
DateGameScore
08/12/20Ludwigsburg v Alba Berlin78-71
28/06/20Ludwigsburg v Alba Berlin74-75
26/06/20Alba Berlin v Ludwigsburg88-65
15/06/20Alba Berlin v Ludwigsburg97-89
17/11/19Ludwigsburg v Alba Berlin81-77
12/05/19Ludwigsburg v Alba Berlin79-80
26/10/18Alba Berlin v Ludwigsburg86-80
27/05/18Alba Berlin v Ludwigsburg91-88
24/05/18Ludwigsburg v Alba Berlin74-100
21/05/18Alba Berlin v Ludwigsburg102-87
Alba Berlinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/05/21As.Oliver Wurzburg99-79
30/04/21AVechta82-81
25/04/21ABayern100-62
22/04/21HBasketball Braunschweig82-87
13/04/21AGiessen102-96
10/04/21HHamburg68-75
08/04/21HCrvena zvezda81-58
04/04/21ABonn80-75
02/04/21HValencia86-90
30/03/21AZalgiris Kaunas86-96
Ludwigsburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/05/21HBonn89-73
30/04/21ABamberg93-94
27/04/21HFrankfurt106-69
24/04/21AGiessen89-80
13/04/21ABasketball Braunschweig107-71
05/04/21AGottingen90-81
01/04/21HSyntainics MBC93-74
28/03/21HBayreuth97-92
23/03/21As.Oliver Wurzburg82-72
20/03/21AUlm83-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alba Berlin
BBL 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW81%
HomeLWWLL81%
AwayWWWWW81%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %81%81%81%
Points / game86.586.886.2
Allowed / game75.874.277.4
Point differential+10.7+12.6+8.8
Avg total162.3161.1163.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+59%81%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)0% (1)100% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ludwigsburg
BBL 2020-21
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW91%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWL81%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %91%100%81%
Points / game89.391.587.1
Allowed / game77.076.177.9
Point differential+12.3+15.4+9.2
Avg total166.3167.6165.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%62%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ludwigsburg3229391%89.377.0+12.3
2 Alba Berlin3226681%86.575.8+10.7
3 Bayern3224875%87.579.1+8.3
4 Oldenburg3123874%93.384.2+9.1
5 Crailsheim Merlins32221069%86.882.9+3.9
6 Ulm32211166%87.978.2+9.7
7 Hamburg32201262%84.779.2+5.4
8 Bamberg31161552%84.581.9+2.5
9 Basketball Braunschweig32141844%83.487.2-3.8
10 Bayreuth32131941%84.085.1-1.2
11 Gottingen30121840%83.589.7-6.2
12 Bonn32122038%82.584.5-2.0
13 Frankfurt31112035%76.383.2-6.9
14 Chemnitz32112134%78.987.7-8.7
15 s.Oliver Wurzburg3192229%78.287.5-9.3
16 Syntainics MBC3292328%83.290.2-7.0
17 Giessen3282425%85.393.4-8.1
18 Vechta3252716%79.388.7-9.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alba Berlin2318172179
Ludwigsburg2127161478
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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