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Alba Berlin vs Ludwigsburg Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 04 Apr 2020
Tip-off: 16:00
Postponed
Position#1
Record14-5
FormLWWWL
Points / game93.4
Allowed / game81.6
Alba Berlin
Germany
vs
Form · last 5 games
6.0/10
Above normal
4.4/10
Below normal
Ludwigsburg
Germany
Position#3
Record17-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game86.5
Allowed / game78.8
GermanyBBLRound 27
Domestic2019-20
Meetings · Alba Berlin v Ludwigsburg
10 Jan 2027
ABE v LUD
upcoming
29 Dec 2025
ABE80
LUD47
01 Dec 2024
ABE60
LUD74
07 Apr 2024
ABE100
LUD91
20 Nov 2022
ABE99
LUD91
29 May 2022
ABE100
LUD76
27 May 2022
ABE89
LUD84
23 Jan 2022
ABE75
LUD76
04 May 2021
ABE79
LUD78
26 Jun 2020
ABE88
LUD65
15 Jun 2020
ABE97
LUD89
04 Apr 2020
ABE v LUD
upcoming
26 Oct 2018
ABE86
LUD80
27 May 2018
ABE91
LUD88
21 May 2018
ABE102
LUD87
14 Apr 2018
ABE96
LUD86
01 May 2017
ABE86
LUD76
19 Feb 2017
ABE84
LUD70
06 Feb 2016
ABE74
LUD78
17 Nov 2015
ABE79
LUD90
09 Dec 2014
ABE93
LUD76
12 Oct 2013
ABE83
LUD52
12 Mar 2013
ABE89
LUD76
05 Jan 2012
ABE88
LUD69
17 Oct 2010
ABE86
LUD60
01 May 2010
ABE74
LUD67
15 Mar 2009
ABE86
LUD57
19 Nov 2008
ABE70
LUD59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alba Berlin win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Ludwigsburg win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alba BerlinGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayreuth
#12
W
82-78
82
78
+4
A08/12
BBL
Hamburg
#17
W
100-75
100
75
+25
A22/12
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
116-108
116
108
+8
H31/12
BBL
Gottingen
#11
L
71-72
71
72
-1
A05/01
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#5
W
98-82
98
82
+16
H27/01
BBL
Oldenburg
#4
L
88-93
88
93
-5
A02/02
BBL
Gottingen
#11
W
96-71
96
71
+25
H09/02
BBL
Ulm
#6
W
112-106 OT
112
106
+6
A11/02
BBL
Bamberg
#8
W
107-70
107
70
+37
H01/03
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#5
L
82-91
82
91
-9
A08/03
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-9
24-25
21-27
16-17
30-22
22-25
22-15
26-13
29-30
29-29
36-25
22-24
21-15
17-20
16-24
17-13
22-22
30-18
23-19
23-23
15-25
30-26
16-26
27-16
21-25
26-20
21-15
28-11
34-25
19-29
22-20
21-22
34-24
26-21
23-12
24-13
21-22
26-21
20-22
15-26
179.8Avg total
95.2Scored
84.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)93.481.6175.0+11.774%
Season at home (8)100.578.5179.0+22.0100%
Season away (11)88.283.9172.1+4.355%
Last 10 (10)95.284.6179.8+10.670%
Last 5 (5)97.086.2183.2+10.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)77.584.5162.0-7.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)95.181.9177.1+13.282%
This opponent (Ludwigsburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LudwigsburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayreuth
#12
W
89-84
89
84
+5
H21/12
BBL
Bamberg
#8
L
68-75
68
75
-7
A27/12
BBL
Frankfurt
#14
W
82-64
82
64
+18
H30/12
BBL
Bayern
#2
W
81-74
81
74
+7
H19/01
BBL
Giessen
#13
L
88-98
88
98
-10
A25/01
BBL
Vechta
#9
W
85-78
85
78
+7
H01/02
BBL
Hamburg
#17
W
98-92
98
92
+6
A08/02
BBL
Bonn
#15
W
83-77
83
77
+6
A12/02
BBL
Frankfurt
#14
W
79-54
79
54
+25
A01/03
BBL
Ulm
#6
W
94-76
94
76
+18
A08/03
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-30
26-17
18-16
21-21
12-25
12-18
23-14
21-18
20-15
26-23
18-8
18-18
15-10
22-21
24-20
20-23
16-18
22-24
28-29
22-27
23-14
24-14
16-21
22-29
23-32
25-25
17-18
33-17
21-22
22-10
18-25
22-20
15-13
18-8
20-15
26-18
21-23
32-18
15-21
26-14
161.9Avg total
84.7Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)86.578.8165.3+7.781%
Season at home (9)89.276.9166.1+12.3100%
Season away (12)84.480.2164.7+4.267%
Last 10 (10)84.777.2161.9+7.580%
Last 5 (5)87.875.4163.2+12.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)83.684.0167.6-0.460%
vs Similar (7)90.685.4176.0+5.157%
vs Weaker (18)86.480.2166.6+6.278%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +5.1+5.1Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: +4.1+4.1Q4: +2.6+2.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +5.1+5.1Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: +4.1+4.1Q4: +2.6+2.6
Alba BerlinLudwigsburg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayreuth
#12
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A08/12
BBL
Hamburg
#17
W
52-47
52
47
+5
A22/12
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
L
58-59
58
59
-1
H31/12
BBL
Gottingen
#11
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A05/01
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#5
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H27/01
BBL
Oldenburg
#4
L
45-51
45
51
-6
A02/02
BBL
Gottingen
#11
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H09/02
BBL
Ulm
#6
L
53-54
53
54
-1
A11/02
BBL
Bamberg
#8
W
60-45
60
45
+15
H01/03
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#5
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A08/03
BBL
95.0Avg total
49.7Scored
45.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.942.990.8+5.063%-
Last 30 at home (15)51.143.994.9+7.267%-
Last 30 away (15)44.741.986.6+2.760%-
Last 10 (10)49.745.395.0+4.470%-
Last 5 (5)50.447.698.0+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)39.540.079.5-0.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)48.543.191.6+5.464%-
This opponent (Ludwigsburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LudwigsburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayreuth
#12
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H21/12
BBL
Bamberg
#8
L
24-43
24
43
-19
A27/12
BBL
Frankfurt
#14
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H30/12
BBL
Bayern
#2
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H19/01
BBL
Giessen
#13
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A25/01
BBL
Vechta
#9
W
47-28
47
28
+19
H01/02
BBL
Hamburg
#17
L
48-57
48
57
-9
A08/02
BBL
Bonn
#15
W
43-32
43
32
+11
A12/02
BBL
Frankfurt
#14
W
33-21
33
21
+12
A01/03
BBL
Ulm
#6
W
53-41
53
41
+12
A08/03
BBL
79.9Avg total
41.9Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.741.585.2+2.260%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.141.488.6+5.771%-
Last 30 away (16)40.741.682.3-0.950%-
Last 10 (10)41.938.079.9+3.970%-
Last 5 (5)44.835.880.6+9.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)40.842.483.2-1.640%-
vs Similar (7)46.043.189.1+2.971%-
vs Weaker (18)43.640.784.3+2.961%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 84.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.219.3
50.5%
54.1%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.411.1
43.7%
33.9%33.3
🏀 Free throws16.012.7
79.4%
73.5%12.7
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ludwigsburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ludwigsburg: 88.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀20%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.0 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.025.0
62.5%
54.1%50.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.06.0
27.3%
33.9%18.0
🏀 Free throws26.020.0
76.9%
73.5%20.0
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/1 games with a box score before 04 Apr 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alba Berlin
LWWWLWLWWW
Ludwigsburg
WWWWWLWWLW
#1
League position
#3
+4.5
Net rating
+37.0
115.3
Offensive rating
130.1
110.8
Defensive rating
93.1
56.5%
Effective FG%
54.8%
54.7%
Opp. effective FG%
47.5%
18.4%
Turnover %
13.3%
34.7%
Off. rebound %
40.5%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.42
43.7%
3-point %
27.3%
64.5%
Assist %
71.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence115.3 · 130.1Defence110.8 · 93.1Shooting56.5% · 54.8%3-point %43.7% · 27.3%Ball care18.4% · 13.3%Off. rebounds34.7% · 40.5%Free throws0.25 · 0.42Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ Alba Berlin   ■ Ludwigsburg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Alba Berlin wins
1
Ludwigsburg wins
DateGameScore
17/11/19Ludwigsburg v Alba Berlin81-77
12/05/19Ludwigsburg v Alba Berlin79-80
26/10/18Alba Berlin v Ludwigsburg86-80
27/05/18Alba Berlin v Ludwigsburg91-88
24/05/18Ludwigsburg v Alba Berlin74-100
21/05/18Alba Berlin v Ludwigsburg102-87
14/04/18Alba Berlin v Ludwigsburg96-86
07/01/18Ludwigsburg v Alba Berlin67-86
01/05/17Alba Berlin v Ludwigsburg86-76
19/02/17Alba Berlin v Ludwigsburg84-70
Alba Berlinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/20ACrailsheim Merlins82-91
01/03/20HBamberg107-70
11/02/20AUlm112-106 OT
09/02/20HGottingen96-71
02/02/20AOldenburg88-93
27/01/20HCrailsheim Merlins98-82
05/01/20AGottingen71-72
31/12/19HSyntainics MBC116-108
22/12/19AHamburg100-75
08/12/19ABayreuth82-78
Ludwigsburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/20AUlm94-76
01/03/20AFrankfurt79-54
12/02/20ABonn83-77
08/02/20AHamburg98-92
01/02/20HVechta85-78
25/01/20AGiessen88-98
19/01/20HBayern81-74
30/12/19HFrankfurt82-64
27/12/19ABamberg68-75
21/12/19HBayreuth89-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alba Berlin
BBL 2019-20
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL74%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLLWL55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19811
Win %74%100%55%
Points / game93.4100.588.2
Allowed / game81.678.583.9
Point differential+11.7+22.0+4.3
Avg total175.0179.0172.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%88%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)-43% (7)
Overtime %5%0%9%
Ludwigsburg
BBL 2019-20
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW81%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21912
Win %81%100%67%
Points / game86.589.284.4
Allowed / game78.876.980.2
Point differential+7.7+12.3+4.2
Avg total165.3166.1164.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%56%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern2119290%85.174.0+11.1
2 Ludwigsburg2117481%86.578.8+7.7
3 Alba Berlin1914574%93.481.6+11.7
4 Crailsheim Merlins2115671%90.084.4+5.6
5 Oldenburg2013765%84.383.2+1.2
6 Bamberg2112957%82.678.5+4.1
7 Vechta2112957%80.781.8-1.1
8 s.Oliver Wurzburg21111052%83.685.0-1.4
9 Gottingen21111052%82.285.1-2.9
10 Ulm20101050%87.485.5+1.9
11 Basketball Braunschweig2091145%89.591.5-2.0
12 Bayreuth2191243%86.286.2+0.0
13 Giessen2061430%84.789.2-4.5
14 Frankfurt2161529%75.280.6-5.4
15 Bonn2041620%84.391.2-6.8
16 Syntainics MBC2031715%89.597.5-7.9
17 Hamburg2031715%81.292.8-11.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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