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Alba Berlin vs Ludwigsburg Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 07 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 13:30
Final 100-91
27-23 28-21 25-24 20-23
Position#2
Record18-5
FormLWLWL
Points / game92.0
Allowed / game82.0
vs
Position#9
Record16-10
FormWLWLL
Points / game88.3
Allowed / game81.3
GermanyBBLRound 27· Uber Arena
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Alba Berlin v Ludwigsburg
10 Jan 2027
ABE v LUD
upcoming
29 Dec 2025
ABE80
LUD47
01 Dec 2024
ABE60
LUD74
07 Apr 2024
ABE100
LUD91
20 Nov 2022
ABE99
LUD91
29 May 2022
ABE100
LUD76
27 May 2022
ABE89
LUD84
23 Jan 2022
ABE75
LUD76
04 May 2021
ABE79
LUD78
26 Jun 2020
ABE88
LUD65
15 Jun 2020
ABE97
LUD89
04 Apr 2020
ABE v LUD
upcoming
26 Oct 2018
ABE86
LUD80
27 May 2018
ABE91
LUD88
21 May 2018
ABE102
LUD87
14 Apr 2018
ABE96
LUD86
01 May 2017
ABE86
LUD76
19 Feb 2017
ABE84
LUD70
06 Feb 2016
ABE74
LUD78
17 Nov 2015
ABE79
LUD90
09 Dec 2014
ABE93
LUD76
12 Oct 2013
ABE83
LUD52
12 Mar 2013
ABE89
LUD76
05 Jan 2012
ABE88
LUD69
17 Oct 2010
ABE86
LUD60
01 May 2010
ABE74
LUD67
15 Mar 2009
ABE86
LUD57
19 Nov 2008
ABE70
LUD59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alba Berlin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ludwigsburg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alba BerlinGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#9
L
71-88
71
88
-17
66avg 79
A08/03
Euroleague
Rostock
#15
W
76-75
76
75
+1
63avg 79
A10/03
BBL
Monaco
#3
L
82-90
82
90
-8
79avg 79
H14/03
Euroleague
Tubingen
#18
W
112-69
112
69
+43
112avg 79
H16/03
BBL
Real Madrid
#1
L
79-86
79
86
-7
67avg 79
H19/03
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
84-85
84
85
-1
81avg 79
A21/03
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#3
W
84-79
84
79
+5
83avg 79
A24/03
BBL
Fenerbahce
#7
L
68-103
68
103
-35
59avg 79
A29/03
Euroleague
Hamburg
#10
W
85-65
85
65
+20
84avg 79
H31/03
BBL
Partizan
#11
L
83-94
83
94
-11
77avg 79
H04/04
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-23
24-19
13-21
24-25
27-19
15-17
10-25
24-14
27-13
12-32
23-24
20-21
21-24
35-10
32-16
24-19
26-16
14-20
17-22
22-28
23-23
17-30
27-12
17-20
18-22
21-13
24-21
21-23
18-34
22-18
13-31
15-20
19-16
21-21
23-15
22-13
15-23
19-24
28-25
21-22
165.8Avg total
82.4Scored
83.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)92.082.0174.1+10.078%
Season at home (11)95.879.4175.2+16.591%
Season away (12)88.684.5173.1+4.167%
Last 10 (10)82.483.4165.8-1.040%
Last 5 (5)80.885.2166.0-4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)76.687.1163.7-10.612%
vs Similar (6)91.084.0175.0+7.083%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)89.679.0168.6+10.675%
This opponent (Ludwigsburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LudwigsburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLudwigsburg
Date
Competition
Wurzburg
#4
L
91-94
91
94
-3
88avg 74
H14/02
BBL
Vechta
#6
W
86-72
86
72
+14
82avg 74
A02/03
BBL
Dijon
#12
W
71-59
71
59
+12
70avg 74
H06/03
Champions League
Bamberg
#11
L
87-92
87
92
-5
77avg 74
H09/03
BBL
Galatasaray
#20
L
91-93
91
93
-2
78avg 74
A12/03
Champions League
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
86-82
86
82
+4
76avg 74
H15/03
BBL
Bonn
#9
L
81-85
81
85
-4
71avg 74
H20/03
Champions League
Tubingen
#18
W
98-79
98
79
+19
90avg 74
A22/03
BBL
Ulm
#5
L
60-94
60
94
-34
35avg 74
H31/03
BBL
Murcia
#2
L
72-98
72
98
-26
53avg 74
A03/04
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-24
24-16
21-28
22-26
19-19
21-27
18-19
28-7
13-16
12-16
18-13
28-14
22-23
19-20
21-22
25-27
18-28
24-26
23-24
26-15
23-18
21-22
20-20
22-22
25-31
24-21
17-11
15-22
18-26
30-16
29-15
21-22
22-29
18-23
8-20
12-22
14-27
19-17
22-27
17-27
167.1Avg total
82.3Scored
84.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)88.381.3169.7+7.062%
Season at home (14)88.482.6171.0+5.957%
Season away (12)88.279.9168.2+8.367%
Last 10 (10)82.384.8167.1-2.540%
Last 5 (5)79.487.6167.0-8.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)69.091.5160.5-22.50%
vs Similar (13)84.181.8165.8+2.354%
vs Weaker (15)88.778.5167.2+10.167%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -4.3-4.3Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +1.2+1.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -4.3-4.3Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +1.2+1.2
Alba BerlinLudwigsburg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#9
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A08/03
Euroleague
Rostock
#15
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A10/03
BBL
Monaco
#3
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H14/03
Euroleague
Tubingen
#18
W
56-34
56
34
+22
H16/03
BBL
Real Madrid
#1
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H19/03
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
40-53
40
53
-13
A21/03
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#3
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A24/03
BBL
Fenerbahce
#7
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A29/03
Euroleague
Hamburg
#10
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H31/03
BBL
Partizan
#11
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H04/04
Euroleague
82.1Avg total
40.4Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.442.283.6-0.853%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.242.284.4+0.156%-
Last 30 away (14)40.442.282.6-1.850%-
Last 10 (10)40.441.782.1-1.350%-
Last 5 (5)38.644.883.4-6.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)37.944.982.9-7.025%-
vs Similar (6)45.340.285.5+5.2100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)45.438.283.6+7.175%-
This opponent (Ludwigsburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LudwigsburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wurzburg
#4
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H14/02
BBL
Vechta
#6
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A02/03
BBL
Dijon
#12
L
25-32
25
32
-7
H06/03
Champions League
Bamberg
#11
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H09/03
BBL
Galatasaray
#20
L
42-54
42
54
-12
A12/03
Champions League
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H15/03
BBL
Bonn
#9
L
49-52
49
52
-3
H20/03
Champions League
Tubingen
#18
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A22/03
BBL
Ulm
#5
L
40-52
40
52
-12
H31/03
BBL
Murcia
#2
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A03/04
Champions League
85.5Avg total
41.0Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.242.184.3+0.147%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.939.283.1+4.662%-
Last 30 away (14)40.345.485.6-5.129%-
Last 10 (10)41.044.585.5-3.530%-
Last 5 (5)42.846.088.8-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)31.541.072.5-9.50%-
vs Similar (13)42.244.386.5-2.231%-
vs Weaker (15)43.740.384.0+3.367%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 81.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.820.9
55.3%
54.6%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.28.5
35.1%
35.4%25.5
🏀 Free throws18.814.3
76.1%
76.0%14.3
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ludwigsburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ludwigsburg: 81.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.318.1
48.5%
54.6%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.910.4
33.7%
35.4%31.2
🏀 Free throws17.714.1
79.7%
76.0%14.1
They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alba Berlin
LWLWLLWLWL
Ludwigsburg
LLWLWLLWWL
#2
League position
#9
-1.3
Net rating
-3.0
107.8
Offensive rating
107.2
109.1
Defensive rating
110.3
54.3%
Effective FG%
49.4%
53.7%
Opp. effective FG%
51.5%
20.9%
Turnover %
17.5%
31.2%
Off. rebound %
33.3%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.26
35.1%
3-point %
33.7%
61.2%
Assist %
54.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence107.8 · 107.2Defence109.1 · 110.3Shooting54.3% · 49.4%3-point %35.1% · 33.7%Ball care20.9% · 17.5%Off. rebounds31.2% · 33.3%Free throws0.30 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Alba Berlin   ■ Ludwigsburg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Alba Berlin wins
4
Ludwigsburg wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/04/24HPartizan83-94
31/03/24HHamburg85-65
29/03/24AFenerbahce68-103
24/03/24AChemnitz84-79
21/03/24AAnadolu Efes84-85
19/03/24HReal Madrid79-86
16/03/24HTubingen112-69
14/03/24HMonaco82-90
10/03/24ARostock76-75
08/03/24ABaskonia71-88
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/04/24AMurcia72-98
31/03/24HUlm60-94
22/03/24ATubingen98-79
20/03/24HBonn81-85
15/03/24HBasketball Braunschweig86-82
12/03/24AGalatasaray91-93
09/03/24HBamberg87-92
06/03/24HDijon71-59
02/03/24AVechta86-72
14/02/24HWurzburg91-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alba Berlin
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW78%
HomeWWWWW91%
AwayWLWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %78%91%67%
Points / game92.095.888.6
Allowed / game82.079.484.5
Point differential+10.0+16.5+4.1
Avg total174.1175.2173.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%82%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)-75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ludwigsburg
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL62%
HomeWLLWL57%
AwayLLWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261412
Win %62%57%67%
Points / game88.388.488.2
Allowed / game81.382.679.9
Point differential+7.0+5.9+8.3
Avg total169.7171.0168.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%36%58%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)33% (6)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern2521484%89.577.6+11.9
2 Chemnitz2722581%88.377.7+10.6
3 Alba Berlin2318578%92.082.0+10.0
4 Wurzburg2619773%86.678.8+7.8
5 Ulm2718967%91.686.5+5.1
6 Vechta27171063%89.382.4+6.8
7 Ludwigsburg26161062%88.381.3+7.0
8 Bonn27161159%89.385.5+3.8
9 Hamburg25131252%86.086.8-0.9
10 Oldenburg27131448%84.884.6+0.1
11 Basketball Braunschweig26111542%83.385.6-2.3
12 Bamberg27111641%88.191.0-2.9
13 Gottingen2681831%86.894.6-7.8
14 Syntainics MBC2781930%86.092.9-6.9
15 Rostock2671927%89.193.5-4.5
16 Heidelberg2662023%83.095.0-12.1
17 Tubingen2762122%84.496.4-12.0
18 Crailsheim Merlins2762122%80.492.5-12.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alba Berlin27282520100
Ludwigsburg2321242391
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