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Alba Berlin vs Tubingen Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 112-69
21-24 35-10 32-16 24-19
Position#2
Record15-5
FormLWLWL
Points / game91.8
Allowed / game83.7
vs
Position#18
Record6-17
FormLLLLW
Points / game85.8
Allowed / game95.8
GermanyBBLRound 24· Uber Arena
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Alba Berlin v Tubingen
16 Mar 2024
ABE112
TUB69
06 Oct 2017
ABE99
TUB63
08 Apr 2017
ABE89
TUB72
19 Dec 2015
ABE91
TUB73
17 Jan 2015
ABE84
TUB78
25 Jan 2014
ABE106
TUB87
06 Feb 2013
ABE71
TUB69
23 Oct 2011
ABE76
TUB56
23 Apr 2011
ABE88
TUB76
06 Feb 2010
ABE99
TUB83
22 Dec 2008
ABE84
TUB67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alba Berlin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tubingen winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alba BerlinGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Ulm
#5
W
98-88
98
88
+10
97avg 79
H04/02
BBL
Barcelona
#5
L
77-93
77
93
-16
63avg 79
A09/02
Euroleague
Vechta
#6
W
98-89
98
89
+9
92avg 79
A11/02
BBL
Gottingen
#14
W
108-85
108
85
+23
113avg 79
H13/02
BBL
Ulm
#3
L
79-87
79
87
-8
72avg 79
H17/02
German Cup
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
71-106
71
106
-35
59avg 79
H29/02
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#8
W
85-67
85
67
+18
87avg 79
H03/03
BBL
Baskonia
#9
L
71-88
71
88
-17
66avg 79
A08/03
Euroleague
Rostock
#15
W
76-75
76
75
+1
63avg 79
A10/03
BBL
Monaco
#3
L
82-90
82
90
-8
79avg 79
H14/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-28
35-18
24-23
25-19
26-31
13-20
12-29
26-13
25-21
18-20
23-24
32-24
29-21
26-23
18-23
35-18
18-19
22-23
21-17
18-28
15-27
23-30
18-30
15-19
28-21
17-15
20-12
20-19
10-23
24-19
13-21
24-25
27-19
15-17
10-25
24-14
27-13
12-32
23-24
20-21
171.3Avg total
84.5Scored
86.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)91.883.7175.5+8.175%
Season at home (9)95.282.1177.3+13.189%
Season away (11)89.085.0174.0+4.064%
Last 10 (10)84.586.8171.3-2.350%
Last 5 (5)77.085.2162.2-8.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)76.186.1162.2-9.918%
vs Similar (5)92.485.0177.4+7.480%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)86.981.6168.5+5.275%
This opponent (Tubingen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TubingenGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTubingen
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
94-104
94
104
-10
86avg 74
A30/12
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
L
101-107 OT
101
107
-6
no box
H08/01
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
L
78-114
78
114
-36
64avg 74
A14/01
BBL
Gottingen
#14
L
95-116
95
116
-21
93avg 74
H21/01
BBL
Ulm
#5
W
97-76
97
76
+21
99avg 74
A27/01
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
L
85-96
85
96
-11
81avg 74
H02/02
BBL
Gottingen
#14
L
70-101
70
101
-31
36avg 74
A11/02
BBL
Bonn
#7
L
82-92
82
92
-10
76avg 74
H14/02
BBL
Bamberg
#11
L
76-97
76
97
-21
67avg 74
A02/03
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
88-78
88
78
+10
89avg 74
H09/03
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-24
17-26
26-24
20-30
19-19
22-19
24-24
22-25
12-20
24-34
18-28
24-32
24-30
26-27
21-31
24-28
31-23
25-25
26-21
15-7
18-25
26-22
16-20
25-29
14-25
22-17
10-34
24-25
16-23
30-25
17-31
19-13
25-24
14-21
18-30
19-22
19-16
27-28
20-12
22-22
184.7Avg total
86.6Scored
98.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)85.895.8181.7-10.026%
Season at home (12)86.296.4182.6-10.225%
Season away (11)85.595.2180.6-9.727%
Last 10 (10)86.698.1184.7-11.520%
Last 5 (5)80.292.8173.0-12.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)86.096.3182.4-10.330%
vs Similar (5)79.485.6165.0-6.20%
vs Weaker (4)86.264.8151.0+21.5100%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -4.6-4.6Q3: -5.9-5.9Q4Q4: +3.9+3.9Q4: -1.9-1.9
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -4.6-4.6Q3: -5.9-5.9Q4Q4: +3.9+3.9Q4: -1.9-1.9
Alba BerlinTubingen
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ulm
#5
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H04/02
BBL
Barcelona
#5
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A09/02
Euroleague
Vechta
#6
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A11/02
BBL
Gottingen
#14
W
55-44
55
44
+11
H13/02
BBL
Ulm
#3
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H17/02
German Cup
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
38-57
38
57
-19
H29/02
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#8
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H03/03
BBL
Baskonia
#9
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A08/03
Euroleague
Rostock
#15
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A10/03
BBL
Monaco
#3
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H14/03
Euroleague
86.4Avg total
42.4Scored
44.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.642.584.1-0.950%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.143.185.2-1.050%-
Last 30 away (14)41.041.882.8-0.850%-
Last 10 (10)42.444.086.4-1.650%-
Last 5 (5)39.643.282.8-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)39.044.283.2-5.229%-
vs Similar (5)46.641.287.8+5.4100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)44.039.883.8+4.262%-
This opponent (Tubingen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TubingenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
48-50
48
50
-2
A30/12
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H08/01
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
L
36-54
36
54
-18
A14/01
BBL
Gottingen
#14
L
50-57
50
57
-7
H21/01
BBL
Ulm
#5
W
56-48
56
48
+8
A27/01
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H02/02
BBL
Gottingen
#14
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A11/02
BBL
Bonn
#7
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H14/02
BBL
Bamberg
#11
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A02/03
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H09/03
BBL
91.5Avg total
44.2Scored
47.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.243.386.5-0.143%-
Last 30 at home (17)44.944.389.2+0.647%-
Last 30 away (13)41.041.982.9-0.938%-
Last 10 (10)44.247.391.5-3.130%-
Last 5 (5)42.245.287.4-3.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)43.645.789.3-2.135%-
vs Similar (5)43.041.684.6+1.440%-
vs Weaker (4)44.034.578.5+9.5100%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 83.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.721.0
57.2%
54.6%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.68.4
32.8%
35.4%25.2
🏀 Free throws21.116.7
79.1%
76.0%16.7
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tubingentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tubingen: 82.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.418.4
53.5%
54.6%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.69.9
40.2%
35.4%29.7
🏀 Free throws21.216.3
76.9%
76.0%16.3
They take 59.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alba Berlin
LWLWLLWWLW
Tubingen
WLLLLWLLLL
#2
League position
#18
-2.2
Net rating
-16.4
109.1
Offensive rating
108.6
111.3
Defensive rating
125.0
53.9%
Effective FG%
56.4%
57.5%
Opp. effective FG%
60.0%
21.1%
Turnover %
20.1%
31.1%
Off. rebound %
24.8%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.36
32.8%
3-point %
40.2%
64.6%
Assist %
68.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence109.1 · 108.6Defence111.3 · 125.0Shooting53.9% · 56.4%3-point %32.8% · 40.2%Ball care21.1% · 20.1%Off. rebounds31.1% · 24.8%Free throws0.34 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Alba Berlin   ■ Tubingen
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Alba Berlin wins
0
Tubingen wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/24HMonaco82-90
10/03/24ARostock76-75
08/03/24ABaskonia71-88
03/03/24HOldenburg85-67
29/02/24HMaccabi Tel Aviv71-106
17/02/24HUlm79-87
13/02/24HGottingen108-85
11/02/24AVechta98-89
09/02/24ABarcelona77-93
04/02/24HUlm98-88
Tubingenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/24HSyntainics MBC88-78
02/03/24ABamberg76-97
14/02/24HBonn82-92
11/02/24AGottingen70-101
02/02/24HCrailsheim Merlins85-96
27/01/24AUlm97-76
21/01/24HGottingen95-116
14/01/24ASyntainics MBC78-114
08/01/24HWurzburg101-107 OT
30/12/23ALudwigsburg94-104

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alba Berlin
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW75%
HomeWWWWW89%
AwayLWLWW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20911
Win %75%89%64%
Points / game91.895.289.0
Allowed / game83.782.185.0
Point differential+8.1+13.1+4.0
Avg total175.5177.3174.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%78%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)-67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Tubingen
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW26%
HomeLLLLW25%
AwayLLWLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %26%25%27%
Points / game85.886.285.5
Allowed / game95.896.495.2
Point differential-10.0-10.2-9.7
Avg total181.7182.6180.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%8%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)-33% (3)
Overtime %13%8%18%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chemnitz2319483%87.376.9+10.4
2 Bayern2218482%90.077.6+12.4
3 Alba Berlin2015575%91.883.7+8.1
4 Wurzburg2317674%86.178.4+7.7
5 Vechta2315865%89.781.9+7.7
6 Ulm2315865%91.587.8+3.7
7 Ludwigsburg2415962%89.180.9+8.2
8 Bonn24141058%90.286.1+4.1
9 Hamburg2112957%86.787.3-0.6
10 Basketball Braunschweig24111346%83.985.8-1.9
11 Bamberg23101343%88.189.3-1.2
12 Oldenburg23101343%83.185.0-2.0
13 Syntainics MBC2371630%85.591.4-6.0
14 Gottingen2371630%88.496.9-8.5
15 Rostock2261627%90.194.2-4.0
16 Tubingen2361726%85.895.8-10.0
17 Heidelberg2341917%82.795.7-13.0
18 Crailsheim Merlins2341917%78.793.1-14.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alba Berlin21353224112
Tubingen2410161969
← all games of the day
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