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Rostock vs Alba Berlin Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 10 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 75-76
19-27 17-15 25-10 14-24
Position#15
Record6-15
FormLLLLL
Points / game90.9
Allowed / game95.0
vs
Position#2
Record14-5
FormWLLWL
Points / game92.6
Allowed / game84.2
GermanyBBLRound 23· Stadthalle Rostock
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Rostock v Alba Berlin
02 May 2027
ROS v ABE
upcoming
26 Dec 2025
ROS66
ABE80
12 Feb 2025
ROS71
ABE78
10 Mar 2024
ROS75
ABE76
30 Oct 2022
ROS70
ABE104
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rostock winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alba Berlin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RostockGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRostock
Date
Competition
Bonn
#7
W
98-92
98
92
+6
101avg 80
H26/12
BBL
Vechta
#6
L
81-85 OT
81
85
-4
no box
A30/12
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
85-91
85
91
-6
79avg 80
H07/01
BBL
Hamburg
#10
L
94-111
94
111
-17
94avg 80
H13/01
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
L
78-91
78
91
-13
68avg 80
H20/01
BBL
Gottingen
#14
L
90-104 OT
90
104
-14
no box
A27/01
BBL
Chemnitz
#3
L
90-94
90
94
-4
74avg 80
H03/02
BBL
Hamburg
#10
L
89-105
89
105
-16
75avg 80
A10/02
BBL
Vechta
#6
L
77-92
77
92
-15
66avg 80
H14/02
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
L
102-106
102
106
-4
94avg 80
A02/03
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-24
21-27
19-22
28-19
16-13
24-21
25-21
13-23
16-27
23-24
18-16
28-24
20-26
37-26
13-36
24-23
13-23
27-23
14-22
24-23
22-20
21-25
15-21
28-20
26-23
18-26
19-19
27-26
24-29
19-29
23-25
23-22
20-21
25-24
17-25
15-22
26-26
23-27
26-30
27-23
185.5Avg total
88.4Scored
97.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)90.995.0185.9-4.229%
Season at home (11)94.095.8189.8-1.845%
Season away (10)87.494.2181.6-6.810%
Last 10 (10)88.497.1185.5-8.710%
Last 5 (5)89.6100.2189.8-10.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)86.493.7180.1-7.315%
vs Similar (5)94.895.4190.2-0.640%
vs Weaker (11)91.783.6175.4+8.173%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#4
L
87-101
87
101
-14
81avg 79
A30/01
Euroleague
Valencia
#14
L
66-81
66
81
-15
58avg 79
H01/02
Euroleague
Ulm
#5
W
98-88
98
88
+10
97avg 79
H04/02
BBL
Barcelona
#5
L
77-93
77
93
-16
63avg 79
A09/02
Euroleague
Vechta
#6
W
98-89
98
89
+9
92avg 79
A11/02
BBL
Gottingen
#14
W
108-85
108
85
+23
113avg 79
H13/02
BBL
Ulm
#3
L
79-87
79
87
-8
72avg 79
H17/02
German Cup
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
71-106
71
106
-35
59avg 79
H29/02
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#8
W
85-67
85
67
+18
87avg 79
H03/03
BBL
Baskonia
#9
L
71-88
71
88
-17
66avg 79
A08/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-20
31-25
13-33
26-23
15-20
15-22
15-23
21-16
14-28
35-18
24-23
25-19
26-31
13-20
12-29
26-13
25-21
18-20
23-24
32-24
29-21
26-23
18-23
35-18
18-19
22-23
21-17
18-28
15-27
23-30
18-30
15-19
28-21
17-15
20-12
20-19
10-23
24-19
13-21
24-25
172.5Avg total
84.0Scored
88.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)92.684.2176.8+8.574%
Season at home (9)95.282.1177.3+13.189%
Season away (10)90.386.0176.3+4.360%
Last 10 (10)84.088.5172.5-4.540%
Last 5 (5)82.886.6169.4-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)75.485.4160.8-10.022%
vs Similar (5)92.485.0177.4+7.480%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)88.482.6171.0+5.971%
This opponent (Rostock) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: -3.4-3.4Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -4.8-4.8Q3: -5.8-5.8Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +3.8+3.8
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: -3.4-3.4Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -4.8-4.8Q3: -5.8-5.8Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +3.8+3.8
RostockAlba Berlin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RostockLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bonn
#7
D
51-51
51
51
+0
H26/12
BBL
Vechta
#6
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A30/12
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H07/01
BBL
Hamburg
#10
W
57-52
57
52
+5
H13/01
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H20/01
BBL
Gottingen
#14
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A27/01
BBL
Chemnitz
#3
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H03/02
BBL
Hamburg
#10
L
43-58
43
58
-15
A10/02
BBL
Vechta
#6
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H14/02
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
L
49-53
49
53
-4
A02/03
BBL
93.5Avg total
45.1Scored
48.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.144.788.7-0.637%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.044.390.3+1.747%-
Last 30 away (15)42.145.187.2-2.927%-
Last 10 (10)45.148.493.5-3.320%-
Last 5 (5)44.850.094.8-5.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)43.848.692.5-4.823%-
vs Similar (5)47.848.696.4-0.820%-
vs Weaker (11)43.138.581.5+4.664%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#4
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A30/01
Euroleague
Valencia
#14
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H01/02
Euroleague
Ulm
#5
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H04/02
BBL
Barcelona
#5
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A09/02
Euroleague
Vechta
#6
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A11/02
BBL
Gottingen
#14
W
55-44
55
44
+11
H13/02
BBL
Ulm
#3
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H17/02
German Cup
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
38-57
38
57
-19
H29/02
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#8
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H03/03
BBL
Baskonia
#9
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A08/03
Euroleague
86.7Avg total
42.1Scored
44.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.142.783.8-1.547%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.242.183.3-0.850%-
Last 30 away (14)41.043.484.4-2.443%-
Last 10 (10)42.144.686.7-2.550%-
Last 5 (5)42.444.286.6-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)38.444.082.4-5.628%-
vs Similar (5)46.641.287.8+5.4100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)44.340.384.6+4.057%-
This opponent (Rostock) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rostocktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rostock: 91.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.422.2
56.3%
54.6%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.810.7
41.5%
35.4%32.1
🏀 Free throws19.115.2
79.6%
76.0%15.2
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 83.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.020.5
55.4%
54.6%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.38.8
34.8%
35.4%26.4
🏀 Free throws18.915.8
83.6%
76.0%15.8
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rostock
LLLLLLLLLW
Alba Berlin
LWLLWWLWLL
#15
League position
#2
-2.6
Net rating
-5.9
120.8
Offensive rating
108.8
123.5
Defensive rating
114.7
58.7%
Effective FG%
54.1%
56.9%
Opp. effective FG%
59.9%
15.8%
Turnover %
20.9%
29.7%
Off. rebound %
29.7%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.30
41.5%
3-point %
34.8%
60.5%
Assist %
65.2%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence120.8 · 108.8Defence123.5 · 114.7Shooting58.7% · 54.1%3-point %41.5% · 34.8%Ball care15.8% · 20.9%Off. rebounds29.7% · 29.7%Free throws0.29 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)10% · 40%
■ Rostock   ■ Alba Berlin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Rostock wins
2
Alba Berlin wins
DateGameScore
23/04/23Alba Berlin v Rostock104-79
30/10/22Rostock v Alba Berlin70-104
Rostocklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/24ASyntainics MBC102-106
14/02/24HVechta77-92
10/02/24AHamburg89-105
03/02/24HChemnitz90-94
27/01/24AGottingen90-104 OT
20/01/24HWurzburg78-91
13/01/24HHamburg94-111
07/01/24HBayern85-91
30/12/23AVechta81-85 OT
26/12/23HBonn98-92
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/24ABaskonia71-88
03/03/24HOldenburg85-67
29/02/24HMaccabi Tel Aviv71-106
17/02/24HUlm79-87
13/02/24HGottingen108-85
11/02/24AVechta98-89
09/02/24ABarcelona77-93
04/02/24HUlm98-88
01/02/24HValencia66-81
30/01/24AOlympiacos87-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rostock
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL29%
HomeLLLLL45%
AwayWLLLL10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %29%45%10%
Points / game90.994.087.4
Allowed / game95.095.894.2
Point differential-4.2-1.8-6.8
Avg total185.9189.8181.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%9%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)67% (3)0% (4)
Overtime %19%18%20%
Alba Berlin
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW74%
HomeWWWWW89%
AwayWLWLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %74%89%60%
Points / game92.695.290.3
Allowed / game84.282.186.0
Point differential+8.5+13.1+4.3
Avg total176.8177.3176.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%78%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chemnitz2319483%87.376.9+10.4
2 Bayern2218482%90.077.6+12.4
3 Alba Berlin1914574%92.684.2+8.5
4 Wurzburg2216673%86.179.3+6.9
5 Vechta2315865%89.781.9+7.7
6 Ulm2315865%91.587.8+3.7
7 Ludwigsburg2314961%89.380.9+8.4
8 Bonn24141058%90.286.1+4.1
9 Hamburg2112957%86.787.3-0.6
10 Basketball Braunschweig23111248%84.085.7-1.8
11 Bamberg23101343%88.189.3-1.2
12 Oldenburg23101343%83.185.0-2.0
13 Gottingen2271532%89.797.5-7.7
14 Syntainics MBC2371630%85.591.4-6.0
15 Rostock2161529%90.995.0-4.2
16 Tubingen2361726%85.895.8-10.0
17 Heidelberg2341917%82.795.7-13.0
18 Crailsheim Merlins2341917%78.793.1-14.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rostock1917251475
Alba Berlin2715102476
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