PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Alba Berlin vs Ulm Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 79-87
18-19 22-23 21-17 18-28
Position#4
Record2-0
FormLWLWW
Points / game90.5
Allowed / game70.5
vs
Ulm 🏆
Germany
Position#3
Record2-0
FormLLWLW
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game75.0
GermanyGerman CupGerman Cup - Semi-finals· Uber Arena
Other2023-24Neutral venue
Meetings · Alba Berlin v Ulm
25 Oct 2026
ABE98
ULM82
20 Dec 2025
ABE66
ULM67
19 Oct 2025
ABE90
ULM68
21 May 2025
ABE62
ULM74
09 Nov 2024
ABE96
ULM88
17 Feb 2024
ABE79
ULM87
04 Feb 2024
ABE98
ULM88
19 May 2023
ABE81
ULM93
14 May 2023
ABE64
ULM88
30 Apr 2023
ABE91
ULM79
15 Apr 2022
ABE78
ULM73
01 Jun 2021
ABE92
ULM78
30 May 2021
ABE71
ULM73
19 Dec 2020
ABE93
ULM83
03 Nov 2019
ABE109
ULM89
26 May 2019
ABE v ULM
upcoming
18 May 2019
ABE107
ULM78
02 Apr 2019
ABE92
ULM81
01 May 2018
ABE102
ULM73
03 Oct 2016
ABE94
ULM98
01 Oct 2015
ABE74
ULM54
12 Oct 2014
ABE88
ULM68
15 May 2014
ABE64
ULM71
10 May 2014
ABE86
ULM66
30 Mar 2014
ABE86
ULM80
16 Nov 2013
ABE102
ULM74
20 Oct 2012
ABE80
ULM88
23 Dec 2011
ABE89
ULM58
09 Mar 2011
ABE100
ULM90
25 Oct 2009
ABE78
ULM56
25 Mar 2009
ABE84
ULM69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alba Berlin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ulm winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alba BerlinGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#15
L
65-82
65
82
-17
57avg 79
H18/01
Euroleague
Bonn
#7
W
95-87
95
87
+8
95avg 79
A21/01
BBL
Crvena zvezda
#16
W
89-80
89
80
+9
88avg 79
H25/01
Euroleague
Wurzburg
#4
L
75-76
75
76
-1
72avg 79
A28/01
BBL
Olympiacos
#4
L
87-101
87
101
-14
81avg 79
A30/01
Euroleague
Valencia
#14
L
66-81
66
81
-15
58avg 79
H01/02
Euroleague
Ulm
#5
W
98-88
98
88
+10
97avg 79
H04/02
BBL
Barcelona
#5
L
77-93
77
93
-16
63avg 79
A09/02
Euroleague
Vechta
#6
W
98-89
98
89
+9
92avg 79
A11/02
BBL
Gottingen
#14
W
108-85
108
85
+23
113avg 79
H13/02
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
11-24
21-23
14-16
25-30
19-14
27-23
24-20
18-16
33-20
21-18
17-26
19-14
20-23
15-22
21-17
17-20
31-25
13-33
26-23
15-20
15-22
15-23
21-16
14-28
35-18
24-23
25-19
26-31
13-20
12-29
26-13
25-21
18-20
23-24
32-24
29-21
26-23
18-23
35-18
172.0Avg total
85.8Scored
86.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)90.570.5161.0+20.0100%
Season at home (1)96.071.0167.0+25.0100%
Season away (1)85.070.0155.0+15.0100%
Last 10 (10)85.886.2172.0-0.450%
Last 5 (5)89.487.2176.6+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)75.885.1160.8-9.322%
vs Similar (5)92.485.0177.4+7.480%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)87.088.4175.4-1.457%
This opponent (Ulm) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UlmGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
Vechta
#6
L
102-106 OT
102
106
-4
no box
H13/01
BBL
Cluj-Napoca
#4
L
81-85
81
85
-4
77avg 82
H17/01
Eurocup
Bamberg
#11
W
84-76
84
76
+8
76avg 82
A19/01
BBL
Buducnost
#13
W
84-80 OT
84
80
+4
75avg 82
A23/01
Eurocup
Tubingen
#18
L
76-97
76
97
-21
62avg 82
H27/01
BBL
Aris
#11
L
66-86
66
86
-20
59avg 82
H31/01
Eurocup
Alba Berlin
#2
L
88-98
88
98
-10
81avg 82
A04/02
BBL
JL Bourg
#2
W
85-81
85
81
+4
83avg 82
A06/02
Eurocup
Bonn
#7
L
97-98 OT
97
98
-1
no box
A10/02
BBL
Hamburg
#10
W
83-70
83
70
+13
74avg 82
H13/02
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-22
19-24
23-27
27-19
24-17
27-19
15-19
15-30
21-18
22-18
19-27
22-13
17-16
21-14
21-18
13-24
23-31
25-25
21-26
7-15
26-23
14-26
8-22
18-15
28-14
18-35
23-24
19-25
27-17
25-25
18-18
15-21
27-11
27-26
21-24
16-30
22-21
23-15
20-12
18-22
172.3Avg total
84.6Scored
87.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)81.575.0156.5+6.5100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (2)81.575.0156.5+6.5100%
Last 10 (10)84.687.7172.3-3.140%
Last 5 (5)83.886.6170.4-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)87.888.4176.2-0.660%
vs Similar (13)87.287.1174.2+0.146%
vs Weaker (12)91.487.7179.1+3.867%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +4.8+4.8Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -5.2-5.2Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: +4.9+4.9Q4: -4.4-4.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +4.8+4.8Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -5.2-5.2Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: +4.9+4.9Q4: -4.4-4.4
Alba BerlinUlm
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#15
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H18/01
Euroleague
Bonn
#7
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A21/01
BBL
Crvena zvezda
#16
W
51-36
51
36
+15
H25/01
Euroleague
Wurzburg
#4
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A28/01
BBL
Olympiacos
#4
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A30/01
Euroleague
Valencia
#14
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H01/02
Euroleague
Ulm
#5
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H04/02
BBL
Barcelona
#5
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A09/02
Euroleague
Vechta
#6
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A11/02
BBL
Gottingen
#14
W
55-44
55
44
+11
H13/02
BBL
85.7Avg total
42.8Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.743.183.8-2.443%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.042.583.5-1.550%-
Last 30 away (16)40.443.784.1-3.238%-
Last 10 (10)42.842.985.7-0.160%-
Last 5 (5)43.244.888.0-1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)38.443.381.8-4.928%-
vs Similar (5)46.641.287.8+5.4100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)42.344.086.3-1.743%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vechta
#6
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H13/01
BBL
Cluj-Napoca
#4
W
51-36
51
36
+15
H17/01
Eurocup
Bamberg
#11
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A19/01
BBL
Buducnost
#13
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A23/01
Eurocup
Tubingen
#18
L
48-56
48
56
-8
H27/01
BBL
Aris
#11
L
40-49
40
49
-9
H31/01
Eurocup
Alba Berlin
#2
L
46-49
46
49
-3
A04/02
BBL
JL Bourg
#2
W
52-42
52
42
+10
A06/02
Eurocup
Bonn
#7
W
54-37
54
37
+17
A10/02
BBL
Hamburg
#10
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H13/02
BBL
87.6Avg total
45.9Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.743.388.0+1.460%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.144.689.7+0.450%-
Last 30 away (16)44.442.186.6+2.369%-
Last 10 (10)45.941.787.6+4.260%-
Last 5 (5)47.442.690.0+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)42.645.287.8-2.640%-
vs Similar (13)43.141.584.6+1.554%-
vs Weaker (12)47.444.491.8+3.075%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 84.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.321.2
55.4%
53.5%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.78.4
35.4%
32.3%25.2
🏀 Free throws20.017.2
86.0%
74.1%17.2
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 81.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.820.8
55.0%
53.5%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.98.0
30.9%
32.3%24.0
🏀 Free throws22.016.3
74.1%
74.1%16.3
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alba Berlin
WWLWLLLWWL
Ulm
WLWLLLWWLL
#4
League position
#3
-1.1
Net rating
-4.9
114.1
Offensive rating
106.2
115.2
Defensive rating
111.2
54.5%
Effective FG%
51.5%
56.4%
Opp. effective FG%
57.5%
19.1%
Turnover %
19.2%
32.3%
Off. rebound %
33.1%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.35
35.4%
3-point %
30.9%
60.8%
Assist %
71.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence114.1 · 106.2Defence115.2 · 111.2Shooting54.5% · 51.5%3-point %35.4% · 30.9%Ball care19.1% · 19.2%Off. rebounds32.3% · 33.1%Free throws0.32 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Alba Berlin   ■ Ulm
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Alba Berlin wins
4
Ulm wins
DateGameScore
04/02/24Alba Berlin v Ulm98-88
07/10/23Ulm v Alba Berlin100-88
24/05/23Ulm v Alba Berlin83-81
19/05/23Alba Berlin v Ulm81-93
17/05/23Ulm v Alba Berlin77-91
14/05/23Alba Berlin v Ulm64-88
30/04/23Alba Berlin v Ulm91-79
18/12/22Ulm v Alba Berlin83-110
15/04/22Alba Berlin v Ulm78-73
21/11/21Ulm v Alba Berlin66-71 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/02/24HGottingen108-85
11/02/24AVechta98-89
09/02/24ABarcelona77-93
04/02/24HUlm98-88
01/02/24HValencia66-81
30/01/24AOlympiacos87-101
28/01/24AWurzburg75-76
25/01/24HCrvena zvezda89-80
21/01/24ABonn95-87
18/01/24HBayern65-82
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/02/24HHamburg83-70
10/02/24ABonn97-98 OT
06/02/24AJL Bourg85-81
04/02/24AAlba Berlin88-98
31/01/24HAris66-86
27/01/24HTubingen76-97
23/01/24ABuducnost84-80 OT
19/01/24ABamberg84-76
17/01/24HCluj-Napoca81-85
13/01/24HVechta102-106 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alba Berlin
German Cup 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game90.596.085.0
Allowed / game70.571.070.0
Point differential+20.0+25.0+15.0
Avg total161.0167.0155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ulm
German Cup 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
Home--
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games2-2
Win %100%-100%
Points / game81.5-81.5
Allowed / game75.0-75.0
Point differential+6.5-+6.5
Avg total156.5-156.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alba Berlin220100%90.570.5+20.0
2 Bayern330100%89.371.0+18.3
3 Ulm220100%81.575.0+6.5
4 Bamberg43175%77.074.8+2.2
5 Vechta32167%90.787.7+3.0
6 Syntainics MBC32167%83.084.0-1.0
7 Chemnitz21150%83.575.5+8.0
8 Wurzburg21150%82.578.5+4.0
9 Heidelberg21150%91.590.0+1.5
10 Bonn21150%79.082.5-3.5
11 Basketball Braunschweig21150%74.580.0-5.5
12 Hamburg21150%76.082.5-6.5
13 Giessen21150%71.581.0-9.5
14 Ludwigsburg1010%79.080.0-1.0
15 Gottingen1010%99.0101.0-2.0
16 Dresden1010%85.088.0-3.0
17 Crailsheim Merlins1010%73.079.0-6.0
18 Bayreuth1010%82.089.0-7.0
19 Frankfurt1010%73.081.0-8.0
20 Rostock1010%76.084.0-8.0
21 Artland1010%67.078.0-11.0
22 PS Karlsruhe1010%81.093.0-12.0
23 Tubingen1010%64.078.0-14.0
24 Oldenburg1010%73.0101.0-28.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alba Berlin1822211879
Ulm1923172887
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.