PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Alba Berlin vs Ulm Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 98-88
14-28 35-18 24-23 25-19
Position#2
Record10-5
FormWWLLL
Points / game91.4
Allowed / game84.7
vs
Position#5
Record13-5
FormLWWLL
Points / game92.4
Allowed / game88.5
GermanyBBLRound 19· Uber Arena
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Alba Berlin v Ulm
25 Oct 2026
ABE98
ULM82
20 Dec 2025
ABE66
ULM67
19 Oct 2025
ABE90
ULM68
21 May 2025
ABE62
ULM74
09 Nov 2024
ABE96
ULM88
17 Feb 2024
ABE79
ULM87
04 Feb 2024
ABE98
ULM88
19 May 2023
ABE81
ULM93
14 May 2023
ABE64
ULM88
30 Apr 2023
ABE91
ULM79
15 Apr 2022
ABE78
ULM73
01 Jun 2021
ABE92
ULM78
30 May 2021
ABE71
ULM73
19 Dec 2020
ABE93
ULM83
03 Nov 2019
ABE109
ULM89
26 May 2019
ABE v ULM
upcoming
18 May 2019
ABE107
ULM78
02 Apr 2019
ABE92
ULM81
01 May 2018
ABE102
ULM73
03 Oct 2016
ABE94
ULM98
01 Oct 2015
ABE74
ULM54
12 Oct 2014
ABE88
ULM68
15 May 2014
ABE64
ULM71
10 May 2014
ABE86
ULM66
30 Mar 2014
ABE86
ULM80
16 Nov 2013
ABE102
ULM74
20 Oct 2012
ABE80
ULM88
23 Dec 2011
ABE89
ULM58
09 Mar 2011
ABE100
ULM90
25 Oct 2009
ABE78
ULM56
25 Mar 2009
ABE84
ULM69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alba Berlin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ulm winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alba BerlinGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#11
L
77-97
77
97
-20
70avg 78
A07/01
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
76-82
76
82
-6
70avg 78
A09/01
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
88-63
88
63
+25
90avg 78
A12/01
Euroleague
Wurzburg
#4
W
90-82
90
82
+8
95avg 78
H14/01
BBL
Bayern
#15
L
65-82
65
82
-17
57avg 78
H18/01
Euroleague
Bonn
#7
W
95-87
95
87
+8
95avg 78
A21/01
BBL
Crvena zvezda
#16
W
89-80
89
80
+9
88avg 78
H25/01
Euroleague
Wurzburg
#4
L
75-76
75
76
-1
72avg 78
A28/01
BBL
Olympiacos
#4
L
87-101
87
101
-14
81avg 78
A30/01
Euroleague
Valencia
#14
L
66-81
66
81
-15
58avg 78
H01/02
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-15
18-18
19-28
17-36
17-16
18-21
23-23
18-22
19-20
22-17
21-13
26-13
17-17
25-20
22-14
26-31
19-19
11-24
21-23
14-16
25-30
19-14
27-23
24-20
18-16
33-20
21-18
17-26
19-14
20-23
15-22
21-17
17-20
31-25
13-33
26-23
15-20
15-22
15-23
21-16
163.9Avg total
80.8Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)91.484.7176.1+6.767%
Season at home (6)94.383.2177.5+11.283%
Season away (9)89.485.7175.1+3.856%
Last 10 (10)80.883.1163.9-2.340%
Last 5 (5)82.485.0167.4-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)75.884.7160.5-8.921%
vs Similar ◀ (3)88.782.7171.3+6.067%
vs Weaker (8)86.284.9171.1+1.462%
This opponent (Ulm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UlmGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
107-75
107
75
+32
107avg 81
A29/12
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
90-73
90
73
+17
89avg 81
H02/01
BBL
Gottingen
#14
W
100-90
100
90
+10
98avg 81
A06/01
BBL
Slask Wroclaw
#18
L
88-100
88
100
-12
90avg 81
A10/01
Eurocup
Vechta
#6
L
102-106 OT
102
106
-4
no box
H13/01
BBL
Cluj-Napoca
#4
L
81-85
81
85
-4
77avg 81
H17/01
Eurocup
Bamberg
#11
W
84-76
84
76
+8
76avg 81
A19/01
BBL
Buducnost
#13
W
84-80 OT
84
80
+4
75avg 81
A23/01
Eurocup
Tubingen
#18
L
76-97
76
97
-21
62avg 81
H27/01
BBL
Aris
#11
L
66-86
66
86
-20
59avg 81
H31/01
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-19
27-20
13-21
34-15
15-11
23-21
28-21
24-20
26-23
24-24
16-24
34-19
19-21
18-31
25-18
26-30
23-22
19-24
23-27
27-19
24-17
27-19
15-19
15-30
21-18
22-18
19-27
22-13
17-16
21-14
21-18
13-24
23-31
25-25
21-26
7-15
26-23
14-26
8-22
18-15
174.6Avg total
87.8Scored
86.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)92.488.5180.9+3.972%
Season at home (10)91.491.8183.2-0.460%
Season away (8)93.884.4178.1+9.488%
Last 10 (10)87.886.8174.6+1.050%
Last 5 (5)78.284.8163.0-6.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)88.590.2178.8-1.850%
vs Similar ◀ (13)85.385.6170.9-0.354%
vs Weaker (13)93.589.5183.0+4.169%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +2.0+2.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +2.0+2.0
Alba BerlinUlm
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#11
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A07/01
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A09/01
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A12/01
Euroleague
Wurzburg
#4
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H14/01
BBL
Bayern
#15
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H18/01
Euroleague
Bonn
#7
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A21/01
BBL
Crvena zvezda
#16
W
51-36
51
36
+15
H25/01
Euroleague
Wurzburg
#4
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A28/01
BBL
Olympiacos
#4
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A30/01
Euroleague
Valencia
#14
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H01/02
Euroleague
79.2Avg total
40.1Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.343.283.4-2.937%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.642.682.2-3.040%-
Last 30 away (15)40.943.784.7-2.833%-
Last 10 (10)40.139.179.2+1.060%-
Last 5 (5)42.440.883.2+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)38.743.882.5-5.126%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)47.039.786.7+7.3100%-
vs Weaker (8)41.543.084.5-1.538%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
60-39
60
39
+21
A29/12
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H02/01
BBL
Gottingen
#14
W
50-47
50
47
+3
A06/01
BBL
Slask Wroclaw
#18
L
37-52
37
52
-15
A10/01
Eurocup
Vechta
#6
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H13/01
BBL
Cluj-Napoca
#4
W
51-36
51
36
+15
H17/01
Eurocup
Bamberg
#11
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A19/01
BBL
Buducnost
#13
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A23/01
Eurocup
Tubingen
#18
L
48-56
48
56
-8
H27/01
BBL
Aris
#11
L
40-49
40
49
-9
H31/01
Eurocup
87.0Avg total
44.7Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.343.087.3+1.360%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.744.989.6-0.347%-
Last 30 away (15)43.941.184.9+2.873%-
Last 10 (10)44.742.387.0+2.460%-
Last 5 (5)44.041.485.4+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)40.246.086.2-5.825%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)41.540.582.0+1.154%-
vs Weaker (13)48.244.692.8+3.677%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 80.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.118.5
51.2%
54.6%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.29.2
38.0%
35.4%27.6
🏀 Free throws18.915.6
82.5%
76.0%15.6
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 84.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.322.6
59.0%
54.6%45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.58.1
31.8%
35.4%24.3
🏀 Free throws20.715.0
72.5%
76.0%15.0
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alba Berlin
LLLWWLWWLL
Ulm
LLWWLLLWWW
#2
League position
#5
-5.1
Net rating
+0.8
110.4
Offensive rating
110.7
115.5
Defensive rating
110.0
53.6%
Effective FG%
54.5%
52.9%
Opp. effective FG%
56.9%
19.4%
Turnover %
19.6%
31.9%
Off. rebound %
33.4%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.32
38.0%
3-point %
31.8%
65.0%
Assist %
68.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence110.4 · 110.7Defence115.5 · 110.0Shooting53.6% · 54.5%3-point %38.0% · 31.8%Ball care19.4% · 19.6%Off. rebounds31.9% · 33.4%Free throws0.31 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Alba Berlin   ■ Ulm
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Alba Berlin wins
4
Ulm wins
DateGameScore
07/10/23Ulm v Alba Berlin100-88
24/05/23Ulm v Alba Berlin83-81
19/05/23Alba Berlin v Ulm81-93
17/05/23Ulm v Alba Berlin77-91
14/05/23Alba Berlin v Ulm64-88
30/04/23Alba Berlin v Ulm91-79
18/12/22Ulm v Alba Berlin83-110
15/04/22Alba Berlin v Ulm78-73
21/11/21Ulm v Alba Berlin66-71 OT
05/06/21Ulm v Alba Berlin75-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/24HValencia66-81
30/01/24AOlympiacos87-101
28/01/24AWurzburg75-76
25/01/24HCrvena zvezda89-80
21/01/24ABonn95-87
18/01/24HBayern65-82
14/01/24HWurzburg90-82
12/01/24ALyon-Villeurbanne88-63
09/01/24AOlimpia Milano76-82
07/01/24ABamberg77-97
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/24HAris66-86
27/01/24HTubingen76-97
23/01/24ABuducnost84-80 OT
19/01/24ABamberg84-76
17/01/24HCluj-Napoca81-85
13/01/24HVechta102-106 OT
10/01/24ASlask Wroclaw88-100
06/01/24AGottingen100-90
02/01/24HBasketball Braunschweig90-73
29/12/23ASyntainics MBC107-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alba Berlin
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL67%
HomeWWLWW83%
AwayLWLWL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1569
Win %67%83%56%
Points / game91.494.389.4
Allowed / game84.783.285.7
Point differential+6.7+11.2+3.8
Avg total176.1177.5175.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%67%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ulm
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL72%
HomeLWWLL60%
AwayWLWWW88%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %72%60%88%
Points / game92.491.493.8
Allowed / game88.591.884.4
Point differential+3.9-0.4+9.4
Avg total180.9183.2178.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%30%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %11%10%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chemnitz1916384%87.576.2+11.3
2 Bayern1613381%88.676.5+12.1
3 Ulm1813572%92.488.5+3.9
4 Vechta1913668%90.580.8+9.7
5 Alba Berlin1510567%91.484.7+6.7
6 Wurzburg1812667%84.279.6+4.6
7 Ludwigsburg1912763%88.979.6+9.3
8 Bonn2012860%90.385.2+5.1
9 Hamburg1810856%86.988.4-1.4
10 Oldenburg189950%85.985.4+0.5
11 Basketball Braunschweig2091145%84.086.7-2.8
12 Bamberg1971237%88.289.7-1.6
13 Rostock1861233%91.194.1-2.9
14 Syntainics MBC1961332%85.089.9-4.9
15 Gottingen1751229%90.799.9-9.2
16 Tubingen1951426%87.396.6-9.4
17 Crailsheim Merlins1941521%79.193.6-14.5
18 Heidelberg1931616%82.196.2-14.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alba Berlin1435242598
Ulm2818231988
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.