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Alba Berlin vs Monaco Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 14 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 82-90
27-13 12-32 23-24 20-21
Position#18
Record5-23
FormLLWLW
Points / game75.7
Allowed / game85.8
vs
Monaco 🏆
Position#3
Record18-10
FormLWWWW
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game78.6
EuropeEuroleagueRound 29· Uber Arena
European cup2023
Meetings · Alba Berlin v Monaco
02 Jan 2025
ABE90
MCO105
14 Mar 2024
ABE82
MCO90
01 Feb 2023
ABE84
MCO102
22 Dec 2021
ABE92
MCO84
03 Jan 2019
ABE83
MCO74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alba Berlin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Monaco winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alba BerlinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Valencia
#14
L
66-81
66
81
-15
58avg 79
H01/02
Euroleague
Ulm
#5
W
98-88
98
88
+10
97avg 79
H04/02
BBL
Barcelona
#5
L
77-93
77
93
-16
63avg 79
A09/02
Euroleague
Vechta
#6
W
98-89
98
89
+9
92avg 79
A11/02
BBL
Gottingen
#14
W
108-85
108
85
+23
113avg 79
H13/02
BBL
Ulm
#3
L
79-87
79
87
-8
72avg 79
H17/02
German Cup
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
71-106
71
106
-35
59avg 79
H29/02
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#8
W
85-67
85
67
+18
87avg 79
H03/03
BBL
Baskonia
#9
L
71-88
71
88
-17
66avg 79
A08/03
Euroleague
Rostock
#15
W
76-75
76
75
+1
63avg 79
A10/03
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-20
15-22
15-23
21-16
14-28
35-18
24-23
25-19
26-31
13-20
12-29
26-13
25-21
18-20
23-24
32-24
29-21
26-23
18-23
35-18
18-19
22-23
21-17
18-28
15-27
23-30
18-30
15-19
28-21
17-15
20-12
20-19
10-23
24-19
13-21
24-25
27-19
15-17
10-25
24-14
168.8Avg total
82.9Scored
85.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)75.785.8161.5-10.118%
Season at home (14)75.685.1160.7-9.429%
Season away (14)75.886.5162.3-10.77%
Last 10 (10)82.985.9168.8-3.050%
Last 5 (5)76.484.6161.0-8.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)75.184.4159.5-9.424%
vs Similar (5)92.485.0177.4+7.480%
vs Weaker (8)86.981.6168.5+5.275%
This opponent (Monaco) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MonacoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMonaco
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#3
W
89-71
89
71
+18
104avg 83
H06/02
LNB
Virtus Bologna
#8
W
81-78
81
78
+3
70avg 83
A09/02
Euroleague
Boulogne-Levallois
#18
W
84-72
84
72
+12
97avg 83
H11/02
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#46
W
92-82
92
82
+10
82avg 83
H13/02
French Cup
Le Mans
#7
W
94-81
94
81
+13
112avg 83
H16/02
Leaders Cup
Paris
#1
L
93-98
93
98
-5
99avg 83
H17/02
Leaders Cup
Nanterre
#5
W
86-80
86
80
+6
96avg 83
A28/02
LNB
Barcelona
#5
W
77-67
77
67
+10
73avg 83
A01/03
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#16
W
98-80
98
80
+18
92avg 83
H07/03
Euroleague
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#15
W
72-68
72
68
+4
88avg 83
A10/03
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-21
11-13
29-12
28-25
21-16
24-19
15-19
21-24
21-19
20-17
32-27
11-9
24-22
21-21
22-16
25-23
28-19
35-25
21-19
10-18
24-21
30-32
27-22
12-23
27-22
27-14
18-20
14-24
12-21
21-14
27-16
17-16
25-17
21-21
23-22
29-20
23-17
8-22
24-10
17-19
164.3Avg total
86.6Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)81.878.6160.4+3.164%
Season at home (13)86.977.8164.7+9.277%
Season away (15)77.379.4156.7-2.153%
Last 10 (10)86.677.7164.3+8.990%
Last 5 (5)85.278.6163.8+6.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)98.074.0172.0+24.0100%
vs Similar (16)82.680.4163.0+2.156%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)85.373.5158.8+11.7100%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: -5.3-5.3Q3: +5.5+5.5Q4Q4: +4.5+4.5Q4: -1.7-1.7
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: -5.3-5.3Q3: +5.5+5.5Q4Q4: +4.5+4.5Q4: -1.7-1.7
Alba BerlinMonaco
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valencia
#14
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H01/02
Euroleague
Ulm
#5
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H04/02
BBL
Barcelona
#5
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A09/02
Euroleague
Vechta
#6
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A11/02
BBL
Gottingen
#14
W
55-44
55
44
+11
H13/02
BBL
Ulm
#3
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H17/02
German Cup
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
38-57
38
57
-19
H29/02
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#8
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H03/03
BBL
Baskonia
#9
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A08/03
Euroleague
Rostock
#15
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A10/03
BBL
85.2Avg total
41.5Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.141.983.1-0.850%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.242.183.3-0.850%-
Last 30 away (14)41.041.882.8-0.850%-
Last 10 (10)41.543.785.2-2.250%-
Last 5 (5)39.842.682.4-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)38.243.281.4-5.029%-
vs Similar (5)46.641.287.8+5.4100%-
vs Weaker (8)44.039.883.8+4.262%-
This opponent (Monaco) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MonacoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#3
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H06/02
LNB
Virtus Bologna
#8
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A09/02
Euroleague
Boulogne-Levallois
#18
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H11/02
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#46
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H13/02
French Cup
Le Mans
#7
W
63-44
63
44
+19
H16/02
Leaders Cup
Paris
#1
W
54-53
54
53
+1
H17/02
Leaders Cup
Nanterre
#5
W
54-36
54
36
+18
A28/02
LNB
Barcelona
#5
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A01/03
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#16
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H07/03
Euroleague
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#15
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A10/03
LNB
83.7Avg total
44.4Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.339.382.5+4.067%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.639.686.2+7.087%-
Last 30 away (15)39.938.978.9+1.047%-
Last 10 (10)44.439.383.7+5.170%-
Last 5 (5)43.640.283.8+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)56.040.096.0+16.0100%-
vs Similar (16)41.840.782.5+1.156%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)42.336.478.6+5.973%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 82.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.120.8
56.1%
53.4%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.88.3
32.2%
36.6%24.9
🏀 Free throws19.515.8
81.0%
77.4%15.8
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Monacotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Monaco: 85.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.921.7
53.1%
53.4%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.08.5
35.4%
36.6%25.5
🏀 Free throws23.916.9
70.7%
77.4%16.9
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alba Berlin
WLWLLWWLWL
Monaco
WWWWLWWWWW
#18
League position
#3
-3.7
Net rating
+12.4
107.9
Offensive rating
118.1
111.6
Defensive rating
105.7
52.9%
Effective FG%
53.1%
58.6%
Opp. effective FG%
50.6%
20.7%
Turnover %
13.0%
30.7%
Off. rebound %
32.4%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.37
32.2%
3-point %
35.4%
64.6%
Assist %
63.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence107.9 · 118.1Defence111.6 · 105.7Shooting52.9% · 53.1%3-point %32.2% · 35.4%Ball care20.7% · 13.0%Off. rebounds30.7% · 32.4%Free throws0.31 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)50% · 90%
■ Alba Berlin   ■ Monaco
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Alba Berlin wins
4
Monaco wins
DateGameScore
20/10/23Monaco v Alba Berlin86-75
01/02/23Alba Berlin v Monaco84-102
16/12/22Monaco v Alba Berlin92-89
08/04/22Monaco v Alba Berlin91-74
22/12/21Alba Berlin v Monaco92-84
29/01/19Monaco v Alba Berlin61-75
03/01/19Alba Berlin v Monaco83-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/24ARostock76-75
08/03/24ABaskonia71-88
03/03/24HOldenburg85-67
29/02/24HMaccabi Tel Aviv71-106
17/02/24HUlm79-87
13/02/24HGottingen108-85
11/02/24AVechta98-89
09/02/24ABarcelona77-93
04/02/24HUlm98-88
01/02/24HValencia66-81
Monacolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/24AGravelines-Dunkerque72-68
07/03/24HCrvena zvezda98-80
01/03/24ABarcelona77-67
28/02/24ANanterre86-80
17/02/24HParis93-98
16/02/24HLe Mans94-81
13/02/24HLyon-Villeurbanne92-82
11/02/24HBoulogne-Levallois84-72
09/02/24AVirtus Bologna81-78
06/02/24HLyon-Villeurbanne89-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alba Berlin
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL18%
HomeLLWLL29%
AwayLWLLL7%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %18%29%7%
Points / game75.775.675.8
Allowed / game85.885.186.5
Point differential-10.1-9.4-10.7
Avg total161.5160.7162.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%0%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)60% (5)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Monaco
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW64%
HomeWWWWW77%
AwayLLWWW53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281315
Win %64%77%53%
Points / game81.886.977.3
Allowed / game78.677.879.4
Point differential+3.1+9.2-2.1
Avg total160.4164.7156.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%62%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)0% (1)57% (7)
Overtime %4%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid2822679%88.680.8+7.8
2 Barcelona2819968%82.678.4+4.2
3 Monaco28181064%81.878.6+3.1
4 Olympiacos29181162%78.874.7+4.1
5 Panathinaikos29181162%81.077.1+3.9
6 Fenerbahce29181162%85.081.6+3.4
7 Virtus Bologna28171161%80.380.7-0.4
8 Maccabi Tel Aviv29161355%86.987.1-0.2
9 Baskonia28151354%84.084.0-0.0
10 Partizan28131546%83.683.9-0.3
11 Valencia29131645%76.578.2-1.7
12 Olimpia Milano28121643%77.277.0+0.2
13 Anadolu Efes28121643%85.787.9-2.2
14 Bayern28121643%79.682.7-3.1
15 Zalgiris Kaunas28111739%80.081.3-1.4
16 Crvena zvezda29101934%81.381.3+0.0
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne2862221%78.085.8-7.8
18 Alba Berlin2852318%75.785.8-10.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alba Berlin2712232082
Monaco1332242190
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