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Baskonia vs Alba Berlin Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 08 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 88-71
23-10 19-24 21-13 25-24
Position#9
Record14-13
FormLWLLL
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game84.5
vs
Position#18
Record5-22
FormWWLLW
Points / game75.9
Allowed / game85.7
EuropeEuroleagueRound 28· Fernando Buesa Arena
European cup2023
Meetings · Baskonia v Alba Berlin
24 Oct 2024
BAS80
ABE57
08 Mar 2024
BAS88
ABE71
28 Mar 2023
BAS93
ABE87
18 Mar 2022
BAS85
ABE68
22 Jan 2021
BAS77
ABE84
05 Nov 2008
BAS106
ABE65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Baskonia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alba Berlin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BaskoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBaskonia
Date
Competition
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
108-95
108
95
+13
102avg 67
H21/01
ACB
Valencia
#14
L
62-77
62
77
-15
51avg 67
H26/01
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
89-79
89
79
+10
80avg 67
H28/01
ACB
Bayern
#15
L
109-112 OT
109
112
-3
98avg 67
A30/01
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
W
92-82
92
82
+10
91avg 67
H01/02
Euroleague
Tenerife
#5
L
78-95
78
95
-17
71avg 67
A04/02
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
94-80
94
80
+14
97avg 67
H08/02
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#10
L
78-81
78
81
-3
67avg 67
H11/02
ACB
Fenerbahce
#7
L
96-111
96
111
-15
96avg 67
A01/03
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#7
L
80-98
80
98
-18
74avg 67
A03/03
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-26
29-21
27-21
32-27
13-16
16-29
19-13
14-19
24-14
20-24
22-19
23-22
19-25
33-31
24-26
18-12
20-26
34-21
19-16
19-19
17-26
24-20
19-27
18-22
23-20
29-19
19-22
23-19
18-22
18-21
19-21
23-17
34-32
20-23
24-23
18-33
22-26
17-22
18-20
23-30
179.6Avg total
88.6Scored
91.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)83.884.5168.3-0.752%
Season at home (14)80.880.1160.9+0.757%
Season away (13)87.189.2176.3-2.246%
Last 10 (10)88.691.0179.6-2.440%
Last 5 (5)85.293.0178.2-7.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)80.486.0166.4-5.643%
vs Similar (18)87.888.6176.4-0.756%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)86.281.0167.2+5.260%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Wurzburg
#4
L
75-76
75
76
-1
72avg 79
A28/01
BBL
Olympiacos
#4
L
87-101
87
101
-14
81avg 79
A30/01
Euroleague
Valencia
#14
L
66-81
66
81
-15
58avg 79
H01/02
Euroleague
Ulm
#5
W
98-88
98
88
+10
97avg 79
H04/02
BBL
Barcelona
#5
L
77-93
77
93
-16
63avg 79
A09/02
Euroleague
Vechta
#6
W
98-89
98
89
+9
92avg 79
A11/02
BBL
Gottingen
#14
W
108-85
108
85
+23
113avg 79
H13/02
BBL
Ulm
#3
L
79-87
79
87
-8
72avg 79
H17/02
German Cup
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
71-106
71
106
-35
59avg 79
H29/02
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#8
W
85-67
85
67
+18
87avg 79
H03/03
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-14
20-23
15-22
21-17
17-20
31-25
13-33
26-23
15-20
15-22
15-23
21-16
14-28
35-18
24-23
25-19
26-31
13-20
12-29
26-13
25-21
18-20
23-24
32-24
29-21
26-23
18-23
35-18
18-19
22-23
21-17
18-28
15-27
23-30
18-30
15-19
28-21
17-15
20-12
20-19
171.7Avg total
84.4Scored
87.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)75.985.7161.6-9.819%
Season at home (14)75.685.1160.7-9.429%
Season away (13)76.286.4162.5-10.28%
Last 10 (10)84.487.3171.7-2.940%
Last 5 (5)88.286.8175.0+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)75.685.2160.9-9.624%
vs Similar (5)92.485.0177.4+7.480%
vs Weaker (8)87.283.1170.4+4.162%
This opponent (Baskonia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -5.7-5.7Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +4.3+4.3
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -5.7-5.7Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +4.3+4.3
BaskoniaAlba Berlin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BaskoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H21/01
ACB
Valencia
#14
L
29-45
29
45
-16
H26/01
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H28/01
ACB
Bayern
#15
L
52-56
52
56
-4
A30/01
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
W
54-47
54
47
+7
H01/02
Euroleague
Tenerife
#5
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A04/02
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H08/02
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#10
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H11/02
ACB
Fenerbahce
#7
L
54-55
54
55
-1
A01/03
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#7
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A03/03
ACB
91.4Avg total
45.0Scored
46.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.343.685.9-1.347%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.941.984.8+0.967%-
Last 30 away (15)41.745.286.9-3.527%-
Last 10 (10)45.046.491.4-1.440%-
Last 5 (5)44.446.290.6-1.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)38.442.380.7-3.929%-
vs Similar (18)43.844.988.8-1.150%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)42.240.482.6+1.860%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wurzburg
#4
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A28/01
BBL
Olympiacos
#4
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A30/01
Euroleague
Valencia
#14
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H01/02
Euroleague
Ulm
#5
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H04/02
BBL
Barcelona
#5
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A09/02
Euroleague
Vechta
#6
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A11/02
BBL
Gottingen
#14
W
55-44
55
44
+11
H13/02
BBL
Ulm
#3
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H17/02
German Cup
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
38-57
38
57
-19
H29/02
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#8
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H03/03
BBL
86.7Avg total
42.6Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.142.884.0-1.747%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.242.183.3-0.850%-
Last 30 away (14)41.043.784.7-2.743%-
Last 10 (10)42.644.186.7-1.560%-
Last 5 (5)44.244.088.2+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)38.644.182.8-5.529%-
vs Similar (5)46.641.287.8+5.4100%-
vs Weaker (8)43.041.184.1+1.950%-
This opponent (Baskonia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Baskoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Baskonia: 88.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.919.8
58.4%
53.4%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.311.2
38.2%
36.6%33.6
🏀 Free throws18.714.8
79.1%
77.4%14.8
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 83.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.820.7
56.2%
53.4%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.28.9
35.3%
36.6%26.7
🏀 Free throws18.815.5
82.4%
77.4%15.5
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Baskonia
LLLWLWLWLW
Alba Berlin
WLLWWLWLLL
#9
League position
#18
-2.5
Net rating
-3.8
121.3
Offensive rating
109.9
123.7
Defensive rating
113.7
57.9%
Effective FG%
54.9%
58.1%
Opp. effective FG%
58.7%
13.9%
Turnover %
21.0%
27.2%
Off. rebound %
29.7%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.30
38.2%
3-point %
35.3%
61.0%
Assist %
62.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence121.3 · 109.9Defence123.7 · 113.7Shooting57.9% · 54.9%3-point %38.2% · 35.3%Ball care13.9% · 21.0%Off. rebounds27.2% · 29.7%Free throws0.30 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Baskonia   ■ Alba Berlin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Baskonia wins
3
Alba Berlin wins
Baskonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/24AGran Canaria80-98
01/03/24AFenerbahce96-111
11/02/24HJoventut Badalona78-81
08/02/24HLyon-Villeurbanne94-80
04/02/24ATenerife78-95
01/02/24HMaccabi Tel Aviv92-82
30/01/24ABayern109-112 OT
28/01/24HObradoiro CAB89-79
26/01/24HValencia62-77
21/01/24HMoraBanc Andorra108-95
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/24HOldenburg85-67
29/02/24HMaccabi Tel Aviv71-106
17/02/24HUlm79-87
13/02/24HGottingen108-85
11/02/24AVechta98-89
09/02/24ABarcelona77-93
04/02/24HUlm98-88
01/02/24HValencia66-81
30/01/24AOlympiacos87-101
28/01/24AWurzburg75-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Baskonia
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL52%
HomeWWLWW57%
AwayLLWLL46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %52%57%46%
Points / game83.880.887.1
Allowed / game84.580.189.2
Point differential-0.7+0.7-2.2
Avg total168.3160.9176.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%29%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (11)67% (6)60% (5)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Alba Berlin
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL19%
HomeLLWLL29%
AwayLLWLL8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %19%29%8%
Points / game75.975.676.2
Allowed / game85.785.186.4
Point differential-9.8-9.4-10.2
Avg total161.6160.7162.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%0%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)60% (5)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid2822679%88.680.8+7.8
2 Barcelona2819968%82.678.4+4.2
3 Panathinaikos28181064%81.677.3+4.2
4 Monaco28181064%81.878.6+3.1
5 Olympiacos28171161%79.175.0+4.1
6 Fenerbahce28171161%83.981.4+2.5
7 Virtus Bologna28171161%80.380.7-0.4
8 Maccabi Tel Aviv28151354%87.087.4-0.4
9 Baskonia27141352%83.884.5-0.7
10 Partizan27131448%83.683.9-0.2
11 Valencia28131546%76.176.8-0.7
12 Anadolu Efes28121643%85.787.9-2.2
13 Bayern28121643%79.682.7-3.1
14 Olimpia Milano27111641%76.976.8+0.1
15 Zalgiris Kaunas28111739%80.081.3-1.4
16 Crvena zvezda28101836%81.481.2+0.2
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne2862221%78.085.8-7.8
18 Alba Berlin2752219%75.985.7-9.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Baskonia2319212588
Alba Berlin1024132471
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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