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Grindavik vs Valur Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 06 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 80-76
23-18 20-18 24-17 13-23
Position#4
Record12-11
FormWWLWL
Points / game93.6
Allowed / game91.7
vs
Position#5
Record14-9
FormWWWLW
Points / game88.6
Allowed / game86.3
IcelandPremier leaguePremier League - Quarter-finals· HS Orku-hollin
Other2024-25
Meetings · Grindavik v Valur
14 Jan 2027
GRIN v VALU
upcoming
06 May 2026
GRIN109
VALU82
30 Apr 2026
GRIN93
VALU67
22 Apr 2026
GRIN82
VALU81
29 Jan 2026
GRIN78
VALU67
14 Apr 2025
GRIN82
VALU74
06 Apr 2025
GRIN80
VALU76
13 Dec 2024
GRIN97
VALU90
26 May 2024
GRIN80
VALU78
20 May 2024
GRIN93
VALU89
15 Mar 2024
GRIN98
VALU67
14 Oct 2022
GRIN67
VALU68
14 Feb 2022
GRIN99
VALU92
01 Mar 2021
GRIN97
VALU85
21 Nov 2019
GRIN85
VALU69
01 Nov 2018
GRIN90
VALU88
07 Dec 2017
GRIN90
VALU89
24 Oct 2013
GRIN78
VALU70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Grindavik winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valur winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GrindavikIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGrindavik
Date
Competition
Hottur
#11
W
64-63
64
63
+1
52avg 84
A16/01
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
L
79-97
79
97
-18
67avg 84
A23/01
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
L
87-108
87
108
-21
69avg 84
H30/01
Premier league
Thorl
#9
W
104-95
104
95
+9
99avg 84
A06/02
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
L
92-94
92
94
-2
87avg 84
H12/02
Premier league
Keflavik
#10
W
101-91
101
91
+10
93avg 84
H28/02
Premier league
Njardvik
#3
W
122-115 OT
122
115
+7
120avg 84
H07/03
Premier league
Valur
#5
L
80-99
80
99
-19
62avg 84
A13/03
Premier league
KR Basket
#8
W
86-83
86
83
+3
82avg 84
H27/03
Premier league
Valur
#5
L
89-94
89
94
-5
77avg 84
A02/04
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-20
14-20
11-9
17-14
21-29
19-17
14-23
25-28
20-20
15-28
19-29
33-31
21-23
29-14
24-33
30-25
20-30
26-24
18-16
28-24
28-22
31-28
18-20
24-21
35-28
27-27
20-27
29-29
11-25
17-28
23-31
29-15
18-24
28-26
17-15
23-18
26-29
19-26
25-24
19-15
184.3Avg total
90.4Scored
93.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)93.691.7185.3+1.952%
Season at home (11)96.989.1186.0+7.873%
Season away (12)90.694.2184.8-3.633%
Last 10 (10)90.493.9184.3-3.550%
Last 5 (5)95.696.4192.0-0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)88.5100.5189.0-12.00%
vs Similar ◀ (15)91.890.7182.5+1.153%
vs Weaker (10)92.182.6174.7+9.570%
This opponent (Valur) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValurIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValur
Date
Competition
Njardvik
#3
W
88-76
88
76
+12
75avg 81
H30/01
Premier league
Hottur
#11
W
92-58
92
58
+34
91avg 81
H07/02
Premier league
KR Basket
#8
W
96-89 OT
96
89
+7
91avg 81
A14/02
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
W
90-87
90
87
+3
80avg 81
H01/03
Premier league
Haukar
#12
W
85-81
85
81
+4
86avg 81
A06/03
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
W
99-80
99
80
+19
102avg 81
H13/03
Premier league
Keflavik
#4
W
91-67
91
67
+24
93avg 81
A19/03
Icelandic Cup
KR Basket
#2
W
96-78
96
78
+18
96avg 81
A22/03
Icelandic Cup
Tindastoll
#1
L
74-88
74
88
-14
63avg 81
A27/03
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
W
94-89
94
89
+5
90avg 81
H02/04
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-28
16-20
21-17
26-11
17-19
33-15
26-15
16-9
20-24
17-15
32-24
15-21
22-27
29-24
20-19
19-17
21-26
17-16
22-26
25-13
25-11
28-17
31-23
15-29
21-19
30-16
26-14
14-18
22-15
27-14
21-24
26-25
24-28
13-25
22-20
15-15
29-26
26-19
24-25
15-19
169.8Avg total
90.5Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)88.686.3174.9+2.361%
Season at home (12)92.783.6176.2+9.183%
Season away (11)84.289.3173.5-5.136%
Last 10 (10)90.579.3169.8+11.290%
Last 5 (5)90.880.4171.2+10.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)81.885.5167.2-3.850%
vs Similar ◀ (14)91.183.7174.8+7.479%
vs Weaker (11)87.382.5169.8+4.755%
This opponent (Grindavik) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +5.5+5.5Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: +0.9+0.9
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +5.5+5.5Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: +0.9+0.9
GrindavikValur
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GrindavikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hottur
#11
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A16/01
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A23/01
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H30/01
Premier league
Thorl
#9
W
50-37
50
37
+13
A06/02
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
L
46-54
46
54
-8
H12/02
Premier league
Keflavik
#10
W
59-50
59
50
+9
H28/02
Premier league
Njardvik
#3
W
62-55
62
55
+7
H07/03
Premier league
Valur
#5
L
28-53
28
53
-25
A13/03
Premier league
KR Basket
#8
L
46-50
46
50
-4
H27/03
Premier league
Valur
#5
L
45-55
45
55
-10
A02/04
Premier league
93.5Avg total
44.7Scored
48.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.545.691.1-0.047%-
Last 30 at home (14)48.246.995.1+1.457%-
Last 30 away (16)43.244.487.6-1.238%-
Last 10 (10)44.748.893.5-4.130%-
Last 5 (5)48.052.6100.6-4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)42.051.293.2-9.20%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)45.047.692.6-2.640%-
vs Weaker (10)47.940.788.6+7.270%-
This opponent (Valur) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValurLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Njardvik
#3
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H30/01
Premier league
Hottur
#11
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H07/02
Premier league
KR Basket
#8
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A14/02
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
D
51-51
51
51
+0
H01/03
Premier league
Haukar
#12
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A06/03
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
W
53-28
53
28
+25
H13/03
Premier league
Keflavik
#4
W
51-35
51
35
+16
A19/03
Icelandic Cup
KR Basket
#2
W
49-29
49
29
+20
A22/03
Icelandic Cup
Tindastoll
#1
L
37-53
37
53
-16
A27/03
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
W
55-45
55
45
+10
H02/04
Premier league
86.6Avg total
46.2Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.342.786.0+0.637%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.342.288.5+4.147%-
Last 30 away (15)40.443.283.6-2.827%-
Last 10 (10)46.240.486.6+5.850%-
Last 5 (5)49.038.087.0+11.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)40.544.585.0-4.025%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)43.342.986.1+0.436%-
vs Weaker (11)44.641.786.4+2.945%-
This opponent (Grindavik) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Grindaviktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Grindavik: 89.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 91.2 points a game
47%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.621.6
56.0%
53.7%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.710.3
30.6%
34.4%30.9
🏀 Free throws22.315.5
69.5%
75.6%15.5
They take 72.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valurtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valur: 89.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 91.2 points a game
47%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.018.4
55.8%
53.7%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.113.2
36.6%
34.4%39.6
🏀 Free throws18.013.1
72.8%
75.6%13.1
They take 69.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Grindavik
LWLWWLWLLW
Valur
WLWWWWWWWW
#4
League position
#5
-4.0
Net rating
+13.9
108.8
Offensive rating
111.4
112.8
Defensive rating
97.5
51.2%
Effective FG%
55.3%
54.1%
Opp. effective FG%
45.9%
14.6%
Turnover %
16.9%
27.4%
Off. rebound %
25.2%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.26
30.6%
3-point %
36.6%
60.2%
Assist %
63.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence108.8 · 111.4Defence112.8 · 97.5Shooting51.2% · 55.3%3-point %30.6% · 36.6%Ball care14.6% · 16.9%Off. rebounds27.4% · 25.2%Free throws0.31 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 90%
■ Grindavik   ■ Valur
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Grindavik wins
6
Valur wins
DateGameScore
02/04/25Valur v Grindavik94-89
13/03/25Valur v Grindavik99-80
13/12/24Grindavik v Valur97-90
08/12/24Valur v Grindavik88-77
29/05/24Valur v Grindavik80-73
26/05/24Grindavik v Valur80-78
23/05/24Valur v Grindavik80-62
20/05/24Grindavik v Valur93-89
17/05/24Valur v Grindavik89-79
15/03/24Grindavik v Valur98-67
Grindaviklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/04/25AValur89-94
27/03/25HKR Basket86-83
13/03/25AValur80-99
07/03/25HNjardvik122-115 OT
28/02/25HKeflavik101-91
12/02/25HAlftanes92-94
06/02/25AThorl104-95
30/01/25HStjarnan87-108
23/01/25ATindastoll79-97
16/01/25AHottur64-63
Valurlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/04/25HGrindavik94-89
27/03/25ATindastoll74-88
22/03/25AKR Basket96-78
19/03/25AKeflavik91-67
13/03/25HGrindavik99-80
06/03/25AHaukar85-81
01/03/25HIR Reykjavik90-87
14/02/25AKR Basket96-89 OT
07/02/25HHottur92-58
30/01/25HNjardvik88-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Grindavik
Premier league 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL52%
HomeLLWWW73%
AwayWLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %52%73%33%
Points / game93.696.990.6
Allowed / game91.789.194.2
Point differential+1.9+7.8-3.6
Avg total185.3186.0184.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%36%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)33% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %13%9%17%
Valur
Premier league 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW61%
HomeWWWWW83%
AwayLWWWL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %61%83%36%
Points / game88.692.784.2
Allowed / game86.383.689.3
Point differential+2.3+9.1-5.1
Avg total174.9176.2173.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%33%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)100% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %13%8%18%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tindastoll2418675%96.888.0+8.9
2 Stjarnan2316770%98.688.3+10.3
3 Njardvik2315865%95.091.3+3.7
4 Valur2314961%88.686.3+2.3
5 Grindavik23121152%93.691.7+1.9
6 Alftanes23121152%91.792.2-0.5
7 IR Reykjavik23111248%88.292.6-4.4
8 KR Basket22101245%92.993.7-0.8
9 Keflavik24101442%96.996.8+0.2
10 Thorl2291341%92.696.6-4.0
11 Hottur2261627%85.692.8-7.1
12 Haukar2241818%85.897.5-11.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Grindavik2320241380
Valur1818172376
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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