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Valur vs Grindavik Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 10 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 75-86
16-15 25-25 11-16 23-30
Position#5
Record14-10
FormWWLWL
Points / game88.1
Allowed / game86.0
vs
Position#4
Record13-11
FormWLWLW
Points / game93.0
Allowed / game91.1
IcelandPremier leaguePremier League - Quarter-finals· Origo-hollin Hlidarenda
Other2024-25
Meetings · Valur v Grindavik
16 Oct 2026
VALU81
GRIN74
04 May 2026
VALU85
GRIN79
26 Apr 2026
VALU79
GRIN72
30 Oct 2025
VALU55
GRIN90
10 Apr 2025
VALU75
GRIN86
02 Apr 2025
VALU94
GRIN89
13 Mar 2025
VALU99
GRIN80
08 Dec 2024
VALU88
GRIN77
29 May 2024
VALU80
GRIN73
23 May 2024
VALU80
GRIN62
17 May 2024
VALU89
GRIN79
30 Nov 2023
VALU96
GRIN83
20 Jan 2023
VALU92
GRIN67
12 Dec 2022
VALU90
GRIN80
14 Oct 2021
VALU81
GRIN77
10 May 2021
VALU91
GRIN76
01 Mar 2020
VALU68
GRIN90
31 Jan 2019
VALU100
GRIN96
04 Mar 2018
VALU78
GRIN100
23 Jan 2014
VALU89
GRIN100
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valur winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Grindavik winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValurIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValur
Date
Competition
Hottur
#11
W
92-58
92
58
+34
91avg 80
H07/02
Premier league
KR Basket
#8
W
96-89 OT
96
89
+7
91avg 80
A14/02
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
W
90-87
90
87
+3
80avg 80
H01/03
Premier league
Haukar
#12
W
85-81
85
81
+4
86avg 80
A06/03
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
W
99-80
99
80
+19
102avg 80
H13/03
Premier league
Keflavik
#4
W
91-67
91
67
+24
93avg 80
A19/03
Icelandic Cup
KR Basket
#2
W
96-78
96
78
+18
96avg 80
A22/03
Icelandic Cup
Tindastoll
#1
L
74-88
74
88
-14
63avg 80
A27/03
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
W
94-89
94
89
+5
90avg 80
H02/04
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
L
76-80
76
80
-4
68avg 80
A06/04
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-19
33-15
26-15
16-9
20-24
17-15
32-24
15-21
22-27
29-24
20-19
19-17
21-26
17-16
22-26
25-13
25-11
28-17
31-23
15-29
21-19
30-16
26-14
14-18
22-15
27-14
21-24
26-25
24-28
13-25
22-20
15-15
29-26
26-19
24-25
15-19
18-23
18-20
17-24
23-13
169.0Avg total
89.3Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)88.186.0174.1+2.058%
Season at home (12)92.783.6176.2+9.183%
Season away (12)83.588.5172.0-5.033%
Last 10 (10)89.379.7169.0+9.680%
Last 5 (5)86.280.4166.6+5.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)81.885.5167.2-3.850%
vs Similar ◀ (14)90.885.0175.8+5.871%
vs Weaker (11)87.382.5169.8+4.755%
This opponent (Grindavik) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GrindavikIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGrindavik
Date
Competition
Tindastoll
#1
L
79-97
79
97
-18
67avg 84
A23/01
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
L
87-108
87
108
-21
69avg 84
H30/01
Premier league
Thorl
#9
W
104-95
104
95
+9
99avg 84
A06/02
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
L
92-94
92
94
-2
87avg 84
H12/02
Premier league
Keflavik
#10
W
101-91
101
91
+10
93avg 84
H28/02
Premier league
Njardvik
#3
W
122-115 OT
122
115
+7
120avg 84
H07/03
Premier league
Valur
#5
L
80-99
80
99
-19
62avg 84
A13/03
Premier league
KR Basket
#8
W
86-83
86
83
+3
82avg 84
H27/03
Premier league
Valur
#5
L
89-94
89
94
-5
77avg 84
A02/04
Premier league
Valur
#5
W
80-76
80
76
+4
68avg 84
H06/04
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-29
19-17
14-23
25-28
20-20
15-28
19-29
33-31
21-23
29-14
24-33
30-25
20-30
26-24
18-16
28-24
28-22
31-28
18-20
24-21
35-28
27-27
20-27
29-29
11-25
17-28
23-31
29-15
18-24
28-26
17-15
23-18
26-29
19-26
25-24
19-15
23-18
20-18
24-17
13-23
187.2Avg total
92.0Scored
95.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)93.091.1184.1+2.054%
Season at home (12)95.588.0183.5+7.575%
Season away (12)90.694.2184.8-3.633%
Last 10 (10)92.095.2187.2-3.250%
Last 5 (5)91.493.4184.8-2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)88.5100.5189.0-12.00%
vs Similar ◀ (15)89.791.6181.3-1.953%
vs Weaker (10)92.182.6174.7+9.570%
This opponent (Valur) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: +5.7+5.7Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +2.4+2.4
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: +5.7+5.7Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +2.4+2.4
ValurGrindavik
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValurLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hottur
#11
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H07/02
Premier league
KR Basket
#8
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A14/02
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
D
51-51
51
51
+0
H01/03
Premier league
Haukar
#12
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A06/03
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
W
53-28
53
28
+25
H13/03
Premier league
Keflavik
#4
W
51-35
51
35
+16
A19/03
Icelandic Cup
KR Basket
#2
W
49-29
49
29
+20
A22/03
Icelandic Cup
Tindastoll
#1
L
37-53
37
53
-16
A27/03
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
W
55-45
55
45
+10
H02/04
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A06/04
Premier league
85.6Avg total
45.7Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.342.986.2+0.437%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.942.689.5+4.450%-
Last 30 away (16)40.143.283.3-3.125%-
Last 10 (10)45.739.985.6+5.850%-
Last 5 (5)45.641.086.6+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)40.544.585.0-4.025%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)43.243.386.5-0.136%-
vs Weaker (11)44.641.786.4+2.945%-
This opponent (Grindavik) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GrindavikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tindastoll
#1
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A23/01
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H30/01
Premier league
Thorl
#9
W
50-37
50
37
+13
A06/02
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
L
46-54
46
54
-8
H12/02
Premier league
Keflavik
#10
W
59-50
59
50
+9
H28/02
Premier league
Njardvik
#3
W
62-55
62
55
+7
H07/03
Premier league
Valur
#5
L
28-53
28
53
-25
A13/03
Premier league
KR Basket
#8
L
46-50
46
50
-4
H27/03
Premier league
Valur
#5
L
45-55
45
55
-10
A02/04
Premier league
Valur
#5
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H06/04
Premier league
93.8Avg total
45.4Scored
48.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.645.491.0+0.247%-
Last 30 at home (14)48.446.694.9+1.857%-
Last 30 away (16)43.244.487.6-1.238%-
Last 10 (10)45.448.493.8-3.040%-
Last 5 (5)44.849.894.6-5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)42.051.293.2-9.20%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)45.147.392.5-2.240%-
vs Weaker (10)47.940.788.6+7.270%-
This opponent (Valur) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valurtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valur: 88.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 91.2 points a game
47%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.318.2
54.7%
53.7%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.012.6
36.0%
34.4%37.8
🏀 Free throws18.713.9
74.3%
75.6%13.9
They take 68.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Grindaviktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Grindavik: 91.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 91.2 points a game
47%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.522.1
55.9%
53.7%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.410.7
31.1%
34.4%32.1
🏀 Free throws21.114.9
70.6%
75.6%14.9
They take 73.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valur
LWLWWWWWWW
Grindavik
WLWLWWLWLL
#5
League position
#4
+11.5
Net rating
-3.4
110.2
Offensive rating
110.3
98.7
Defensive rating
113.7
54.3%
Effective FG%
51.6%
45.6%
Opp. effective FG%
54.2%
17.3%
Turnover %
13.7%
26.1%
Off. rebound %
27.0%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.29
36.0%
3-point %
31.1%
65.6%
Assist %
61.0%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence110.2 · 110.3Defence98.7 · 113.7Shooting54.3% · 51.6%3-point %36.0% · 31.1%Ball care17.3% · 13.7%Off. rebounds26.1% · 27.0%Free throws0.27 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Valur   ■ Grindavik
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Valur wins
4
Grindavik wins
DateGameScore
06/04/25Grindavik v Valur80-76
02/04/25Valur v Grindavik94-89
13/03/25Valur v Grindavik99-80
13/12/24Grindavik v Valur97-90
08/12/24Valur v Grindavik88-77
29/05/24Valur v Grindavik80-73
26/05/24Grindavik v Valur80-78
23/05/24Valur v Grindavik80-62
20/05/24Grindavik v Valur93-89
17/05/24Valur v Grindavik89-79
Valurlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/04/25AGrindavik76-80
02/04/25HGrindavik94-89
27/03/25ATindastoll74-88
22/03/25AKR Basket96-78
19/03/25AKeflavik91-67
13/03/25HGrindavik99-80
06/03/25AHaukar85-81
01/03/25HIR Reykjavik90-87
14/02/25AKR Basket96-89 OT
07/02/25HHottur92-58
Grindaviklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/04/25HValur80-76
02/04/25AValur89-94
27/03/25HKR Basket86-83
13/03/25AValur80-99
07/03/25HNjardvik122-115 OT
28/02/25HKeflavik101-91
12/02/25HAlftanes92-94
06/02/25AThorl104-95
30/01/25HStjarnan87-108
23/01/25ATindastoll79-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valur
Premier league 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL58%
HomeWWWWW83%
AwayWWWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %58%83%33%
Points / game88.192.783.5
Allowed / game86.083.688.5
Point differential+2.0+9.1-5.0
Avg total174.1176.2172.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%33%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)100% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %12%8%17%
Grindavik
Premier league 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW54%
HomeLWWWW75%
AwayWLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %54%75%33%
Points / game93.095.590.6
Allowed / game91.188.094.2
Point differential+2.0+7.5-3.6
Avg total184.1183.5184.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%33%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %12%8%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tindastoll2519676%97.087.4+9.5
2 Stjarnan2417771%98.288.0+10.2
3 Njardvik2415962%95.092.0+3.1
4 Valur24141058%88.186.0+2.0
5 Grindavik24131154%93.091.1+2.0
6 Alftanes24131154%92.392.4-0.0
7 IR Reykjavik24111346%88.092.5-4.5
8 KR Basket22101245%92.993.7-0.8
9 Thorl2291341%92.696.6-4.0
10 Keflavik25101540%96.096.9-0.8
11 Hottur2261627%85.692.8-7.1
12 Haukar2241818%85.897.5-11.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valur1625112375
Grindavik1525163086
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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