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Alicante vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 83-81
26-20 28-16 9-17 20-28
Position#10
Record13-12
FormLLWLL
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game82.1
vs
Position#4
Record15-9
FormLWWWL
Points / game84.7
Allowed / game80.8
SpainPrimera FEBRound 27
Other2025-26
Meetings · Alicante v Estudiantes
10 Mar 2027
ALI v EST
upcoming
22 May 2026
ALI72
EST113
28 Mar 2026
ALI83
EST81
27 Apr 2025
ALI88
EST77
16 Mar 2024
ALI75
EST65
25 Nov 2022
ALI89
EST85
19 Feb 2022
ALI75
EST98
19 Apr 2012
ALI65
EST83
27 Feb 2011
ALI69
EST71
03 Jan 2010
ALI82
EST60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alicante winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Estudiantes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlicanteSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlicante
Date
Competition
Obradoiro CAB
#1
L
75-87
75
87
-12
no box
A17/01
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
L
63-82
63
82
-19
51avg 77
H31/01
Primera FEB
Ourense
#11
L
75-81
75
81
-6
58avg 77
A07/02
Primera FEB
Melilla
#17
W
78-71
78
71
+7
76avg 77
H11/02
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#6
W
90-87
90
87
+3
88avg 77
A15/02
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#8
L
58-76
58
76
-18
49avg 77
H21/02
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
74-83
74
83
-9
63avg 77
A08/03
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#14
W
104-102 OT
104
102
+2
89avg 77
A11/03
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#1
L
80-103
80
103
-23
62avg 77
H15/03
Primera FEB
Cartagena
#16
L
77-78
77
78
-1
66avg 77
A21/03
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-17
17-27
14-18
20-25
16-28
17-14
15-23
15-17
25-18
15-16
21-25
14-22
14-11
19-20
22-13
23-27
21-15
21-17
22-24
26-31
10-25
14-20
18-15
16-16
19-16
17-25
17-23
21-19
19-21
23-10
17-26
27-29
26-27
21-20
17-22
16-34
23-21
21-20
15-18
18-19
162.4Avg total
77.4Scored
85.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)83.382.1165.4+1.252%
Season at home (13)85.783.0168.7+2.762%
Season away (12)80.881.2161.9-0.442%
Last 10 (10)77.485.0162.4-7.630%
Last 5 (5)78.688.4167.0-9.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)78.083.9161.9-5.918%
vs Similar (9)82.079.6161.6+2.467%
vs Weaker (10)87.879.8167.6+8.070%
This opponent (Estudiantes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EstudiantesSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEstudiantes
Date
Competition
Fibwi Palma
#14
L
76-80
76
80
-4
78avg 80
A11/01
Primera FEB
Estela
#12
W
81-74
81
74
+7
no box
H18/01
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
L
66-73
66
73
-7
52avg 80
A01/02
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
L
72-94
72
94
-22
60avg 80
H08/02
Primera FEB
Ourense
#11
L
97-103
97
103
-6
94avg 80
A14/02
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
82-105
82
105
-23
72avg 80
A20/02
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#8
W
85-78
85
78
+7
80avg 80
H08/03
Primera FEB
Zamora
#9
W
86-75
86
75
+11
84avg 80
A10/03
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#14
W
90-66
90
66
+24
88avg 80
H15/03
Primera FEB
Estela
#12
L
78-80
78
80
-2
71avg 80
A21/03
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-19
17-24
20-14
21-23
20-24
23-25
16-11
22-14
16-18
22-26
17-15
11-14
17-15
15-30
16-25
24-24
16-27
33-27
23-17
25-32
19-35
14-24
20-27
29-19
18-16
16-31
25-18
26-13
20-18
32-18
21-24
13-15
19-14
25-21
21-12
25-19
21-18
19-18
23-19
15-25
164.1Avg total
81.3Scored
82.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)84.780.8165.5+3.862%
Season at home (12)87.880.5168.2+7.275%
Season away (12)81.681.2162.8+0.450%
Last 10 (10)81.382.8164.1-1.540%
Last 5 (5)84.280.8165.0+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)76.592.2168.7-15.70%
vs Similar (6)88.784.8173.5+3.867%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)88.377.6165.9+10.778%
This opponent (Alicante) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: -4.3-4.3Q4: +1.3+1.3
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: -4.3-4.3Q4: +1.3+1.3
AlicanteEstudiantes
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AlicanteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Obradoiro CAB
#1
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A17/01
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H31/01
Primera FEB
Ourense
#11
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A07/02
Primera FEB
Melilla
#17
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H11/02
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#6
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A15/02
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#8
L
24-45
24
45
-21
H21/02
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A08/03
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#14
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A11/03
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#1
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H15/03
Primera FEB
Cartagena
#16
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A21/03
Primera FEB
77.0Avg total
38.2Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.138.980.0+2.260%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.539.783.2+3.862%-
Last 30 away (14)38.338.076.3+0.357%-
Last 10 (10)38.238.877.0-0.650%-
Last 5 (5)38.641.079.6-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)39.243.682.8-4.518%-
vs Similar (9)40.438.979.3+1.667%-
vs Weaker (10)43.733.777.4+10.0100%-
This opponent (Estudiantes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fibwi Palma
#14
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A11/01
Primera FEB
Estela
#12
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H18/01
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A01/02
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H08/02
Primera FEB
Ourense
#11
L
49-54
49
54
-5
A14/02
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
33-59
33
59
-26
A20/02
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#8
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H08/03
Primera FEB
Zamora
#9
W
52-36
52
36
+16
A10/03
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#14
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H15/03
Primera FEB
Estela
#12
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A21/03
Primera FEB
84.8Avg total
40.0Scored
44.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.741.685.3+2.160%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.141.787.9+4.467%-
Last 30 away (15)41.341.582.8-0.353%-
Last 10 (10)40.044.884.8-4.830%-
Last 5 (5)40.642.683.2-2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)36.346.382.7-10.017%-
vs Similar (6)44.242.386.5+1.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)46.039.885.8+6.278%-
This opponent (Alicante) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alicantetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alicante: 75.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.5 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.4 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
45%
36%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.514.8
44.0%
51.5%29.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.59.1
32.0%
33.9%27.4
🏀 Free throws22.418.2
81.6%
73.4%18.2
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Estudiantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estudiantes: 82.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
45%
36%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.618.8
57.7%
51.5%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.49.3
33.9%
33.9%27.9
🏀 Free throws22.016.5
75.0%
73.4%16.5
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 8/10 games with a box score before 28 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alicante
LLWLLWWLLL
Estudiantes
LWWWLLLLWL
#10
League position
#4
-13.8
Net rating
+1.4
104.0
Offensive rating
114.8
117.8
Defensive rating
113.4
45.9%
Effective FG%
54.6%
55.9%
Opp. effective FG%
51.7%
0.0%
Turnover %
3.2%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.37
32.0%
3-point %
33.9%
53.4%
Assist %
54.1%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence104.0 · 114.8Defence117.8 · 113.4Shooting45.9% · 54.6%3-point %32.0% · 33.9%Ball care0.0% · 3.2%Free throws0.36 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Alicante   ■ Estudiantes
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Alicante wins
7
Estudiantes wins
Alicantelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/03/26ACartagena77-78
15/03/26HObradoiro CAB80-103
11/03/26AFibwi Palma104-102 OT
08/03/26ALeyma Coruna74-83
21/02/26HHestia Menorca58-76
15/02/26AFuenlabrada90-87
11/02/26HMelilla78-71
07/02/26AOurense75-81
31/01/26HPalencia63-82
17/01/26AObradoiro CAB75-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/03/26AEstela78-80
15/03/26HFibwi Palma90-66
10/03/26AZamora86-75
08/03/26HHestia Menorca85-78
20/02/26ALeyma Coruna82-105
14/02/26AOurense97-103
08/02/26HPalencia72-94
01/02/26AGipuzkoa66-73
18/01/26HEstela81-74
11/01/26AFibwi Palma76-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alicante
Primera FEB 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL52%
HomeLLWLL62%
AwayLWLWL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %52%62%42%
Points / game83.385.780.8
Allowed / game82.183.081.2
Point differential+1.2+2.7-0.4
Avg total165.4168.7161.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%31%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Estudiantes
Primera FEB 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL62%
HomeWWLWW75%
AwayLLLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %62%75%50%
Points / game84.787.881.6
Allowed / game80.880.581.2
Point differential+3.8+7.2+0.4
Avg total165.5168.2162.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%33%42%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)33% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Leyma Coruna2624292%91.778.0+13.7
2 Obradoiro CAB2421388%92.877.2+15.6
3 Palencia2620677%84.072.1+11.9
4 Estudiantes2415962%84.780.8+3.8
5 Gipuzkoa25151060%79.674.7+4.9
6 Oviedo25141156%83.679.3+4.3
7 Hestia Menorca24131154%81.577.3+4.2
8 Fuenlabrada26141254%79.682.0-2.4
9 Alicante25131252%83.382.1+1.2
10 Ourense24111346%81.080.7+0.2
11 Zamora24101442%83.287.1-4.0
12 Estela25101540%78.184.0-6.0
13 Fibwi Palma2591636%77.082.5-5.6
14 Cartagena2571828%73.084.7-11.7
15 Palmer Basket2561924%73.084.7-11.8
16 Tizona Burgos2662023%82.289.0-6.8
17 Melilla2542116%75.487.0-11.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alicante262892083
Estudiantes2016172881
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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