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Estudiantes vs Palencia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 10:30
Final 72-94
17-15 15-30 16-25 24-24
Position#4
Record12-5
FormWWLWL
Points / game84.8
Allowed / game78.8
Estudiantes
Spain
vs
Palencia 🏆
Spain
Position#3
Record11-6
FormLWLWW
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game73.6
SpainPrimera FEBRound 19
Other2025-26
Meetings · Estudiantes v Palencia
18 Oct 2026
EST86
PAL77
08 Feb 2026
EST72
PAL94
16 Mar 2025
EST104
PAL98
08 Jan 2023
EST73
PAL83
18 Jun 2022
EST89
PAL62
08 May 2022
EST71
PAL73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estudiantes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Palencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

EstudiantesSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEstudiantes
Date
Competition
Fuenlabrada
#6
W
99-76
99
76
+23
95avg 80
H16/11
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
L
52-83
52
83
-31
no box
A22/11
Primera FEB
Palmer Basket
#15
W
68-64
68
64
+4
64avg 80
A07/12
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#13
W
102-85
102
85
+17
99avg 80
H14/12
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#8
W
96-86
96
86
+10
94avg 80
A17/12
Primera FEB
Zamora
#9
W
86-77
86
77
+9
75avg 80
H28/12
Primera FEB
Ourense
#11
W
92-75
92
75
+17
87avg 80
H04/01
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#14
L
76-80
76
80
-4
78avg 80
A11/01
Primera FEB
Estela
#12
W
81-74
81
74
+7
no box
H18/01
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
L
66-73
66
73
-7
52avg 80
A01/02
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-28
30-15
22-17
23-16
18-22
11-20
12-19
11-22
17-12
21-15
18-15
12-22
22-15
32-26
12-28
36-16
22-16
15-18
28-27
31-25
27-13
16-24
26-21
17-19
24-18
18-25
32-14
18-18
18-19
17-24
20-14
21-23
20-24
23-25
16-11
22-14
16-18
22-26
17-15
11-14
159.1Avg total
81.8Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)84.878.8163.6+6.171%
Season at home (9)89.680.9170.4+8.778%
Season away (8)79.576.4155.9+3.162%
Last 10 (10)81.877.3159.1+4.570%
Last 5 (5)80.275.8156.0+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)76.288.5164.8-12.20%
vs Similar (8)86.986.8173.6+0.150%
vs Weaker (18)86.975.9162.8+11.189%
This opponent (Palencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PalenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPalencia
Date
Competition
Oviedo
#5
W
88-80
88
80
+8
79avg 75
H14/11
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
W
83-52
83
52
+31
no box
H22/11
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
75-82
75
82
-7
60avg 75
A07/12
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
L
64-76
64
76
-12
40avg 75
H12/12
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#14
W
93-86
93
86
+7
85avg 75
A17/12
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#6
L
67-73
67
73
-6
58avg 75
A20/12
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#13
W
91-76
91
76
+15
81avg 75
H28/12
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#1
L
85-87
85
87
-2
76avg 75
H04/01
Primera FEB
Ourense
#11
W
83-77
83
77
+6
no box
H16/01
Primera FEB
Alicante
#10
W
82-63
82
63
+19
81avg 75
A31/01
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-20
12-16
19-19
25-25
22-18
20-11
19-12
22-11
22-22
25-24
12-12
16-24
11-20
13-24
15-16
25-16
18-25
26-25
27-17
22-19
17-25
14-15
17-18
19-15
25-23
29-14
22-25
15-14
29-26
20-20
21-13
15-28
16-22
23-17
13-26
31-12
28-16
14-17
23-15
17-15
156.3Avg total
81.1Scored
75.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)83.073.6156.6+9.465%
Season at home (9)81.373.8155.1+7.667%
Season away (8)84.973.5158.4+11.462%
Last 10 (10)81.175.2156.3+5.960%
Last 5 (5)81.675.2156.8+6.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)85.087.0172.0-2.00%
vs Similar (4)84.082.8166.8+1.225%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)84.876.0160.8+8.968%
This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +2.8+2.8
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +2.8+2.8
EstudiantesPalencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fuenlabrada
#6
W
54-43
54
43
+11
H16/11
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A22/11
Primera FEB
Palmer Basket
#15
W
38-27
38
27
+11
A07/12
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#13
W
54-41
54
41
+13
H14/12
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#8
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A17/12
Primera FEB
Zamora
#9
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H28/12
Primera FEB
Ourense
#11
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H04/01
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#14
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A11/01
Primera FEB
Estela
#12
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H18/01
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A01/02
Primera FEB
81.6Avg total
41.3Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.341.185.4+3.263%-
Last 30 at home (15)48.741.790.4+6.980%-
Last 30 away (15)40.040.580.5-0.547%-
Last 10 (10)41.340.381.6+1.050%-
Last 5 (5)40.243.283.4-3.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)38.243.581.8-5.225%-
vs Similar (8)45.643.288.9+2.462%-
vs Weaker (18)45.139.684.7+5.572%-
This opponent (Palencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PalenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oviedo
#5
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H14/11
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H22/11
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A07/12
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
L
24-44
24
44
-20
H12/12
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#14
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A17/12
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#6
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A20/12
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#13
W
54-37
54
37
+17
H28/12
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#1
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H04/01
Primera FEB
Ourense
#11
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H16/01
Primera FEB
Alicante
#10
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A31/01
Primera FEB
81.6Avg total
41.6Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.738.082.7+6.770%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.435.279.6+9.188%-
Last 30 away (14)45.141.186.3+4.050%-
Last 10 (10)41.640.081.6+1.660%-
Last 5 (5)43.039.082.0+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)49.046.095.0+3.0100%-
vs Similar (4)48.044.092.0+4.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)44.036.780.8+7.372%-
This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Estudiantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estudiantes: 84.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
45%
36%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.521.2
55.1%
51.5%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.29.0
34.4%
33.9%27.0
🏀 Free throws21.014.9
71.0%
73.4%14.9
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Palenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Palencia: 78.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
45%
36%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.619.5
53.3%
51.5%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.98.9
34.4%
33.9%26.7
🏀 Free throws17.113.0
76.0%
73.4%13.0
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Estudiantes
LWLWWWWWLW
Palencia
WWLWLWLLWW
#4
League position
#3
-5.3
Net rating
-7.3
112.2
Offensive rating
108.6
117.5
Defensive rating
115.9
53.6%
Effective FG%
52.6%
56.5%
Opp. effective FG%
53.3%
12.0%
Turnover %
13.5%
31.8%
Off. rebound %
24.1%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.27
34.4%
3-point %
34.4%
55.6%
Assist %
65.8%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence112.2 · 108.6Defence117.5 · 115.9Shooting53.6% · 52.6%3-point %34.4% · 34.4%Ball care12.0% · 13.5%Free throws0.32 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Estudiantes   ■ Palencia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Estudiantes wins
5
Palencia wins
DateGameScore
22/11/25Palencia v Estudiantes83-52
16/03/25Estudiantes v Palencia104-98
19/10/24Palencia v Estudiantes80-87
05/05/23Palencia v Estudiantes74-66
08/01/23Estudiantes v Palencia73-83
18/06/22Estudiantes v Palencia89-62
08/05/22Estudiantes v Palencia71-73
13/02/22Palencia v Estudiantes66-62
Estudianteslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/26AGipuzkoa66-73
18/01/26HEstela81-74
11/01/26AFibwi Palma76-80
04/01/26HOurense92-75
28/12/25HZamora86-77
17/12/25AHestia Menorca96-86
14/12/25HTizona Burgos102-85
07/12/25APalmer Basket68-64
22/11/25APalencia52-83
16/11/25HFuenlabrada99-76
Palencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/26AAlicante82-63
16/01/26HOurense83-77
04/01/26HObradoiro CAB85-87
28/12/25HTizona Burgos91-76
20/12/25AFuenlabrada67-73
17/12/25AFibwi Palma93-86
12/12/25HGipuzkoa64-76
07/12/25ALeyma Coruna75-82
22/11/25HEstudiantes83-52
14/11/25HOviedo88-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Estudiantes
Primera FEB 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL71%
HomeWWWWW78%
AwayLWWLL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %71%78%62%
Points / game84.889.679.5
Allowed / game78.880.976.4
Point differential+6.1+8.7+3.1
Avg total163.6170.4155.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Palencia
Primera FEB 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW65%
HomeWLWLW67%
AwayWLWLW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %65%67%62%
Points / game83.081.384.9
Allowed / game73.673.873.5
Point differential+9.4+7.6+11.4
Avg total156.6155.1158.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%44%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Leyma Coruna1817194%93.478.4+15.0
2 Obradoiro CAB1815383%91.378.3+13.0
3 Estudiantes1712571%84.878.8+6.1
4 Palencia1711665%83.073.6+9.4
5 Gipuzkoa1811761%78.273.8+4.4
6 Fuenlabrada1811761%79.780.9-1.2
7 Hestia Menorca1710759%83.177.6+5.5
8 Alicante1810856%84.680.7+3.8
9 Fibwi Palma178947%77.581.5-4.0
10 Oviedo1881044%82.880.4+2.4
11 Ourense1881044%81.281.0+0.2
12 Zamora1881044%85.388.1-2.8
13 Estela1871139%77.384.6-7.3
14 Tizona Burgos1851328%83.688.4-4.8
15 Cartagena1841422%72.985.3-12.4
16 Palmer Basket1731418%71.486.0-14.6
17 Melilla1721512%75.989.2-13.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Estudiantes1715162472
Palencia1530252494
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