PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Ourense vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 103-97
27-16 27-33 17-23 32-25
Position#11
Record8-11
FormLLLWL
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game81.0
Ourense 🏆
Spain
vs
Position#4
Record12-6
FormWLWLL
Points / game84.1
Allowed / game79.6
SpainPrimera FEBRound 21
Other2025-26
Meetings · Ourense v Estudiantes
24 Apr 2027
OURE v EST
upcoming
14 Feb 2026
OURE103
EST97
08 Mar 2025
OURE73
EST79
23 Mar 2024
OURE92
EST71
01 Feb 2023
OURE76
EST86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ourense winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Estudiantes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OurenseSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOurense
Date
Competition
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
77-94
77
94
-17
68avg 71
A17/12
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
L
77-89
77
89
-12
63avg 71
H20/12
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#5
L
73-75
73
75
-2
54avg 71
A28/12
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
L
75-92
75
92
-17
61avg 71
A04/01
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#1
W
96-93
96
93
+3
89avg 71
H10/01
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
L
77-83
77
83
-6
no box
A16/01
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#6
L
69-72
69
72
-3
56avg 71
H31/01
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#6
L
71-78
71
78
-7
52avg 71
A04/02
Primera FEB
Alicante
#10
W
81-75
81
75
+6
74avg 71
H07/02
Primera FEB
Cartagena
#16
L
80-81
80
81
-1
71avg 71
A11/02
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-19
25-29
21-29
8-17
12-27
21-20
20-19
24-23
23-24
16-13
16-22
18-16
18-24
25-18
14-32
18-18
20-28
23-21
24-19
29-25
22-16
17-23
26-13
12-31
13-18
31-19
14-17
11-18
27-23
19-13
15-24
10-18
18-25
16-15
25-21
22-14
19-18
18-23
28-27
15-13
160.8Avg total
77.6Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)81.281.0162.2+0.242%
Season at home (8)84.877.2162.0+7.575%
Season away (11)78.583.7162.3-5.218%
Last 10 (10)77.683.2160.8-5.620%
Last 5 (5)75.677.8153.4-2.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)79.485.3164.8-5.925%
vs Similar (9)79.481.4160.9-2.033%
vs Weaker (9)82.779.2161.9+3.456%
This opponent (Estudiantes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EstudiantesSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEstudiantes
Date
Competition
Palencia
#3
L
52-83
52
83
-31
no box
A22/11
Primera FEB
Palmer Basket
#15
W
68-64
68
64
+4
64avg 79
A07/12
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#13
W
102-85
102
85
+17
99avg 79
H14/12
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#8
W
96-86
96
86
+10
94avg 79
A17/12
Primera FEB
Zamora
#9
W
86-77
86
77
+9
75avg 79
H28/12
Primera FEB
Ourense
#11
W
92-75
92
75
+17
87avg 79
H04/01
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#14
L
76-80
76
80
-4
78avg 79
A11/01
Primera FEB
Estela
#12
W
81-74
81
74
+7
no box
H18/01
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
L
66-73
66
73
-7
52avg 79
A01/02
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
L
72-94
72
94
-22
60avg 79
H08/02
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-22
11-20
12-19
11-22
17-12
21-15
18-15
12-22
22-15
32-26
12-28
36-16
22-16
15-18
28-27
31-25
27-13
16-24
26-21
17-19
24-18
18-25
32-14
18-18
18-19
17-24
20-14
21-23
20-24
23-25
16-11
22-14
16-18
22-26
17-15
11-14
17-15
15-30
16-25
24-24
158.2Avg total
79.1Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)84.179.6163.7+4.567%
Season at home (10)87.882.2170.0+5.670%
Season away (8)79.576.4155.9+3.162%
Last 10 (10)79.179.1158.2+0.060%
Last 5 (5)77.479.2156.6-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)75.489.6165.0-14.20%
vs Similar (8)86.986.8173.6+0.150%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)87.276.3163.5+10.988%
This opponent (Ourense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -4.3-4.3Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: +0.6+0.6
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -4.3-4.3Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: +0.6+0.6
OurenseEstudiantes
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OurenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Leyma Coruna
#2
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A17/12
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
L
33-47
33
47
-14
H20/12
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#5
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A28/12
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A04/01
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#1
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H10/01
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A16/01
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#6
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H31/01
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#6
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A04/02
Primera FEB
Alicante
#10
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H07/02
Primera FEB
Cartagena
#16
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A11/02
Primera FEB
82.2Avg total
40.6Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.440.181.5+1.353%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.838.581.2+4.362%-
Last 30 away (17)40.441.481.8-0.947%-
Last 10 (10)40.641.682.2-1.040%-
Last 5 (5)40.038.678.6+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)40.141.081.1-0.942%-
vs Similar (9)43.141.284.3+1.967%-
vs Weaker (9)41.637.879.3+3.856%-
This opponent (Estudiantes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Palencia
#3
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A22/11
Primera FEB
Palmer Basket
#15
W
38-27
38
27
+11
A07/12
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#13
W
54-41
54
41
+13
H14/12
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#8
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A17/12
Primera FEB
Zamora
#9
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H28/12
Primera FEB
Ourense
#11
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H04/01
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#14
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A11/01
Primera FEB
Estela
#12
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H18/01
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A01/02
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H08/02
Primera FEB
79.6Avg total
39.1Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.941.485.3+2.460%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.742.490.1+5.373%-
Last 30 away (15)40.040.580.5-0.547%-
Last 10 (10)39.140.579.6-1.440%-
Last 5 (5)38.044.882.8-6.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)37.043.880.8-6.820%-
vs Similar (8)45.643.288.9+2.462%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)45.139.984.9+5.271%-
This opponent (Ourense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ourensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ourense: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.3 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
45%
36%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.018.7
42.4%
51.5%37.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.08.7
34.7%
33.9%26.0
🏀 Free throws23.016.7
72.5%
73.4%16.7
They take 69.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Estudiantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estudiantes: 84.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
45%
36%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.521.2
55.1%
51.5%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.29.0
34.4%
33.9%27.0
🏀 Free throws21.014.9
71.0%
73.4%14.9
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 3/10 games with a box score before 14 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ourense
LWLLLWLLLL
Estudiantes
LLWLWWWWWL
#11
League position
#4
-7.5
Net rating
-5.3
106.1
Offensive rating
112.2
113.6
Defensive rating
117.5
45.9%
Effective FG%
53.6%
54.7%
Opp. effective FG%
56.5%
0.0%
Turnover %
12.0%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.32
34.7%
3-point %
34.4%
61.0%
Assist %
55.6%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence106.1 · 112.2Defence113.6 · 117.5Shooting45.9% · 53.6%3-point %34.7% · 34.4%Ball care0.0% · 12.0%Free throws0.33 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)20% · 60%
■ Ourense   ■ Estudiantes
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Ourense wins
6
Estudiantes wins
DateGameScore
04/01/26Estudiantes v Ourense92-75
08/03/25Ourense v Estudiantes73-79
08/12/24Estudiantes v Ourense88-81 OT
23/03/24Ourense v Estudiantes92-71
07/01/24Estudiantes v Ourense97-56
01/02/23Ourense v Estudiantes76-86
11/10/22Estudiantes v Ourense104-86
Ourenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/26ACartagena80-81
07/02/26HAlicante81-75
04/02/26AFuenlabrada71-78
31/01/26HFuenlabrada69-72
16/01/26APalencia77-83
10/01/26HObradoiro CAB96-93
04/01/26AEstudiantes75-92
28/12/25AOviedo73-75
20/12/25HGipuzkoa77-89
17/12/25ALeyma Coruna77-94
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/26HPalencia72-94
01/02/26AGipuzkoa66-73
18/01/26HEstela81-74
11/01/26AFibwi Palma76-80
04/01/26HOurense92-75
28/12/25HZamora86-77
17/12/25AHestia Menorca96-86
14/12/25HTizona Burgos102-85
07/12/25APalmer Basket68-64
22/11/25APalencia52-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ourense
Primera FEB 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL42%
HomeWLWLW75%
AwayLLLLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19811
Win %42%75%18%
Points / game81.284.878.5
Allowed / game81.077.283.7
Point differential+0.2+7.5-5.2
Avg total162.2162.0162.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%38%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)67% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Estudiantes
Primera FEB 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL67%
HomeWWWWL70%
AwayLWWLL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %67%70%62%
Points / game84.187.879.5
Allowed / game79.682.276.4
Point differential+4.5+5.6+3.1
Avg total163.7170.0155.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%30%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Leyma Coruna1918195%92.778.3+14.5
2 Obradoiro CAB1916384%91.878.7+13.1
3 Palencia1913668%83.773.3+10.4
4 Estudiantes1812667%84.179.6+4.5
5 Gipuzkoa1912763%79.073.3+5.7
6 Fuenlabrada1912763%79.780.8-1.1
7 Alicante1911858%84.280.2+4.0
8 Hestia Menorca1810856%83.378.9+4.4
9 Oviedo1991047%83.080.3+2.7
10 Fibwi Palma1991047%77.981.3-3.3
11 Ourense1981142%81.281.0+0.2
12 Zamora1981142%84.887.7-2.9
13 Estela1971237%77.484.7-7.3
14 Tizona Burgos1951426%82.688.6-6.1
15 Cartagena1951426%73.485.1-11.7
16 Palmer Basket1831517%71.285.9-14.7
17 Melilla1921711%75.888.4-12.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ourense27271732103
Estudiantes1633232597
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.