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Alkar vs Dubrava Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 20 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Projected 81-78
Projected total 158.3
Scheduled
Position#8
Record2-5
FormLLLLW
Points / game80.7
Allowed / game82.7
Vs
61%
39%
■ ALKA 61%■ DUBR 39%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
4.8/10
Around normal
4.6/10
Around normal
Position#11
Record1-6
FormLLLWL
Points / game74.6
Allowed / game85.0
CroatiaPremijer ligaRound 9· GSD Ivica Glavan-Ico
Other2026-27
Meetings · Alkar v Dubrava
20 Nov 2026
ALKA v DUBR
upcoming
27 Sep 2025
ALKA82
DUBR74
19 Apr 2025
ALKA85
DUBR71
04 Jan 2025
ALKA81
DUBR71
30 Mar 2024
ALKA81
DUBR89
09 Dec 2023
ALKA74
DUBR73
15 Jan 2023
ALKA76
DUBR84
30 Apr 2022
ALKA72
DUBR79
24 Oct 2021
ALKA68
DUBR78
20 Mar 2021
ALKA92
DUBR66
19 Sep 2020
ALKA94
DUBR89
09 Nov 2019
ALKA93
DUBR76
05 Feb 2011
ALKA87
DUBR71
Sections
Game preview & prediction
Alkar host Dubrava in the Premijer liga. Pythia makes Alkar the favourite at 61% and projects 81-78, about 158 points in all. Overtime chance: 5%. Alkar are 2-5 this season (80.7 scored, 82.7 allowed a game), form LLLLW; Dubrava are 1-6 this season (74.6 scored, 85.0 allowed a game), form LLLWL.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alkar win
61.4%fair 1.63
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Dubrava win
38.6%fair 2.59
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 11 Nov 07:36 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlkarCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlkar
Date
Competition
Cibona
#2
L
78-84
78
84
-6
64avg 66
H27/09
Premijer liga
Zrinjski Mostar
#17
W
92-87 OT
92
87
+5
86avg 66
A30/09
ENBL
Samobor
#12
W
95-91 OT
95
91
+4
96avg 66
A04/10
Premijer liga
Skrljevo
#6
L
73-88
73
88
-15
66avg 66
H10/10
Premijer liga
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
82-93
82
93
-11
76avg 66
A14/10
ENBL
Cedevita Junior
#7
L
78-83
78
83
-5
71avg 66
A18/10
Premijer liga
Split
#3
L
75-76
75
76
-1
64avg 66
H25/10
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#4
L
75-85
75
85
-10
72avg 66
A30/10
Premijer liga
Donar Groningen
#8
L
80-92
80
92
-12
no box
H03/11
ENBL
Dubrovnik
#10
W
91-72
91
72
+19
no box
H08/11
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-23
25-23
10-23
25-15
13-18
18-21
21-22
24-15
21-17
16-22
26-16
21-29
23-22
23-21
18-26
9-19
20-22
26-32
16-16
20-23
21-20
26-28
16-17
15-18
24-20
23-16
16-21
12-19
17-26
16-20
20-19
22-20
25-22
15-28
24-25
16-17
24-21
30-14
23-17
14-20
167.0Avg total
81.9Scored
85.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)80.782.7163.4-2.029%
Season at home (4)79.280.0159.2-0.825%
Season away (3)82.786.3169.0-3.733%
Last 10 (10)81.985.1167.0-3.230%
Last 5 (5)79.881.6161.4-1.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)71.280.9152.1-9.720%
vs Similar (6)80.382.2162.5-1.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)84.579.5164.0+5.075%
This opponent (Dubrava) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DubravaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDubrava
Date
Competition
Skrljevo
#6
L
72-81
72
81
-9
61avg 74
H26/09
Premijer liga
CIU
#12
W
87-82
87
82
+5
91avg 74
H29/09
ENBL
Cedevita Junior
#7
L
84-89
84
89
-5
73avg 74
A02/10
Premijer liga
Split
#3
L
62-86
62
86
-24
56avg 74
H10/10
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#4
L
62-85
62
85
-23
51avg 74
A17/10
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#10
L
80-84
80
84
-4
74avg 74
H24/10
Premijer liga
Syntainics MBC
#1
L
79-101
79
101
-22
69avg 74
A28/10
ENBL
Kvarner
#5
L
81-95
81
95
-14
71avg 74
A31/10
Premijer liga
Zabok
#9
W
81-75
81
75
+6
no box
H07/11
Premijer liga
Bristol Flyers
#10
L
66-81
66
81
-15
no box
A11/11
ENBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-25
20-15
17-18
19-23
18-26
28-20
13-18
28-18
15-21
23-19
12-17
34-32
15-19
17-18
16-21
14-28
16-23
18-19
7-24
21-19
26-19
10-24
21-24
23-17
15-23
11-29
28-21
25-28
17-26
21-25
18-21
25-23
13-21
18-20
22-15
28-19
18-21
25-21
8-25
15-14
161.3Avg total
75.4Scored
85.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)74.685.0159.6-10.414%
Season at home (4)73.881.5155.2-7.825%
Season away (3)75.789.7165.3-14.00%
Last 10 (10)75.485.9161.3-10.520%
Last 5 (5)77.487.2164.6-9.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)79.385.9165.2-6.638%
vs Similar (12)82.784.2166.9-1.625%
vs Weaker (2)90.081.5171.5+8.5100%
This opponent (Alkar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 157.5
Over 157.5
51.0%
Under 157.5
49.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 162.5
Over 162.5
39.1%
Under 162.5
60.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 167.5
Over 167.5
28.3%
Under 167.5
71.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Alkar total 79.5
Over 79.5
54.8%
Under 79.5
45.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alkar total 83.5
Over 83.5
39.3%
Under 83.5
60.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alkar total 87.5
Over 87.5
25.4%
Under 87.5
74.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dubrava total 75
Over 75
59.5%
Under 75
40.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dubrava total 79
Over 79
43.5%
Under 79
56.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dubrava total 83
Over 83
28.8%
Under 83
71.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Alkar -3
ALKA -3
52.6%
DUBR +3
47.4%
Best 5 market prices
ALKA
No market prices yet.
DUBR
No market prices yet.
Spread Alkar 0
ALKA 0
61.4%
DUBR 0
38.6%
Best 5 market prices
ALKA
No market prices yet.
DUBR
No market prices yet.
Spread Alkar +3
ALKA +3
70.0%
DUBR -3
30.0%
Best 5 market prices
ALKA
No market prices yet.
DUBR
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -5.5-5.5Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -4.2-4.2Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +1.1+1.1
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -5.5-5.5Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -4.2-4.2Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +1.1+1.1
AlkarDubrava
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AlkarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cibona
#2
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H27/09
Premijer liga
Zrinjski Mostar
#17
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A30/09
ENBL
Samobor
#12
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A04/10
Premijer liga
Skrljevo
#6
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H10/10
Premijer liga
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
46-54
46
54
-8
A14/10
ENBL
Cedevita Junior
#7
L
47-48
47
48
-1
A18/10
Premijer liga
Split
#3
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H25/10
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#4
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A30/10
Premijer liga
Donar Groningen
#8
L
40-50
40
50
-10
H03/11
ENBL
Dubrovnik
#10
W
54-35
54
35
+19
H08/11
Premijer liga
86.0Avg total
42.4Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.740.177.8-2.433%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.437.676.0+0.847%-
Last 30 away (15)37.042.779.7-5.720%-
Last 10 (10)42.443.686.0-1.230%-
Last 5 (5)44.243.087.2+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)35.539.975.4-4.420%-
vs Similar (6)39.540.580.0-1.067%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)45.840.886.5+5.050%-
This opponent (Dubrava) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DubravaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Skrljevo
#6
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H26/09
Premijer liga
CIU
#12
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H29/09
ENBL
Cedevita Junior
#7
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A02/10
Premijer liga
Split
#3
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H10/10
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#4
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A17/10
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#10
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H24/10
Premijer liga
Syntainics MBC
#1
L
26-52
26
52
-26
A28/10
ENBL
Kvarner
#5
L
38-51
38
51
-13
A31/10
Premijer liga
Zabok
#9
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H07/11
Premijer liga
Bristol Flyers
#10
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A11/11
ENBL
79.4Avg total
36.0Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.341.780.0-3.423%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.940.479.3-1.629%-
Last 30 away (16)37.942.880.7-4.919%-
Last 10 (10)36.043.479.4-7.410%-
Last 5 (5)34.845.880.6-11.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)37.242.880.0-5.519%-
vs Similar (12)39.740.880.4-1.125%-
vs Weaker (2)39.039.078.0+0.050%-
This opponent (Alkar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alkartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alkar: 80.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.3 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.621.1
56.1%
54.8%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.48.4
31.8%
34.2%25.2
🏀 Free throws19.413.0
67.0%
71.7%13.0
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dubravatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dubrava: 77.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.4 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.3 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.416.2
50.0%
54.8%32.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.910.6
35.5%
34.2%31.8
🏀 Free throws17.813.5
75.8%
71.7%13.5
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alkar
WLLLLLLWWL
Dubrava
LWLLLLLLWL
#8
League position
#11
-6.7
Net rating
-11.0
93.5
Offensive rating
91.3
100.3
Defensive rating
102.3
52.7%
Effective FG%
51.5%
55.0%
Opp. effective FG%
56.5%
15.9%
Turnover %
17.4%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.29
31.8%
3-point %
35.5%
58.3%
Assist %
64.9%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence93.5 · 91.3Defence100.3 · 102.3Shooting52.7% · 51.5%3-point %31.8% · 35.5%Ball care15.9% · 17.4%Free throws0.30 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)30% · 20%
■ Alkar   ■ Dubrava
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Alkar wins
5
Dubrava wins
DateGameScore
19/04/26Dubrava v Alkar85-69
21/12/25Dubrava v Alkar93-64
27/09/25Alkar v Dubrava82-74
19/04/25Alkar v Dubrava85-71
04/01/25Alkar v Dubrava81-71
20/10/24Dubrava v Alkar83-69
30/03/24Alkar v Dubrava81-89
09/12/23Alkar v Dubrava74-73 OT
30/09/23Dubrava v Alkar91-100
15/01/23Alkar v Dubrava76-84
Alkarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26HDubrovnik91-72
03/11/26HDonar Groningen80-92
30/10/26ADinamo Zagreb75-85
25/10/26HSplit75-76
18/10/26ACedevita Junior78-83
14/10/26ASpartak Pleven82-93
10/10/26HSkrljevo73-88
04/10/26ASamobor95-91 OT
30/09/26AZrinjski Mostar92-87 OT
27/09/26HCibona78-84
Dubravalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26ABristol Flyers66-81
07/11/26HZabok81-75
31/10/26AKvarner81-95
28/10/26ASyntainics MBC79-101
24/10/26HDubrovnik80-84
17/10/26ADinamo Zagreb62-85
10/10/26HSplit62-86
02/10/26ACedevita Junior84-89
29/09/26HCIU87-82
26/09/26HSkrljevo72-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alkar
Premijer liga 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW29%
HomeLLLW25%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %29%25%33%
Points / game80.779.282.7
Allowed / game82.780.086.3
Point differential-2.0-0.8-3.7
Avg total163.4159.2169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %14%0%33%
Dubrava
Premijer liga 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW14%
HomeLLLW25%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %14%25%0%
Points / game74.673.875.7
Allowed / game85.081.589.7
Point differential-10.4-7.8-14.0
Avg total159.6155.2165.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zadar770100%94.367.0+27.3
2 Cibona880100%90.976.1+14.8
3 Split86275%81.976.1+5.8
4 Dinamo Zagreb85362%77.281.2-4.0
5 Kvarner74357%88.983.9+5.0
6 Skrljevo84450%83.283.6-0.4
7 Cedevita Junior84450%79.888.9-9.1
8 Alkar72529%80.782.7-2.0
9 Zabok82625%77.683.0-5.4
10 Dubrovnik82625%77.889.5-11.8
11 Dubrava71614%74.685.0-10.4
12 Samobor81712%76.683.9-7.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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