PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Alkar vs Dubrava Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 74-73 (OT)
19-15 17-15 15-16 15-20 8-7
Position#11
Record2-9
FormLLLLL
Points / game73.5
Allowed / game85.5
Alkar 🏆
Croatia
vs
Position#9
Record3-8
FormLWLWL
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game85.5
CroatiaPremijer ligaRound 12· GSD Ivica Glavan-Ico
Other2023-24
Meetings · Alkar v Dubrava
20 Nov 2026
ALKA v DUBR
upcoming
27 Sep 2025
ALKA82
DUBR74
19 Apr 2025
ALKA85
DUBR71
04 Jan 2025
ALKA81
DUBR71
30 Mar 2024
ALKA81
DUBR89
09 Dec 2023
ALKA74
DUBR73
15 Jan 2023
ALKA76
DUBR84
30 Apr 2022
ALKA72
DUBR79
24 Oct 2021
ALKA68
DUBR78
20 Mar 2021
ALKA92
DUBR66
19 Sep 2020
ALKA94
DUBR89
09 Nov 2019
ALKA93
DUBR76
05 Feb 2011
ALKA87
DUBR71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alkar winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dubrava winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlkarCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlkar
Date
Competition
Zadar
#1
L
73-106
73
106
-33
57avg 66
A11/10
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#10
L
75-83
75
83
-8
66avg 66
A15/10
Premijer liga
Skrljevo
#12
W
90-88 OT
90
88
+2
no box
H21/10
Premijer liga
Zabok
#7
L
58-85
58
85
-27
47avg 66
A28/10
Premijer liga
Bosco
#13
L
83-95
83
95
-12
78avg 66
H04/11
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
65-80
65
80
-15
55avg 66
A13/11
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#4
L
73-81
73
81
-8
73avg 66
H20/11
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#8
L
75-78
75
78
-3
80avg 66
A25/11
Premijer liga
Osijek
#8
L
78-81
78
81
-3
77avg 66
A29/11
Croatian Cup
Dinamo Zagreb
#5
L
53-76
53
76
-23
41avg 66
H03/12
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-34
19-25
19-22
18-25
24-22
15-31
20-20
16-10
14-20
21-25
19-21
25-13
12-22
18-19
11-20
17-24
16-18
25-23
18-26
24-28
18-26
14-26
12-21
21-7
14-18
21-22
23-14
15-27
24-13
21-24
18-22
12-19
24-28
18-18
17-19
19-16
12-22
16-15
10-22
15-17
157.6Avg total
72.3Scored
85.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)73.585.5159.0-12.118%
Season at home (5)72.483.6156.0-11.220%
Season away (6)74.387.2161.5-12.817%
Last 10 (10)72.385.3157.6-13.010%
Last 5 (5)68.879.2148.0-10.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)69.490.7160.1-21.30%
vs Similar ◀ (14)85.384.0169.3+1.343%
vs Weaker (5)82.285.8168.0-3.640%
This opponent (Dubrava) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DubravaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDubrava
Date
Competition
Zabok
#7
W
95-88
95
88
+7
94avg 70
H11/10
Premijer liga
Bosco
#13
W
109-90
109
90
+19
102avg 70
A14/10
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
67-99
67
99
-32
54avg 70
H22/10
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#4
L
73-89
73
89
-16
62avg 70
A28/10
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#8
L
74-78 OT
74
78
-4
no box
H04/11
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#5
L
72-86
72
86
-14
67avg 70
A11/11
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
61-50
61
50
+11
51avg 70
H19/11
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
L
73-78
73
78
-5
64avg 70
H27/11
Premijer liga
Bosco
#16
W
90-48
90
48
+42
91avg 70
A29/11
Croatian Cup
Zadar
#1
L
58-83
58
83
-25
50avg 70
A30/11
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-21
25-20
24-21
24-26
24-16
27-22
30-25
28-27
25-20
17-24
17-30
8-25
22-30
21-30
16-16
14-13
20-19
23-10
11-23
17-19
17-28
24-18
8-23
23-17
13-20
14-4
13-9
21-17
23-21
12-20
17-24
21-13
19-16
25-8
23-13
23-11
5-19
20-20
18-28
15-16
156.1Avg total
77.2Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)78.885.5164.4-6.727%
Season at home (6)76.882.2159.0-5.333%
Season away (5)81.289.6170.8-8.420%
Last 10 (10)77.278.9156.1-1.740%
Last 5 (5)70.869.0139.8+1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)73.088.5161.5-15.56%
vs Similar ◀ (9)74.779.9154.6-5.244%
vs Weaker (3)96.383.3179.7+13.067%
This opponent (Alkar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.8-4.8Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: -4.0-4.0Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +1.0+1.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.8-4.8Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: -4.0-4.0Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +1.0+1.0
AlkarDubrava
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AlkarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zadar
#1
L
36-59
36
59
-23
A11/10
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#10
L
39-53
39
53
-14
A15/10
Premijer liga
Skrljevo
#12
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H21/10
Premijer liga
Zabok
#7
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A28/10
Premijer liga
Bosco
#13
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H04/11
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
32-52
32
52
-20
A13/11
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#4
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H20/11
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#8
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A25/11
Premijer liga
Osijek
#8
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A29/11
Croatian Cup
Dinamo Zagreb
#5
L
28-37
28
37
-9
H03/12
Premijer liga
81.4Avg total
36.3Scored
45.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.944.183.0-5.320%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.642.481.9-2.821%-
Last 30 away (16)38.245.783.9-7.419%-
Last 10 (10)36.345.181.4-8.810%-
Last 5 (5)36.442.478.8-6.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)34.347.681.9-13.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)42.040.982.9+1.143%-
vs Weaker (5)38.646.084.6-7.40%-
This opponent (Dubrava) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DubravaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zabok
#7
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H11/10
Premijer liga
Bosco
#13
W
51-38
51
38
+13
A14/10
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H22/10
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#4
L
43-60
43
60
-17
A28/10
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#8
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H04/11
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#5
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A11/11
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
27-24
27
24
+3
H19/11
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H27/11
Premijer liga
Bosco
#16
W
44-24
44
24
+20
A29/11
Croatian Cup
Zadar
#1
L
25-39
25
39
-14
A30/11
Premijer liga
78.4Avg total
39.8Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.042.380.2-4.340%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.341.477.7-5.140%-
Last 30 away (15)39.743.182.8-3.540%-
Last 10 (10)39.838.678.4+1.250%-
Last 5 (5)34.434.869.2-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)36.646.082.6-9.418%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)37.239.076.2-1.867%-
vs Weaker (3)46.037.083.0+9.067%-
This opponent (Alkar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alkartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alkar: 69.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.418.0
48.1%
53.6%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.66.9
30.5%
34.6%20.7
🏀 Free throws18.812.6
67.0%
73.4%12.6
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dubravatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dubrava: 78.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.722.2
53.2%
53.6%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.67.0
27.3%
34.6%21.0
🏀 Free throws19.012.9
67.9%
73.4%12.9
They take 67.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alkar
LLLLLLLWLL
Dubrava
LWLWLLLLWW
#11
League position
#9
-20.0
Net rating
-3.1
91.1
Offensive rating
96.7
111.0
Defensive rating
99.8
47.2%
Effective FG%
48.6%
53.7%
Opp. effective FG%
51.3%
22.0%
Turnover %
22.2%
24.3%
Off. rebound %
31.6%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.28
30.5%
3-point %
27.3%
68.7%
Assist %
61.6%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence91.1 · 96.7Defence111.0 · 99.8Shooting47.2% · 48.6%3-point %30.5% · 27.3%Ball care22.0% · 22.2%Off. rebounds24.3% · 31.6%Free throws0.31 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)10% · 40%
■ Alkar   ■ Dubrava
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Alkar wins
3
Dubrava wins
DateGameScore
30/09/23Dubrava v Alkar91-100
15/01/23Alkar v Dubrava76-84
23/10/22Dubrava v Alkar72-90
30/04/22Alkar v Dubrava72-79
03/04/22Dubrava v Alkar64-88
21/01/22Dubrava v Alkar69-76
24/10/21Alkar v Dubrava68-78
20/03/21Alkar v Dubrava92-66
13/12/20Dubrava v Alkar83-98
19/09/20Alkar v Dubrava94-89
Alkarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/23HDinamo Zagreb53-76
29/11/23AOsijek78-81
25/11/23ADubrovnik75-78
20/11/23HCedevita Junior73-81
13/11/23ASplit65-80
04/11/23HBosco83-95
28/10/23AZabok58-85
21/10/23HSkrljevo90-88 OT
15/10/23AGKK Sibenka75-83
11/10/23AZadar73-106
Dubravalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/23AZadar58-83
29/11/23ABosco90-48
27/11/23HCibona73-78
19/11/23HGKK Sibenka61-50
11/11/23ADinamo Zagreb72-86
04/11/23HDubrovnik74-78 OT
28/10/23ACedevita Junior73-89
22/10/23HSplit67-99
14/10/23ABosco109-90
11/10/23HZabok95-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alkar
Premijer liga 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL18%
HomeLWLLL20%
AwayLLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %18%20%17%
Points / game73.572.474.3
Allowed / game85.583.687.2
Point differential-12.1-11.2-12.8
Avg total159.0156.0161.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %9%20%0%
Dubrava
Premijer liga 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL27%
HomeWLLWL33%
AwayLWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %27%33%20%
Points / game78.876.881.2
Allowed / game85.582.289.6
Point differential-6.7-5.3-8.4
Avg total164.4159.0170.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%17%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %9%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zadar11110100%91.572.1+19.5
2 Split119282%84.267.2+17.0
3 Cibona119282%77.672.5+5.2
4 Dinamo Zagreb129375%83.570.5+13.0
5 Cedevita Junior128467%86.278.9+7.2
6 Dubrovnik116555%77.576.5+1.0
7 GKK Sibenka115645%80.581.2-0.7
8 Zabok113827%81.785.5-3.8
9 Dubrava113827%78.885.5-6.7
10 Alkar112918%73.585.5-12.1
11 Skrljevo1221017%78.192.2-14.2
12 Bosco121118%73.897.5-23.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Alkar19171515874
Dubrava15151620773
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.