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Alkar vs Dubrava Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Sep 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 82-74
17-23 24-14 19-12 22-25
Position#9
Record-
FormWWLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Alkar 🏆
Croatia
vs
Position#6
Record-
FormLLLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
CroatiaPremijer ligaRound 1· GSD Ivica Glavan-Ico
Other2025-26
Meetings · Alkar v Dubrava
20 Nov 2026
ALKA v DUBR
upcoming
27 Sep 2025
ALKA82
DUBR74
19 Apr 2025
ALKA85
DUBR71
04 Jan 2025
ALKA81
DUBR71
30 Mar 2024
ALKA81
DUBR89
09 Dec 2023
ALKA74
DUBR73
15 Jan 2023
ALKA76
DUBR84
30 Apr 2022
ALKA72
DUBR79
24 Oct 2021
ALKA68
DUBR78
20 Mar 2021
ALKA92
DUBR66
19 Sep 2020
ALKA94
DUBR89
09 Nov 2019
ALKA93
DUBR76
05 Feb 2011
ALKA87
DUBR71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alkar winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dubrava winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlkarCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlkar
Date
Competition
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
69-60
69
60
+9
63avg 65
H04/04
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#11
L
78-95
78
95
-17
61avg 65
A08/04
Premijer liga
Zabok
#8
W
71-62
71
62
+9
62avg 65
A13/04
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#9
W
85-71
85
71
+14
86avg 65
H19/04
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#4
L
92-98
92
98
-6
79avg 65
A25/04
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
W
63-62
63
62
+1
54avg 65
H02/05
Premijer liga
Cibona
#5
W
90-85
90
85
+5
87avg 65
A10/05
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
71-97
71
97
-26
63avg 65
A15/05
Premijer liga
Split
#2
W
83-72
83
72
+11
74avg 65
H18/05
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
81-96
81
96
-15
74avg 65
A21/05
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-11
17-17
12-12
18-20
21-21
21-32
11-20
25-22
13-14
19-25
21-13
18-10
22-20
20-20
23-13
20-18
28-24
26-23
23-23
15-28
13-8
19-20
18-16
13-18
17-30
28-11
22-22
23-22
15-22
22-27
16-22
18-26
19-14
26-18
21-22
17-18
30-28
14-28
13-19
24-21
158.1Avg total
78.3Scored
79.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)78.379.8158.1-1.560%
Last 5 (5)77.682.4160.0-4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)73.780.6154.4-6.941%
vs Similar (8)75.570.9146.4+4.675%
vs Weaker (4)72.063.8135.8+8.275%
This opponent (Dubrava) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DubravaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDubrava
Date
Competition
Cibona
#5
L
92-96
92
96
-4
88avg 71
A14/03
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#3
W
91-88 OT
91
88
+3
74avg 71
H22/03
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
72-107
72
107
-35
65avg 71
A27/03
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
69-95
69
95
-26
55avg 71
H03/04
Premijer liga
Osijek
#12
W
100-91
100
91
+9
99avg 71
A09/04
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#10
L
69-71
69
71
-2
53avg 71
H13/04
Premijer liga
Alkar
#7
L
71-85
71
85
-14
54avg 71
A19/04
Premijer liga
Zabok
#8
L
100-105
100
105
-5
96avg 71
H26/04
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#11
L
86-96
86
96
-10
77avg 71
A04/05
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#4
L
70-96
70
96
-26
60avg 71
A09/05
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-21
24-29
21-17
27-29
26-20
17-25
17-21
22-16
20-32
21-25
11-24
20-26
13-24
23-26
17-19
16-26
25-27
19-23
29-19
27-22
17-27
15-18
18-17
19-9
20-22
20-20
13-23
18-20
24-28
26-24
22-30
28-23
21-31
16-19
27-20
22-26
23-20
23-25
15-25
9-26
175.0Avg total
82.0Scored
93.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)82.093.0175.0-11.020%
Last 5 (5)79.290.6169.8-11.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)75.691.9167.6-16.312%
vs Similar (10)82.181.4163.5+0.740%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)95.383.7179.0+11.7100%
This opponent (Alkar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -4.3-4.3Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -1.5-1.5
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -4.3-4.3Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -1.5-1.5
AlkarDubrava
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AlkarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H04/04
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#11
L
42-53
42
53
-11
A08/04
Premijer liga
Zabok
#8
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A13/04
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#9
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H19/04
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#4
W
54-47
54
47
+7
A25/04
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
W
32-28
32
28
+4
H02/05
Premijer liga
Cibona
#5
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A10/05
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A15/05
Premijer liga
Split
#2
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H18/05
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
44-56
44
56
-12
A21/05
Premijer liga
82.5Avg total
41.2Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.339.177.4-0.850%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.537.073.5-0.553%-
Last 30 away (15)40.141.281.3-1.147%-
Last 10 (10)41.241.382.5-0.160%-
Last 5 (5)40.641.281.8-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)38.641.479.9-2.847%-
vs Similar (8)39.038.977.9+0.150%-
vs Weaker (4)33.830.864.5+3.050%-
This opponent (Dubrava) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DubravaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cibona
#5
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A14/03
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#3
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H22/03
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
41-57
41
57
-16
A27/03
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
36-50
36
50
-14
H03/04
Premijer liga
Osijek
#12
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A09/04
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#10
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H13/04
Premijer liga
Alkar
#7
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A19/04
Premijer liga
Zabok
#8
L
50-52
50
52
-2
H26/04
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#11
L
37-50
37
50
-13
A04/05
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#4
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A09/05
Premijer liga
89.9Avg total
41.3Scored
48.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.545.687.1-4.227%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.943.985.8-1.936%-
Last 30 away (16)41.147.288.2-6.119%-
Last 10 (10)41.348.689.9-7.310%-
Last 5 (5)41.046.887.8-5.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)39.647.186.8-7.512%-
vs Similar (10)42.443.686.0-1.240%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)47.743.090.7+4.767%-
This opponent (Alkar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alkartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alkar: 77.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.916.9
48.4%
53.2%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.49.7
35.4%
34.2%29.1
🏀 Free throws18.614.4
77.4%
74.3%14.4
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dubravatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dubrava: 80.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.520.6
50.9%
53.2%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.08.4
35.0%
34.2%25.2
🏀 Free throws19.814.4
72.7%
74.3%14.4
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Sep 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alkar
LWLWWLWWLW
Dubrava
LLLLLWLLWL
#9
League position
#6
-2.3
Net rating
-14.9
106.1
Offensive rating
105.7
108.4
Defensive rating
120.6
50.5%
Effective FG%
51.5%
52.3%
Opp. effective FG%
57.7%
17.3%
Turnover %
16.5%
27.4%
Off. rebound %
25.1%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.31
35.4%
3-point %
35.0%
60.2%
Assist %
60.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence106.1 · 105.7Defence108.4 · 120.6Shooting50.5% · 51.5%3-point %35.4% · 35.0%Ball care17.3% · 16.5%Off. rebounds27.4% · 25.1%Free throws0.30 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Alkar   ■ Dubrava
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Alkar wins
4
Dubrava wins
DateGameScore
19/04/25Alkar v Dubrava85-71
04/01/25Alkar v Dubrava81-71
20/10/24Dubrava v Alkar83-69
30/03/24Alkar v Dubrava81-89
09/12/23Alkar v Dubrava74-73 OT
30/09/23Dubrava v Alkar91-100
15/01/23Alkar v Dubrava76-84
23/10/22Dubrava v Alkar72-90
30/04/22Alkar v Dubrava72-79
03/04/22Dubrava v Alkar64-88
Alkarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/05/25ASplit81-96
18/05/25HSplit83-72
15/05/25ASplit71-97
10/05/25ACibona90-85
02/05/25HDinamo Zagreb63-62
25/04/25AKvarner92-98
19/04/25HDubrava85-71
13/04/25AZabok71-62
08/04/25ADubrovnik78-95
04/04/25HGKK Sibenka69-60
Dubravalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/05/25AKvarner70-96
04/05/25ADubrovnik86-96
26/04/25HZabok100-105
19/04/25AAlkar71-85
13/04/25HGKK Sibenka69-71
09/04/25AOsijek100-91
03/04/25HZadar69-95
27/03/25ASplit72-107
22/03/25HCedevita Junior91-88 OT
14/03/25ACibona92-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alkar
Premijer liga 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Dubrava
Premijer liga 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cedevita Junior110100%90.073.0+17.0
2 Zabok110100%67.053.0+14.0
3 Zadar110100%86.078.0+8.0
4 Split110100%75.071.0+4.0
5 Samobor1010%71.075.0-4.0
6 Cibona1010%78.086.0-8.0
7 Kvarner1010%53.067.0-14.0
8 GKK Sibenka1010%73.090.0-17.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alkar1724192282
Dubrava2314122574
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