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Alkar vs Dubrava Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 81-71
18-32 25-13 20-11 18-15
Position#7
Record3-10
FormLWWLL
Points / game68.5
Allowed / game77.6
Alkar 🏆
Croatia
vs
Position#9
Record6-8
FormLLWLW
Points / game75.2
Allowed / game80.2
CroatiaPremijer ligaRound 15· GSD Ivica Glavan-Ico
Other2024-25
Meetings · Alkar v Dubrava
20 Nov 2026
ALKA v DUBR
upcoming
27 Sep 2025
ALKA82
DUBR74
19 Apr 2025
ALKA85
DUBR71
04 Jan 2025
ALKA81
DUBR71
30 Mar 2024
ALKA81
DUBR89
09 Dec 2023
ALKA74
DUBR73
15 Jan 2023
ALKA76
DUBR84
30 Apr 2022
ALKA72
DUBR79
24 Oct 2021
ALKA68
DUBR78
20 Mar 2021
ALKA92
DUBR66
19 Sep 2020
ALKA94
DUBR89
09 Nov 2019
ALKA93
DUBR76
05 Feb 2011
ALKA87
DUBR71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alkar winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dubrava winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlkarCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlkar
Date
Competition
Osijek
#12
W
84-74
84
74
+10
78avg 69
H27/10
Premijer liga
Cibona
#5
L
75-84
75
84
-9
67avg 69
A30/10
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
57-80
57
80
-23
47avg 69
H02/11
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#11
L
55-64
55
64
-9
42avg 69
A09/11
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#3
L
63-65
63
65
-2
52avg 69
H16/11
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#10
L
67-75 OT
67
75
-8
53avg 69
A30/11
Premijer liga
Skrljevo
#15
W
85-70
85
70
+15
84avg 69
A03/12
Croatian Cup
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
W
88-80
88
80
+8
85avg 69
H08/12
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
61-71
61
71
-10
54avg 69
H15/12
Premijer liga
Zabok
#8
L
78-82
78
82
-4
70avg 69
A29/12
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-25
29-15
10-15
21-19
17-25
18-18
20-20
20-21
25-12
8-27
18-18
6-23
24-16
5-17
12-10
14-21
11-24
26-11
14-14
12-16
15-13
15-13
15-23
19-15
18-21
27-15
20-19
20-15
18-26
32-23
16-10
22-21
17-18
13-24
26-15
5-14
23-23
19-18
21-17
15-24
145.8Avg total
71.3Scored
74.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)68.577.6146.1-9.223%
Season at home (6)72.574.3146.8-1.850%
Season away (7)65.080.4145.4-15.40%
Last 10 (10)71.374.5145.8-3.230%
Last 5 (5)75.875.6151.4+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)69.982.1152.0-12.112%
vs Similar ◀ (9)73.779.0152.7-5.322%
vs Weaker (4)99.568.8168.2+30.8100%
This opponent (Dubrava) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DubravaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDubrava
Date
Competition
Kvarner
#4
L
70-98
70
98
-28
56avg 70
A29/10
Premijer liga
Osijek
#12
W
84-70
84
70
+14
78avg 70
H02/11
Premijer liga
Cibona
#5
L
80-90
80
90
-10
71avg 70
A12/11
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
78-87
78
87
-9
75avg 70
H17/11
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#11
W
83-76
83
76
+7
76avg 70
A30/11
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#3
L
73-89
73
89
-16
66avg 70
H07/12
Premijer liga
Cibona
#4
L
72-81
72
81
-9
62avg 70
A11/12
Croatian Cup
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
73-63
73
63
+10
66avg 70
H14/12
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
L
67-84
67
84
-17
55avg 70
A20/12
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
W
68-61
68
61
+7
58avg 70
H29/12
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-20
18-29
24-25
8-24
24-14
17-15
19-17
24-24
12-21
23-19
16-26
29-24
27-24
22-25
11-17
18-21
22-25
23-21
13-19
25-11
14-27
17-23
16-23
26-16
19-28
24-22
21-17
8-14
18-29
22-5
13-19
20-10
24-24
10-20
15-21
18-19
12-16
17-15
13-18
26-12
154.7Avg total
74.8Scored
79.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)75.280.2155.4-5.043%
Season at home (7)75.674.1149.7+1.457%
Season away (7)74.986.3161.1-11.429%
Last 10 (10)74.879.9154.7-5.140%
Last 5 (5)70.675.6146.2-5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)74.285.9160.1-11.718%
vs Similar ◀ (9)76.969.1146.0+7.889%
vs Weaker (3)98.387.7186.0+10.7100%
This opponent (Alkar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -3.6-3.6Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -4.1-4.1Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: +2.7+2.7
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -3.6-3.6Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -4.1-4.1Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: +2.7+2.7
AlkarDubrava
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AlkarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Osijek
#12
W
53-40
53
40
+13
H27/10
Premijer liga
Cibona
#5
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A30/10
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H02/11
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#11
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A09/11
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#3
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H16/11
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
30-26
30
26
+4
A30/11
Premijer liga
Skrljevo
#15
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A03/12
Croatian Cup
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H08/12
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H15/12
Premijer liga
Zabok
#8
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A29/12
Premijer liga
76.8Avg total
38.4Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.240.178.3-2.047%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.541.379.8-2.846%-
Last 30 away (17)37.939.277.2-1.347%-
Last 10 (10)38.438.476.8+0.060%-
Last 5 (5)39.438.878.2+0.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)35.742.778.4-7.025%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)35.238.974.1-3.756%-
vs Weaker (4)53.033.886.8+19.2100%-
This opponent (Dubrava) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DubravaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kvarner
#4
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A29/10
Premijer liga
Osijek
#12
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H02/11
Premijer liga
Cibona
#5
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A12/11
Premijer liga
Split
#2
D
49-49
49
49
+0
H17/11
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#11
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A30/11
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#3
L
31-50
31
50
-19
H07/12
Premijer liga
Cibona
#4
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A11/12
Croatian Cup
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H14/12
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A20/12
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H29/12
Premijer liga
80.7Avg total
38.5Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.340.478.7-2.130%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.337.675.9+0.643%-
Last 30 away (16)38.242.881.1-4.619%-
Last 10 (10)38.542.280.7-3.720%-
Last 5 (5)35.441.877.2-6.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)35.842.678.5-6.818%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)38.634.272.8+4.344%-
vs Weaker (3)49.743.092.7+6.767%-
This opponent (Alkar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alkartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alkar: 70.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.3 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.017.9
49.7%
53.5%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.58.8
32.0%
34.6%26.4
🏀 Free throws11.78.3
70.9%
73.3%8.3
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dubravatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dubrava: 74.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.920.2
49.4%
53.5%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.07.1
32.3%
34.6%21.3
🏀 Free throws17.612.3
69.9%
73.3%12.3
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alkar
LLWWLLLLLW
Dubrava
WLWLLWLLWL
#7
League position
#9
-4.4
Net rating
-6.6
97.3
Offensive rating
99.8
101.7
Defensive rating
106.4
49.0%
Effective FG%
49.0%
50.8%
Opp. effective FG%
54.7%
19.5%
Turnover %
17.4%
27.1%
Off. rebound %
24.5%
0.18
Free-throw rate
0.28
32.0%
3-point %
32.3%
61.8%
Assist %
64.1%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence97.3 · 99.8Defence101.7 · 106.4Shooting49.0% · 49.0%3-point %32.0% · 32.3%Ball care19.5% · 17.4%Off. rebounds27.1% · 24.5%Free throws0.18 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Alkar   ■ Dubrava
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Alkar wins
5
Dubrava wins
DateGameScore
20/10/24Dubrava v Alkar83-69
30/03/24Alkar v Dubrava81-89
09/12/23Alkar v Dubrava74-73 OT
30/09/23Dubrava v Alkar91-100
15/01/23Alkar v Dubrava76-84
23/10/22Dubrava v Alkar72-90
30/04/22Alkar v Dubrava72-79
03/04/22Dubrava v Alkar64-88
21/01/22Dubrava v Alkar69-76
24/10/21Alkar v Dubrava68-78
Alkarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/24AZabok78-82
15/12/24HZadar61-71
08/12/24HDinamo Zagreb88-80
03/12/24ASkrljevo85-70
30/11/24AGKK Sibenka67-75 OT
16/11/24HCedevita Junior63-65
09/11/24ADubrovnik55-64
02/11/24HSplit57-80
30/10/24ACibona75-84
27/10/24HOsijek84-74
Dubravalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/24HZadar68-61
20/12/24ADinamo Zagreb67-84
14/12/24HGKK Sibenka73-63
11/12/24ACibona72-81
07/12/24HCedevita Junior73-89
30/11/24ADubrovnik83-76
17/11/24HSplit78-87
12/11/24ACibona80-90
02/11/24HOsijek84-70
29/10/24AKvarner70-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alkar
Premijer liga 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL23%
HomeWLLWL50%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %23%50%0%
Points / game68.572.565.0
Allowed / game77.674.380.4
Point differential-9.2-1.8-15.4
Avg total146.1146.8145.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %8%0%14%
Dubrava
Premijer liga 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW43%
HomeWLLWW57%
AwayLLLWL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %43%57%29%
Points / game75.275.674.9
Allowed / game80.274.186.3
Point differential-5.0+1.4-11.4
Avg total155.4149.7161.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%43%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zadar1413193%79.462.6+16.9
2 Split1310377%90.576.9+13.6
3 Cedevita Junior1410471%83.475.1+8.3
4 Cibona159660%84.778.9+5.7
5 Kvarner137654%82.080.2+1.8
6 Dinamo Zagreb157847%84.385.6-1.3
7 Dubrava146843%75.280.2-5.0
8 Zabok146843%77.985.2-7.4
9 GKK Sibenka135838%74.582.4-7.9
10 Dubrovnik1331023%73.979.7-5.8
11 Alkar1331023%68.577.6-9.2
12 Osijek1331023%72.684.2-11.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alkar1825201881
Dubrava3213111571
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