Alkar vs Gorica Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Dec 2019

Tip-off: 18:00

Final 77-84

17-22 21-24 19-12 20-26

Position#8

Record6-6

FormLLWWW

Points / game82.6

Allowed / game86.0

Alkar

Gorica 🏆

Position#4

Record8-4

FormWLLWL

Points / game79.8

Allowed / game71.2

Premijer ligaRound 13

Other2019-20

Meetings · Alkar v Gorica

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alkar winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Gorica winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alkar

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Zabok

76-73

H12/10

Premijer liga

Skrljevo

#10

74-87

-13

A19/10

Premijer liga

Cibona

81-98

-17

H27/10

Premijer liga

Zadar

93-116

116

-23

A31/10

Premijer liga

Dubrava

#11

93-76

+17

H09/11

Premijer liga

Split

69-99

-30

A16/11

Premijer liga

Osijek

89-90

-1

H23/11

Premijer liga

GKK Sibenka

87-73

+14

H01/12

Premijer liga

Hermes

#12

79-76

A08/12

Premijer liga

Sonik Puntamika

74-64

+10

A14/12

Premijer liga

17-17

20-13

12-25

27-18

20-18

17-25

17-26

20-18

27-26

19-26

15-30

20-16

21-28

20-23

27-29

25-36

29-24

26-10

21-25

17-17

17-20

15-26

14-20

23-33

23-19

22-32

27-21

17-18

17-15

20-18

24-14

26-26

22-13

15-20

18-29

24-14

21-15

13-20

21-11

19-18

166.7Avg total

81.5Scored

85.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (12)	82.6	86.0	168.6	-3.4	50%
Season at home (6)	88.0	83.2	171.2	+4.8	67%
Season away (6)	77.2	88.8	166.0	-11.7	33%
Last 10 (10)	81.5	85.2	166.7	-3.7	50%
Last 5 (5)	79.6	80.4	160.0	-0.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	77.5	93.9	171.5	-16.4	23%
vs Similar (5)	84.6	79.6	164.2	+5.0	80%
vs Weaker (2)	86.0	76.0	162.0	+10.0	100%

This opponent (Gorica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Gorica

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

GKK Sibenka

82-58

+24

A11/10

Premijer liga

Hermes

#12

85-66

+19

H19/10

Premijer liga

Sonik Puntamika

74-67

A27/10

Premijer liga

Osijek

96-95

A02/11

Premijer liga

Zabok

87-63

+24

H09/11

Premijer liga

Skrljevo

#10

91-72

+19

A15/11

Premijer liga

Cibona

50-75

-25

H22/11

Premijer liga

Zadar

61-67

-6

A01/12

Premijer liga

Dubrava

#11

95-60

+35

H07/12

Premijer liga

Split

81-87

-6

H14/12

Premijer liga

14-17

25-14

19-11

24-16

20-20

21-15

25-19

19-12

18-19

19-13

20-19

17-16

24-19

25-20

19-34

28-22

25-16

19-11

17-21

26-15

23-18

15-18

23-21

30-15

11-17

13-19

19-16

7-23

14-18

21-17

16-16

10-16

20-5

24-18

30-21

21-16

19-32

20-19

21-20

151.2Avg total

80.2Scored

71.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (12)	79.8	71.2	151.1	+8.6	67%
Season at home (6)	81.5	70.8	152.3	+10.7	67%
Season away (6)	78.2	71.7	149.8	+6.5	67%
Last 10 (10)	80.2	71.0	151.2	+9.2	70%
Last 5 (5)	75.6	72.2	147.8	+3.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	65.6	75.0	140.6	-9.4	40%
vs Similar (12)	78.9	82.4	161.3	-3.5	33%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	93.9	72.8	166.7	+21.2	100%

This opponent (Alkar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AlkarGorica

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.4	22.1	41.4	-2.7	38%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.4	21.1	42.5	+0.4	57%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.5	23.0	40.5	-5.5	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	19.5	40.9	+1.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	16.4	36.4	+3.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	18.6	22.9	41.5	-4.3	27%	-
vs Similar (5)	20.4	19.8	40.2	+0.6	60%	-
vs Weaker (2)	25.5	18.5	44.0	+7.0	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.6	18.8	38.4	+0.8	45%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.8	18.1	38.9	+2.6	57%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.5	19.4	37.9	-0.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	16.5	35.5	+2.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	14.8	32.6	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	14.4	21.4	35.8	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar (12)	17.2	20.1	37.2	-2.9	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	24.2	16.4	40.6	+7.8	75%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.0	22.6	40.6	-4.6	17%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.9	20.8	39.6	-1.9	29%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.1	24.3	41.4	-7.1	7%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	21.3	40.0	-2.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	23.2	40.2	-6.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	18.1	23.7	41.8	-5.6	14%	-
vs Similar (5)	16.4	20.8	37.2	-4.4	20%	-
vs Weaker (2)	20.5	15.0	35.5	+5.5	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	21.2	18.6	39.8	+2.6	66%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.6	19.0	40.6	+2.6	64%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.8	18.3	39.1	+2.5	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	17.7	37.8	+2.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	20.8	39.2	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	20.2	16.4	36.6	+3.8	60%	-
vs Similar (12)	19.8	21.8	41.6	-1.9	42%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	22.9	16.4	39.3	+6.5	92%	-

AlkarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Zabok

37-30

H12/10

Premijer liga

Skrljevo

#10

37-43

-6

A19/10

Premijer liga

Cibona

46-52

-6

H27/10

Premijer liga

Zadar

41-51

-10

A31/10

Premijer liga

Dubrava

#11

55-34

+21

H09/11

Premijer liga

Split

32-46

-14

A16/11

Premijer liga

Osijek

45-51

-6

H23/11

Premijer liga

GKK Sibenka

37-33

H01/12

Premijer liga

Hermes

#12

37-33

A08/12

Premijer liga

Sonik Puntamika

34-35

-1

A14/12

Premijer liga

80.9Avg total

40.1Scored

40.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	37.3	44.7	82.0	-7.3	21%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.3	41.9	82.1	-1.6	36%	-
Last 30 away (15)	34.6	47.3	81.9	-12.7	7%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.1	40.8	80.9	-0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.0	39.6	76.6	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	36.7	46.6	83.3	-9.9	18%	-
vs Similar (5)	36.8	40.6	77.4	-3.8	0%	-
vs Weaker (2)	46.0	33.5	79.5	+12.5	100%	-

This opponent (Gorica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

GoricaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

GKK Sibenka

39-31

A11/10

Premijer liga

Hermes

#12

41-35

H19/10

Premijer liga

Sonik Puntamika

37-32

A27/10

Premijer liga

Osijek

49-39

+10

A02/11

Premijer liga

Zabok

44-27

+17

H09/11

Premijer liga

Skrljevo

#10

38-36

A15/11

Premijer liga

Cibona

24-36

-12

H22/11

Premijer liga

Zadar

35-35

A01/12

Premijer liga

Dubrava

#11

44-23

+21

H07/12

Premijer liga

Split

40-48

-8

H14/12

Premijer liga

73.3Avg total

39.1Scored

34.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	40.8	37.4	78.2	+3.3	62%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.4	37.1	79.5	+5.2	64%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.3	37.7	76.9	+1.6	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.1	34.2	73.3	+4.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.2	35.6	71.8	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	34.6	37.8	72.4	-3.2	40%	-
vs Similar (12)	37.0	41.8	78.8	-4.8	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	47.1	32.8	79.9	+14.2	100%	-

This opponent (Alkar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.5	23.1	43.6	-2.6	38%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.9	21.1	43.0	+0.7	57%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.2	24.9	44.1	-5.7	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	23.0	42.6	-3.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	19.0	39.8	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	19.8	23.8	43.5	-4.0	32%	-
vs Similar (5)	24.0	18.4	42.4	+5.6	80%	-
vs Weaker (2)	19.5	27.0	46.5	-7.5	0%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	21.4	20.5	41.9	+0.9	52%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.9	20.1	43.0	+2.7	64%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.1	20.8	40.9	-0.7	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	19.7	40.5	+1.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	18.6	40.2	+3.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	18.0	18.4	36.4	-0.4	40%	-
vs Similar (12)	20.1	19.2	39.3	+0.8	42%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	24.2	22.6	46.8	+1.6	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	21.5	22.5	44.0	-1.0	38%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.2	22.9	45.1	-0.6	36%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.9	22.1	43.0	-1.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	21.4	43.2	+0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	21.8	43.6	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	21.1	23.5	44.6	-2.5	32%	-
vs Similar (5)	23.8	20.6	44.4	+3.2	60%	-
vs Weaker (2)	20.5	15.5	36.0	+5.0	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.7	19.2	39.9	+1.4	52%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.2	19.5	40.7	+1.7	64%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.1	19.0	39.1	+1.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	17.1	37.4	+3.2	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	18.0	35.8	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	13.0	18.8	31.8	-5.8	0%	-
vs Similar (12)	21.8	21.3	43.2	+0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	22.7	17.3	40.0	+5.3	75%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	42.0	45.6	87.6	-3.6	34%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	44.1	44.0	88.1	+0.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.1	47.0	87.1	-6.9	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.4	44.4	85.8	-3.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.6	40.8	83.4	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	40.9	47.3	88.2	-6.5	27%	-
vs Similar (5)	47.8	39.0	86.8	+8.8	80%	-
vs Weaker (2)	40.0	42.5	82.5	-2.5	0%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	42.1	39.7	81.8	+2.3	55%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	44.1	39.6	83.7	+4.4	64%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.2	39.8	80.0	+0.4	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.1	36.8	77.9	+4.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.4	36.6	76.0	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	31.0	37.2	68.2	-6.2	20%	-
vs Similar (12)	41.9	40.6	82.5	+1.3	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	46.8	39.9	86.8	+6.9	75%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Alkar wins

Gorica wins

Date	Game	Score
05/10/19	Gorica v Alkar	91-74
30/03/19	Gorica v Alkar	104-79
24/11/18	Alkar v Gorica	85-64
25/02/17	Gorica v Alkar	94-67
05/11/16	Alkar v Gorica	95-78
19/03/16	Alkar v Gorica	64-67
05/12/15	Gorica v Alkar	95-74
24/01/15	Alkar v Gorica	81-79
26/10/14	Gorica v Alkar	87-67

Alkarlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
14/12/19	A	Sonik Puntamika	74-64
08/12/19	A	Hermes	79-76
01/12/19	H	GKK Sibenka	87-73
23/11/19	H	Osijek	89-90
16/11/19	A	Split	69-99
09/11/19	H	Dubrava	93-76
31/10/19	A	Zadar	93-116
27/10/19	H	Cibona	81-98
19/10/19	A	Skrljevo	74-87
12/10/19	H	Zabok	76-73

Goricalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
14/12/19	H	Split	81-87
07/12/19	H	Dubrava	95-60
01/12/19	A	Zadar	61-67
22/11/19	H	Cibona	50-75
15/11/19	A	Skrljevo	91-72
09/11/19	H	Zabok	87-63
02/11/19	A	Osijek	96-95
27/10/19	A	Sonik Puntamika	74-67
19/10/19	H	Hermes	85-66
11/10/19	A	GKK Sibenka	82-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alkar

Premijer liga 2019-20

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWW	50%
Home	WLWLW	67%
Away	LLLWW	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	12	6	6
Win %	50%	67%	33%
Points / game	82.6	88.0	77.2
Allowed / game	86.0	83.2	88.8
Point differential	-3.4	+4.8	-11.7
Avg total	168.6	171.2	166.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	33%	50%	17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	50% (2)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Gorica

Premijer liga 2019-20

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWL	67%
Home	WWLWL	67%
Away	WWWWL	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	12	6	6
Win %	67%	67%	67%
Points / game	79.8	81.5	78.2
Allowed / game	71.2	70.8	71.7
Point differential	+8.6	+10.7	+6.5
Avg total	151.1	152.3	149.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	67%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	-	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Zadar	13	12	1	92%	91.2	73.2	+18.1
2	Cibona	13	11	2	85%	97.6	73.5	+24.1
3	Gorica	12	8	4	67%	79.8	71.2	+8.6
4	Split	12	8	4	67%	83.5	78.0	+5.5
5	Osijek	13	8	5	62%	89.3	92.1	-2.8
6	GKK Sibenka	13	7	6	54%	77.9	77.2	+0.8
7	Alkar	12	6	6	50%	82.6	86.0	-3.4
8	Zabok	12	5	7	42%	83.4	79.6	+3.8
9	Sonik Puntamika	13	4	9	31%	76.9	84.2	-7.2
10	Dubrava	12	3	9	25%	78.1	94.6	-16.5
11	Skrljevo	12	2	10	17%	73.6	89.9	-16.3
12	Hermes	13	1	12	8%	71.4	87.4	-16.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Alkar	17	21	19	20	77
Gorica	22	24	12	26	84

← all games of the day

Alkar vs Gorica Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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