Alkar vs Gorica Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Jan 2021

Tip-off: 18:00

Final 73-74

18-15 15-9 17-27 23-23

Position#10

Record4-10

FormWLLLL

Points / game81.1

Allowed / game90.6

Alkar

Gorica 🏆

Position#4

Record11-3

FormLLWWW

Points / game86.1

Allowed / game73.9

Premijer ligaRound 17

Other2020-21

Meetings · Alkar v Gorica

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alkar winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Gorica winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alkar

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

GKK Sibenka

112-102 OT

112

102

+10

H24/10

Premijer liga

Osijek

86-99

-13

H31/10

Premijer liga

Skrljevo

74-95

-21

A09/11

Premijer liga

Sonik Puntamika

85-94

-9

H14/11

Premijer liga

Hermes

#12

88-75

+13

A21/11

Premijer liga

Dubrava

#11

98-83

+15

A13/12

Premijer liga

Cibona

62-96

-34

A14/12

Croatian Cup

Zabok

82-83

-1

A19/12

Premijer liga

Gorica

75-98

-23

A28/12

Premijer liga

Split

69-92

-23

H30/12

Premijer liga

24-28

22-27

22-18

21-16

21-32

26-27

19-21

20-19

22-26

16-32

18-18

18-19

16-32

23-17

21-28

25-17

20-22

22-14

21-22

25-17

26-12

22-20

28-25

22-26

17-21

19-28

18-23

8-24

21-18

21-21

22-23

18-21

20-26

21-24

10-22

24-26

25-22

14-21

20-26

10-23

174.8Avg total

83.1Scored

91.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (14)	81.1	90.6	171.7	-9.4	29%
Season at home (7)	83.6	94.1	177.7	-10.6	29%
Season away (7)	78.7	87.0	165.7	-8.3	29%
Last 10 (10)	83.1	91.7	174.8	-8.6	30%
Last 5 (5)	77.2	90.4	167.6	-13.2	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	72.9	90.8	163.7	-17.9	13%
vs Similar (10)	85.0	86.1	171.1	-1.1	50%
vs Weaker (4)	85.2	78.8	164.0	+6.5	75%

This opponent (Gorica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Gorica

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sloboda

0-20

-20

H18/11

ABA League 2

Osijek

106-86

106

+20

A19/11

Premijer liga

Dubrava

#11

78-84

-6

A22/11

Premijer liga

Hermes

#12

113-67

113

+46

H24/11

Premijer liga

Zabok

90-68

+22

H11/12

Premijer liga

Split

80-90

-10

H15/12

Croatian Cup

Zadar

55-74

-19

A18/12

Premijer liga

Alkar

#10

98-75

+23

H28/12

Premijer liga

GKK Sibenka

86-82

H30/12

Premijer liga

GKK Sibenka

79-67

+12

A05/01

Premijer liga

–

28-25

31-22

21-18

26-21

12-14

27-29

24-20

15-21

21-18

33-16

23-12

36-21

16-18

29-15

18-15

27-20

16-23

28-24

18-20

18-23

17-14

8-25

16-17

14-18

26-20

24-21

22-10

26-24

22-24

22-12

24-23

18-23

13-25

20-18

21-13

25-11

149.8Avg total

78.5Scored

71.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (14)	86.1	73.9	160.0	+12.1	79%
Season at home (7)	92.7	72.6	165.3	+20.1	100%
Season away (7)	79.4	75.3	154.7	+4.1	57%
Last 10 (10)	78.5	71.3	149.8	+7.2	60%
Last 5 (5)	79.6	77.6	157.2	+2.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	62.0	73.9	135.9	-11.9	38%
vs Similar (4)	19.8	33.2	53.0	-13.5	25%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	92.1	77.2	169.2	+14.9	82%

This opponent (Alkar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AlkarGorica

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	21.5	41.4	-1.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.0	23.0	44.0	-2.0	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.0	20.1	39.1	-1.1	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	23.9	45.1	-2.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	19.8	41.6	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	18.1	21.9	40.0	-3.9	27%	-
vs Similar (10)	22.3	21.4	43.7	+0.9	60%	-
vs Weaker (4)	21.8	20.0	41.8	+1.8	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	20.4	21.2	41.6	-0.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.3	21.6	43.9	+0.7	50%	-
Last 30 away (12)	18.2	20.8	38.9	-2.6	50%	-
Last 10 (9)	19.0	20.1	39.1	-1.1	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	21.2	40.0	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	18.9	23.1	42.0	-4.3	57%	-
vs Similar (1)	22.0	18.0	40.0	+4.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	21.2	20.5	41.6	+0.7	47%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	21.7	41.1	-2.4	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.9	21.8	42.7	-0.9	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.0	21.7	39.7	-3.7	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	23.1	43.7	-2.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	22.8	42.2	-3.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	17.9	22.4	40.3	-4.5	20%	-
vs Similar (10)	20.6	22.3	42.9	-1.7	40%	-
vs Weaker (4)	21.8	16.2	38.0	+5.5	75%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	22.8	20.2	43.0	+2.7	65%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	24.1	19.5	43.6	+4.6	79%	-
Last 30 away (12)	21.3	20.9	42.2	+0.4	50%	-
Last 10 (9)	24.7	20.2	44.9	+4.4	78%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	20.0	40.4	+0.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	17.9	22.0	39.9	-4.1	43%	-
vs Similar (1)	21.0	13.0	34.0	+8.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	24.7	19.6	44.3	+5.1	71%	-

AlkarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

GKK Sibenka

46-55

-9

H24/10

Premijer liga

Osijek

47-59

-12

H31/10

Premijer liga

Skrljevo

38-58

-20

A09/11

Premijer liga

Sonik Puntamika

39-49

-10

H14/11

Premijer liga

Hermes

#12

42-36

A21/11

Premijer liga

Dubrava

#11

48-32

+16

A13/12

Premijer liga

Cibona

36-49

-13

A14/12

Croatian Cup

Zabok

42-39

A19/12

Premijer liga

Gorica

41-50

-9

A28/12

Premijer liga

Split

39-43

-4

H30/12

Premijer liga

88.8Avg total

41.8Scored

47.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.3	43.2	82.5	-3.9	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.9	44.8	86.7	-2.9	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.0	41.8	78.8	-4.8	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.8	47.0	88.8	-5.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.2	42.6	83.8	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	36.0	44.3	80.3	-8.3	13%	-
vs Similar (10)	42.9	43.7	86.6	-0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (4)	43.5	36.2	79.8	+7.2	75%	-

This opponent (Gorica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

GoricaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Osijek

59-47

+12

A19/11

Premijer liga

Dubrava

#11

39-43

-4

A22/11

Premijer liga

Hermes

#12

54-34

+20

H24/11

Premijer liga

Zabok

45-33

+12

H11/12

Premijer liga

Split

44-47

-3

H15/12

Croatian Cup

Zadar

25-39

-14

A18/12

Premijer liga

Alkar

#10

50-41

H28/12

Premijer liga

GKK Sibenka

44-36

H30/12

Premijer liga

GKK Sibenka

33-43

-10

A05/01

Premijer liga

84.0Avg total

43.7Scored

40.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	43.2	41.3	84.6	+1.9	58%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	46.4	41.1	87.5	+5.4	79%	-
Last 30 away (12)	39.5	41.7	81.2	-2.2	33%	-
Last 10 (9)	43.7	40.3	84.0	+3.3	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.2	41.2	80.4	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	36.7	45.1	81.9	-8.4	29%	-
vs Similar (1)	43.0	31.0	74.0	+12.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	45.9	40.1	85.9	+5.8	71%	-

This opponent (Alkar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	22.4	41.4	-3.4	27%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.5	21.1	40.6	-1.6	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.6	23.5	42.1	-4.9	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	22.6	42.5	-2.7	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	23.8	43.4	-4.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	18.3	23.1	41.3	-4.8	27%	-
vs Similar (10)	19.6	20.5	40.1	-0.9	30%	-
vs Weaker (4)	20.8	24.5	45.2	-3.8	25%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	21.1	17.6	38.7	+3.5	65%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.1	17.1	39.1	+5.0	64%	-
Last 30 away (12)	20.0	18.2	38.2	+1.8	67%	-
Last 10 (9)	20.8	16.4	37.2	+4.3	78%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	16.6	36.8	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	17.4	18.7	36.1	-1.3	29%	-
vs Similar (1)	25.0	12.0	37.0	+13.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	22.6	17.4	39.9	+5.2	82%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	21.8	40.9	-2.6	30%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.1	20.9	41.0	-0.9	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.3	22.5	40.8	-4.2	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	20.8	39.9	-1.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	24.0	40.4	-7.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	18.7	23.4	42.1	-4.7	20%	-
vs Similar (10)	20.2	20.6	40.8	-0.4	40%	-
vs Weaker (4)	21.0	18.0	39.0	+3.0	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	21.0	19.7	40.8	+1.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.7	20.5	41.2	+0.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (12)	21.4	18.8	40.2	+2.6	50%	-
Last 10 (9)	22.8	20.2	43.0	+2.6	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	19.8	40.0	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	16.7	17.7	34.4	-1.0	29%	-
vs Similar (1)	11.0	30.0	41.0	-19.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	23.6	19.8	43.4	+3.8	65%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.2	44.2	82.3	-6.0	27%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.6	42.1	81.6	-2.5	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	36.9	46.0	82.9	-9.1	12%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.0	43.4	82.4	-4.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.0	47.8	83.8	-11.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	36.9	46.5	83.4	-9.5	27%	-
vs Similar (10)	39.8	41.1	80.9	-1.3	30%	-
vs Weaker (4)	41.8	42.5	84.2	-0.8	25%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	42.2	37.3	79.5	+4.8	54%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.8	37.6	80.4	+5.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (12)	41.4	37.1	78.5	+4.3	58%	-
Last 10 (9)	43.6	36.7	80.2	+6.9	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.4	36.4	76.8	+4.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	34.1	36.4	70.6	-2.3	29%	-
vs Similar (1)	36.0	42.0	78.0	-6.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	46.2	37.1	83.3	+9.1	71%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Alkar wins

Gorica wins

Date	Game	Score
28/12/20	Gorica v Alkar	98-75
21/12/19	Alkar v Gorica	77-84
05/10/19	Gorica v Alkar	91-74
30/03/19	Gorica v Alkar	104-79
24/11/18	Alkar v Gorica	85-64
25/02/17	Gorica v Alkar	94-67
05/11/16	Alkar v Gorica	95-78
19/03/16	Alkar v Gorica	64-67
05/12/15	Gorica v Alkar	95-74
24/01/15	Alkar v Gorica	81-79

Alkarlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
30/12/20	H	Split	69-92
28/12/20	A	Gorica	75-98
19/12/20	A	Zabok	82-83
14/12/20	A	Cibona	62-96
13/12/20	A	Dubrava	98-83
21/11/20	A	Hermes	88-75
14/11/20	H	Sonik Puntamika	85-94
09/11/20	A	Skrljevo	74-95
31/10/20	H	Osijek	86-99
24/10/20	H	GKK Sibenka	112-102 OT

Goricalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
05/01/21	A	GKK Sibenka	79-67
30/12/20	H	GKK Sibenka	86-82
28/12/20	H	Alkar	98-75
18/12/20	A	Zadar	55-74
15/12/20	H	Split	80-90
11/12/20	H	Zabok	90-68
24/11/20	H	Hermes	113-67
22/11/20	A	Dubrava	78-84
19/11/20	A	Osijek	106-86
18/11/20	H	Sloboda	0-20

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alkar

Premijer liga 2020-21

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLL	29%
Home	LWLLL	29%
Away	LWWLL	29%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	14	7	7
Win %	29%	29%	29%
Points / game	81.1	83.6	78.7
Allowed / game	90.6	94.1	87.0
Point differential	-9.4	-10.6	-8.3
Avg total	171.7	177.7	165.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	21%	14%	29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	100% (1)	0% (1)
Overtime %	7%	14%	0%

Gorica

Premijer liga 2020-21

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWW	79%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WWLLW	57%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	14	7	7
Win %	79%	100%	57%
Points / game	86.1	92.7	79.4
Allowed / game	73.9	72.6	75.3
Point differential	+12.1	+20.1	+4.1
Avg total	160.0	165.3	154.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	57%	57%	57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	100% (2)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Zadar	14	12	2	86%	82.0	66.1	+15.9
2	Gorica	14	11	3	79%	86.1	73.9	+12.1
3	Cibona	13	10	3	77%	89.4	71.5	+17.9
4	Split	14	10	4	71%	85.9	78.9	+7.1
5	Sonik Puntamika	15	10	5	67%	83.1	82.5	+0.6
6	Skrljevo	15	7	8	47%	77.7	82.5	-4.8
7	GKK Sibenka	14	6	8	43%	84.7	88.2	-3.5
8	Osijek	13	5	8	38%	82.2	87.5	-5.2
9	Zabok	16	6	10	38%	75.4	80.9	-5.5
10	Alkar	14	4	10	29%	81.1	90.6	-9.4
11	Dubrava	15	3	12	20%	84.1	89.4	-5.3
12	Hermes	15	2	13	13%	77.7	93.9	-16.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Alkar	18	15	17	23	73
Gorica	15	9	27	23	74

← all games of the day

Alkar vs Gorica Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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