Alkar vs Gorica Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 24 Jan 2015

Tip-off: 18:30

Final 81-79

21-28 16-21 22-16 22-14

Position#12

Record8-5

FormLLWLL

Points / game79.1

Allowed / game76.3

Alkar 🏆

Gorica

Position#11

Record6-6

FormWLLLW

Points / game75.6

Allowed / game74.8

Premijer ligaRound 15

Other2014-15

Meetings · Alkar v Gorica

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alkar winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Gorica winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alkar

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kvarner

92-78

+14

H31/10

Premijer liga

Slavonski Brod

#14

86-65

+21

A08/11

Premijer liga

GKK Sibenik

83-89

-6

H22/11

Premijer liga

Zagreb

89-87

A01/12

Premijer liga

Zabok

96-93

H06/12

Premijer liga

Kastela

#10

68-73

-5

A13/12

Premijer liga

Cibona

74-77

-3

H30/12

Croatian Cup

Split

73-67

A03/01

Premijer liga

Osijek

#13

81-89

-8

H10/01

Premijer liga

Jolly Sibenik

71-79

-8

A17/01

Premijer liga

15-16

21-19

27-22

29-21

30-20

24-17

14-12

18-16

23-22

24-20

15-23

21-24

21-13

24-17

21-31

23-26

19-18

26-34

33-24

18-17

15-20

19-20

19-16

15-17

27-23

12-21

20-17

15-16

17-15

14-16

15-22

27-14

14-22

23-31

20-11

24-25

15-22

19-13

17-21

20-23

161.0Avg total

81.3Scored

79.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (13)	79.1	76.3	155.4	+2.8	62%
Season at home (6)	82.2	78.3	160.5	+3.8	67%
Season away (7)	76.4	74.6	151.0	+1.9	57%
Last 10 (10)	81.3	79.7	161.0	+1.6	50%
Last 5 (5)	73.4	77.0	150.4	-3.6	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	72.9	80.9	153.8	-8.0	38%
vs Similar ◀ (14)	77.9	77.4	155.4	+0.5	50%
vs Weaker (2)	86.0	66.5	152.5	+19.5	100%

This opponent (Gorica) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Gorica

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

GKK Sibenik

70-86

-16

A29/10

Premijer liga

Zagreb

70-78

-8

H08/11

Premijer liga

Zabok

86-87

-1

A15/11

Premijer liga

Kastela

#10

109-77

109

+32

H22/11

Premijer liga

Split

87-83

A29/11

Premijer liga

Osijek

#13

94-82

+12

H07/12

Premijer liga

Jolly Sibenik

76-90

-14

A13/12

Premijer liga

Kvarner

86-95

-9

H30/12

Croatian Cup

Kvarner

69-93

-24

A10/01

Premijer liga

Slavonski Brod

#14

20-0

+20

H17/01

Premijer liga

18-19

21-20

14-15

17-32

15-16

15-26

17-25

23-11

31-11

17-24

22-24

16-28

34-10

25-22

23-23

27-22

15-20

23-23

27-21

22-19

21-20

23-24

28-18

22-20

22-9

17-31

15-27

22-23

21-19

18-30

23-28

24-18

25-22

17-24

10-19

17-28

–

153.8Avg total

76.7Scored

77.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (12)	75.6	74.8	150.4	+0.8	50%
Season at home (6)	74.5	64.7	139.2	+9.8	67%
Season away (6)	76.7	85.0	161.7	-8.3	33%
Last 10 (10)	76.7	77.1	153.8	-0.4	40%
Last 5 (5)	69.0	72.0	141.0	-3.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	69.2	80.2	149.4	-11.0	0%
vs Similar ◀ (22)	77.8	77.5	155.4	+0.3	50%
vs Weaker (2)	46.0	35.5	81.5	+10.5	100%

This opponent (Alkar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AlkarGorica

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.1	20.2	38.3	-2.1	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.9	19.9	37.9	-2.0	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.3	20.5	38.8	-2.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	19.1	38.7	+0.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	20.4	38.0	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	17.5	19.6	37.1	-2.2	46%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	16.9	20.6	37.4	-3.7	14%	-
vs Weaker (2)	26.5	20.5	47.0	+6.0	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (14)	20.6	17.2	37.8	+3.4	64%	-
Last 30 at home (7)	19.9	18.7	38.6	+1.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (7)	21.3	15.7	37.0	+5.6	71%	-
Last 10 (9)	22.4	16.2	38.7	+6.2	67%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	18.0	38.8	+2.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	15.0	16.0	31.0	-1.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	21.1	17.3	38.4	+3.8	64%	-
vs Weaker (1)	20.0	16.0	36.0	+4.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	20.4	40.1	-0.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.7	21.3	42.1	-0.6	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.7	19.5	38.1	-0.8	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	20.8	41.4	-0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	20.2	37.6	-2.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	18.0	20.3	38.3	-2.3	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	21.6	21.5	43.1	+0.1	43%	-
vs Weaker (2)	21.5	13.0	34.5	+8.5	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (14)	19.5	22.8	42.3	-3.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (7)	21.3	22.6	43.9	-1.3	57%	-
Last 30 away (7)	17.7	23.0	40.7	-5.3	29%	-
Last 10 (9)	19.6	24.9	44.4	-5.3	22%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	26.4	46.0	-6.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	15.0	26.0	41.0	-11.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	20.0	22.3	42.3	-2.3	45%	-
vs Weaker (1)	20.0	18.0	38.0	+2.0	100%	-

AlkarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kvarner

36-35

H31/10

Premijer liga

Slavonski Brod

#14

54-37

+17

A08/11

Premijer liga

GKK Sibenik

47-42

H22/11

Premijer liga

Zagreb

45-30

+15

A01/12

Premijer liga

Zabok

45-52

-7

H06/12

Premijer liga

Kastela

#10

34-40

-6

A13/12

Premijer liga

Cibona

39-44

-5

H30/12

Croatian Cup

Split

31-31

A03/01

Premijer liga

Osijek

#13

37-53

-16

H10/01

Premijer liga

Jolly Sibenik

34-35

-1

A17/01

Premijer liga

80.1Avg total

40.2Scored

39.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.8	40.6	78.4	-2.8	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.7	41.3	79.9	-2.6	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.9	40.0	76.9	-3.1	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.2	39.9	80.1	+0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.0	40.6	75.6	-5.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	35.5	39.9	75.4	-4.5	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	38.4	42.1	80.5	-3.6	29%	-
vs Weaker (2)	48.0	33.5	81.5	+14.5	100%	-

This opponent (Gorica) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

GoricaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

GKK Sibenik

39-39

A29/10

Premijer liga

Zagreb

30-42

-12

H08/11

Premijer liga

Zabok

48-35

+13

A15/11

Premijer liga

Kastela

#10

59-32

+27

H22/11

Premijer liga

Split

38-43

-5

A29/11

Premijer liga

Osijek

#13

44-44

H07/12

Premijer liga

Jolly Sibenik

39-40

-1

A13/12

Premijer liga

Kvarner

39-49

-10

H30/12

Croatian Cup

Kvarner

42-46

-4

A10/01

Premijer liga

83.1Avg total

42.0Scored

41.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (14)	40.1	40.0	80.1	+0.1	29%	-
Last 30 at home (7)	41.1	41.3	82.4	-0.1	29%	-
Last 30 away (7)	39.0	38.7	77.7	+0.3	29%	-
Last 10 (9)	42.0	41.1	83.1	+0.9	22%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.4	44.4	84.8	-4.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	30.0	42.0	72.0	-12.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	41.1	39.5	80.6	+1.5	27%	-
vs Weaker (1)	40.0	34.0	74.0	+6.0	100%	-

This opponent (Alkar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	18.9	37.7	-0.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.3	18.1	38.3	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.3	19.7	37.1	-2.4	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	19.9	40.0	+0.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	17.4	35.6	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	17.2	21.3	38.5	-4.2	23%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	20.1	16.9	37.1	+3.2	71%	-
vs Weaker (2)	19.5	18.0	37.5	+1.5	100%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (14)	19.9	20.4	40.3	-0.6	43%	-
Last 30 at home (7)	22.3	20.7	43.0	+1.6	57%	-
Last 30 away (7)	17.4	20.1	37.6	-2.7	29%	-
Last 10 (9)	19.9	22.2	42.1	-2.3	22%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	22.6	43.2	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	17.0	25.0	42.0	-8.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	19.7	19.4	39.1	+0.4	45%	-
vs Weaker (1)	21.0	20.0	41.0	+1.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	18.4	37.6	+0.8	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.8	17.3	36.1	+1.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.6	19.5	39.1	+0.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	19.9	40.9	+1.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	19.0	39.2	+1.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	20.3	19.7	40.0	+0.6	46%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	18.6	17.8	36.4	+0.8	43%	-
vs Weaker (2)	18.5	15.0	33.5	+3.5	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (14)	19.1	21.2	40.4	-2.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (7)	20.7	17.7	38.4	+3.0	71%	-
Last 30 away (7)	17.6	24.7	42.3	-7.1	14%	-
Last 10 (9)	21.1	22.3	43.4	-1.2	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	21.6	43.0	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	23.0	11.0	34.0	+12.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	19.1	22.8	41.9	-3.7	36%	-
vs Weaker (1)	11.0	17.0	28.0	-6.0	0%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.0	37.3	75.3	+0.7	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.1	35.3	74.4	+3.7	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.9	39.2	76.1	-2.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.1	39.8	80.9	+1.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.4	36.4	74.8	+2.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	37.5	41.0	78.5	-3.5	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	38.7	34.7	73.4	+4.0	71%	-
vs Weaker (2)	38.0	33.0	71.0	+5.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (14)	39.0	41.6	80.6	-2.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (7)	43.0	38.4	81.4	+4.6	86%	-
Last 30 away (7)	35.0	44.9	79.9	-9.9	14%	-
Last 10 (9)	41.0	44.6	85.6	-3.6	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.0	44.2	86.2	-2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	40.0	36.0	76.0	+4.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	38.8	42.2	81.0	-3.4	45%	-
vs Weaker (1)	32.0	37.0	69.0	-5.0	0%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Alkar wins

Gorica wins

Date	Game	Score
26/10/14	Gorica v Alkar	87-67

Alkarlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/01/15	A	Jolly Sibenik	71-79
10/01/15	H	Osijek	81-89
03/01/15	A	Split	73-67
30/12/14	H	Cibona	74-77
13/12/14	A	Kastela	68-73
06/12/14	H	Zabok	96-93
01/12/14	A	Zagreb	89-87
22/11/14	H	GKK Sibenik	83-89
08/11/14	A	Slavonski Brod	86-65
31/10/14	H	Kvarner	92-78

Goricalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/01/15	H	Slavonski Brod	20-0
10/01/15	A	Kvarner	69-93
30/12/14	H	Kvarner	86-95
13/12/14	A	Jolly Sibenik	76-90
07/12/14	H	Osijek	94-82
29/11/14	A	Split	87-83
22/11/14	H	Kastela	109-77
15/11/14	A	Zabok	86-87
08/11/14	H	Zagreb	70-78
29/10/14	A	GKK Sibenik	70-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alkar

Premijer liga 2014-15

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLL	62%
Home	WWLWL	67%
Away	WWLWL	57%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	13	6	7
Win %	62%	67%	57%
Points / game	79.1	82.2	76.4
Allowed / game	76.3	78.3	74.6
Point differential	+2.8	+3.8	+1.9
Avg total	155.4	160.5	151.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	38%	50%	29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	100% (1)	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Gorica

Premijer liga 2014-15

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLW	50%
Home	WLWWW	67%
Away	LLWLL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	12	6	6
Win %	50%	67%	33%
Points / game	75.6	74.5	76.7
Allowed / game	74.8	64.7	85.0
Point differential	+0.8	+9.8	-8.3
Avg total	150.4	139.2	161.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	33%	67%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	-	67% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Kvarner	12	9	3	75%	84.5	78.5	+6.0
2	GKK Sibenik	14	10	4	71%	81.8	77.6	+4.1
3	Zagreb	13	8	5	62%	86.4	79.2	+7.2
4	Alkar	13	8	5	62%	79.1	76.3	+2.8
5	Zabok	13	7	6	54%	78.2	79.7	-1.5
6	Gorica	12	6	6	50%	75.6	74.8	+0.8
7	Jolly Sibenik	14	7	7	50%	73.1	73.1	+0.0
8	Kastela	13	5	8	38%	85.5	88.6	-3.2
9	Osijek	13	5	8	38%	69.1	72.5	-3.4
10	Split	14	5	9	36%	75.8	76.6	-0.8
11	Slavonski Brod	13	2	11	15%	54.5	66.3	-11.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Alkar	21	16	22	22	81
Gorica	28	21	16	14	79

← all games of the day

Alkar vs Gorica Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

Manage Cookies

Strictly Necessary

Functionality Cookies

Performance Cookies

Third Party Marketing/Targeting

A Pro feature