Alkar vs Kastela Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 10 May 2016

Tip-off: 17:00

Final 81-79

18-19 18-33 26-16 19-11

Position#10

Record13-16

FormWWWLL

Points / game72.3

Allowed / game74.4

Alkar 🏆

Kastela

Position#14

Record5-24

FormLLWLW

Points / game74.5

Allowed / game84.9

Premijer ligaRound 10

Other2015-16

Meetings · Alkar v Kastela

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alkar winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Kastela winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alkar

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kvarner

87-104

104

-17

A23/03

Premijer liga

Osijek

#11

49-61

-12

A09/04

Premijer liga

Zabok

70-55

+15

H13/04

Premijer liga

Skrljevo

74-78

-4

A16/04

Premijer liga

Jolly Sibenik

75-68

H20/04

Premijer liga

Kastela

#14

104-91 OT

104

+13

A23/04

Premijer liga

Osijek

#11

85-59

+26

H27/04

Premijer liga

Zabok

65-58

A30/04

Premijer liga

Skrljevo

73-75

-2

H04/05

Premijer liga

Jolly Sibenik

44-76

-32

A07/05

Premijer liga

22-25

23-34

22-22

20-23

12-18

13-11

9-12

15-20

11-11

22-14

13-15

24-15

20-29

18-22

14-14

22-13

16-6

20-25

22-25

17-12

21-19

18-13

18-22

29-32

22-8

18-22

25-14

20-15

17-11

9-26

19-11

20-10

24-18

21-14

14-31

14-12

7-25

16-9

8-24

13-18

145.1Avg total

72.6Scored

72.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (29)	72.3	74.4	146.7	-2.1	45%
Season at home (14)	72.9	68.7	141.6	+4.1	64%
Season away (15)	71.8	79.7	151.5	-7.9	27%
Last 10 (10)	72.6	72.5	145.1	+0.1	50%
Last 5 (5)	74.2	71.8	146.0	+2.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	78.0	80.0	158.0	-2.0	50%
vs Similar (23)	69.6	73.1	142.7	-3.6	39%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	83.8	80.0	163.8	+3.8	75%

This opponent (Kastela) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Kastela

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Zabok

61-83

-22

H23/03

Premijer liga

Zabok

55-87

-32

H09/04

Premijer liga

Jolly Sibenik

64-73

-9

A12/04

Premijer liga

Osijek

#11

68-72

-4

H16/04

Premijer liga

Skrljevo

85-90

-5

A20/04

Premijer liga

Alkar

#10

91-104 OT

104

-13

H23/04

Premijer liga

Zabok

46-89

-43

A26/04

Premijer liga

Jolly Sibenik

94-71

+23

H30/04

Premijer liga

Osijek

#11

78-87

-9

A03/05

Premijer liga

Skrljevo

91-70

+21

H07/05

Premijer liga

9-21

11-19

16-23

25-20

18-24

11-19

15-18

11-26

17-19

7-21

24-16

16-17

15-20

12-20

20-21

21-11

24-28

22-19

20-15

19-28

19-21

13-18

22-18

32-29

14-24

8-15

14-25

10-25

26-17

22-20

29-16

17-18

15-27

26-19

14-22

23-19

20-21

23-19

20-10

28-20

155.9Avg total

73.3Scored

82.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (29)	74.5	84.9	159.4	-10.4	17%
Season at home (15)	76.5	82.5	158.9	-6.0	27%
Season away (14)	72.4	87.5	159.9	-15.1	7%
Last 10 (10)	73.3	82.6	155.9	-9.3	20%
Last 5 (5)	80.0	84.2	164.2	-4.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)	74.6	84.7	159.3	-10.1	19%
vs Similar (2)	72.5	87.5	160.0	-15.0	0%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Alkar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AlkarKastela

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.5	18.4	35.9	-0.9	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.5	15.7	34.2	+2.8	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.6	20.8	37.4	-4.2	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.2	17.0	34.2	+0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	16.2	34.4	+2.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	17.5	18.5	36.0	-1.0	50%	-
vs Similar (23)	16.8	18.7	35.5	-1.8	30%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	21.0	18.2	39.2	+2.8	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	23.0	41.9	-4.2	20%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.7	23.2	40.9	-5.5	7%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.0	22.9	42.9	-2.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.7	22.2	39.9	-4.5	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	22.0	40.8	-3.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)	18.6	22.8	41.4	-4.1	19%	-
vs Similar (2)	17.0	24.5	41.5	-7.5	0%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.7	18.1	35.8	-0.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.0	18.4	35.4	-1.4	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.2	17.8	36.1	+0.4	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.8	19.0	36.8	-1.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	16.8	33.2	-0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	18.5	14.0	32.5	+4.5	50%	-
vs Similar (23)	17.3	18.9	36.2	-1.7	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	18.5	17.0	35.5	+1.5	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.8	20.0	37.7	-2.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.5	19.2	37.7	-0.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.0	20.7	37.7	-3.7	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.5	18.9	34.4	-3.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	18.2	36.6	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)	17.8	20.0	37.7	-2.2	44%	-
vs Similar (2)	20.0	19.5	39.5	+0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

AlkarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kvarner

45-59

-14

A23/03

Premijer liga

Osijek

#11

25-29

-4

A09/04

Premijer liga

Zabok

33-25

H13/04

Premijer liga

Skrljevo

38-51

-13

A16/04

Premijer liga

Jolly Sibenik

36-31

H20/04

Premijer liga

Kastela

#14

39-32

A23/04

Premijer liga

Osijek

#11

40-30

+10

H27/04

Premijer liga

Zabok

26-37

-11

A30/04

Premijer liga

Skrljevo

45-32

+13

H04/05

Premijer liga

Jolly Sibenik

23-34

-11

A07/05

Premijer liga

71.0Avg total

35.0Scored

36.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.2	36.5	71.7	-1.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	35.5	34.1	69.6	+1.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	34.9	38.6	73.5	-3.8	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.0	36.0	71.0	-1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.6	33.0	67.6	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	36.0	32.5	68.5	+3.5	50%	-
vs Similar (23)	34.1	37.6	71.7	-3.5	35%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	39.5	35.2	74.8	+4.2	75%	-

This opponent (Kastela) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

KastelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Zabok

20-40

-20

H23/03

Premijer liga

Zabok

29-43

-14

H09/04

Premijer liga

Jolly Sibenik

24-40

-16

A12/04

Premijer liga

Osijek

#11

27-40

-13

H16/04

Premijer liga

Skrljevo

46-47

-1

A20/04

Premijer liga

Alkar

#10

32-39

-7

H23/04

Premijer liga

Zabok

22-39

-17

A26/04

Premijer liga

Jolly Sibenik

48-37

+11

H30/04

Premijer liga

Osijek

#11

41-46

-5

A03/05

Premijer liga

Skrljevo

43-40

H07/05

Premijer liga

74.3Avg total

33.2Scored

41.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.6	43.0	79.6	-6.4	23%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	36.3	42.4	78.7	-6.1	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.0	43.6	80.6	-6.6	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	33.2	41.1	74.3	-7.9	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.2	40.2	77.4	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)	36.4	42.7	79.1	-6.3	22%	-
vs Similar (2)	37.0	44.0	81.0	-7.0	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Alkar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.1	18.0	35.1	-1.0	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.0	17.5	36.5	+1.5	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	15.4	18.5	33.9	-3.1	12%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.4	19.0	35.4	-2.6	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	20.4	37.2	-3.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	17.5	23.0	40.5	-5.5	0%	-
vs Similar (23)	16.9	17.9	34.8	-1.0	30%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	19.8	17.5	37.2	+2.2	75%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	20.8	39.1	-2.6	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.7	18.7	37.5	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.7	22.9	40.7	-5.2	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	18.4	37.8	+1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	18.2	38.0	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)	18.6	20.7	39.3	-2.1	37%	-
vs Similar (2)	17.0	22.5	39.5	-5.5	0%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	18.3	36.9	+0.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.4	17.1	35.4	+1.3	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.8	19.4	38.2	-0.6	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	17.0	36.4	+2.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	17.4	36.6	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	24.5	24.5	49.0	+0.0	50%	-
vs Similar (23)	18.2	17.0	35.2	+1.3	65%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	20.0	26.0	46.0	-6.0	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	20.8	40.0	-1.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.1	20.1	41.3	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.4	21.4	38.8	-4.0	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	21.3	41.5	-1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	22.2	44.2	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)	19.4	20.6	40.0	-1.1	41%	-
vs Similar (2)	18.5	21.0	39.5	-2.5	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.7	36.4	72.0	-0.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	37.4	34.6	71.9	+2.8	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	34.2	37.9	72.1	-3.8	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.8	36.0	71.8	-0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.0	37.8	73.8	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	42.0	47.5	89.5	-5.5	50%	-
vs Similar (23)	35.1	34.9	70.0	+0.2	48%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	39.8	43.5	83.2	-3.8	25%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.5	41.6	79.1	-4.1	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.9	38.9	78.7	+1.0	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.1	44.3	79.5	-9.2	7%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.6	39.7	79.3	-0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.8	40.4	82.2	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)	38.0	41.3	79.3	-3.3	33%	-
vs Similar (2)	35.5	43.5	79.0	-8.0	0%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Alkar wins

Kastela wins

Date	Game	Score
23/04/16	Kastela v Alkar	91-104 OT
16/01/16	Kastela v Alkar	86-88
10/10/15	Alkar v Kastela	75-73
21/03/15	Alkar v Kastela	88-59
13/12/14	Kastela v Alkar	73-68

Alkarlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/05/16	A	Jolly Sibenik	44-76
04/05/16	H	Skrljevo	73-75
30/04/16	A	Zabok	65-58
27/04/16	H	Osijek	85-59
23/04/16	A	Kastela	104-91 OT
20/04/16	H	Jolly Sibenik	75-68
16/04/16	A	Skrljevo	74-78
13/04/16	H	Zabok	70-55
09/04/16	A	Osijek	49-61
23/03/16	A	Kvarner	87-104

Kastelalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/05/16	H	Skrljevo	91-70
03/05/16	A	Osijek	78-87
30/04/16	H	Jolly Sibenik	94-71
26/04/16	A	Zabok	46-89
23/04/16	H	Alkar	91-104 OT
20/04/16	A	Skrljevo	85-90
16/04/16	H	Osijek	68-72
12/04/16	A	Jolly Sibenik	64-73
09/04/16	H	Zabok	55-87
23/03/16	H	Zabok	61-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alkar

Premijer liga 2015-16

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLL	45%
Home	LWWWL	64%
Away	LLWWL	27%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	29	14	15
Win %	45%	64%	27%
Points / game	72.3	72.9	71.8
Allowed / game	74.4	68.7	79.7
Point differential	-2.1	+4.1	-7.9
Avg total	146.7	141.6	151.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	14%	21%	7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (8)	50% (6)	50% (2)
Overtime %	7%	0%	13%

Kastela

Premijer liga 2015-16

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLW	17%
Home	LLLWW	27%
Away	WLLLL	7%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	29	15	14
Win %	17%	27%	7%
Points / game	74.5	76.5	72.4
Allowed / game	84.9	82.5	87.5
Point differential	-10.4	-6.0	-15.1
Avg total	159.4	158.9	159.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	14%	20%	7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (5)	0% (3)	0% (2)
Overtime %	3%	7%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Cedevita	12	11	1	92%	92.2	69.2	+23.0
2	Cibona	12	9	3	75%	89.3	77.8	+11.5
3	Zagreb	32	23	9	72%	83.3	77.1	+6.2
4	Kvarner	32	20	12	62%	81.8	79.4	+2.4
5	Split	32	18	14	56%	75.8	74.2	+1.6
6	Zadar	12	6	6	50%	78.5	74.7	+3.8
7	Zabok	29	14	15	48%	70.4	68.4	+2.1
8	Jolly Sibenik	29	14	15	48%	74.4	74.7	-0.3
9	Skrljevo	29	14	15	48%	79.1	79.7	-0.6
10	Alkar	29	13	16	45%	72.3	74.4	-2.1
11	Gorica	32	14	18	44%	78.2	81.2	-2.9
12	Osijek	29	12	17	41%	70.2	73.6	-3.3
13	GKK Sibenik	32	12	20	38%	75.7	84.1	-8.3
14	Kastela	29	5	24	17%	74.5	84.9	-10.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Alkar	18	18	26	19	81
Kastela	19	33	16	11	79

← all games of the day

Alkar vs Kastela Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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