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Alvark vs NeoPhoenix Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 08:05
Final 83-93
24-23 27-23 16-21 16-26
Position#8
Record30-14
FormWLLLL
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game77.2
vs
Position#10
Record25-19
FormWWWWW
Points / game84.4
Allowed / game82.1
JapanB League· Toyota Arena Tokyo
Other2025-26
Meetings · Alvark v NeoPhoenix
08 Nov 2026
ALVA88
NEOP67
29 Mar 2026
ALVA94
NEOP98
28 Mar 2026
ALVA83
NEOP93
18 Dec 2024
ALVA72
NEOP82
15 Nov 2020
ALVA88
NEOP65
14 Nov 2020
ALVA94
NEOP76
17 Nov 2019
ALVA85
NEOP63
16 Nov 2019
ALVA82
NEOP67
22 Apr 2018
ALVA77
NEOP67
21 Apr 2018
ALVA81
NEOP58
14 May 2017
ALVA83
NEOP74
13 May 2017
ALVA90
NEOP75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alvark winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
NeoPhoenix winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlvarkJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlvark
Date
Competition
Xac Broncos
#6
W
97-93
97
93
+4
94avg 75
A11/02
EASL
Saga
#12
W
78-71
78
71
+7
80avg 75
H14/02
B League
Saga
#12
W
96-83
96
83
+13
106avg 75
H15/02
B League
Nagasaki
#1
W
93-78
93
78
+15
87avg 75
A07/03
B League
Nagasaki
#1
W
91-70
91
70
+21
95avg 75
A08/03
B League
Altiri Chiba
#22
W
87-81
87
81
+6
78avg 75
H11/03
B League
Gunma
#5
L
66-92
66
92
-26
55avg 75
A14/03
B League
Gunma
#5
L
54-78
54
78
-24
42avg 75
A15/03
B League
Taoyuan Pauian Pilots
#3
L
76-102
76
102
-26
62avg 75
H20/03
EASL
Ryukyu
#2
L
76-77
76
77
-1
67avg 75
H22/03
EASL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-20
22-21
22-24
31-28
13-15
25-20
19-27
21-9
23-15
22-23
22-13
29-32
25-20
28-19
26-19
14-20
27-19
21-25
24-16
19-10
23-24
19-21
13-24
32-12
15-28
17-23
18-25
16-16
9-20
18-27
9-25
18-6
30-21
24-29
11-29
11-23
21-19
11-19
20-16
24-23
163.9Avg total
81.4Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (44)80.077.2157.2+2.968%
Season at home (21)77.774.1151.9+3.671%
Season away (23)82.279.9162.1+2.365%
Last 10 (10)81.482.5163.9-1.160%
Last 5 (5)71.886.0157.8-14.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)76.084.0160.0-8.040%
vs Similar ◀ (12)82.476.6159.0+5.875%
vs Weaker (13)88.475.5163.8+12.9100%
This opponent (NeoPhoenix) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeoPhoenixJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeoPhoenix
Date
Competition
Shiga
#18
L
73-76
73
76
-3
63avg 78
A01/02
B League
Yokohama
#15
W
88-74
88
74
+14
85avg 78
H07/02
B League
Yokohama
#15
W
78-72
78
72
+6
78avg 78
H08/02
B League
Chiba
#6
W
92-81
92
81
+11
87avg 78
H14/02
B League
Chiba
#6
W
104-94
104
94
+10
105avg 78
H15/02
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
W
95-91
95
91
+4
91avg 78
A07/03
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
W
91-69
91
69
+22
94avg 78
A08/03
B League
Saga
#12
W
96-91
96
91
+5
92avg 78
A11/03
B League
Hokkaido
#9
W
90-73
90
73
+17
87avg 78
H14/03
B League
Hokkaido
#9
W
95-81
95
81
+14
92avg 78
H15/03
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-22
24-26
17-13
17-15
24-24
30-18
11-17
23-15
16-18
21-14
20-19
21-21
23-15
27-24
27-21
15-21
30-22
23-18
26-23
25-31
24-26
25-18
26-31
20-16
23-13
23-16
21-12
24-28
23-27
24-30
17-15
32-19
22-23
22-20
24-12
22-18
18-15
29-24
25-23
23-19
170.4Avg total
90.2Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (44)84.482.1166.4+2.357%
Season at home (24)85.781.9167.6+3.867%
Season away (20)82.882.3165.1+0.545%
Last 10 (10)90.280.2170.4+10.090%
Last 5 (5)93.481.0174.4+12.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)78.089.3167.3-11.333%
vs Similar ◀ (9)91.487.3178.8+4.167%
vs Weaker (15)87.678.9166.5+8.773%
This opponent (Alvark) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: +1.9+1.9
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: +1.9+1.9
AlvarkNeoPhoenix
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AlvarkLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Xac Broncos
#6
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A11/02
EASL
Saga
#12
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H14/02
B League
Saga
#12
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H15/02
B League
Nagasaki
#1
W
53-39
53
39
+14
A07/03
B League
Nagasaki
#1
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A08/03
B League
Altiri Chiba
#22
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H11/03
B League
Gunma
#5
L
32-51
32
51
-19
A14/03
B League
Gunma
#5
L
27-47
27
47
-20
A15/03
B League
Taoyuan Pauian Pilots
#3
W
54-50
54
50
+4
H20/03
EASL
Ryukyu
#2
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H22/03
EASL
84.3Avg total
41.5Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.140.383.4+2.870%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.238.981.1+3.371%-
Last 30 away (16)43.941.585.4+2.469%-
Last 10 (10)41.542.884.3-1.360%-
Last 5 (5)37.446.283.6-8.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)42.846.289.0-3.460%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)42.338.480.8+3.975%-
vs Weaker (13)43.939.883.7+4.269%-
This opponent (NeoPhoenix) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeoPhoenixLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shiga
#18
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A01/02
B League
Yokohama
#15
W
54-42
54
42
+12
H07/02
B League
Yokohama
#15
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H08/02
B League
Chiba
#6
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H14/02
B League
Chiba
#6
W
53-40
53
40
+13
H15/02
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A07/03
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
W
46-29
46
29
+17
A08/03
B League
Saga
#12
L
47-57
47
57
-10
A11/03
B League
Hokkaido
#9
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H14/03
B League
Hokkaido
#9
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H15/03
B League
87.9Avg total
46.6Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.242.688.8+3.673%-
Last 30 at home (17)47.542.189.6+5.488%-
Last 30 away (13)44.543.287.7+1.454%-
Last 10 (10)46.641.387.9+5.380%-
Last 5 (5)46.642.489.0+4.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)40.747.087.7-6.350%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)48.044.992.9+3.178%-
vs Weaker (15)47.339.486.7+7.980%-
This opponent (Alvark) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alvarktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alvark: 81.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.816.9
56.7%
53.1%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.611.5
38.9%
33.7%34.5
🏀 Free throws18.713.0
69.5%
73.1%13.0
They take 59.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
NeoPhoenixtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

NeoPhoenix: 90.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.622.5
58.3%
53.1%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.89.4
35.1%
33.7%28.2
🏀 Free throws23.017.0
73.9%
73.1%17.0
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alvark
LLLLWWWWWW
NeoPhoenix
WWWWWWWWWL
#8
League position
#10
-1.4
Net rating
+11.8
97.0
Offensive rating
104.5
98.5
Defensive rating
92.7
57.5%
Effective FG%
56.0%
49.6%
Opp. effective FG%
53.1%
16.6%
Turnover %
12.8%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.35
38.9%
3-point %
35.1%
66.2%
Assist %
74.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence97.0 · 104.5Defence98.5 · 92.7Shooting57.5% · 56.0%3-point %38.9% · 35.1%Ball care16.6% · 12.8%Free throws0.31 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)60% · 90%
■ Alvark   ■ NeoPhoenix
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Alvark wins
4
NeoPhoenix wins
DateGameScore
09/04/25NeoPhoenix v Alvark89-67
18/12/24Alvark v NeoPhoenix72-82
20/10/24NeoPhoenix v Alvark90-82
19/10/24NeoPhoenix v Alvark59-66
11/02/24NeoPhoenix v Alvark72-94
10/02/24NeoPhoenix v Alvark93-74
04/12/22NeoPhoenix v Alvark61-82
03/12/22NeoPhoenix v Alvark65-79
06/03/22NeoPhoenix v Alvark59-90
05/03/22NeoPhoenix v Alvark62-87
Alvarklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/03/26HRyukyu76-77
20/03/26HTaoyuan Pauian Pilots76-102
15/03/26AGunma54-78
14/03/26AGunma66-92
11/03/26HAltiri Chiba87-81
08/03/26ANagasaki91-70
07/03/26ANagasaki93-78
15/02/26HSaga96-83
14/02/26HSaga78-71
11/02/26AXac Broncos97-93
NeoPhoenixlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/26HHokkaido95-81
14/03/26HHokkaido90-73
11/03/26ASaga96-91
08/03/26ANagoya Fighting Eagles91-69
07/03/26ANagoya Fighting Eagles95-91
15/02/26HChiba104-94
14/02/26HChiba92-81
08/02/26HYokohama78-72
07/02/26HYokohama88-74
01/02/26AShiga73-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alvark
B League 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL68%
HomeWWWWW71%
AwayLWWLL65%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games442123
Win %68%71%65%
Points / game80.077.782.2
Allowed / game77.274.179.9
Point differential+2.9+3.6+2.3
Avg total157.2151.9162.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%33%39%
Close games (≤5 pts) won88% (8)75% (4)100% (4)
Overtime %7%5%9%
NeoPhoenix
B League 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW57%
HomeWWWWW67%
AwayWLWWW45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games442420
Win %57%67%45%
Points / game84.485.782.8
Allowed / game82.181.982.3
Point differential+2.3+3.8+0.5
Avg total166.4167.6165.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%50%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)50% (2)29% (7)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nagasaki4536980%91.478.7+12.7
2 Diamond Dolphins45351078%84.173.1+11.1
3 Utsunomiya Brex45341176%85.880.4+5.4
4 Chiba45321371%83.075.7+7.3
5 SeaHorses Mikawa45311469%83.777.5+6.2
6 Alvark44301468%80.077.2+2.9
7 Ryukyu44291566%81.074.8+6.2
8 Gunma45291664%82.774.1+8.6
9 Hokkaido45291664%88.185.8+2.3
10 Sendai45271860%81.479.4+2.1
11 Hiroshima D.45261958%86.783.3+3.4
12 NeoPhoenix44251957%84.482.1+2.3
13 Shimane45232251%81.380.6+0.7
14 Saga45222349%82.082.5-0.5
15 Sun Rockers Shibuya44182641%76.580.7-4.2
16 Osaka45182740%80.382.6-2.3
17 Yokohama45182740%78.782.0-3.2
18 Shiga45162936%80.685.4-4.8
19 Koshigaya Alphas45162936%73.881.4-7.6
20 Nagoya Fighting Eagles45153033%80.383.1-2.8
21 Altiri Chiba45153033%79.884.2-4.4
22 Ibaraki Robots45143131%75.680.3-4.7
23 Kyoto45143131%71.880.5-8.6
24 Brave Thunders45123327%75.583.5-8.0
25 Toyama45113424%82.090.0-8.0
26 Akita4583718%73.885.5-11.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alvark2427161683
NeoPhoenix2323212693
← all games of the day
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