PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Chiba vs Akita Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 11 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 10:05
Final 97-59
21-17 27-17 26-12 23-13
Position#6
Record29-12
FormWLLWW
Points / game82.7
Allowed / game76.0
Chiba 🏆
Japan
vs
Akita
Japan
Position#26
Record7-34
FormLLLLL
Points / game73.8
Allowed / game85.1
JapanB League· LaLa arena TOKYO-BAY
Other2025-26
Meetings · Chiba v Akita
18 Nov 2026
CHIB v AKIT
upcoming
11 Mar 2026
CHIB97
AKIT59
27 Apr 2025
CHIB77
AKIT68
26 Apr 2025
CHIB80
AKIT65
17 Jan 2024
CHIB105
AKIT73
12 Apr 2023
CHIB84
AKIT68
04 Dec 2022
CHIB75
AKIT67
03 Dec 2022
CHIB89
AKIT78
26 Jan 2022
CHIB85
AKIT69
17 Oct 2021
CHIB90
AKIT73
16 Oct 2021
CHIB92
AKIT68
15 Nov 2020
CHIB102
AKIT58
14 Nov 2020
CHIB70
AKIT68
01 Apr 2020
CHIB v AKIT
upcoming
15 Jan 2020
CHIB96
AKIT75
10 Apr 2019
CHIB91
AKIT62
24 Mar 2019
CHIB101
AKIT68
23 Mar 2019
CHIB88
AKIT64
03 May 2017
CHIB79
AKIT76
22 Feb 2017
CHIB67
AKIT64
20 Nov 2016
CHIB76
AKIT72
19 Nov 2016
CHIB82
AKIT71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chiba winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Akita winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ChibaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChiba
Date
Competition
Ryukyu
#3
L
63-65
63
65
-2
56avg 78
H25/01
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#2
W
79-72
79
72
+7
74avg 78
H28/01
B League
Saga
#12
L
79-83
79
83
-4
81avg 78
A31/01
B League
Saga
#12
W
95-76
95
76
+19
102avg 78
A01/02
B League
Alvark
#8
L
73-75
73
75
-2
61avg 78
H07/02
B League
Alvark
#8
W
72-64
72
64
+8
64avg 78
H08/02
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
L
81-92
81
92
-11
74avg 78
A14/02
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
L
94-104
94
104
-10
85avg 78
A15/02
B League
Osaka
#17
W
90-82
90
82
+8
87avg 78
A07/03
B League
Osaka
#17
W
94-78
94
78
+16
88avg 78
A08/03
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-12
13-15
17-16
12-22
17-20
22-13
23-16
17-23
20-15
22-11
18-27
19-30
23-19
18-15
32-22
22-20
20-23
21-21
16-21
16-10
23-10
18-16
14-27
17-11
15-23
24-27
21-27
21-15
22-30
18-23
23-26
31-25
25-25
20-17
19-24
26-16
18-29
29-18
19-12
28-19
161.1Avg total
82.0Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (41)82.776.0158.6+6.771%
Season at home (20)81.571.5152.9+10.080%
Season away (21)83.880.2164.0+3.662%
Last 10 (10)82.079.1161.1+2.950%
Last 5 (5)86.284.0170.2+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)78.089.5167.5-11.50%
vs Similar (13)75.580.5156.0-4.938%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)88.473.3161.7+15.193%
This opponent (Akita) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AkitaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAkita
Date
Competition
Brave Thunders
#25
W
97-77
97
77
+20
94avg 66
H25/01
B League
Alvark
#8
L
74-98
74
98
-24
61avg 66
H28/01
B League
Osaka
#17
L
80-93
80
93
-13
77avg 66
H31/01
B League
Osaka
#17
W
77-76
77
76
+1
75avg 66
H01/02
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
L
92-101
92
101
-9
93avg 66
A07/02
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
L
69-79
69
79
-10
58avg 66
A08/02
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#21
L
53-71
53
71
-18
41avg 66
H14/02
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#21
L
86-87
86
87
-1
80avg 66
H15/02
B League
Altiri Chiba
#22
L
98-101 OT
98
101
-3
85avg 66
H07/03
B League
Altiri Chiba
#22
L
74-85
74
85
-11
68avg 66
H08/03
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-12
24-24
18-13
33-28
18-32
14-23
22-22
20-21
28-20
9-22
20-29
23-22
17-20
23-14
22-17
15-25
21-37
26-24
25-16
20-24
21-26
16-23
10-16
22-14
16-23
18-18
18-16
1-14
18-25
16-18
28-26
24-18
21-29
36-21
19-18
17-25
25-35
21-11
7-21
21-18
166.8Avg total
80.0Scored
86.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (41)73.885.1158.9-11.317%
Season at home (23)74.785.5160.2-10.822%
Season away (18)72.684.6157.1-12.011%
Last 10 (10)80.086.8166.8-6.820%
Last 5 (5)76.084.6160.6-8.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)74.485.5160.0-11.117%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Chiba) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -5.2-5.2Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -1.3-1.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -5.2-5.2Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -1.3-1.3
ChibaAkita
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ChibaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ryukyu
#3
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H25/01
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#2
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H28/01
B League
Saga
#12
W
42-26
42
26
+16
A31/01
B League
Saga
#12
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A01/02
B League
Alvark
#8
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H07/02
B League
Alvark
#8
W
41-26
41
26
+15
H08/02
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A14/02
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
L
40-53
40
53
-13
A15/02
B League
Osaka
#17
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A07/03
B League
Osaka
#17
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A08/03
B League
79.1Avg total
40.9Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.338.579.8+2.857%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.436.176.5+4.471%-
Last 30 away (16)42.140.682.8+1.544%-
Last 10 (10)40.938.279.1+2.760%-
Last 5 (5)42.443.686.0-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)37.540.578.0-3.00%-
vs Similar (13)38.241.179.2-2.938%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)44.636.080.6+8.680%-
This opponent (Akita) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AkitaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brave Thunders
#25
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H25/01
B League
Alvark
#8
L
32-55
32
55
-23
H28/01
B League
Osaka
#17
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H31/01
B League
Osaka
#17
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H01/02
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
L
47-61
47
61
-14
A07/02
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A08/02
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#21
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H14/02
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#21
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H15/02
B League
Altiri Chiba
#22
W
57-50
57
50
+7
H07/03
B League
Altiri Chiba
#22
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H08/03
B League
86.7Avg total
41.0Scored
45.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.945.184.0-6.130%-
Last 30 at home (18)39.643.382.9-3.844%-
Last 30 away (12)38.047.785.7-9.78%-
Last 10 (10)41.045.786.7-4.730%-
Last 5 (5)41.645.887.4-4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)38.945.184.0-6.130%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Chiba) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Chibatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chiba: 81.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.018.7
53.4%
53.1%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.99.7
34.8%
33.7%29.1
🏀 Free throws20.415.4
75.5%
73.1%15.4
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Akitatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Akita: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.619.3
48.7%
53.1%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.79.5
35.6%
33.7%28.5
🏀 Free throws18.412.9
70.1%
73.1%12.9
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Chiba
WWLLWLWLWL
Akita
LLLLLLWLLW
#6
League position
#26
+3.3
Net rating
-7.6
96.5
Offensive rating
92.3
93.2
Defensive rating
99.9
52.9%
Effective FG%
50.6%
50.4%
Opp. effective FG%
56.8%
15.7%
Turnover %
15.0%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.28
34.8%
3-point %
35.6%
65.5%
Assist %
73.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence96.5 · 92.3Defence93.2 · 99.9Shooting52.9% · 50.6%3-point %34.8% · 35.6%Ball care15.7% · 15.0%Free throws0.32 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Chiba   ■ Akita
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Chiba wins
3
Akita wins
DateGameScore
29/10/25Akita v Chiba50-69
27/04/25Chiba v Akita77-68
26/04/25Chiba v Akita80-65
03/11/24Akita v Chiba72-65
02/11/24Akita v Chiba82-89
05/05/24Akita v Chiba93-88 OT
04/05/24Akita v Chiba72-88
10/04/24Akita v Chiba81-76
17/01/24Chiba v Akita105-73
12/04/23Chiba v Akita84-68
Chibalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/26AOsaka94-78
07/03/26AOsaka90-82
15/02/26ANeoPhoenix94-104
14/02/26ANeoPhoenix81-92
08/02/26HAlvark72-64
07/02/26HAlvark73-75
01/02/26ASaga95-76
31/01/26ASaga79-83
28/01/26HUtsunomiya Brex79-72
25/01/26HRyukyu63-65
Akitalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/26HAltiri Chiba74-85
07/03/26HAltiri Chiba98-101 OT
15/02/26HIbaraki Robots86-87
14/02/26HIbaraki Robots53-71
08/02/26AHiroshima D.69-79
07/02/26AHiroshima D.92-101
01/02/26HOsaka77-76
31/01/26HOsaka80-93
28/01/26HAlvark74-98
25/01/26HBrave Thunders97-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Chiba
B League 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW71%
HomeLLWLW80%
AwayWLLWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games412021
Win %71%80%62%
Points / game82.781.583.8
Allowed / game76.071.580.2
Point differential+6.7+9.9+3.6
Avg total158.6152.9164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%55%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)40% (5)80% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Akita
B League 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL17%
HomeWLLLL22%
AwayLLLLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games412318
Win %17%22%11%
Points / game73.874.772.6
Allowed / game85.185.584.6
Point differential-11.3-10.8-12.0
Avg total158.9160.2157.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%13%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)40% (5)67% (3)
Overtime %7%9%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nagasaki4133880%92.078.4+13.6
2 Diamond Dolphins4132978%83.472.6+10.9
3 Utsunomiya Brex41311076%85.379.6+5.7
4 Chiba41291271%82.776.0+6.7
5 Alvark41291271%80.976.7+4.2
6 Hokkaido41291271%88.584.9+3.6
7 Ryukyu41281368%81.574.7+6.8
8 SeaHorses Mikawa41281368%84.578.0+6.4
9 Gunma41251661%82.374.6+7.7
10 Hiroshima D.41251661%86.482.7+3.7
11 Sendai41241759%80.679.1+1.4
12 NeoPhoenix41221954%83.782.1+1.6
13 Shimane41212051%81.480.5+0.9
14 Saga41212051%81.682.0-0.4
15 Sun Rockers Shibuya41172441%76.580.9-4.5
16 Osaka41152637%79.782.2-2.5
17 Nagoya Fighting Eagles41152637%80.883.3-2.5
18 Yokohama41152637%78.682.5-4.0
19 Koshigaya Alphas41152637%73.380.2-6.9
20 Altiri Chiba41142734%79.583.7-4.1
21 Shiga41142734%80.285.9-5.7
22 Ibaraki Robots41122929%74.980.0-5.1
23 Kyoto41122929%71.380.5-9.2
24 Toyama41103124%81.690.0-8.4
25 Brave Thunders41103124%75.584.0-8.5
26 Akita4173417%73.885.1-11.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Chiba2127262397
Akita1717121359
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.