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Alvark vs Hiroshima D. Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 06:05
Final 79-87
20-23 28-17 12-25 19-22
Position#8
Record18-10
FormWWWWW
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game77.3
vs
Position#13
Record16-12
FormWWWLW
Points / game85.7
Allowed / game82.4
JapanB League· Yoyogi National Stadium
Other2025-26
Meetings · Alvark v Hiroshima D.
01 Apr 2027
ALVA v HIRO
upcoming
14 Nov 2026
ALVA v HIRO
upcoming
04 Jan 2026
ALVA95
HIRO72
03 Jan 2026
ALVA79
HIRO87
10 Nov 2024
ALVA95
HIRO79
09 Nov 2024
ALVA71
HIRO56
03 Dec 2023
ALVA61
HIRO76
02 Dec 2023
ALVA88
HIRO75
20 Mar 2022
ALVA74
HIRO66
19 Mar 2022
ALVA100
HIRO89
22 Feb 2015
ALVA86
HIRO66
21 Feb 2015
ALVA80
HIRO67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alvark winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hiroshima D. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlvarkJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlvark
Date
Competition
Saga
#12
L
77-90
77
90
-13
71avg 72
A07/12
B League
Yokohama
#15
W
74-67
74
67
+7
74avg 72
H10/12
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
W
92-82
92
82
+10
90avg 72
A13/12
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
W
93-67
93
67
+26
97avg 72
A14/12
B League
LG Sakers
#11
W
92-73
92
73
+19
96avg 72
H17/12
EASL
Hokkaido
#9
W
81-59
81
59
+22
72avg 72
H20/12
B League
Hokkaido
#9
W
84-80
84
80
+4
87avg 72
H21/12
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
W
92-78
92
78
+14
95avg 72
A24/12
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
W
82-73
82
73
+9
88avg 72
A27/12
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
W
82-79
82
79
+3
82avg 72
A28/12
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-23
27-18
23-18
8-31
14-19
24-15
13-21
23-12
24-16
22-26
18-21
28-19
29-18
19-24
21-15
24-10
17-17
22-18
23-17
30-21
22-17
28-14
16-17
15-11
20-19
21-19
19-20
24-22
24-16
17-19
26-22
25-21
30-15
21-21
18-12
13-25
16-19
24-23
22-13
20-24
159.7Avg total
84.9Scored
74.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)78.877.3156.1+1.464%
Season at home (14)75.173.4148.6+1.764%
Season away (14)82.481.2163.6+1.164%
Last 10 (10)84.974.8159.7+10.190%
Last 5 (5)84.273.8158.0+10.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)67.079.5146.5-12.50%
vs Similar ◀ (12)75.976.4152.3-0.558%
vs Weaker (14)88.478.2166.6+10.293%
This opponent (Hiroshima D.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hiroshima D.JapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormD.
Date
Competition
Ryukyu
#3
L
72-81
72
81
-9
68avg 77
H06/12
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
68-74
68
74
-6
60avg 77
H07/12
B League
Nagasaki
#1
L
74-105
74
105
-31
64avg 77
H10/12
B League
Shimane
#14
W
73-71
73
71
+2
62avg 77
A13/12
B League
Shimane
#14
L
88-96
88
96
-8
48avg 77
A14/12
B League
Gunma
#5
W
88-65
88
65
+23
88avg 77
A20/12
B League
Gunma
#5
W
83-76
83
76
+7
77avg 77
A21/12
B League
Shiga
#18
W
105-90
105
90
+15
100avg 77
H24/12
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#21
L
72-87
72
87
-15
61avg 77
H27/12
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#21
W
98-88
98
88
+10
91avg 77
H28/12
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-20
20-23
19-15
14-23
15-20
23-27
15-18
15-9
11-18
21-33
15-23
27-31
17-18
20-20
12-18
24-15
20-24
29-22
10-21
29-29
26-23
25-22
17-11
20-9
20-18
16-24
23-15
24-19
20-27
28-17
31-30
26-16
24-20
18-16
23-30
7-21
23-23
38-23
16-24
21-18
165.4Avg total
82.1Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)85.782.4168.1+3.357%
Season at home (14)86.186.3172.4-0.243%
Season away (14)85.378.5163.8+6.871%
Last 10 (10)82.183.3165.4-1.250%
Last 5 (5)89.281.2170.4+8.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)77.482.1159.6-4.733%
vs Similar ◀ (14)87.582.8170.3+4.757%
vs Weaker (7)93.781.7175.4+12.086%
This opponent (Alvark) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +1.7+1.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +1.7+1.7
AlvarkHiroshima D.
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AlvarkLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Saga
#12
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A07/12
B League
Yokohama
#15
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H10/12
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A13/12
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A14/12
B League
LG Sakers
#11
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H17/12
EASL
Hokkaido
#9
W
50-31
50
31
+19
H20/12
B League
Hokkaido
#9
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H21/12
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A24/12
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
W
51-36
51
36
+15
A27/12
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A28/12
B League
81.6Avg total
44.0Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.939.579.4+0.447%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.037.576.5+1.553%-
Last 30 away (15)40.841.582.3-0.740%-
Last 10 (10)44.037.681.6+6.490%-
Last 5 (5)44.636.481.0+8.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)29.042.571.5-13.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)41.238.479.6+2.850%-
vs Weaker (14)41.939.681.5+2.457%-
This opponent (Hiroshima D.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hiroshima D.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ryukyu
#3
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H06/12
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H07/12
B League
Nagasaki
#1
L
32-51
32
51
-19
H10/12
B League
Shimane
#14
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A13/12
B League
Shimane
#14
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A14/12
B League
Gunma
#5
W
51-45
51
45
+6
A20/12
B League
Gunma
#5
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A21/12
B League
Shiga
#18
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H24/12
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#21
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H27/12
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#21
W
61-46
61
46
+15
H28/12
B League
87.1Avg total
43.3Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.043.988.9+1.157%-
Last 30 at home (16)47.144.991.9+2.256%-
Last 30 away (14)42.642.985.5-0.257%-
Last 10 (10)43.343.887.1-0.550%-
Last 5 (5)47.642.690.2+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)39.246.385.6-7.122%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)47.243.891.0+3.457%-
vs Weaker (7)48.041.189.1+6.9100%-
This opponent (Alvark) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alvarktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alvark: 83.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.318.6
55.9%
53.1%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.111.7
40.2%
33.7%35.1
🏀 Free throws18.011.6
64.4%
73.1%11.6
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hiroshima D.their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hiroshima D.: 81.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.2 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.216.1
53.3%
53.1%32.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.511.8
33.2%
33.7%35.4
🏀 Free throws17.913.5
75.4%
73.1%13.5
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 54% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alvark
WWWWWWWWWL
Hiroshima D.
WLWWWLWLLL
#8
League position
#13
+13.5
Net rating
-1.4
118.0
Offensive rating
110.7
104.5
Defensive rating
112.1
57.9%
Effective FG%
51.4%
49.6%
Opp. effective FG%
54.1%
15.0%
Turnover %
16.6%
29.7%
Off. rebound %
31.8%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.27
40.2%
3-point %
33.2%
83.2%
Assist %
64.2%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence118.0 · 110.7Defence104.5 · 112.1Shooting57.9% · 51.4%3-point %40.2% · 33.2%Ball care15.0% · 16.6%Off. rebounds29.7% · 31.8%Free throws0.29 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)90% · 50%
■ Alvark   ■ Hiroshima D.
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Alvark wins
1
Hiroshima D. wins
DateGameScore
10/11/24Alvark v Hiroshima D.95-79
09/11/24Alvark v Hiroshima D.71-56
03/12/23Alvark v Hiroshima D.61-76
02/12/23Alvark v Hiroshima D.88-75
22/01/23Hiroshima D. v Alvark63-66
21/01/23Hiroshima D. v Alvark71-74
20/03/22Alvark v Hiroshima D.74-66
19/03/22Alvark v Hiroshima D.100-89
10/10/20Hiroshima D. v Alvark71-81
09/10/20Hiroshima D. v Alvark71-80
Alvarklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/12/25ASeaHorses Mikawa82-79
27/12/25ASeaHorses Mikawa82-73
24/12/25ANagoya Fighting Eagles92-78
21/12/25HHokkaido84-80
20/12/25HHokkaido81-59
17/12/25HLG Sakers92-73
14/12/25ABrave Thunders93-67
13/12/25ABrave Thunders92-82
10/12/25HYokohama74-67
07/12/25ASaga77-90
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/12/25HIbaraki Robots98-88
27/12/25HIbaraki Robots72-87
24/12/25HShiga105-90
21/12/25AGunma83-76
20/12/25AGunma88-65
14/12/25AShimane88-96
13/12/25AShimane73-71
10/12/25HNagasaki74-105
07/12/25HRyukyu68-74
06/12/25HRyukyu72-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alvark
B League 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW64%
HomeLLWWW64%
AwayWWWWW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %64%64%64%
Points / game78.875.182.4
Allowed / game77.373.481.2
Point differential+1.4+1.7+1.1
Avg total156.1148.6163.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%36%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)67% (3)100% (3)
Overtime %11%7%14%
Hiroshima D.
B League 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW57%
HomeLLWLW43%
AwayWWLWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %57%43%71%
Points / game85.786.185.3
Allowed / game82.486.378.5
Point differential+3.3-0.2+6.8
Avg total168.1172.4163.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%43%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)0% (2)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nagasaki2825389%94.077.0+17.1
2 Chiba2923679%83.474.4+9.0
3 Utsunomiya Brex2923679%85.177.6+7.5
4 Hokkaido2822679%88.282.9+5.3
5 Diamond Dolphins2821775%83.472.6+10.9
6 SeaHorses Mikawa29191066%84.479.1+5.3
7 Alvark28181064%78.877.3+1.4
8 Gunma29181162%82.975.3+7.6
9 Ryukyu29181162%82.876.8+5.9
10 Sendai29171259%79.877.8+2.0
11 Hiroshima D.28161257%85.782.4+3.3
12 Shimane28161257%83.681.8+1.8
13 Saga29151452%81.882.3-0.6
14 Nagoya Fighting Eagles28121643%81.082.6-1.7
15 Osaka29121741%80.381.2-1.0
16 NeoPhoenix28111739%82.383.4-1.1
17 Yokohama28111739%78.181.6-3.5
18 Shiga28111739%81.986.6-4.7
19 Koshigaya Alphas29101934%72.079.3-7.3
20 Sun Rockers Shibuya2891932%75.582.5-7.1
21 Toyama2992031%83.190.9-7.8
22 Altiri Chiba2882029%80.085.3-5.3
23 Ibaraki Robots2872125%74.880.5-5.8
24 Kyoto2872125%70.680.8-10.2
25 Brave Thunders2862221%75.384.1-8.8
26 Akita2852318%71.284.0-12.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alvark2028121979
Hiroshima D.2317252287
← all games of the day
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