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Hiroshima D. vs Nagasaki Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 10 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 10:05
Final 74-105
11-18 21-33 15-23 27-31
Position#13
Record11-9
FormLWWLL
Points / game85.9
Allowed / game81.5
vs
Position#1
Record18-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game92.8
Allowed / game75.8
JapanB League· Hiroshima Sun Plaza
Other2025-26
Meetings · Hiroshima D. v Nagasaki
06 Nov 2026
HIRO v NAGA
upcoming
10 Dec 2025
HIRO74
NAGA105
11 Jan 2025
HIRO82
NAGA70
10 Jan 2025
HIRO78
NAGA71
11 Dec 2024
HIRO88
NAGA82
31 Jan 2024
HIRO74
NAGA85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hiroshima D. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nagasaki winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Hiroshima D.JapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormD.
Date
Competition
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
64-75
64
75
-11
48avg 77
A01/11
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
69-100
69
100
-31
56avg 77
A02/11
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
W
84-72
84
72
+12
76avg 77
H05/11
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#2
L
70-84
70
84
-14
57avg 77
H08/11
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#2
W
103-76
103
76
+27
107avg 77
H09/11
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
L
84-88
84
88
-4
77avg 77
H12/11
B League
Sendai
#11
W
88-49
88
49
+39
96avg 77
A15/11
B League
Sendai
#11
W
85-80
85
80
+5
84avg 77
A16/11
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
72-81
72
81
-9
68avg 77
H06/12
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
68-74
68
74
-6
60avg 77
H07/12
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
8-25
21-18
20-19
15-13
18-28
22-23
14-21
15-28
21-30
28-13
17-6
18-23
21-21
17-24
15-23
17-16
29-26
21-26
19-12
34-12
25-29
26-25
13-15
20-19
16-17
23-14
29-11
20-7
27-21
22-18
20-16
16-25
19-20
20-23
19-15
14-23
15-20
23-27
15-18
15-9
156.6Avg total
78.7Scored
77.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)85.981.5167.4+4.555%
Season at home (10)85.683.8169.4+1.840%
Season away (10)86.279.1165.3+7.170%
Last 10 (10)78.777.9156.6+0.840%
Last 5 (5)79.474.4153.8+5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)76.885.0161.8-8.212%
vs Similar (14)87.582.9170.4+4.657%
vs Weaker (8)91.680.9172.5+10.888%
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NagasakiJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNagasaki
Date
Competition
Brave Thunders
#25
W
93-71
93
71
+22
97avg 77
A01/11
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
W
99-79
99
79
+20
104avg 77
A02/11
B League
Osaka
#17
W
100-96
100
96
+4
90avg 77
H05/11
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
91-96
91
96
-5
80avg 77
H08/11
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
W
95-87
95
87
+8
92avg 77
H09/11
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
W
86-80
86
80
+6
85avg 77
A12/11
B League
Akita
#26
W
91-70
91
70
+21
87avg 77
H15/11
B League
Akita
#26
W
97-61
97
61
+36
102avg 77
H16/11
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#19
W
91-58
91
58
+33
93avg 77
H06/12
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#19
W
99-76
99
76
+23
98avg 77
H07/12
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-19
31-8
25-19
19-25
25-19
29-24
19-21
26-15
20-24
23-24
29-18
28-30
27-25
21-26
25-23
18-22
22-18
29-29
24-21
20-19
21-26
23-21
30-15
12-18
26-20
23-17
23-17
19-16
27-23
21-15
28-15
21-8
19-14
28-13
22-5
22-26
31-18
27-19
20-18
21-21
171.6Avg total
94.2Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)92.875.8168.6+17.090%
Season at home (11)93.076.3169.3+16.791%
Season away (9)92.675.3167.9+17.289%
Last 10 (10)94.277.4171.6+16.890%
Last 5 (5)92.869.0161.8+23.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)75.385.3160.7-10.017%
vs Similar (3)80.775.3156.0+5.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)91.775.4167.1+16.290%
This opponent (Hiroshima D.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -3.8-3.8Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +5.9+5.9Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +7.3+7.3Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +0.6+0.6
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -3.8-3.8Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +5.9+5.9Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +7.3+7.3Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +0.6+0.6
Hiroshima D.Nagasaki
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Hiroshima D.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A01/11
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
40-51
40
51
-11
A02/11
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H05/11
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#2
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H08/11
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#2
L
50-52
50
52
-2
H09/11
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
L
51-54
51
54
-3
H12/11
B League
Sendai
#11
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A15/11
B League
Sendai
#11
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A16/11
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H06/12
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H07/12
B League
87.0Avg total
42.2Scored
44.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.043.487.4+0.653%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.743.288.9+2.553%-
Last 30 away (13)41.843.685.4-1.854%-
Last 10 (10)42.244.887.0-2.630%-
Last 5 (5)43.242.886.0+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)38.446.985.2-8.512%-
vs Similar (14)47.143.490.6+3.757%-
vs Weaker (8)44.139.984.0+4.288%-
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NagasakiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brave Thunders
#25
W
49-27
49
27
+22
A01/11
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
W
54-43
54
43
+11
A02/11
B League
Osaka
#17
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H05/11
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
48-51
48
51
-3
H08/11
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H09/11
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A12/11
B League
Akita
#26
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H15/11
B League
Akita
#26
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H16/11
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#19
W
47-27
47
27
+20
H06/12
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#19
W
58-37
58
37
+21
H07/12
B League
89.3Avg total
49.1Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.140.484.5+3.760%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.138.983.0+5.173%-
Last 30 away (15)44.141.986.0+2.347%-
Last 10 (10)49.140.289.3+8.970%-
Last 5 (5)49.237.286.4+12.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)35.342.878.2-7.50%-
vs Similar (3)41.040.381.3+0.733%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)47.039.786.8+7.381%-
This opponent (Hiroshima D.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hiroshima D.their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hiroshima D.: 77.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.119.5
52.6%
53.1%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.68.8
29.7%
33.7%26.4
🏀 Free throws18.912.5
66.1%
73.1%12.5
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nagasakitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagasaki: 93.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.7 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.719.1
55.0%
53.1%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.713.9
42.5%
33.7%41.7
🏀 Free throws17.913.7
76.5%
73.1%13.7
They take 67.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hiroshima D.
LLWWLWLWLL
Nagasaki
WWWWWWLWWW
#13
League position
#1
+1.2
Net rating
+22.3
105.5
Offensive rating
118.5
104.3
Defensive rating
96.2
49.0%
Effective FG%
59.3%
48.5%
Opp. effective FG%
48.2%
17.7%
Turnover %
17.3%
35.7%
Off. rebound %
27.2%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.27
29.7%
3-point %
42.5%
67.5%
Assist %
74.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence105.5 · 118.5Defence104.3 · 96.2Shooting49.0% · 59.3%3-point %29.7% · 42.5%Ball care17.7% · 17.3%Off. rebounds35.7% · 27.2%Free throws0.28 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)40% · 90%
■ Hiroshima D.   ■ Nagasaki
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Hiroshima D. wins
2
Nagasaki wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/25HRyukyu68-74
06/12/25HRyukyu72-81
16/11/25ASendai85-80
15/11/25ASendai88-49
12/11/25HSeaHorses Mikawa84-88
09/11/25HUtsunomiya Brex103-76
08/11/25HUtsunomiya Brex70-84
05/11/25HNeoPhoenix84-72
02/11/25ADiamond Dolphins69-100
01/11/25ADiamond Dolphins64-75
Nagasakilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/25HKoshigaya Alphas99-76
06/12/25HKoshigaya Alphas91-58
16/11/25HAkita97-61
15/11/25HAkita91-70
12/11/25ANeoPhoenix86-80
09/11/25HDiamond Dolphins95-87
08/11/25HDiamond Dolphins91-96
05/11/25HOsaka100-96
02/11/25ABrave Thunders99-79
01/11/25ABrave Thunders93-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hiroshima D.
B League 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL55%
HomeLWLLL40%
AwayWLLWW70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %55%40%70%
Points / game85.985.686.2
Allowed / game81.583.879.1
Point differential+4.5+1.8+7.1
Avg total167.3169.4165.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%40%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nagasaki
B League 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW90%
HomeWWWWW91%
AwayWWWWW89%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %90%91%89%
Points / game92.893.092.6
Allowed / game75.876.375.3
Point differential+16.9+16.7+17.2
Avg total168.7169.3167.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+65%64%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nagasaki2018290%92.875.8+16.9
2 Diamond Dolphins2017385%83.871.0+12.8
3 Utsunomiya Brex2016480%84.276.5+7.8
4 Chiba2016480%82.475.3+7.0
5 Hokkaido2016480%87.783.8+3.9
6 Ryukyu2014670%83.475.6+7.8
7 SeaHorses Mikawa2014670%85.979.5+6.5
8 Gunma2013765%83.075.4+7.6
9 Hiroshima D.2011955%85.981.5+4.5
10 Shimane2011955%84.382.6+1.8
11 Alvark20101050%76.279.0-2.8
12 Saga2091145%82.283.2-1.1
13 Osaka2091145%83.085.0-1.9
14 Shiga2091145%81.084.0-3.0
15 Sendai2091145%77.281.2-3.9
16 NeoPhoenix2081240%80.881.2-0.3
17 Yokohama2081240%79.382.8-3.5
18 Sun Rockers Shibuya2081240%77.081.2-4.2
19 Koshigaya Alphas2081240%72.577.5-5.0
20 Altiri Chiba2071335%81.083.0-2.1
21 Nagoya Fighting Eagles2071335%78.081.6-3.5
22 Kyoto2061430%73.278.9-5.7
23 Toyama2061430%83.591.5-8.0
24 Brave Thunders2041620%74.584.0-9.5
25 Ibaraki Robots2031715%74.081.4-7.4
26 Akita2031715%69.584.0-14.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hiroshima D.1121152774
Nagasaki18332331105
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