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Alvark vs Hiroshima D. Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 01 Apr 2027
Tip-off: 10:00
Scheduled
Position#4
Record14-4
FormLLWWW
Points / game92.9
Allowed / game82.3
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.7/10
Above normal
4.2/10
Below normal
Position#2
Record13-3
FormWWWLL
Points / game89.9
Allowed / game82.1
JapanB League· Toyota Arena Tokyo
Other2026-27
Meetings · Alvark v Hiroshima D.
01 Apr 2027
ALVA v HIRO
upcoming
14 Nov 2026
ALVA99
HIRO83
04 Jan 2026
ALVA95
HIRO72
03 Jan 2026
ALVA79
HIRO87
10 Nov 2024
ALVA95
HIRO79
09 Nov 2024
ALVA71
HIRO56
03 Dec 2023
ALVA61
HIRO76
02 Dec 2023
ALVA88
HIRO75
20 Mar 2022
ALVA74
HIRO66
19 Mar 2022
ALVA100
HIRO89
22 Feb 2015
ALVA86
HIRO66
21 Feb 2015
ALVA80
HIRO67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alvark win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Hiroshima D. win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlvarkJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlvark
Date
Competition
Ibaraki Robots
#12
L
66-69
66
69
-3
60avg 85
H22/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#3
L
82-91
82
91
-9
72avg 85
H24/10
B League
Saga
#25
W
112-88
112
88
+24
116avg 85
A26/10
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#15
W
100-90
100
90
+10
99avg 85
H31/10
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#15
W
106-71
106
71
+35
102avg 85
H01/11
B League
Tainan TSG GhostHawks
#8
L
85-90
85
90
-5
no box
A04/11
EASL
Sendai
#5
L
69-96
69
96
-27
no box
A06/11
B League
NeoPhoenix
#7
W
88-67
88
67
+21
no box
H08/11
B League
Nagasaki
#21
W
82-73
82
73
+9
no box
H11/11
B League
Hiroshima D.
#2
W
99-83
99
83
+16
no box
H14/11
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
22-21
14-15
11-14
19-23
18-21
18-15
27-32
33-13
28-17
21-30
30-28
25-20
19-26
31-18
25-26
26-15
25-10
24-31
31-15
17-15
23-17
28-27
17-31
10-24
22-19
19-22
18-31
20-16
23-17
23-14
22-20
22-24
11-16
23-20
26-13
27-17
20-24
26-22
26-20
170.7Avg total
88.9Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)92.982.3175.3+10.678%
Season at home (11)87.477.3164.6+10.173%
Season away (7)101.790.3192.0+11.486%
Last 10 (10)88.981.8170.7+7.160%
Last 5 (5)84.681.8166.4+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)67.094.5161.5-27.50%
vs Similar ◀ (6)92.892.8185.7+0.050%
vs Weaker (21)91.679.0170.5+12.681%
This opponent (Hiroshima D.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hiroshima D.JapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormD.
Date
Competition
Altiri Chiba
#19
W
89-71
89
71
+18
88avg 83
A17/10
B League
NeoPhoenix
#7
W
77-75
77
75
+2
70avg 83
H19/10
B League
Akita
#24
W
98-84
98
84
+14
90avg 83
H21/10
B League
Levanga Hokkaido
#9
L
93-96
93
96
-3
83avg 83
H24/10
B League
Yokohama
#17
W
90-64
90
64
+26
88avg 83
A26/10
B League
Shimane
#18
W
95-88
95
88
+7
90avg 83
A31/10
B League
Shimane
#18
W
74-73
74
73
+1
68avg 83
A01/11
B League
Nagasaki
#21
W
80-73
80
73
+7
no box
H06/11
B League
Sendai
#5
L
91-106
91
106
-15
no box
H11/11
B League
Alvark
#4
L
83-99
83
99
-16
no box
A14/11
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-21
22-17
19-21
18-12
22-26
30-14
10-20
15-15
22-25
33-25
26-11
17-23
27-14
16-26
28-23
22-33
24-21
26-11
21-18
19-14
23-24
22-23
23-16
27-25
25-19
16-21
15-22
18-11
20-18
16-23
21-18
23-14
24-29
24-31
26-25
17-21
17-27
24-20
22-26
20-26
169.9Avg total
87.0Scored
82.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)89.982.1172.0+7.981%
Season at home (8)91.185.5176.6+5.675%
Season away (8)88.878.6167.4+10.188%
Last 10 (10)87.082.9169.9+4.170%
Last 5 (5)84.687.8172.4-3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)81.286.4167.6-5.240%
vs Similar ◀ (8)85.990.9176.8-5.025%
vs Weaker (17)88.880.5169.4+8.376%
This opponent (Alvark) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +0.2+0.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +0.2+0.2
AlvarkHiroshima D.
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AlvarkLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ibaraki Robots
#12
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H22/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#3
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H24/10
B League
Saga
#25
W
61-30
61
30
+31
A26/10
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#15
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H31/10
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#15
W
51-25
51
25
+26
H01/11
B League
Tainan TSG GhostHawks
#8
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A04/11
EASL
Sendai
#5
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A06/11
B League
NeoPhoenix
#7
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H08/11
B League
Nagasaki
#21
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H11/11
B League
Hiroshima D.
#2
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H14/11
B League
80.3Avg total
42.9Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.840.584.3+3.353%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.337.982.2+6.567%-
Last 30 away (15)43.343.186.5+0.240%-
Last 10 (10)42.937.480.3+5.560%-
Last 5 (5)39.037.876.8+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)34.540.575.0-6.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)44.349.894.2-5.517%-
vs Weaker (21)44.438.583.0+5.962%-
This opponent (Hiroshima D.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hiroshima D.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Altiri Chiba
#19
W
52-38
52
38
+14
A17/10
B League
NeoPhoenix
#7
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H19/10
B League
Akita
#24
W
55-50
55
50
+5
H21/10
B League
Levanga Hokkaido
#9
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H24/10
B League
Yokohama
#17
W
50-32
50
32
+18
A26/10
B League
Shimane
#18
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A31/10
B League
Shimane
#18
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A01/11
B League
Nagasaki
#21
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H06/11
B League
Sendai
#5
L
48-60
48
60
-12
H11/11
B League
Alvark
#4
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A14/11
B League
89.8Avg total
46.3Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.242.185.3+1.257%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.642.886.4+0.956%-
Last 30 away (14)42.841.384.1+1.557%-
Last 10 (10)46.343.589.8+2.860%-
Last 5 (5)42.247.089.2-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)37.241.879.0-4.640%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)44.147.291.4-3.125%-
vs Weaker (17)44.639.784.3+4.976%-
This opponent (Alvark) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alvarktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alvark: 94.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.920.6
59.0%
53.6%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.712.0
37.9%
32.9%36.0
🏀 Free throws23.317.1
73.4%
73.8%17.1
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hiroshima D.their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hiroshima D.: 90.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.723.7
58.2%
53.6%47.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.88.3
31.0%
32.9%24.9
🏀 Free throws24.617.7
72.0%
73.8%17.7
They take 67.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Apr 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alvark
WWWLLWWWLL
Hiroshima D.
LLWWWWLWWW
#4
League position
#2
+16.2
Net rating
+10.1
109.0
Offensive rating
102.1
92.8
Defensive rating
92.0
58.0%
Effective FG%
53.6%
49.6%
Opp. effective FG%
51.8%
11.1%
Turnover %
13.0%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.36
37.9%
3-point %
31.0%
60.7%
Assist %
61.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence109.0 · 102.1Defence92.8 · 92.0Shooting58.0% · 53.6%3-point %37.9% · 31.0%Ball care11.1% · 13.0%Free throws0.35 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Alvark   ■ Hiroshima D.
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Alvark wins
2
Hiroshima D. wins
DateGameScore
14/11/26Alvark v Hiroshima D.99-83
04/01/26Alvark v Hiroshima D.95-72
03/01/26Alvark v Hiroshima D.79-87
10/11/24Alvark v Hiroshima D.95-79
09/11/24Alvark v Hiroshima D.71-56
03/12/23Alvark v Hiroshima D.61-76
02/12/23Alvark v Hiroshima D.88-75
22/01/23Hiroshima D. v Alvark63-66
21/01/23Hiroshima D. v Alvark71-74
20/03/22Alvark v Hiroshima D.74-66
Alvarklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HHiroshima D.99-83
11/11/26HNagasaki82-73
08/11/26HNeoPhoenix88-67
06/11/26ASendai69-96
04/11/26ATainan TSG GhostHawks85-90
01/11/26HUtsunomiya Brex106-71
31/10/26HUtsunomiya Brex100-90
26/10/26ASaga112-88
24/10/26HSeaHorses Mikawa82-91
22/10/26HIbaraki Robots66-69
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AAlvark83-99
11/11/26HSendai91-106
06/11/26HNagasaki80-73
01/11/26AShimane74-73
31/10/26AShimane95-88
26/10/26AYokohama90-64
24/10/26HLevanga Hokkaido93-96
21/10/26HAkita98-84
19/10/26HNeoPhoenix77-75
17/10/26AAltiri Chiba89-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alvark
B League 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW78%
HomeWWWWW73%
AwayWWWWL86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18117
Win %78%73%86%
Points / game92.987.4101.7
Allowed / game82.377.390.3
Point differential+10.6+10.1+11.4
Avg total175.3164.6192.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%64%71%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %6%0%14%
Hiroshima D.
B League 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL81%
HomeWWLWL75%
AwayWWWWL88%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %81%75%88%
Points / game89.991.188.8
Allowed / game82.185.578.6
Point differential+7.9+5.6+10.1
Avg total172.0176.6167.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%38%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Diamond Dolphins1312192%92.676.7+15.9
2 Hiroshima D.1613381%89.982.1+7.9
3 SeaHorses Mikawa1411379%91.979.9+11.9
4 Alvark1814478%92.982.3+10.6
5 Sendai1814478%88.680.2+8.4
6 Gunma1612475%82.873.8+9.1
7 NeoPhoenix129375%87.481.6+5.8
8 Tokyo Sunrockers1711665%89.980.3+9.6
9 Levanga Hokkaido1610662%96.794.6+2.1
10 Kyoto169756%84.379.2+5.1
11 Toyama179853%82.688.4-5.8
12 Ibaraki Robots189950%83.779.8+3.9
13 Ryukyu168850%83.481.6+1.8
14 Chiba189950%92.295.1-2.9
15 Utsunomiya Brex157847%81.983.6-1.7
16 Shiga167944%86.488.8-2.4
17 Yokohama1771041%78.383.8-5.5
18 Shimane156940%83.581.9+1.6
19 Altiri Chiba1871139%79.884.7-4.8
20 Shinshu1761135%83.986.8-2.9
21 Nagasaki1861233%77.382.2-4.9
22 Brave Thunders1751229%79.283.9-4.8
23 Kobe1641225%79.987.3-7.4
24 Akita1741324%83.491.5-8.2
25 Saga151147%77.894.9-17.1
26 Osaka161156%70.190.9-20.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.
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