Alvark host Hiroshima D. in the B League on 14 November 2026, with the model favouring Alvark at 63% to 37% for Hiroshima D., projecting a 89-85 win and a total of 173.4 points; the home line is 2.5, and Alvark has a 69% chance to cover it, while the over has a 5% chance of occurring. Alvark finish the season 13-4, averaging 92.6 points and allowing 82.3, and sit 5th in the league; at home they are 7-3, 86.2 points and 76.7 allowed, and their last five games were 3-2. Hiroshima D. are 13-2, 90.4 points and 80.9 allowed, 2nd in the league, and undefeated 7-0 on the road with 89.6 points and 75.7 allowed, and their last five games were 4-1. In the ten meetings between the clubs, Alvark lead 8-2, most recently winning 95-72 on 4 January 2026. The model therefore sees Alvark's offensive edge and Hiroshima D.'s road dominance as key factors, with the final score likely close to the projected 89-85.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (17) | 92.6 | 82.3 | 174.9 | +10.3 | 76% |
| Season at home (10) | 86.2 | 76.7 | 162.9 | +9.5 | 70% |
| Season away (7) | 101.7 | 90.3 | 192.0 | +11.4 | 86% |
| Last 10 (10) | 88.0 | 80.9 | 168.9 | +7.1 | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 86.0 | 79.4 | 165.4 | +6.6 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (2) | 67.0 | 94.5 | 161.5 | -27.5 | 0% |
| vs Similar ◀ (5) | 91.6 | 94.8 | 186.4 | -3.2 | 40% |
| vs Weaker (22) | 90.6 | 78.5 | 169.0 | +12.1 | 82% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (15) | 90.4 | 80.9 | 171.3 | +9.5 | 87% |
| Season at home (8) | 91.1 | 85.5 | 176.6 | +5.6 | 75% |
| Season away (7) | 89.6 | 75.7 | 165.3 | +13.9 | 100% |
| Last 10 (10) | 89.8 | 83.5 | 173.3 | +6.3 | 80% |
| Last 5 (5) | 86.0 | 80.8 | 166.8 | +5.2 | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (5) | 81.2 | 86.4 | 167.6 | -5.2 | 40% |
| vs Similar ◀ (8) | 87.2 | 88.4 | 175.6 | -1.1 | 38% |
| vs Weaker (17) | 88.8 | 80.5 | 169.4 | +8.3 | 76% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 85.75 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 43.6 | 40.4 | 84.0 | +3.1 | 50% | 40% |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 43.8 | 37.7 | 81.5 | +6.1 | 60% | 27% |
| Last 30 away (15) | 43.3 | 43.1 | 86.5 | +0.2 | 40% | 53% |
| Last 10 (10) | 42.6 | 36.7 | 79.3 | +5.9 | 60% | 20% |
| Last 5 (5) | 39.8 | 34.6 | 74.4 | +5.2 | 60% | 0% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (2) | 34.5 | 40.5 | 75.0 | -6.0 | 50% | 0% |
| vs Similar ◀ (5) | 43.8 | 51.6 | 95.4 | -7.8 | 0% | 60% |
| vs Weaker (22) | 44.2 | 38.5 | 82.7 | +5.6 | 59% | 41% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 85.75 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 43.5 | 41.8 | 85.4 | +1.7 | 60% | 47% |
| Last 30 at home (17) | 44.0 | 42.6 | 86.6 | +1.4 | 59% | 53% |
| Last 30 away (13) | 42.9 | 40.8 | 83.8 | +2.1 | 62% | 38% |
| Last 10 (10) | 46.1 | 42.4 | 88.5 | +3.7 | 70% | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 44.0 | 44.0 | 88.0 | +0.0 | 40% | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (5) | 37.2 | 41.8 | 79.0 | -4.6 | 40% | 20% |
| vs Similar ◀ (8) | 45.2 | 46.4 | 91.6 | -1.1 | 38% | 88% |
| vs Weaker (17) | 44.6 | 39.7 | 84.3 | +4.9 | 76% | 35% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alvark +7 | 82.6% | 1.52 | 1.52 | - | - | - | - | +21.4pp | Won |
| Alvark +6 | 80.1% | 1.55 | 1.58 | 1.56 | 1.50 | - | - | +20.1pp | Won |
| Alvark +5.5 | 78.0% | 1.56 | 1.64 | 1.61 | 1.57 | 1.55 | 1.53 | +19.7pp | Won |
| Alvark +6.5 | 80.6% | 1.48 | 1.55 | 1.53 | 1.48 | 1.47 | 1.47 | +19.3pp | Won |
| Alvark +3 | 71.3% | 1.79 | 1.86 | 1.79 | 1.79 | 1.76 | 1.75 | +18.7pp | Won |
| Alvark +8.5 | 85.1% | 1.38 | 1.41 | 1.35 | - | - | - | +18.3pp | Won |
| Alvark +4 | 74.4% | 1.71 | 1.80 | 1.76 | 1.68 | 1.67 | 1.65 | +18.0pp | Won |
| Alvark +5 | 77.4% | 1.59 | 1.68 | 1.57 | 1.57 | 1.56 | - | +17.7pp | Won |
| Alvark +7.5 | 83.0% | 1.43 | 1.50 | 1.40 | 1.40 | - | - | +17.6pp | Won |
| Alvark +3.5 | 72.1% | 1.76 | 1.84 | 1.83 | 1.83 | 1.78 | 1.75 | +17.5pp | Won |
| Alvark +4.5 | 75.2% | 1.65 | 1.74 | 1.73 | 1.68 | 1.65 | 1.62 | +17.2pp | Won |
| Alvark +9.5 | 87.0% | 1.30 | 1.30 | - | - | - | - | +16.2pp | Won |
| Alvark +11.5 | 90.2% | 1.25 | 1.31 | 1.20 | - | - | - | +16.2pp | Won |
| Alvark +10.5 | 88.7% | 1.25 | 1.25 | - | - | - | - | +15.6pp | Won |
| Alvark +13.5 | 92.7% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +14.9pp | Won |
| Alvark over 80.5 | 78.3% | 1.42 | 1.44 | 1.41 | - | - | - | +13.5pp | Won |
| Alvark over 82.5 | 72.1% | 1.53 | 1.57 | 1.53 | 1.48 | - | - | +13.2pp | Won |
| Alvark over 81.5 | 75.3% | 1.43 | 1.45 | 1.41 | - | - | - | +12.7pp | Won |
| Alvark over 74.5 | 91.4% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | +12.5pp | Won |
| Hiroshima D. under 92.5 | 77.0% | 1.42 | 1.42 | - | - | - | - | +12.3pp | Won |
| Alvark over 73.5 | 92.8% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | +12.3pp | Won |
| Alvark over 78.5 | 83.6% | 1.30 | 1.30 | - | - | - | - | +12.1pp | Won |
| Alvark over 76.5 | 87.9% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | +11.8pp | Won |
| Alvark +18.5 | 96.7% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | +10.6pp | Won |
| Hiroshima D. under 90.5 | 71.0% | 1.48 | 1.52 | 1.44 | - | - | - | +10.5pp | Won |
| Hiroshima D. under 91.5 | 74.1% | 1.40 | 1.44 | 1.40 | 1.37 | - | - | +10.2pp | Won |
| Alvark over 71.5 | 95.1% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +10.1pp | Won |
| Hiroshima D. under 97.5 | 88.5% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | +9.6pp | Won |
| Alvark over 72.5 | 94.1% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +9.0pp | Won |
| Alvark +23.5 | 98.5% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +8.9pp | Won |
| Alvark +16.5 | 95.4% | 1.08 | 1.08 | - | - | - | - | +8.8pp | Won |
| Alvark over 70.5 | 96.0% | 1.06 | 1.06 | - | - | - | - | +8.1pp | Won |
| Hiroshima D. under 93.5 | 79.7% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +7.9pp | Won |
| Alvark +21.5 | 98.0% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +7.7pp | Won |
| Hiroshima D. under 95.5 | 84.5% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +6.8pp | Won |
| Hiroshima D. under 99.5 | 91.6% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +6.1pp | Won |
| Hiroshima D. over 69.5 | 93.1% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +3.8pp | Won |
| Overtime: no | 94.9% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +3.3pp | Won |
| Hiroshima D. +23.5 | 95.2% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +3.0pp | Won |
| Hiroshima D. +10.5 | 72.5% | 1.31 | 1.31 | - | - | - | - | +2.6pp | Lost |
| Hiroshima D. over 70.5 | 91.7% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +2.4pp | Won |
| Hiroshima D. over 71.5 | 90.1% | 1.06 | 1.06 | - | - | - | - | +2.2pp | Won |
| Hiroshima D. over 73.5 | 86.3% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +1.2pp | Won |
| Hiroshima D. over 75.5 | 81.5% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | +1.0pp | Won |
| Hiroshima D. +21.5 | 93.5% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +0.7pp | Won |
| Hiroshima D. over 72.5 | 88.3% | 1.06 | 1.06 | - | - | - | - | +0.4pp | Won |
| Hiroshima D. +18.5 | 89.9% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +0.3pp | Won |
| Hiroshima D. over 74.5 | 84.0% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | -1.5pp | Won |
| Hiroshima D. over 76.5 | 78.8% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | -1.7pp | Won |
| Alvark under 98.5 | 83.4% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | -2.1pp | Lost |
| Hiroshima D. +16.5 | 86.8% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | -2.9pp | Won |
| Hiroshima D. over 77.5 | 75.8% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | -3.0pp | Won |
| Alvark under 96.5 | 78.1% | 1.14 | 1.14 | - | - | - | - | -3.3pp | Lost |
| Hiroshima D. +11.5 | 75.4% | 1.19 | 1.27 | 1.10 | - | - | - | -3.5pp | Lost |
| Hiroshima D. +13.5 | 80.6% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | -5.0pp | Lost |
| Alvark under 94.5 | 72.0% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | -7.5pp | Lost |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 34.9 | 20.6 | 53.6% | 41.2 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 31.7 | 12.0 | 32.9% | 36.0 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 23.3 | 17.1 | 73.8% | 17.1 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 40.7 | 23.7 | 53.6% | 47.4 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 26.8 | 8.3 | 32.9% | 24.9 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 24.6 | 17.7 | 73.8% | 17.7 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 04/01/26 | Alvark v Hiroshima D. | 95-72 |
| 03/01/26 | Alvark v Hiroshima D. | 79-87 |
| 10/11/24 | Alvark v Hiroshima D. | 95-79 |
| 09/11/24 | Alvark v Hiroshima D. | 71-56 |
| 03/12/23 | Alvark v Hiroshima D. | 61-76 |
| 02/12/23 | Alvark v Hiroshima D. | 88-75 |
| 22/01/23 | Hiroshima D. v Alvark | 63-66 |
| 21/01/23 | Hiroshima D. v Alvark | 71-74 |
| 20/03/22 | Alvark v Hiroshima D. | 74-66 |
| 19/03/22 | Alvark v Hiroshima D. | 100-89 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11/26 | H | Nagasaki | 82-73 |
| 08/11/26 | H | NeoPhoenix | 88-67 |
| 06/11/26 | A | Sendai | 69-96 |
| 04/11/26 | A | Tainan TSG GhostHawks | 85-90 |
| 01/11/26 | H | Utsunomiya Brex | 106-71 |
| 31/10/26 | H | Utsunomiya Brex | 100-90 |
| 26/10/26 | A | Saga | 112-88 |
| 24/10/26 | H | SeaHorses Mikawa | 82-91 |
| 22/10/26 | H | Ibaraki Robots | 66-69 |
| 19/10/26 | H | Akita | 90-74 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11/26 | H | Sendai | 91-106 |
| 06/11/26 | H | Nagasaki | 80-73 |
| 01/11/26 | A | Shimane | 74-73 |
| 31/10/26 | A | Shimane | 95-88 |
| 26/10/26 | A | Yokohama | 90-64 |
| 24/10/26 | H | Levanga Hokkaido | 93-96 |
| 21/10/26 | H | Akita | 98-84 |
| 19/10/26 | H | NeoPhoenix | 77-75 |
| 17/10/26 | A | Altiri Chiba | 89-71 |
| 10/10/26 | H | Shiga | 111-105 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWLWW | 76% |
| Home | LWWWW | 70% |
| Away | WWWWL | 86% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 17 | 10 | 7 |
| Win % | 76% | 70% | 86% |
| Points / game | 92.6 | 86.2 | 101.7 |
| Allowed / game | 82.3 | 76.7 | 90.3 |
| Point differential | +10.3 | +9.5 | +11.4 |
| Avg total | 174.9 | 162.9 | 192.0 |
| Over 172.25 | 47% | 30% | 71% |
| Win by 10+ | 65% | 60% | 71% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 0% (1) | 0% (1) | - |
| Overtime % | 6% | 0% | 14% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWWWL | 87% |
| Home | WWLWL | 75% |
| Away | WWWWW | 100% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 15 | 8 | 7 |
| Win % | 87% | 75% | 100% |
| Points / game | 90.4 | 91.1 | 89.6 |
| Allowed / game | 80.9 | 85.5 | 75.7 |
| Point differential | +9.5 | +5.6 | +13.9 |
| Avg total | 171.3 | 176.6 | 165.3 |
| Over 172.25 | 47% | 50% | 43% |
| Win by 10+ | 47% | 38% | 57% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 75% (4) | 50% (2) | 100% (2) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 92% | 92.6 | 76.7 | +15.9 | |
| 2 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 87% | 90.4 | 80.9 | +9.5 | |
| 3 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 79% | 91.9 | 79.9 | +11.9 | |
| 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 78% | 88.6 | 80.2 | +8.4 | |
| 5 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 76% | 92.6 | 82.3 | +10.3 | |
| 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 75% | 82.8 | 73.8 | +9.1 | |
| 7 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 75% | 87.4 | 81.6 | +5.8 | |
| 8 | Tokyo Sunrockers | 17 | 11 | 6 | 65% | 89.9 | 80.3 | +9.6 |
| 9 | Levanga Hokkaido | 16 | 10 | 6 | 62% | 96.7 | 94.6 | +2.1 |
| 10 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 56% | 84.3 | 79.2 | +5.1 | |
| 11 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 53% | 82.6 | 88.4 | -5.8 | |
| 12 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 50% | 83.7 | 79.8 | +3.9 | |
| 13 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 50% | 83.4 | 81.6 | +1.8 | |
| 14 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 50% | 92.2 | 95.1 | -2.9 | |
| 15 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 47% | 81.9 | 83.6 | -1.7 | |
| 16 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 44% | 86.4 | 88.8 | -2.4 | |
| 17 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 41% | 78.3 | 83.8 | -5.5 | |
| 18 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 40% | 83.5 | 81.9 | +1.6 | |
| 19 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 39% | 79.8 | 84.7 | -4.8 | |
| 20 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 35% | 83.9 | 86.8 | -2.9 | |
| 21 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 33% | 77.3 | 82.2 | -4.9 | |
| 22 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 29% | 79.2 | 83.9 | -4.8 | |
| 23 | 16 | 4 | 12 | 25% | 79.9 | 87.3 | -7.4 | |
| 24 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 24% | 83.4 | 91.5 | -8.2 | |
| 25 | 15 | 1 | 14 | 7% | 77.8 | 94.9 | -17.1 | |
| 26 | 16 | 1 | 15 | 6% | 70.1 | 90.9 | -20.9 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 20 | 26 | 26 | 99 | |
| 17 | 24 | 22 | 20 | 83 |
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