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Alvark vs Toyama Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 01 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 06:05
Final 70-69
21-24 18-24 23-8 8-13
Position#8
Record23-11
FormWWWWW
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game77.3
Alvark 🏆
Japan
vs
Position#24
Record9-25
FormLLLLL
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game89.9
JapanB League· Yoyogi National Stadium
Other2025-26
Meetings · Alvark v Toyama
27 Jan 2027
ALVA v TOYA
upcoming
01 Feb 2026
ALVA70
TOYA69
31 Jan 2026
ALVA75
TOYA66
18 Dec 2022
ALVA78
TOYA74
17 Dec 2022
ALVA74
TOYA66
10 Oct 2021
ALVA114
TOYA81
09 Oct 2021
ALVA96
TOYA71
03 Mar 2021
ALVA114
TOYA87
31 Jan 2021
ALVA90
TOYA86
30 Jan 2021
ALVA86
TOYA97
26 Jan 2020
ALVA77
TOYA64
25 Jan 2020
ALVA82
TOYA71
03 Mar 2019
ALVA87
TOYA73
02 Mar 2019
ALVA86
TOYA78
29 Oct 2017
ALVA78
TOYA65
28 Oct 2017
ALVA104
TOYA77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alvark winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toyama winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlvarkJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlvark
Date
Competition
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
W
92-78
92
78
+14
95avg 74
A24/12
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
W
82-73
82
73
+9
88avg 74
A27/12
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
W
82-79
82
79
+3
82avg 74
A28/12
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
L
79-87
79
87
-8
68avg 74
H03/01
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
W
95-72
95
72
+23
88avg 74
H04/01
B League
LG Sakers
#11
W
88-81
88
81
+7
80avg 74
A21/01
EASL
Osaka
#17
W
91-76
91
76
+15
87avg 74
A24/01
B League
Osaka
#17
W
105-88
105
88
+17
109avg 74
A25/01
B League
Akita
#26
W
98-74
98
74
+24
102avg 74
A28/01
B League
Toyama
#24
W
75-66
75
66
+9
69avg 74
H31/01
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-16
17-19
26-22
25-21
30-15
21-21
18-12
13-25
16-19
24-23
22-13
20-24
20-23
28-17
12-25
19-22
23-21
26-19
25-15
21-17
24-30
22-13
23-23
19-15
26-28
16-15
22-17
27-16
30-21
29-24
20-23
26-20
32-18
23-14
22-22
21-20
26-13
8-23
23-17
18-13
166.1Avg total
88.7Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)80.877.3158.1+3.568%
Season at home (17)76.573.7150.2+2.865%
Season away (17)85.180.9166.0+4.271%
Last 10 (10)88.777.4166.1+11.390%
Last 5 (5)91.477.0168.4+14.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)62.076.5138.5-14.50%
vs Similar (12)79.377.2156.5+2.267%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)89.678.3167.9+11.394%
This opponent (Toyama) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToyamaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormToyama
Date
Competition
Ryukyu
#3
L
78-81
78
81
-3
67avg 78
H21/12
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
L
77-110
77
110
-33
70avg 78
H24/12
B League
Shiga
#18
W
100-99 OT
100
99
+1
92avg 78
A27/12
B League
Shiga
#18
W
79-71
79
71
+8
68avg 78
A28/12
B League
Chiba
#6
L
72-79
72
79
-7
64avg 78
A03/01
B League
Chiba
#6
L
73-88
73
88
-15
54avg 78
A04/01
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
L
75-78
75
78
-3
62avg 78
H24/01
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
L
79-89
79
89
-10
73avg 78
H25/01
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
87-91
87
91
-4
84avg 78
A28/01
B League
Alvark
#8
L
66-75
66
75
-9
58avg 78
A31/01
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-25
17-24
21-17
17-15
22-29
17-30
19-25
19-26
19-24
27-20
21-17
17-23
20-20
20-14
12-17
27-20
22-13
9-23
16-18
25-25
19-27
14-21
15-19
25-21
19-19
20-22
14-21
22-16
18-23
20-21
24-18
17-27
23-20
21-21
24-26
19-24
13-26
23-8
17-23
13-18
164.7Avg total
78.6Scored
86.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)82.089.9171.9-7.926%
Season at home (16)78.990.2169.1-11.319%
Season away (18)84.889.7174.5-4.833%
Last 10 (10)78.686.1164.7-7.520%
Last 5 (5)76.084.2160.2-8.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)81.291.7172.9-10.515%
vs Similar (10)83.286.0169.2-2.840%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Alvark) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.7+4.7Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -1.4-1.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.7+4.7Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -1.4-1.4
AlvarkToyama
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AlvarkLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A24/12
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
W
51-36
51
36
+15
A27/12
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A28/12
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H03/01
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H04/01
B League
LG Sakers
#11
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A21/01
EASL
Osaka
#17
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A24/01
B League
Osaka
#17
W
59-45
59
45
+14
A25/01
B League
Akita
#26
W
55-32
55
32
+23
A28/01
B League
Toyama
#24
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H31/01
B League
85.7Avg total
46.5Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.239.481.7+2.853%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.237.676.8+1.554%-
Last 30 away (17)44.640.885.4+3.853%-
Last 10 (10)46.539.285.7+7.370%-
Last 5 (5)47.239.887.0+7.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)30.039.069.0-9.00%-
vs Similar (12)42.538.380.8+4.258%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)43.640.383.9+3.256%-
This opponent (Toyama) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToyamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ryukyu
#3
L
40-49
40
49
-9
H21/12
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
L
39-59
39
59
-20
H24/12
B League
Shiga
#18
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A27/12
B League
Shiga
#18
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A28/12
B League
Chiba
#6
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A03/01
B League
Chiba
#6
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A04/01
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H24/01
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H25/01
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A28/01
B League
Alvark
#8
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A31/01
B League
81.6Avg total
38.6Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.545.286.7-3.743%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.845.788.5-2.929%-
Last 30 away (16)40.444.885.2-4.456%-
Last 10 (10)38.643.081.6-4.440%-
Last 5 (5)38.041.679.6-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)40.846.687.4-5.930%-
vs Similar (10)42.942.485.3+0.570%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Alvark) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alvarktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alvark: 88.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.719.9
54.2%
53.1%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.010.8
40.0%
33.7%32.4
🏀 Free throws21.715.9
73.3%
73.1%15.9
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Toyamatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toyama: 77.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.520.6
47.4%
53.1%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.67.7
31.3%
33.7%23.1
🏀 Free throws19.613.5
68.9%
73.1%13.5
They take 68.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alvark
WWWWWWLWWW
Toyama
LLLLLLWWLL
#8
League position
#24
+13.8
Net rating
-9.5
110.7
Offensive rating
93.9
96.9
Defensive rating
103.5
56.7%
Effective FG%
47.2%
50.5%
Opp. effective FG%
47.1%
14.0%
Turnover %
17.7%
25.4%
Off. rebound %
35.1%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.29
40.0%
3-point %
31.3%
74.9%
Assist %
60.4%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence110.7 · 93.9Defence96.9 · 103.5Shooting56.7% · 47.2%3-point %40.0% · 31.3%Ball care14.0% · 17.7%Off. rebounds25.4% · 35.1%Free throws0.34 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)90% · 20%
■ Alvark   ■ Toyama
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Alvark wins
1
Toyama wins
DateGameScore
31/01/26Alvark v Toyama75-66
10/12/23Toyama v Alvark67-92
09/12/23Toyama v Alvark66-89
18/12/22Alvark v Toyama78-74
17/12/22Alvark v Toyama74-66
10/10/21Alvark v Toyama114-81
09/10/21Alvark v Toyama96-71
03/03/21Alvark v Toyama114-87
31/01/21Alvark v Toyama90-86
30/01/21Alvark v Toyama86-97
Alvarklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/26HToyama75-66
28/01/26AAkita98-74
25/01/26AOsaka105-88
24/01/26AOsaka91-76
21/01/26ALG Sakers88-81
04/01/26HHiroshima D.95-72
03/01/26HHiroshima D.79-87
28/12/25ASeaHorses Mikawa82-79
27/12/25ASeaHorses Mikawa82-73
24/12/25ANagoya Fighting Eagles92-78
Toyamalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/26AAlvark66-75
28/01/26ADiamond Dolphins87-91
25/01/26HSun Rockers Shibuya79-89
24/01/26HSun Rockers Shibuya75-78
04/01/26AChiba73-88
03/01/26AChiba72-79
28/12/25AShiga79-71
27/12/25AShiga100-99 OT
24/12/25HNeoPhoenix77-110
21/12/25HRyukyu78-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alvark
B League 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW68%
HomeWWLWW65%
AwayWWWWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341717
Win %68%65%71%
Points / game80.876.585.1
Allowed / game77.373.780.9
Point differential+3.5+2.8+4.2
Avg total158.1150.2166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%35%41%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)67% (3)100% (3)
Overtime %9%6%12%
Toyama
B League 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL26%
HomeWLLLL19%
AwayWLLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341618
Win %26%19%33%
Points / game82.078.984.8
Allowed / game89.990.289.7
Point differential-7.9-11.3-4.8
Avg total171.9169.1174.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%12%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (12)0% (4)50% (8)
Overtime %3%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nagasaki3429585%93.477.7+15.7
2 Diamond Dolphins3527877%83.672.7+10.9
3 Utsunomiya Brex3426876%85.078.3+6.7
4 Chiba3526974%82.474.9+7.6
5 Hokkaido3526974%87.983.1+4.9
6 Alvark34231168%80.877.3+3.5
7 Ryukyu34221265%82.476.1+6.3
8 SeaHorses Mikawa34221265%83.678.5+5.1
9 Gunma34211362%82.974.9+8.1
10 Sendai35211460%79.978.4+1.5
11 Hiroshima D.34191556%85.382.6+2.7
12 Shimane35191654%82.681.0+1.6
13 Saga35191654%81.182.2-1.1
14 NeoPhoenix35161946%82.482.4-0.1
15 Osaka35152043%80.981.6-0.7
16 Sun Rockers Shibuya34142041%77.181.5-4.4
17 Nagoya Fighting Eagles34132138%81.383.7-2.4
18 Yokohama35132237%78.181.8-3.7
19 Koshigaya Alphas35132237%72.680.0-7.3
20 Shiga35122334%80.286.9-6.7
21 Altiri Chiba35102529%78.984.4-5.5
22 Ibaraki Robots3492526%75.480.1-4.7
23 Brave Thunders3492526%76.584.2-7.6
24 Toyama3492526%82.089.9-7.9
25 Kyoto3592626%70.880.8-9.9
26 Akita3572820%72.984.7-11.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alvark211823870
Toyama242481369
← all games of the day
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