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Alvik vs AIK Basket Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 27 Sep 2026
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 94-101
28-25 26-25 20-19 20-32
Position#3
Record1-0
FormLWLLW
Points / game127.0
Allowed / game59.0
Alvik
Sweden
vs
AIK Basket 🏆
Sweden
Position#1
Record1-0
FormWWWLW
Points / game93.0
Allowed / game62.0
SwedenSuperettan· Akeshovshallen
Other2026-27
Meetings · Alvik v AIK Basket
27 Sep 2026
ALVI94
AIK 101
13 Dec 2025
ALVI79
AIK 74
21 Dec 2024
ALVI100
AIK 92
09 Jan 2021
ALVI v AIK
upcoming
19 Jan 2020
ALVI78
AIK 73
07 Nov 2019
ALVI73
AIK 63
11 Dec 2018
ALVI76
AIK 70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alvik winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
AIK Basket winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlvikSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlvik
Date
Competition
Djurgarden
#3
W
84-80
84
80
+4
83avg 76
A15/03
Superettan
Aros Basket
#13
W
96-75
96
75
+21
89avg 76
H18/03
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#5
W
98-62
98
62
+36
98avg 76
H28/03
Superettan
Malbas
#2
W
86-78
86
78
+8
78avg 76
A11/04
Superettan
IK Eos
#6
L
63-74
63
74
-11
49avg 76
A12/04
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#5
L
69-71
69
71
-2
57avg 76
A24/04
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#5
W
81-60
81
60
+21
75avg 76
H26/04
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#8
L
83-87
83
87
-4
73avg 76
A30/04
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#8
L
82-96
82
96
-14
79avg 76
H06/05
Superettan
Ockelbo
#11
W
127-59
127
59
+68
122avg 76
H19/09
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-14
28-22
29-18
15-26
25-13
30-25
25-16
16-21
25-16
27-15
26-16
20-15
21-18
21-21
20-18
24-21
19-21
17-20
12-12
15-21
16-24
13-9
22-23
18-15
28-15
18-21
16-11
19-13
20-18
18-22
21-28
24-19
18-26
29-24
22-18
13-28
33-20
35-16
36-12
23-11
161.1Avg total
86.9Scored
74.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)127.059.0186.0+68.0100%
Season at home (1)127.059.0186.0+68.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)86.974.2161.1+12.760%
Last 5 (5)88.474.6163.0+13.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)77.582.2159.7-4.733%
vs Similar (18)78.781.9160.7-3.244%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)95.870.7166.5+25.2100%
This opponent (AIK Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AIK BasketSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
IK Eos
#6
W
95-80
95
80
+15
93avg 74
A21/02
Superettan
Malbas
#2
L
88-101
88
101
-13
80avg 74
A22/02
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#5
L
79-91
79
91
-12
70avg 74
A28/02
Superettan
Fryshuset Basket
#1
W
93-86
93
86
+7
84avg 74
H04/03
Superettan
Ockelbo
#12
W
73-56
73
56
+17
64avg 74
A07/03
Superettan
Aros Basket
#13
W
86-75
86
75
+11
83avg 74
H14/03
Superettan
Trelleborg
#10
W
92-71
92
71
+21
88avg 74
H29/03
Superettan
Sollentuna
#11
W
87-85 OT
87
85
+2
57avg 74
A01/04
Superettan
Trelleborg
#10
L
91-106
91
106
-15
81avg 74
A11/04
Superettan
Djurgarden
#12
W
93-62
93
62
+31
77avg 74
A21/09
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-12
28-23
29-14
16-31
26-21
26-27
14-33
22-20
23-22
14-20
29-25
13-24
22-18
33-17
17-29
21-22
23-21
19-20
11-8
20-7
22-23
23-17
24-18
17-17
24-23
23-16
17-13
28-19
16-13
23-17
13-27
17-12
24-25
16-30
24-16
27-35
29-19
15-15
18-9
31-19
169.0Avg total
87.7Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)93.062.0155.0+31.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)93.062.0155.0+31.0100%
Last 10 (10)87.781.3169.0+6.470%
Last 5 (5)89.879.8169.6+10.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)77.785.6163.3-7.914%
vs Similar (14)83.180.0163.1+3.157%
vs Weaker (9)84.172.9157.0+11.267%
This opponent (Alvik) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: +4.1+4.1Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +5.7+5.7Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +0.6+0.6
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: +4.1+4.1Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +5.7+5.7Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +0.6+0.6
AlvikAIK Basket
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AlvikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Djurgarden
#3
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A15/03
Superettan
Aros Basket
#13
W
55-38
55
38
+17
H18/03
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#5
W
52-31
52
31
+21
H28/03
Superettan
Malbas
#2
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A11/04
Superettan
IK Eos
#6
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A12/04
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#5
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A24/04
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#5
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H26/04
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#8
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A30/04
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#8
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H06/05
Superettan
Ockelbo
#11
W
68-36
68
36
+32
H19/09
Superettan
83.3Avg total
45.3Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.040.682.6+1.447%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.342.188.4+4.160%-
Last 30 away (15)37.739.176.8-1.333%-
Last 10 (10)45.338.083.3+7.360%-
Last 5 (5)45.639.084.6+6.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)37.046.283.2-9.233%-
vs Similar (18)40.840.180.9+0.839%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)50.536.787.2+13.883%-
This opponent (AIK Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AIK BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
IK Eos
#6
W
50-35
50
35
+15
A21/02
Superettan
Malbas
#2
W
52-48
52
48
+4
A22/02
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#5
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A28/02
Superettan
Fryshuset Basket
#1
W
55-35
55
35
+20
H04/03
Superettan
Ockelbo
#12
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A07/03
Superettan
Aros Basket
#13
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H14/03
Superettan
Trelleborg
#10
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H29/03
Superettan
Sollentuna
#11
W
39-30
39
30
+9
A01/04
Superettan
Trelleborg
#10
L
40-55
40
55
-15
A11/04
Superettan
Djurgarden
#12
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A21/09
Superettan
85.0Avg total
45.1Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.339.179.4+1.257%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.637.076.6+2.657%-
Last 30 away (16)40.940.981.9+0.056%-
Last 10 (10)45.139.985.0+5.280%-
Last 5 (5)43.039.682.6+3.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)39.941.481.3-1.657%-
vs Similar (14)39.737.877.5+1.957%-
vs Weaker (9)41.639.380.9+2.256%-
This opponent (Alvik) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alviktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alvik: 86.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
52%
29%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.720.7
53.5%
50.6%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.19.6
31.9%
29.9%28.8
🏀 Free throws23.416.4
70.1%
65.5%16.4
They take 68.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AIK Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AIK Basket: 85.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
52%
29%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.819.3
55.5%
50.6%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.710.8
31.1%
29.9%32.4
🏀 Free throws21.614.8
68.5%
65.5%14.8
They take 69.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Sep 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alvik
WLLWLLWWWW
AIK Basket
WLWWWWWLLW
#3
League position
#1
+14.0
Net rating
+5.1
94.6
Offensive rating
91.5
80.6
Defensive rating
86.3
51.0%
Effective FG%
51.1%
45.8%
Opp. effective FG%
47.3%
15.2%
Turnover %
15.1%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.31
31.9%
3-point %
31.1%
58.4%
Assist %
58.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence94.6 · 91.5Defence80.6 · 86.3Shooting51.0% · 51.1%3-point %31.9% · 31.1%Ball care15.2% · 15.1%Free throws0.34 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Alvik   ■ AIK Basket
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Alvik wins
2
AIK Basket wins
DateGameScore
13/12/25Alvik v AIK Basket79-74
22/11/25AIK Basket v Alvik93-63
15/02/25AIK Basket v Alvik94-100
21/12/24Alvik v AIK Basket100-92
03/10/20AIK Basket v Alvik91-61
19/01/20Alvik v AIK Basket78-73
12/01/20AIK Basket v Alvik81-93
07/11/19Alvik v AIK Basket73-63
06/02/19AIK Basket v Alvik82-91
11/12/18Alvik v AIK Basket76-70
Alviklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/09/26HOckelbo127-59
06/05/26HEskilstuna82-96
30/04/26AEskilstuna83-87
26/04/26HWetterbygden Stars81-60
24/04/26AWetterbygden Stars69-71
12/04/26AIK Eos63-74
11/04/26AMalbas86-78
28/03/26HWetterbygden Stars98-62
18/03/26HAros Basket96-75
15/03/26ADjurgarden84-80
AIK Basketlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/09/26ADjurgarden93-62
11/04/26ATrelleborg91-106
01/04/26ASollentuna87-85 OT
29/03/26HTrelleborg92-71
14/03/26HAros Basket86-75
07/03/26AOckelbo73-56
04/03/26HFryshuset Basket93-86
28/02/26AWetterbygden Stars79-91
22/02/26AMalbas88-101
21/02/26AIK Eos95-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alvik
Superettan 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game127.0127.0-
Allowed / game59.059.0-
Point differential+68.0+68.0-
Avg total186.0186.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
AIK Basket
Superettan 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game93.0-93.0
Allowed / game62.0-62.0
Point differential+31.0-+31.0
Avg total155.0-155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alvik110100%127.059.0+68.0
2 AIK Basket110100%93.062.0+31.0
3 Sollentuna110100%90.060.0+30.0
4 Norrort220100%93.073.0+20.0
5 Eskilstuna330100%97.082.0+15.0
6 Huddinge21150%87.582.5+5.0
7 Wetterbygden Stars21150%80.081.5-1.5
8 Trelleborg21150%81.585.5-4.0
9 Ockelbo21150%76.5101.0-24.5
10 IK Eos1010%86.091.0-5.0
11 Fryshuset Basket1010%79.091.0-12.0
12 Malbas1010%84.099.0-15.0
13 Cross Over3030%69.394.7-25.3
14 Djurgarden2020%69.097.0-28.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alvik2826202094
AIK Basket25251932101
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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