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Alvik vs Aros Basket Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 18 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 96-75
25-13 30-25 25-16 16-21
Position#7
Record12-10
FormLLLWW
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game81.8
Alvik 🏆
Sweden
vs
Position#13
Record6-16
FormWWWLL
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game85.4
SwedenSuperettan· Akeshovshallen
Other2025-26
Meetings · Alvik v Aros Basket
18 Mar 2026
ALVI96
AROS75
01 Feb 2025
ALVI92
AROS97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alvik winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Aros Basket winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlvikSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlvik
Date
Competition
AIK Basket
#9
W
79-74
79
74
+5
no box
H13/12
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#5
L
73-81
73
81
-8
58avg 77
A20/12
Superettan
Sollentuna
#11
W
95-84
95
84
+11
84avg 77
H10/01
Superettan
Fryshuset Basket
#1
L
73-76
73
76
-3
no box
A17/01
Superettan
Trelleborg
#10
W
91-81
91
81
+10
86avg 77
H25/01
Superettan
Trelleborg
#10
L
61-99
61
99
-38
49avg 77
A31/01
Superettan
Malbas
#2
L
73-86
73
86
-13
56avg 77
H15/02
Superettan
Huddinge
#4
L
90-92
90
92
-2
82avg 77
H18/02
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#8
W
99-88
99
88
+11
97avg 77
H04/03
Superettan
Djurgarden
#3
W
84-80
84
80
+4
83avg 77
A15/03
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-17
18-20
14-15
16-22
23-25
15-22
16-15
19-19
26-18
22-21
19-25
28-20
11-23
23-16
21-16
18-21
27-17
16-23
21-21
27-20
22-22
10-25
16-20
13-32
15-25
22-31
21-17
15-13
25-17
15-27
28-24
22-24
31-24
21-16
28-18
19-30
12-14
28-22
29-18
15-26
165.9Avg total
81.8Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)79.681.8161.4-2.155%
Season at home (11)81.982.3164.2-0.455%
Season away (11)77.481.3158.6-3.955%
Last 10 (10)81.884.1165.9-2.350%
Last 5 (5)81.489.0170.4-7.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)75.883.0158.8-7.220%
vs Similar (17)79.586.5166.0-6.935%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)89.673.9163.5+15.888%
This opponent (Aros Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Aros BasketSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Huddinge
#4
L
83-97
83
97
-14
73avg 71
A20/12
Superettan
Ockelbo
#12
L
75-84
75
84
-9
no box
A17/01
Superettan
AIK Basket
#9
L
76-91
76
91
-15
64avg 71
H24/01
Superettan
Malbas
#2
L
78-88
78
88
-10
68avg 71
H01/02
Superettan
Djurgarden
#3
L
77-85
77
85
-8
67avg 71
H07/02
Superettan
Trelleborg
#10
W
84-68
84
68
+16
84avg 71
H15/02
Superettan
Blackeberg
#14
W
108-87
108
87
+21
no box
H21/02
Superettan
Trelleborg
#10
W
74-69 OT
74
69
+5
66avg 71
A28/02
Superettan
IK Eos
#6
L
76-93
76
93
-17
73avg 71
H07/03
Superettan
AIK Basket
#9
L
75-86
75
86
-11
61avg 71
A14/03
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-20
21-28
29-24
18-25
24-15
21-27
12-20
18-22
18-18
18-27
22-24
18-22
25-30
16-18
19-21
18-19
21-24
23-20
19-17
14-24
16-18
29-11
14-21
25-18
26-28
29-25
25-14
28-20
16-23
13-14
20-16
18-14
25-34
12-22
22-15
17-22
23-22
17-23
18-24
17-17
165.4Avg total
80.6Scored
84.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)80.385.4165.7-5.027%
Season at home (11)83.985.4169.3-1.527%
Season away (11)76.785.4162.1-8.627%
Last 10 (10)80.684.8165.4-4.230%
Last 5 (5)83.480.6164.0+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)78.686.7165.3-8.121%
vs Similar (7)73.772.1145.9+1.643%
vs Weaker (4)94.586.0180.5+8.575%
This opponent (Alvik) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: -1.2-1.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: -1.2-1.2
AlvikAros Basket
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AlvikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AIK Basket
#9
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H13/12
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#5
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A20/12
Superettan
Sollentuna
#11
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H10/01
Superettan
Fryshuset Basket
#1
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A17/01
Superettan
Trelleborg
#10
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H25/01
Superettan
Trelleborg
#10
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A31/01
Superettan
Malbas
#2
L
37-56
37
56
-19
H15/02
Superettan
Huddinge
#4
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H18/02
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#8
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H04/03
Superettan
Djurgarden
#3
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A15/03
Superettan
83.8Avg total
41.3Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.842.083.8-0.240%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.742.786.4+1.047%-
Last 30 away (13)39.341.180.4-1.831%-
Last 10 (10)41.342.583.8-1.250%-
Last 5 (5)40.244.684.8-4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)36.047.683.6-11.620%-
vs Similar (17)40.942.683.5-1.629%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)47.237.284.5+10.075%-
This opponent (Aros Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Aros BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Huddinge
#4
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A20/12
Superettan
Ockelbo
#12
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A17/01
Superettan
AIK Basket
#9
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H24/01
Superettan
Malbas
#2
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H01/02
Superettan
Djurgarden
#3
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H07/02
Superettan
Trelleborg
#10
W
45-29
45
29
+16
H15/02
Superettan
Blackeberg
#14
W
55-53
55
53
+2
H21/02
Superettan
Trelleborg
#10
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A28/02
Superettan
IK Eos
#6
L
37-56
37
56
-19
H07/03
Superettan
AIK Basket
#9
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A14/03
Superettan
85.5Avg total
40.8Scored
44.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.743.382.0-4.630%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.543.483.9-2.933%-
Last 30 away (15)36.943.280.1-6.327%-
Last 10 (10)40.844.785.5-3.930%-
Last 5 (5)41.244.085.2-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)38.444.683.1-6.216%-
vs Similar (7)34.437.371.7-2.957%-
vs Weaker (4)47.547.595.0+0.050%-
This opponent (Alvik) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alviktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alvik: 84.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.121.7
51.5%
50.7%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.07.7
26.6%
30.9%23.1
🏀 Free throws27.017.9
66.3%
67.0%17.9
They take 71.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Aros Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aros Basket: 79.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.4 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.423.2
52.3%
50.7%46.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.36.5
25.7%
30.9%19.5
🏀 Free throws19.913.9
69.8%
67.0%13.9
They take 69.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alvik
WWLLLWLWLW
Aros Basket
LLWWWLLLLL
#7
League position
#13
-2.2
Net rating
-7.9
91.5
Offensive rating
87.3
93.6
Defensive rating
95.2
46.8%
Effective FG%
47.3%
48.9%
Opp. effective FG%
48.7%
16.5%
Turnover %
17.2%
37.9%
Off. rebound %
25.9%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.29
26.6%
3-point %
25.7%
59.9%
Assist %
68.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence91.5 · 87.3Defence93.6 · 95.2Shooting46.8% · 47.3%3-point %26.6% · 25.7%Ball care16.5% · 17.2%Off. rebounds37.9% · 25.9%Free throws0.38 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Alvik   ■ Aros Basket
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Alvik wins
2
Aros Basket wins
DateGameScore
06/12/25Aros Basket v Alvik80-87
01/02/25Alvik v Aros Basket92-97 OT
09/11/24Aros Basket v Alvik71-70
Alviklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/26ADjurgarden84-80
04/03/26HEskilstuna99-88
18/02/26HHuddinge90-92
15/02/26HMalbas73-86
31/01/26ATrelleborg61-99
25/01/26HTrelleborg91-81
17/01/26AFryshuset Basket73-76
10/01/26HSollentuna95-84
20/12/25AWetterbygden Stars73-81
13/12/25HAIK Basket79-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/26AAIK Basket75-86
07/03/26HIK Eos76-93
28/02/26ATrelleborg74-69 OT
21/02/26HBlackeberg108-87
15/02/26HTrelleborg84-68
07/02/26HDjurgarden77-85
01/02/26HMalbas78-88
24/01/26HAIK Basket76-91
17/01/26AOckelbo75-84
20/12/25AHuddinge83-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alvik
Superettan 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW55%
HomeWWLLW55%
AwayWLLLW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %55%55%55%
Points / game79.681.977.4
Allowed / game81.882.381.3
Point differential-2.1-0.4-3.9
Avg total161.4164.2158.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%45%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)50% (2)80% (5)
Overtime %5%0%9%
Aros Basket
Superettan 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL27%
HomeLLWWL27%
AwayWLLWL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %27%27%27%
Points / game80.383.976.7
Allowed / game85.485.485.4
Point differential-5.0-1.5-8.6
Avg total165.7169.3162.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%27%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %9%9%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Malbas2217577%88.776.8+11.9
2 Fryshuset Basket2418675%88.982.8+6.1
3 Djurgarden2314961%84.078.3+5.7
4 Wetterbygden Stars24141058%80.081.1-1.1
5 Huddinge23131057%87.586.2+1.3
6 Alvik22121055%79.681.8-2.1
7 IK Eos23121152%85.482.4+3.0
8 AIK Basket23111248%80.478.3+2.0
9 Sollentuna23111248%80.980.0+0.8
10 Trelleborg23111248%84.784.6+0.1
11 Eskilstuna23101343%86.087.4-1.4
12 Ockelbo2381535%75.780.4-4.8
13 Aros Basket2261627%80.385.4-5.0
14 Blackeberg2442017%76.592.2-15.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alvik2530251696
Aros Basket1325162175
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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