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Alytaus Alytus vs Kedainiu SC Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 22 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 76-104
16-23 21-30 20-27 19-24
Position#17
Record5-21
FormLLLWL
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game84.5
Alytaus Alytus
Lithuania
vs
Kedainiu SC 🏆
Lithuania
Position#6
Record16-10
FormLLLWW
Points / game88.4
Allowed / game86.0
LithuaniaNKL· Silutes Vyduno gimnazija
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alytaus Alytus winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kedainiu SC winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alytaus AlytusLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlytus
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
L
67-79
67
79
-12
56avg 68
H04/12
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
W
81-75
81
75
+6
86avg 68
A06/12
NKL
Kretinga
#9
L
83-87
83
87
-4
73avg 68
H11/12
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
69-92
69
92
-23
55avg 68
A13/12
NKL
Jurbarkas
#5
L
71-76
71
76
-5
58avg 68
A16/12
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
L
82-95
82
95
-13
71avg 68
A18/12
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
L
80-85
80
85
-5
70avg 68
H03/01
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
L
60-88
60
88
-28
49avg 68
A08/01
NKL
Telsiai
#10
W
83-81
83
81
+2
no box
A15/01
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
L
81-84 OT
81
84
-3
no box
H18/01
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-24
22-20
15-11
16-24
24-14
25-19
14-23
18-19
16-20
24-27
22-13
21-27
14-18
18-36
13-19
24-19
14-16
21-19
12-14
24-27
25-21
15-23
20-28
22-23
23-31
21-14
16-16
20-24
10-19
17-25
18-22
15-22
19-20
21-15
19-26
24-20
18-16
18-21
9-19
23-12
159.9Avg total
75.7Scored
84.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)78.184.5162.7-6.419%
Season at home (14)79.681.4160.9-1.821%
Season away (12)76.488.2164.7-11.817%
Last 10 (10)75.784.2159.9-8.520%
Last 5 (5)77.286.6163.8-9.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)76.787.0163.6-10.313%
vs Similar (7)83.686.6170.1-3.029%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Kedainiu SC) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Kedainiu SCLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSC
Date
Competition
Vytis VDU
#2
W
100-86
100
86
+14
100avg 83
A06/12
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
L
80-106
80
106
-26
68avg 83
H09/12
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
W
85-63
85
63
+22
84avg 83
H11/12
NKL
Kretinga
#9
L
85-90
85
90
-5
75avg 83
A13/12
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
L
73-94
73
94
-21
58avg 83
H20/12
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
65-92
65
92
-27
62avg 83
H03/01
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
L
107-113 OT
107
113
-6
89avg 83
A08/01
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
L
78-91
78
91
-13
78avg 83
H10/01
NKL
Mazeikiai
#11
W
84-83
84
83
+1
no box
A15/01
NKL
Telsiai
#10
W
91-82
91
82
+9
no box
H17/01
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-20
34-20
25-22
25-24
21-27
18-28
22-25
19-26
19-10
20-19
23-19
23-15
24-26
19-18
20-15
22-31
23-22
18-24
18-23
14-25
15-27
19-24
18-21
13-20
21-18
17-19
25-19
31-38
20-29
23-22
19-18
16-22
30-15
16-27
16-22
22-19
19-20
25-18
26-17
21-27
174.8Avg total
84.8Scored
90.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)88.486.0174.4+2.462%
Season at home (14)84.585.8170.3-1.357%
Season away (12)92.986.2179.2+6.767%
Last 10 (10)84.890.0174.8-5.240%
Last 5 (5)85.092.2177.2-7.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)80.091.5171.5-11.550%
vs Similar (17)88.687.1175.6+1.559%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)90.381.9172.1+8.471%
This opponent (Alytaus Alytus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -4.1-4.1
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -4.1-4.1
Alytaus AlytusKedainiu SC
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alytaus AlytusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H04/12
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
W
49-33
49
33
+16
A06/12
NKL
Kretinga
#9
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H11/12
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
32-54
32
54
-22
A13/12
NKL
Jurbarkas
#5
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A16/12
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A18/12
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H03/01
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
L
27-44
27
44
-17
A08/01
NKL
Telsiai
#10
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A15/01
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H18/01
NKL
79.7Avg total
37.9Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.942.680.5-4.730%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.941.479.4-3.531%-
Last 30 away (14)37.943.981.9-6.029%-
Last 10 (10)37.941.879.7-3.920%-
Last 5 (5)37.441.078.4-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)37.342.279.4-4.930%-
vs Similar (7)40.144.084.1-3.929%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Kedainiu SC) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Kedainiu SCLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vytis VDU
#2
W
50-40
50
40
+10
A06/12
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
L
39-55
39
55
-16
H09/12
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H11/12
NKL
Kretinga
#9
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A13/12
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H20/12
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
34-51
34
51
-17
H03/01
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A08/01
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
L
43-51
43
51
-8
H10/01
NKL
Mazeikiai
#11
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A15/01
NKL
Telsiai
#10
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H17/01
NKL
85.0Avg total
41.7Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (26)43.842.586.2+1.358%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.943.386.1-0.450%-
Last 30 away (12)44.841.586.3+3.367%-
Last 10 (10)41.743.385.0-1.650%-
Last 5 (5)41.043.884.8-2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)42.550.092.5-7.550%-
vs Similar (17)43.343.186.4+0.253%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)45.338.784.0+6.671%-
This opponent (Alytaus Alytus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alytaus Alytustheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alytaus Alytus: 74.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.319.1
48.6%
54.5%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.97.4
33.8%
32.3%22.2
🏀 Free throws19.314.2
73.6%
69.3%14.2
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kedainiu SCtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kedainiu SC: 82.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.622.5
51.6%
54.5%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.58.0
29.1%
32.3%24.0
🏀 Free throws20.613.8
67.0%
69.3%13.8
They take 71.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alytaus Alytus
LWLLLLLLWL
Kedainiu SC
WWLLLLLWLW
#17
League position
#6
-11.9
Net rating
-5.3
99.0
Offensive rating
97.8
110.9
Defensive rating
103.1
49.3%
Effective FG%
48.5%
55.2%
Opp. effective FG%
49.9%
16.8%
Turnover %
18.1%
21.2%
Off. rebound %
31.8%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.29
33.8%
3-point %
29.1%
59.6%
Assist %
67.5%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence99.0 · 97.8Defence110.9 · 103.1Shooting49.3% · 48.5%3-point %33.8% · 29.1%Ball care16.8% · 18.1%Off. rebounds21.2% · 31.8%Free throws0.32 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ Alytaus Alytus   ■ Kedainiu SC
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Alytaus Alytus wins
1
Kedainiu SC wins
DateGameScore
06/11/25Kedainiu SC v Alytaus Alytus75-67
Alytaus Alytuslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/26HOmega-Tauras81-84 OT
15/01/26ATelsiai83-81
08/01/26ABC Olimpas Palanga60-88
03/01/26HVytis VDU80-85
18/12/25ARytas 282-95
16/12/25AJurbarkas71-76
13/12/25ASuduva-Mantinga69-92
11/12/25HKretinga83-87
06/12/25ANeptunas 281-75
04/12/25HZalgiris Kaunas 267-79
Kedainiu SClast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/26HTelsiai91-82
15/01/26AMazeikiai84-83
10/01/26HBC Olimpas Palanga78-91
08/01/26AZalgiris Kaunas 2107-113 OT
03/01/26HSuduva-Mantinga65-92
20/12/25HRytas 273-94
13/12/25AKretinga85-90
11/12/25HOmega-Tauras85-63
09/12/25HVytis VDU80-106
06/12/25AVytis VDU100-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alytaus Alytus
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL19%
HomeWLLLL21%
AwayLLLLW17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261412
Win %19%21%17%
Points / game78.179.676.4
Allowed / game84.581.488.2
Point differential-6.4-1.8-11.8
Avg total162.7160.9164.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won10% (10)0% (6)25% (4)
Overtime %4%7%0%
Kedainiu SC
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW62%
HomeWLLLW57%
AwayWWLLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261412
Win %62%57%67%
Points / game88.484.592.9
Allowed / game86.085.886.2
Point differential+2.4-1.3+6.7
Avg total174.4170.3179.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%36%42%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)50% (2)60% (5)
Overtime %8%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Suduva-Mantinga2723485%89.375.0+14.2
2 Vytis VDU2619773%87.582.6+4.8
3 Zalgiris Kaunas 22618869%86.084.7+1.3
4 Kedainiu SC26161062%88.486.0+2.4
5 Telsiai26161062%84.383.4+1.0
6 Vilkaviskis26141254%82.779.5+3.1
7 Jurbarkas25131252%76.876.7+0.1
8 Rytas 227141352%84.381.7+2.6
9 Neptunas 226131350%78.378.0+0.3
10 Mazeikiai26121446%83.181.8+1.3
11 Kretinga26121446%85.886.7-0.8
12 Silute26121446%86.789.5-2.8
13 Omega-Tauras26111542%86.789.2-2.5
14 BC Olimpas Palanga26111542%79.983.8-3.9
15 Ukmerges Stekas2561924%80.990.6-9.7
16 Plunges Olimpas2662023%80.486.4-6.0
17 Alytaus Alytus2652119%78.184.5-6.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alytaus Alytus1621201976
Kedainiu SC23302724104
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