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Alytaus Alytus vs Rytas 2 Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 16 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 76-77
14-23 20-10 20-23 22-21
Position#17
Record1-3
FormLLLLW
Points / game74.8
Allowed / game86.2
vs
Rytas 2 🏆
Lithuania
Position#8
Record2-2
FormLWLLW
Points / game83.5
Allowed / game82.8
LithuaniaNKL· Silutes Vyduno gimnazija
Other2025-26
Meetings · Alytaus Alytus v Rytas 2
16 Oct 2025
ALYT76
RYTA77
01 Mar 2025
ALYT72
RYTA91
21 Nov 2024
ALYT90
RYTA82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alytaus Alytus winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rytas 2 winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alytaus AlytusLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlytus
Date
Competition
Ukmerges Stekas
#8
L
60-109
60
109
-49
39avg 68
A08/02
NKL
Neptunas 2
#10
L
78-111
78
111
-33
60avg 68
A13/02
NKL
Kretinga
#13
L
72-105
72
105
-33
62avg 68
A20/02
NKL
Silute
#12
L
77-107
77
107
-30
72avg 68
H22/02
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
L
96-105
96
105
-9
84avg 68
A27/02
NKL
Rytas 2
#11
L
72-91
72
91
-19
56avg 68
H01/03
NKL
Silute
#12
L
85-90
85
90
-5
81avg 68
H02/10
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
L
68-80
68
80
-12
61avg 68
H04/10
NKL
Kretinga
#9
L
71-106
71
106
-35
62avg 68
A09/10
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
W
75-69
75
69
+6
66avg 68
H11/10
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-34
17-24
17-22
11-29
19-34
20-30
23-22
16-25
18-20
13-27
18-24
23-34
18-24
20-36
18-21
21-26
23-27
27-32
22-30
24-16
23-27
17-22
17-23
15-19
23-21
17-17
20-32
25-20
20-17
15-22
26-21
7-20
19-26
12-22
22-29
18-29
20-17
10-13
23-15
22-24
172.7Avg total
75.4Scored
97.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)74.886.2161.0-11.525%
Season at home (3)76.079.7155.7-3.733%
Season away (1)71.0106.0177.0-35.00%
Last 10 (10)75.497.3172.7-21.910%
Last 5 (5)74.287.2161.4-13.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)75.890.7166.5-14.823%
vs Similar (4)97.293.5190.8+3.850%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Rytas 2) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rytas 2LithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form2
Date
Competition
Ukmerges Stekas
#8
L
84-97
84
97
-13
76avg 75
H22/02
NKL
Kretinga
#13
L
74-92
74
92
-18
65avg 75
H27/02
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#15
W
91-72
91
72
+19
93avg 75
A01/03
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
L
70-83
70
83
-13
67avg 75
A06/03
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
W
85-71
85
71
+14
83avg 75
H08/03
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
L
68-76
68
76
-8
62avg 75
A10/03
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
108-96
108
96
+12
106avg 75
H02/10
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#7
L
70-86
70
86
-16
61avg 75
A04/10
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
80-81
80
81
-1
73avg 75
A09/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
W
76-68
76
68
+8
70avg 75
H11/10
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-26
26-23
23-32
17-16
14-26
18-27
19-21
23-18
27-23
22-17
23-17
19-15
25-23
16-16
16-27
13-17
22-18
26-12
18-20
19-21
11-22
20-16
20-16
17-22
29-20
26-19
28-27
25-30
30-21
15-18
10-28
15-19
19-19
25-18
23-18
13-26
16-17
24-15
15-21
21-15
162.8Avg total
80.6Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)83.582.8166.2+0.850%
Season at home (2)92.082.0174.0+10.0100%
Season away (2)75.083.5158.5-8.50%
Last 10 (10)80.682.2162.8-1.640%
Last 5 (5)80.481.4161.8-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)72.381.5153.8-9.210%
vs Similar (14)80.880.5161.3+0.364%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)95.290.0185.2+5.267%
This opponent (Alytaus Alytus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -4.9-4.9Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -7.7-7.7Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: -6.0-6.0Q4: -1.7-1.7
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -4.9-4.9Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -7.7-7.7Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: -6.0-6.0Q4: -1.7-1.7
Alytaus AlytusRytas 2
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alytaus AlytusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ukmerges Stekas
#8
L
32-58
32
58
-26
A08/02
NKL
Neptunas 2
#10
L
39-64
39
64
-25
A13/02
NKL
Kretinga
#13
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A20/02
NKL
Silute
#12
L
38-60
38
60
-22
H22/02
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
L
50-59
50
59
-9
A27/02
NKL
Rytas 2
#11
L
40-49
40
49
-9
H01/03
NKL
Silute
#12
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H02/10
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H04/10
NKL
Kretinga
#9
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A09/10
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
D
30-30
30
30
+0
H11/10
NKL
85.8Avg total
36.6Scored
49.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.844.182.9-5.337%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.941.380.2-2.441%-
Last 30 away (13)38.647.886.4-9.231%-
Last 10 (10)36.649.285.8-12.610%-
Last 5 (5)35.240.876.0-5.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)37.344.081.3-6.735%-
vs Similar (4)48.245.093.2+3.250%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Rytas 2) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rytas 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ukmerges Stekas
#8
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H22/02
NKL
Kretinga
#13
L
32-53
32
53
-21
H27/02
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#15
W
49-40
49
40
+9
A01/03
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A06/03
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
W
48-30
48
30
+18
H08/03
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A10/03
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
55-39
55
39
+16
H02/10
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#7
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A04/10
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A09/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H11/10
NKL
82.5Avg total
42.9Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.040.780.7-0.747%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.742.984.6-1.143%-
Last 30 away (16)38.438.877.2-0.450%-
Last 10 (10)42.939.682.5+3.370%-
Last 5 (5)43.037.080.0+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)37.637.575.1+0.160%-
vs Similar (14)39.941.181.0-1.143%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)44.045.289.2-1.233%-
This opponent (Alytaus Alytus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alytaus Alytustheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alytaus Alytus: 74.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.720.5
49.2%
54.5%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.47.5
28.4%
32.3%22.5
🏀 Free throws16.711.3
67.7%
69.3%11.3
They take 68.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rytas 2their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rytas 2: 79.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.721.4
55.3%
54.5%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.28.2
33.9%
32.3%24.6
🏀 Free throws16.012.2
76.2%
69.3%12.2
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alytaus Alytus
WLLLLLLLLL
Rytas 2
WLLWLWLWLL
#17
League position
#8
-27.9
Net rating
-2.2
96.0
Offensive rating
108.2
123.9
Defensive rating
110.3
46.6%
Effective FG%
53.6%
60.2%
Opp. effective FG%
53.9%
18.5%
Turnover %
18.9%
29.4%
Off. rebound %
30.7%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.25
28.4%
3-point %
33.9%
57.9%
Assist %
64.9%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence96.0 · 108.2Defence123.9 · 110.3Shooting46.6% · 53.6%3-point %28.4% · 33.9%Ball care18.5% · 18.9%Off. rebounds29.4% · 30.7%Free throws0.25 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)10% · 40%
■ Alytaus Alytus   ■ Rytas 2
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Alytaus Alytus wins
1
Rytas 2 wins
DateGameScore
01/03/25Alytaus Alytus v Rytas 272-91
23/11/24Rytas 2 v Alytaus Alytus86-96
21/11/24Alytaus Alytus v Rytas 290-82
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/10/25HSuduva-Mantinga75-69
09/10/25AKretinga71-106
04/10/25HPlunges Olimpas68-80
02/10/25HSilute85-90
01/03/25HRytas 272-91
27/02/25ADelikatesas Joniskis96-105
22/02/25HSilute77-107
20/02/25AKretinga72-105
13/02/25ANeptunas 278-111
08/02/25AUkmerges Stekas60-109
Rytas 2last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/10/25HVytis VDU76-68
09/10/25ASuduva-Mantinga80-81
04/10/25AVilkaviskis70-86
02/10/25HPlunges Olimpas108-96
10/03/25ASuduva-Mantinga68-76
08/03/25HSuduva-Mantinga85-71
06/03/25ASuduva-Mantinga70-83
01/03/25AAlytaus Alytus91-72
27/02/25HKretinga74-92
22/02/25HUkmerges Stekas84-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alytaus Alytus
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLW25%
HomeLLW33%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %25%33%0%
Points / game74.876.071.0
Allowed / game86.279.7106.0
Point differential-11.5-3.7-35.0
Avg total161.0155.7177.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Rytas 2
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLW50%
HomeWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game83.592.075.0
Allowed / game82.882.083.5
Point differential+0.8+10.0-8.5
Avg total166.2174.0158.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Vilkaviskis440100%84.571.8+12.8
2 Omega-Tauras43175%92.582.0+10.5
3 Kedainiu SC43175%95.289.8+5.5
4 Zalgiris Kaunas 243175%81.878.8+3.0
5 Telsiai32167%88.080.3+7.7
6 Vytis VDU32167%79.373.3+6.0
7 Neptunas 242250%87.878.5+9.2
8 Plunges Olimpas42250%87.584.5+3.0
9 Rytas 242250%83.582.8+0.8
10 Suduva-Mantinga21150%75.077.5-2.5
11 Silute42250%82.085.0-3.0
12 Jurbarkas31233%80.785.3-4.7
13 Kretinga41325%85.889.2-3.5
14 Mazeikiai41325%77.084.8-7.8
15 BC Olimpas Palanga41325%76.286.2-10.0
16 Alytaus Alytus41325%74.886.2-11.5
17 Ukmerges Stekas3030%69.388.7-19.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alytaus Alytus1420202276
Rytas 22310232177
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