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Neptunas 2 vs Alytaus Alytus Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 13 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 111-78
34-19 30-20 22-23 25-16
Position#10
Record15-17
FormLLLLL
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game80.5
vs
Position#15
Record9-23
FormLLLLL
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game88.5
LithuaniaNKL· Klaip
Other2024-25
Meetings · Neptunas 2 v Alytaus Alytus
06 Dec 2025
NEPT75
ALYT81
13 Feb 2025
NEPT111
ALYT78
16 Nov 2024
NEPT80
ALYT83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas 2 winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alytaus Alytus winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Neptunas 2LithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form2
Date
Competition
Jurbarkas
#3
W
95-84
95
84
+11
84avg 72
A20/12
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
L
75-99
75
99
-24
59avg 72
A04/01
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
L
78-83
78
83
-5
72avg 72
H09/01
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#8
L
74-91
74
91
-17
61avg 72
A11/01
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
W
87-81
87
81
+6
78avg 72
H16/01
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
L
92-98
92
98
-6
83avg 72
A18/01
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
L
80-91
80
91
-11
72avg 72
H21/01
NKL
Rytas 2
#11
L
61-65
61
65
-4
46avg 72
H25/01
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
L
77-95
77
95
-18
67avg 72
H08/02
NKL
Rytas 2
#11
L
81-90
81
90
-9
68avg 72
A11/02
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-18
31-29
18-19
21-18
16-28
11-24
24-22
24-25
13-21
19-16
16-25
30-21
15-24
23-21
21-26
15-20
21-25
25-18
27-23
14-15
16-24
25-24
19-27
32-23
19-31
23-22
18-15
20-23
14-12
14-16
16-19
17-18
17-26
28-17
12-27
20-25
20-17
24-18
18-26
19-29
167.7Avg total
80.0Scored
87.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)79.280.5159.7-1.347%
Season at home (16)80.878.8159.6+2.156%
Season away (16)77.582.2159.8-4.838%
Last 10 (10)80.087.7167.7-7.720%
Last 5 (5)78.287.8166.0-9.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)70.681.2151.8-10.620%
vs Similar (20)79.280.3159.6-1.150%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)85.484.6170.0+0.840%
This opponent (Alytaus Alytus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alytaus AlytusLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlytus
Date
Competition
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
L
76-83
76
83
-7
69avg 68
H19/12
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
L
58-107
58
107
-49
28avg 68
A21/12
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
L
75-88
75
88
-13
65avg 68
H04/01
NKL
Jurbarkas
#3
L
53-80
53
80
-27
38avg 68
A09/01
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
L
56-69
56
69
-13
38avg 68
H11/01
NKL
Kretinga
#13
L
61-80
61
80
-19
44avg 68
H16/01
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
L
83-90
83
90
-7
76avg 68
H18/01
NKL
Silute
#12
L
82-84
82
84
-2
73avg 68
A01/02
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
L
75-103
75
103
-28
57avg 68
H06/02
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#8
L
60-109
60
109
-49
39avg 68
A08/02
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
8-21
26-20
21-24
21-18
13-35
16-21
15-28
14-23
25-17
17-25
19-23
14-23
9-30
11-14
21-8
12-28
17-14
13-9
11-22
15-24
17-16
14-23
16-20
14-21
14-27
27-27
28-21
14-15
27-22
18-18
18-25
19-19
13-27
15-22
19-27
28-27
15-34
17-24
17-22
11-29
157.2Avg total
67.9Scored
89.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)77.888.5166.4-10.728%
Season at home (16)77.989.1167.0-11.219%
Season away (16)77.887.9165.8-10.138%
Last 10 (10)67.989.3157.2-21.40%
Last 5 (5)72.293.2165.4-21.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)75.688.8164.4-13.125%
vs Similar (2)112.594.5207.0+18.0100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Neptunas 2) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: -5.0-5.0Q1: -8.5-8.5Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -6.5-6.5
-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: -5.0-5.0Q1: -8.5-8.5Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -6.5-6.5
Neptunas 2Alytaus Alytus
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Neptunas 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jurbarkas
#3
W
56-47
56
47
+9
A20/12
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
L
27-52
27
52
-25
A04/01
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H09/01
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#8
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A11/01
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H16/01
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A18/01
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
L
42-53
42
53
-11
H21/01
NKL
Rytas 2
#11
D
28-28
28
28
+0
H25/01
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H08/02
NKL
Rytas 2
#11
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A11/02
NKL
83.0Avg total
39.9Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.241.580.7-2.333%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.338.779.0+1.540%-
Last 30 away (15)38.144.282.3-6.127%-
Last 10 (10)39.943.183.0-3.240%-
Last 5 (5)40.041.481.4-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)31.638.269.8-6.640%-
vs Similar (20)40.142.282.3-2.130%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)43.241.885.0+1.440%-
This opponent (Alytaus Alytus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alytaus AlytusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H19/12
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
L
29-56
29
56
-27
A21/12
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H04/01
NKL
Jurbarkas
#3
L
20-44
20
44
-24
A09/01
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
W
30-23
30
23
+7
H11/01
NKL
Kretinga
#13
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H16/01
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
L
41-54
41
54
-13
H18/01
NKL
Silute
#12
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A01/02
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
L
28-49
28
49
-21
H06/02
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#8
L
32-58
32
58
-26
A08/02
NKL
77.8Avg total
33.2Scored
44.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.642.981.6-4.337%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.042.081.0-3.040%-
Last 30 away (15)38.343.982.1-5.633%-
Last 10 (10)33.244.677.8-11.420%-
Last 5 (5)35.448.083.4-12.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)37.543.180.6-5.532%-
vs Similar (2)54.041.095.0+13.0100%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Neptunas 2) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunas 2their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas 2: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.717.2
49.6%
52.5%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.19.5
30.5%
32.5%28.5
🏀 Free throws24.316.3
67.1%
70.5%16.3
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alytaus Alytustheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alytaus Alytus: 67.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.7 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.319.6
42.3%
52.5%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.65.9
26.1%
32.5%17.7
🏀 Free throws16.710.7
64.1%
70.5%10.7
They take 68.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neptunas 2
LLLLLWLLLW
Alytaus Alytus
LLLLLLLLLL
#10
League position
#15
-9.8
Net rating
-27.2
103.5
Offensive rating
88.7
113.3
Defensive rating
115.9
47.8%
Effective FG%
41.3%
50.1%
Opp. effective FG%
54.3%
15.6%
Turnover %
16.2%
29.4%
Off. rebound %
26.5%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.24
30.5%
3-point %
26.1%
56.2%
Assist %
44.7%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
0%

Profile

Offence103.5 · 88.7Defence113.3 · 115.9Shooting47.8% · 41.3%3-point %30.5% · 26.1%Ball care15.6% · 16.2%Off. rebounds29.4% · 26.5%Free throws0.37 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)20% · 0%
■ Neptunas 2   ■ Alytaus Alytus
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Neptunas 2 wins
1
Alytaus Alytus wins
DateGameScore
17/12/24Alytaus Alytus v Neptunas 268-76
16/11/24Neptunas 2 v Alytaus Alytus80-83
Neptunas 2last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/25ARytas 281-90
08/02/25HDelikatesas Joniskis77-95
25/01/25HRytas 261-65
21/01/25HZalgiris Kaunas 280-91
18/01/25ADelikatesas Joniskis92-98
16/01/25HOmega-Tauras87-81
11/01/25AUkmerges Stekas74-91
09/01/25HBC Olimpas Palanga78-83
04/01/25ASuduva-Mantinga75-99
20/12/24AJurbarkas95-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/25AUkmerges Stekas60-109
06/02/25HPlunges Olimpas75-103
01/02/25ASilute82-84
18/01/25HOmega-Tauras83-90
16/01/25HKretinga61-80
11/01/25HZalgiris Kaunas 256-69
09/01/25AJurbarkas53-80
04/01/25HVilkaviskis75-88
21/12/24ABC Olimpas Palanga58-107
19/12/24HSuduva-Mantinga76-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas 2
NKL 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL47%
HomeLWLLL56%
AwayWLLLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %47%56%38%
Points / game79.280.877.5
Allowed / game80.578.882.2
Point differential-1.3+2.1-4.8
Avg total159.7159.6159.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%12%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)20% (5)75% (4)
Overtime %3%6%0%
Alytaus Alytus
NKL 2024-25
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL28%
HomeLLLLL19%
AwayLLLLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %28%19%38%
Points / game77.877.977.8
Allowed / game88.589.187.9
Point differential-10.7-11.2-10.1
Avg total166.4167.0165.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%6%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)100% (1)50% (6)
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Telsiai3223972%86.378.8+7.5
2 BC Olimpas Palanga32221069%81.673.2+8.3
3 Vytis VDU32221069%90.685.1+5.6
4 Jurbarkas32221069%82.179.0+3.1
5 Zalgiris Kaunas 231211068%80.475.5+4.8
6 Vilkaviskis31191261%83.578.7+4.8
7 Suduva-Mantinga32191359%82.077.5+4.5
8 Omega-Tauras32171553%81.081.7-0.7
9 Ukmerges Stekas32151747%78.377.5+0.8
10 Neptunas 232151747%79.280.5-1.3
11 Rytas 232141844%80.282.5-2.3
12 Silute32122038%80.783.6-2.9
13 Plunges Olimpas32102231%78.081.7-3.8
14 Kretinga32102231%78.383.3-5.0
15 Alytaus Alytus3292328%77.888.5-10.7
16 Delikatesas Joniskis3252716%79.492.0-12.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas 234302225111
Alytaus Alytus1920231678
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