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Rytas 2 vs Ukmerges Stekas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 22 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 84-97
18-26 26-23 23-32 17-16
Position#11
Record16-18
FormWWWWW
Points / game80.7
Allowed / game82.4
vs
Position#8
Record17-17
FormLWWWW
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game77.8
LithuaniaNKL· Active Vilnius Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Rytas 2 v Ukmerges Stekas
28 Jan 2027
RYTA v UKME
upcoming
22 Dec 2025
RYTA111
UKME103
22 Feb 2025
RYTA84
UKME97
19 Oct 2024
RYTA101
UKME85
18 Jan 2024
RYTA76
UKME97
07 Oct 2023
RYTA86
UKME95
23 Mar 2023
RYTA92
UKME85
18 Mar 2023
RYTA94
UKME86
16 Feb 2023
RYTA93
UKME83
01 Dec 2022
RYTA55
UKME79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rytas 2 winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ukmerges Stekas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Rytas 2LithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form2
Date
Competition
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
W
111-100 OT
111
100
+11
106avg 74
H04/01
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
W
83-75
83
75
+8
86avg 74
H09/01
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
L
74-81
74
81
-7
70avg 74
A11/01
NKL
Vytis VDU
#4
L
80-99
80
99
-19
70avg 74
H14/01
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
87-75
87
75
+12
85avg 74
A16/01
NKL
Neptunas 2
#10
W
65-61
65
61
+4
61avg 74
A25/01
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
100-97
100
97
+3
98avg 74
A08/02
NKL
Neptunas 2
#10
W
90-81
90
81
+9
85avg 74
H11/02
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
W
93-86
93
86
+7
87avg 74
H13/02
NKL
Silute
#12
W
86-76
86
76
+10
77avg 74
A20/02
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-28
27-20
19-20
31-23
20-20
30-20
18-15
15-20
21-16
18-17
13-23
22-25
14-21
19-28
24-23
23-27
22-18
33-13
21-17
11-27
12-14
16-14
19-16
18-17
15-20
28-27
21-39
36-11
17-20
18-24
26-18
29-19
22-26
19-22
26-18
26-20
23-23
19-18
19-18
25-17
170.0Avg total
86.9Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)80.782.4163.1-1.647%
Season at home (17)84.583.3167.8+1.259%
Season away (17)76.981.5158.4-4.535%
Last 10 (10)86.983.1170.0+3.880%
Last 5 (5)86.880.2167.0+6.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)72.583.9156.5-11.49%
vs Similar ◀ (15)85.677.7163.3+7.980%
vs Weaker (4)93.093.0186.0+0.050%
This opponent (Ukmerges Stekas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ukmerges StekasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStekas
Date
Competition
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
71-60
71
60
+11
58avg 71
H04/01
NKL
Vytis VDU
#4
L
77-83
77
83
-6
60avg 71
A09/01
NKL
Neptunas 2
#10
W
91-74
91
74
+17
85avg 71
H11/01
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
L
82-89
82
89
-7
67avg 71
A16/01
NKL
Jurbarkas
#3
W
84-69
84
69
+15
76avg 71
H18/01
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
L
75-82
75
82
-7
69avg 71
A25/01
NKL
Kretinga
#13
W
77-75
77
75
+2
69avg 71
A06/02
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#15
W
109-60
109
60
+49
111avg 71
H08/02
NKL
Silute
#12
W
94-87
94
87
+7
85avg 71
A13/02
NKL
Neptunas 2
#10
W
84-77
84
77
+7
76avg 71
H20/02
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-9
21-20
22-12
18-19
18-18
13-28
21-18
25-19
24-15
21-23
26-21
20-15
19-22
29-22
16-15
18-30
18-20
23-26
23-11
20-12
20-24
20-26
22-13
13-19
20-18
13-24
23-18
21-15
34-15
24-17
22-17
29-11
23-29
23-15
20-27
28-16
16-18
21-26
25-23
22-10
160.0Avg total
84.4Scored
75.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)79.077.8156.7+1.250%
Season at home (17)81.874.8156.6+7.171%
Season away (17)76.180.8156.9-4.629%
Last 10 (10)84.475.6160.0+8.870%
Last 5 (5)87.876.2164.0+11.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)78.080.0158.0-2.050%
vs Similar ◀ (23)75.877.6153.4-1.843%
vs Weaker (5)91.475.0166.4+16.480%
This opponent (Rytas 2) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +4.5+4.5Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: +4.8+4.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +4.5+4.5Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: +4.8+4.8
Rytas 2Ukmerges Stekas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Rytas 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H04/01
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H09/01
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A11/01
NKL
Vytis VDU
#4
L
33-49
33
49
-16
H14/01
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
55-31
55
31
+24
A16/01
NKL
Neptunas 2
#10
D
28-28
28
28
+0
A25/01
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A08/02
NKL
Neptunas 2
#10
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H11/02
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H13/02
NKL
Silute
#12
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A20/02
NKL
81.6Avg total
40.7Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.041.081.0-0.940%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.542.685.1-0.140%-
Last 30 away (15)37.539.376.9-1.840%-
Last 10 (10)40.740.981.6-0.240%-
Last 5 (5)37.841.679.4-3.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)36.539.876.4-3.336%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)42.639.982.5+2.753%-
vs Weaker (4)40.048.088.0-8.00%-
This opponent (Ukmerges Stekas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ukmerges StekasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
31-29
31
29
+2
H04/01
NKL
Vytis VDU
#4
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A09/01
NKL
Neptunas 2
#10
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H11/01
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A16/01
NKL
Jurbarkas
#3
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H18/01
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A25/01
NKL
Kretinga
#13
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A06/02
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#15
W
58-32
58
32
+26
H08/02
NKL
Silute
#12
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A13/02
NKL
Neptunas 2
#10
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H20/02
NKL
82.5Avg total
41.0Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.839.977.7-2.140%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.236.374.5+1.953%-
Last 30 away (15)37.443.480.8-6.027%-
Last 10 (10)41.041.582.5-0.550%-
Last 5 (5)42.842.485.2+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)34.043.077.0-9.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (23)36.740.777.3-4.035%-
vs Weaker (5)44.435.079.4+9.480%-
This opponent (Rytas 2) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rytas 2their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rytas 2: 86.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.124.5
56.8%
52.5%49.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.87.9
34.6%
32.5%23.7
🏀 Free throws17.913.6
76.0%
70.5%13.6
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ukmerges Stekastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ukmerges Stekas: 83.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.321.0
52.1%
52.5%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.19.6
33.0%
32.5%28.8
🏀 Free throws21.512.8
59.5%
70.5%12.8
They take 69.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rytas 2
WWWWWWLLWW
Ukmerges Stekas
WWWWLWLWLW
#11
League position
#8
+5.1
Net rating
+11.5
110.3
Offensive rating
109.3
105.2
Defensive rating
97.8
55.2%
Effective FG%
51.0%
50.5%
Opp. effective FG%
45.6%
19.6%
Turnover %
16.8%
31.0%
Off. rebound %
36.5%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.31
34.6%
3-point %
33.0%
59.6%
Assist %
54.9%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence110.3 · 109.3Defence105.2 · 97.8Shooting55.2% · 51.0%3-point %34.6% · 33.0%Ball care19.6% · 16.8%Off. rebounds31.0% · 36.5%Free throws0.27 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Rytas 2   ■ Ukmerges Stekas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Rytas 2 wins
6
Ukmerges Stekas wins
Rytas 2last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/02/25ASilute86-76
13/02/25HDelikatesas Joniskis93-86
11/02/25HNeptunas 290-81
08/02/25APlunges Olimpas100-97
25/01/25ANeptunas 265-61
16/01/25APlunges Olimpas87-75
14/01/25HVytis VDU80-99
11/01/25ASuduva-Mantinga74-81
09/01/25HOmega-Tauras83-75
04/01/25HDelikatesas Joniskis111-100 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/02/25HNeptunas 284-77
13/02/25ASilute94-87
08/02/25HAlytaus Alytus109-60
06/02/25AKretinga77-75
25/01/25AZalgiris Kaunas 275-82
18/01/25HJurbarkas84-69
16/01/25AVilkaviskis82-89
11/01/25HNeptunas 291-74
09/01/25AVytis VDU77-83
04/01/25HPlunges Olimpas71-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rytas 2
NKL 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW47%
HomeWWLWW59%
AwayLWWWW35%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341717
Win %47%59%35%
Points / game80.784.576.9
Allowed / game82.483.381.5
Point differential-1.6+1.2-4.5
Avg total163.1167.8158.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%24%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %6%12%0%
Ukmerges Stekas
NKL 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW50%
HomeWWWWW71%
AwayLLLWW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341717
Win %50%71%29%
Points / game79.081.876.1
Allowed / game77.874.880.8
Point differential+1.2+7.1-4.6
Avg total156.7156.6156.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%41%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)67% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Telsiai34241071%86.078.8+7.3
2 BC Olimpas Palanga34231168%81.473.3+8.1
3 Vytis VDU34231168%90.085.2+4.8
4 Zalgiris Kaunas 234231168%80.075.9+4.1
5 Jurbarkas34231168%81.978.8+3.1
6 Suduva-Mantinga35211460%81.576.8+4.7
7 Vilkaviskis36211558%82.679.0+3.6
8 Omega-Tauras35181751%81.281.8-0.6
9 Ukmerges Stekas34171750%79.077.8+1.2
10 Neptunas 234161847%80.080.5-0.5
11 Rytas 234161847%80.782.4-1.6
12 Kretinga34122235%79.582.6-3.1
13 Silute34122235%80.884.0-3.2
14 Plunges Olimpas34112332%79.482.4-3.1
15 Alytaus Alytus3492526%77.789.7-12.0
16 Delikatesas Joniskis3452915%80.193.1-13.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rytas 21826231784
Ukmerges Stekas2623321697
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