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Alytaus Alytus vs Telsiai Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 20 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 81-83
22-22 13-20 20-22 26-19
Position#17
Record2-10
FormLLLLL
Points / game78.4
Allowed / game84.3
Alytaus Alytus
Lithuania
vs
Telsiai 🏆
Lithuania
Position#10
Record8-4
FormWWWWL
Points / game84.8
Allowed / game83.2
LithuaniaNKL· Silutes Vyduno gimnazija
Other2025-26
Meetings · Alytaus Alytus v Telsiai
20 Nov 2025
ALYT81
TELS83
01 Dec 2024
ALYT74
TELS91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alytaus Alytus winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Telsiai winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alytaus AlytusLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlytus
Date
Competition
Kretinga
#9
L
71-106
71
106
-35
62avg 68
A09/10
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
W
75-69
75
69
+6
66avg 68
H11/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
L
76-77
76
77
-1
68avg 68
H16/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
W
98-72
98
72
+26
92avg 68
H23/10
NKL
Jurbarkas
#5
L
70-76
70
76
-6
54avg 68
H25/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
L
72-88
72
88
-16
65avg 68
A30/10
NKL
Kedainiu SC
#6
L
67-75
67
75
-8
55avg 68
A06/11
NKL
Mazeikiai
#11
L
70-80
70
80
-10
65avg 68
H08/11
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
L
87-94
87
94
-7
78avg 68
H13/11
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
L
102-105
102
105
-3
102avg 68
A15/11
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-26
12-22
22-29
18-29
20-17
10-13
23-15
22-24
14-23
20-10
20-23
22-21
25-16
22-18
18-17
33-21
21-16
10-24
21-17
18-19
15-20
27-17
7-18
23-33
23-20
11-17
12-22
21-16
11-16
17-21
19-20
23-23
19-21
25-19
19-25
24-29
26-22
28-26
23-27
25-30
163.0Avg total
78.8Scored
84.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)78.484.3162.8-5.917%
Season at home (8)78.679.8158.4-1.125%
Season away (4)78.093.5171.5-15.50%
Last 10 (10)78.884.2163.0-5.420%
Last 5 (5)79.688.4168.0-8.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)74.590.6165.1-16.17%
vs Similar (3)87.385.7173.0+1.733%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Telsiai) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TelsiaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTelsiai
Date
Competition
Mazeikiai
#11
W
93-92
93
92
+1
87avg 80
H09/10
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
91-88
91
88
+3
88avg 80
H16/10
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#7
L
74-99
74
99
-25
61avg 80
A18/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
L
79-93
79
93
-14
63avg 80
H23/10
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
W
81-62
81
62
+19
79avg 80
A27/10
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
W
90-88
90
88
+2
94avg 80
A30/10
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#16
W
85-81
85
81
+4
78avg 80
H06/11
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
W
93-67
93
67
+26
52avg 80
A08/11
NKL
Kretinga
#9
W
86-80
86
80
+6
78avg 80
H13/11
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
74-100
74
100
-26
61avg 80
A15/11
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-17
21-21
17-26
29-28
14-30
28-21
32-17
17-20
25-21
16-29
20-25
13-24
14-27
13-22
21-24
31-20
14-12
23-16
21-16
23-18
15-19
19-16
26-16
30-37
25-23
23-13
20-19
17-26
20-14
26-7
20-15
27-31
28-18
16-32
24-11
18-19
21-21
12-28
17-30
24-21
169.6Avg total
84.6Scored
85.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)84.883.2168.0+1.567%
Season at home (6)87.087.3174.3-0.367%
Season away (6)82.579.2161.7+3.367%
Last 10 (10)84.685.0169.6-0.470%
Last 5 (5)85.683.2168.8+2.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)79.288.8168.0-9.620%
vs Similar (11)89.577.6167.2+11.991%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)82.176.6158.8+5.571%
This opponent (Alytaus Alytus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -1.5-1.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -1.5-1.5
Alytaus AlytusTelsiai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alytaus AlytusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kretinga
#9
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A09/10
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
D
30-30
30
30
+0
H11/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H16/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H23/10
NKL
Jurbarkas
#5
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H25/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A30/10
NKL
Kedainiu SC
#6
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A06/11
NKL
Mazeikiai
#11
L
28-37
28
37
-9
H08/11
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H13/11
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
W
54-48
54
48
+6
A15/11
NKL
75.9Avg total
37.5Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.343.580.8-6.233%-
Last 30 at home (18)37.139.676.7-2.639%-
Last 30 away (12)37.749.286.9-11.625%-
Last 10 (10)37.538.475.9-0.950%-
Last 5 (5)40.439.880.2+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)36.643.480.0-6.933%-
vs Similar (3)44.044.088.0+0.033%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Telsiai) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TelsiaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mazeikiai
#11
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H09/10
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
L
42-51
42
51
-9
H16/10
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#7
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A18/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
L
27-49
27
49
-22
H23/10
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
W
37-28
37
28
+9
A27/10
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A30/10
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#16
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H06/11
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
W
46-21
46
21
+25
A08/11
NKL
Kretinga
#9
L
44-50
44
50
-6
H13/11
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
33-49
33
49
-16
A15/11
NKL
80.6Avg total
39.9Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.438.079.4+3.453%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.837.980.6+4.971%-
Last 30 away (13)39.638.277.8+1.431%-
Last 10 (10)39.940.780.6-0.840%-
Last 5 (5)41.038.279.2+2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)35.643.278.8-7.620%-
vs Similar (11)43.536.179.6+7.555%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)41.837.779.5+4.164%-
This opponent (Alytaus Alytus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alytaus Alytustheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alytaus Alytus: 78.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.619.2
51.1%
54.5%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.49.2
34.8%
32.3%27.6
🏀 Free throws19.112.2
63.9%
69.3%12.2
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Telsiaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Telsiai: 86.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.120.1
57.3%
54.5%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.39.9
36.3%
32.3%29.7
🏀 Free throws21.216.4
77.4%
69.3%16.4
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alytaus Alytus
LLLLLLWLWL
Telsiai
LWWWWWLLWW
#17
League position
#10
-7.1
Net rating
-4.6
106.6
Offensive rating
113.8
113.7
Defensive rating
118.4
51.6%
Effective FG%
56.0%
57.1%
Opp. effective FG%
54.4%
18.3%
Turnover %
16.5%
33.2%
Off. rebound %
24.6%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.34
34.8%
3-point %
36.3%
56.7%
Assist %
62.0%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence106.6 · 113.8Defence113.7 · 118.4Shooting51.6% · 56.0%3-point %34.8% · 36.3%Ball care18.3% · 16.5%Off. rebounds33.2% · 24.6%Free throws0.30 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)20% · 70%
■ Alytaus Alytus   ■ Telsiai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Alytaus Alytus wins
2
Telsiai wins
DateGameScore
01/12/24Alytaus Alytus v Telsiai74-91
05/11/24Telsiai v Alytaus Alytus90-88
Alytaus Alytuslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/25AZalgiris Kaunas 2102-105
13/11/25HNeptunas 287-94
08/11/25HMazeikiai70-80
06/11/25AKedainiu SC67-75
30/10/25AVytis VDU72-88
25/10/25HJurbarkas70-76
23/10/25HBC Olimpas Palanga98-72
16/10/25HRytas 276-77
11/10/25HSuduva-Mantinga75-69
09/10/25AKretinga71-106
Telsiailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/25ASuduva-Mantinga74-100
13/11/25HKretinga86-80
08/11/25ARytas 293-67
06/11/25HUkmerges Stekas85-81
30/10/25AOmega-Tauras90-88
27/10/25ANeptunas 281-62
23/10/25HVytis VDU79-93
18/10/25AVilkaviskis74-99
16/10/25HPlunges Olimpas91-88
09/10/25HMazeikiai93-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alytaus Alytus
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL17%
HomeLWLLL25%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1284
Win %17%25%0%
Points / game78.478.678.0
Allowed / game84.379.893.5
Point differential-5.9-1.1-15.5
Avg total162.8158.4171.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Telsiai
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL67%
HomeWWLWW67%
AwayLWWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game84.887.082.5
Allowed / game83.287.379.2
Point differential+1.5-0.3+3.3
Avg total168.0174.3161.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)75% (4)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kedainiu SC1110191%94.984.5+10.4
2 Suduva-Mantinga118373%86.378.1+8.2
3 Vytis VDU107370%82.878.4+4.4
4 Telsiai128467%84.883.2+1.5
5 Zalgiris Kaunas 2117464%87.684.6+3.0
6 Omega-Tauras127558%91.187.4+3.7
7 Jurbarkas127558%75.676.6-1.0
8 Mazeikiai116555%83.281.5+1.7
9 Vilkaviskis126650%85.382.1+3.2
10 Neptunas 2126650%77.778.9-1.2
11 Rytas 2136746%81.880.8+1.0
12 Kretinga125742%84.184.7-0.6
13 Silute125742%85.587.0-1.5
14 BC Olimpas Palanga134931%78.886.8-7.9
15 Plunges Olimpas123925%81.286.8-5.7
16 Ukmerges Stekas123925%80.690.6-10.0
17 Alytaus Alytus1221017%78.484.3-5.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alytaus Alytus2213202681
Telsiai2220221983
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