PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Telsiai vs Ukmerges Stekas Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 06 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 85-81
25-23 23-13 20-19 17-26
Position#10
Record5-3
FormWLLWW
Points / game84.9
Allowed / game83.9
Telsiai 🏆
Lithuania
vs
Position#16
Record3-5
FormLWWWL
Points / game82.6
Allowed / game93.2
LithuaniaNKL· Telsiu sporto arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Telsiai v Ukmerges Stekas
22 Oct 2026
TELS104
UKME70
06 Nov 2025
TELS85
UKME81
19 Dec 2024
TELS68
UKME62
11 Nov 2023
TELS75
UKME58
20 Oct 2022
TELS78
UKME74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Telsiai winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ukmerges Stekas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TelsiaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTelsiai
Date
Competition
Vilkaviskis
#6
W
87-72
87
72
+15
89avg 82
A14/04
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
W
78-76
78
76
+2
79avg 82
H17/04
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
L
88-90
88
90
-2
80avg 82
H02/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
W
83-59
83
59
+24
87avg 82
A04/10
NKL
Mazeikiai
#11
W
93-92
93
92
+1
87avg 82
H09/10
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
91-88
91
88
+3
88avg 82
H16/10
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#7
L
74-99
74
99
-25
61avg 82
A18/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
L
79-93
79
93
-14
63avg 82
H23/10
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
W
81-62
81
62
+19
79avg 82
A27/10
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
W
90-88
90
88
+2
94avg 82
A30/10
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-19
24-20
22-18
28-15
22-17
14-21
25-22
17-16
23-25
17-15
26-23
22-27
26-17
22-8
15-16
20-18
26-17
21-21
17-26
29-28
14-30
28-21
32-17
17-20
25-21
16-29
20-25
13-24
14-27
13-22
21-24
31-20
14-12
23-16
21-16
23-18
15-19
19-16
26-16
30-37
166.3Avg total
84.4Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)84.983.9168.8+1.062%
Season at home (4)87.890.8178.5-3.050%
Season away (4)82.077.0159.0+5.075%
Last 10 (10)84.481.9166.3+2.570%
Last 5 (5)83.086.0169.0-3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)80.586.0166.5-5.525%
vs Similar (9)89.678.6168.1+11.089%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)84.979.4164.4+5.571%
This opponent (Ukmerges Stekas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ukmerges StekasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStekas
Date
Competition
Omega-Tauras
#9
L
79-90
79
90
-11
76avg 73
H09/03
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
L
75-85
75
85
-10
67avg 73
A11/03
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#7
L
72-94
72
94
-22
65avg 73
H02/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
L
66-81
66
81
-15
49avg 73
A09/10
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
L
70-91
70
91
-21
55avg 73
H11/10
NKL
Kedainiu SC
#6
L
94-105
94
105
-11
80avg 73
A16/10
NKL
Mazeikiai
#11
W
88-82
88
82
+6
83avg 73
H18/10
NKL
Silute
#12
W
98-90
98
90
+8
90avg 73
H23/10
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
89-87
89
87
+2
79avg 73
H25/10
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
L
84-116
84
116
-32
64avg 73
A30/10
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-21
27-25
14-25
21-19
13-16
24-26
19-23
19-20
22-23
21-27
16-21
13-23
17-28
15-17
11-19
23-17
19-21
22-19
7-28
22-23
22-23
17-30
19-28
36-24
30-16
21-31
19-25
18-10
23-17
22-20
31-25
22-28
14-19
29-25
21-17
25-26
18-26
23-22
19-37
24-31
173.6Avg total
81.5Scored
92.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)82.693.2175.9-10.638%
Season at home (5)83.488.8172.2-5.460%
Season away (3)81.3100.7182.0-19.30%
Last 10 (10)81.592.1173.6-10.630%
Last 5 (5)90.696.0186.6-5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)80.390.4170.8-10.133%
vs Similar (18)79.978.8158.7+1.256%
vs Weaker (3)102.370.3172.7+32.0100%
This opponent (Telsiai) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: -7.2-7.2Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +0.2+0.2
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: -7.2-7.2Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +0.2+0.2
TelsiaiUkmerges Stekas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TelsiaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vilkaviskis
#6
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A14/04
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H17/04
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H02/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
W
48-25
48
25
+23
A04/10
NKL
Mazeikiai
#11
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H09/10
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
L
42-51
42
51
-9
H16/10
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#7
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A18/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
L
27-49
27
49
-22
H23/10
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
W
37-28
37
28
+9
A27/10
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A30/10
NKL
78.2Avg total
38.9Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.738.680.2+3.153%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.938.581.4+4.471%-
Last 30 away (13)40.138.678.7+1.531%-
Last 10 (10)38.939.378.2-0.430%-
Last 5 (5)36.242.678.8-6.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)36.241.878.0-5.525%-
vs Similar (9)43.236.279.4+7.056%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)42.139.181.2+3.159%-
This opponent (Ukmerges Stekas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ukmerges StekasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Omega-Tauras
#9
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H09/03
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A11/03
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#7
L
43-50
43
50
-7
H02/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A09/10
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H11/10
NKL
Kedainiu SC
#6
L
39-53
39
53
-14
A16/10
NKL
Mazeikiai
#11
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H18/10
NKL
Silute
#12
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H23/10
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H25/10
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A30/10
NKL
86.8Avg total
41.6Scored
45.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.342.784.0-1.347%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.939.882.7+3.162%-
Last 30 away (14)39.645.985.5-6.429%-
Last 10 (10)41.645.286.8-3.630%-
Last 5 (5)43.845.889.6-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)41.645.687.1-4.033%-
vs Similar (18)39.841.981.7-2.144%-
vs Weaker (3)50.038.788.7+11.3100%-
This opponent (Telsiai) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Telsiaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Telsiai: 83.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.219.8
57.9%
54.5%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.39.0
31.8%
32.3%27.0
🏀 Free throws22.016.6
75.5%
69.3%16.6
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ukmerges Stekastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ukmerges Stekas: 80.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.121.8
50.6%
54.5%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.77.2
28.0%
32.3%21.6
🏀 Free throws22.415.7
70.1%
69.3%15.7
They take 68.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Telsiai
WWLLWWWLWW
Ukmerges Stekas
LWWWLLLLLL
#10
League position
#16
+3.1
Net rating
-13.0
111.9
Offensive rating
104.8
108.8
Defensive rating
117.8
53.3%
Effective FG%
47.4%
50.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.8%
16.5%
Turnover %
14.3%
29.4%
Off. rebound %
29.6%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.33
31.8%
3-point %
28.0%
71.9%
Assist %
57.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence111.9 · 104.8Defence108.8 · 117.8Shooting53.3% · 47.4%3-point %31.8% · 28.0%Ball care16.5% · 14.3%Off. rebounds29.4% · 29.6%Free throws0.35 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Telsiai   ■ Ukmerges Stekas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Telsiai wins
1
Ukmerges Stekas wins
Telsiailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/25AOmega-Tauras90-88
27/10/25ANeptunas 281-62
23/10/25HVytis VDU79-93
18/10/25AVilkaviskis74-99
16/10/25HPlunges Olimpas91-88
09/10/25HMazeikiai93-92
04/10/25ABC Olimpas Palanga83-59
02/10/25HZalgiris Kaunas 288-90
17/04/25HVilkaviskis78-76
14/04/25AVilkaviskis87-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/25AZalgiris Kaunas 284-116
25/10/25HPlunges Olimpas89-87
23/10/25HSilute98-90
18/10/25HMazeikiai88-82
16/10/25AKedainiu SC94-105
11/10/25HNeptunas 270-91
09/10/25AVytis VDU66-81
02/10/25HVilkaviskis72-94
11/03/25AOmega-Tauras75-85
09/03/25HOmega-Tauras79-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Telsiai
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW62%
HomeLWWL50%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%50%75%
Points / game84.987.882.0
Allowed / game83.990.877.0
Point differential+1.0-3.0+5.0
Avg total168.8178.5159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ukmerges Stekas
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL38%
HomeLLWWW60%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %38%60%0%
Points / game82.683.481.3
Allowed / game93.288.8100.7
Point differential-10.6-5.4-19.3
Avg total175.9172.2182.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kedainiu SC98189%97.488.2+9.2
2 Vilkaviskis86275%85.276.6+8.6
3 Vytis VDU86275%85.279.0+6.2
4 Zalgiris Kaunas 286275%88.482.1+6.2
5 Suduva-Mantinga85362%84.477.4+7.0
6 Telsiai85362%84.983.9+1.0
7 Omega-Tauras95456%91.487.6+3.9
8 Mazeikiai84450%82.181.8+0.4
9 Silute84450%85.487.1-1.8
10 Jurbarkas84450%75.478.9-3.5
11 Rytas 294544%82.379.7+2.7
12 Neptunas 283538%78.180.0-1.9
13 Ukmerges Stekas83538%82.693.2-10.6
14 Kretinga82625%82.687.8-5.1
15 Alytaus Alytus82625%76.982.2-5.4
16 BC Olimpas Palanga92722%78.689.2-10.7
17 Plunges Olimpas102820%82.087.6-5.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Telsiai2523201785
Ukmerges Stekas2313192681
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.