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Alytaus Alytus vs Vilkaviskis Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 75-88
25-17 17-25 19-23 14-23
Position#15
Record9-15
FormWLLLL
Points / game81.1
Allowed / game88.8
Alytaus Alytus
Lithuania
vs
Vilkaviskis 🏆
Lithuania
Position#6
Record15-9
FormWWLWW
Points / game82.4
Allowed / game76.9
LithuaniaNKL· Silutes Vyduno gimnazija
Other2024-25
Meetings · Alytaus Alytus v Vilkaviskis
07 Feb 2026
ALYT75
VILK90
04 Jan 2025
ALYT75
VILK88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alytaus Alytus winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vilkaviskis winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alytaus AlytusLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlytus
Date
Competition
Rytas 2
#11
W
90-82
90
82
+8
91avg 73
H21/11
NKL
Rytas 2
#11
W
96-86
96
86
+10
88avg 73
A23/11
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#8
W
84-79
84
79
+5
74avg 73
A28/11
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
74-91
74
91
-17
66avg 73
H01/12
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
W
113-88
113
88
+25
112avg 73
A05/12
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
100-96
100
96
+4
99avg 73
H12/12
NKL
Vytis VDU
#4
L
91-108
91
108
-17
83avg 73
A14/12
NKL
Neptunas 2
#10
L
68-76
68
76
-8
61avg 73
H17/12
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
L
76-83
76
83
-7
69avg 73
H19/12
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
L
58-107
58
107
-49
28avg 73
A21/12
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-23
17-7
25-19
24-33
33-19
22-29
19-20
22-18
11-17
16-18
27-22
30-22
29-24
15-17
13-20
17-30
19-16
35-15
27-26
32-31
20-10
31-16
26-26
23-44
25-19
20-34
21-26
25-29
26-23
17-16
13-22
12-15
8-21
26-20
21-24
21-18
13-35
16-21
15-28
14-23
174.6Avg total
85.0Scored
89.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)81.188.8169.8-7.738%
Season at home (11)81.590.5172.0-9.127%
Season away (13)80.887.2168.0-6.546%
Last 10 (10)85.089.6174.6-4.650%
Last 5 (5)78.694.0172.6-15.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)78.288.2166.5-10.032%
vs Similar (2)112.594.5207.0+18.0100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Vilkaviskis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VilkaviskisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVilkaviskis
Date
Competition
Neptunas 2
#10
L
64-73
64
73
-9
54avg 68
A21/11
NKL
Neptunas 2
#10
W
93-78
93
78
+15
89avg 68
H23/11
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
W
69-62
69
62
+7
59avg 68
H28/11
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
W
89-73
89
73
+16
79avg 68
H30/11
NKL
Vytis VDU
#4
W
82-80
82
80
+2
73avg 68
A05/12
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
78-59
78
59
+19
70avg 68
H07/12
NKL
Jurbarkas
#3
W
96-70
96
70
+26
87avg 68
H12/12
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
L
60-84
60
84
-24
47avg 68
A14/12
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
W
95-86
95
86
+9
83avg 68
H19/12
NKL
Rytas 2
#11
W
74-63
74
63
+11
62avg 68
A21/12
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-15
17-20
8-23
21-15
25-25
21-13
26-22
21-18
24-18
8-7
17-23
20-14
24-11
23-29
21-22
21-11
23-26
12-18
25-14
22-22
17-18
14-18
22-11
25-12
26-14
16-25
28-15
26-16
15-19
8-26
17-26
20-13
26-20
26-21
23-20
20-25
16-14
13-20
22-9
23-20
152.8Avg total
80.0Scored
72.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)82.476.9159.3+5.562%
Season at home (12)86.873.7160.5+13.283%
Season away (12)78.080.1158.1-2.142%
Last 10 (10)80.072.8152.8+7.280%
Last 5 (5)80.672.4153.0+8.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)76.874.4151.2+2.440%
vs Similar (16)79.976.3156.2+3.656%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)85.278.3163.6+6.978%
This opponent (Alytaus Alytus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: -4.3-4.3Q4: +5.3+5.3
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: -4.3-4.3Q4: +5.3+5.3
Alytaus AlytusVilkaviskis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alytaus AlytusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas 2
#11
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H21/11
NKL
Rytas 2
#11
W
55-48
55
48
+7
A23/11
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#8
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A28/11
NKL
Telsiai
#1
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H01/12
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
W
54-31
54
31
+23
A05/12
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
51-26
51
26
+25
H12/12
NKL
Vytis VDU
#4
L
45-53
45
53
-8
A14/12
NKL
Neptunas 2
#10
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H17/12
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H19/12
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
L
29-56
29
56
-27
A21/12
NKL
82.3Avg total
42.3Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (24)40.442.482.8-2.042%-
Last 30 at home (11)41.342.083.3-0.755%-
Last 30 away (13)39.642.782.3-3.131%-
Last 10 (10)42.340.082.3+2.360%-
Last 5 (5)40.443.083.4-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)39.142.581.6-3.436%-
vs Similar (2)54.041.095.0+13.0100%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Vilkaviskis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VilkaviskisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas 2
#10
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A21/11
NKL
Neptunas 2
#10
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H23/11
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
W
32-25
32
25
+7
H28/11
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H30/11
NKL
Vytis VDU
#4
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A05/12
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H07/12
NKL
Jurbarkas
#3
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H12/12
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
L
23-45
23
45
-22
A14/12
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H19/12
NKL
Rytas 2
#11
L
29-34
29
34
-5
A21/12
NKL
74.9Avg total
37.2Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.138.577.6+0.657%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.637.578.1+3.180%-
Last 30 away (15)37.639.477.0-1.833%-
Last 10 (10)37.237.774.9-0.550%-
Last 5 (5)35.439.074.4-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)37.838.676.4-0.860%-
vs Similar (16)39.638.377.9+1.262%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)39.038.777.7+0.344%-
This opponent (Alytaus Alytus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alytaus Alytustheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alytaus Alytus: 84.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.4 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.525.2
52.0%
52.5%50.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.07.6
38.0%
32.5%22.8
🏀 Free throws16.811.1
66.1%
70.5%11.1
They take 68.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vilkaviskistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vilkaviskis: 79.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.921.9
53.5%
52.5%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.07.7
27.5%
32.5%23.1
🏀 Free throws18.812.5
66.5%
70.5%12.5
They take 68.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alytaus Alytus
LLLLWWLWWW
Vilkaviskis
WWLWWWWWWL
#15
League position
#6
-5.7
Net rating
+10.0
106.5
Offensive rating
107.1
112.2
Defensive rating
97.2
53.4%
Effective FG%
48.5%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
46.0%
18.0%
Turnover %
16.0%
28.7%
Off. rebound %
36.3%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.27
38.0%
3-point %
27.5%
54.9%
Assist %
51.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence106.5 · 107.1Defence112.2 · 97.2Shooting53.4% · 48.5%3-point %38.0% · 27.5%Ball care18.0% · 16.0%Off. rebounds28.7% · 36.3%Free throws0.25 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Alytaus Alytus   ■ Vilkaviskis
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Alytaus Alytus wins
1
Vilkaviskis wins
DateGameScore
05/10/24Vilkaviskis v Alytaus Alytus75-73
Alytaus Alytuslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/24ABC Olimpas Palanga58-107
19/12/24HSuduva-Mantinga76-83
17/12/24HNeptunas 268-76
14/12/24AVytis VDU91-108
12/12/24HPlunges Olimpas100-96
05/12/24ADelikatesas Joniskis113-88
01/12/24HTelsiai74-91
28/11/24AUkmerges Stekas84-79
23/11/24ARytas 296-86
21/11/24HRytas 290-82
Vilkaviskislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/24ARytas 274-63
19/12/24HDelikatesas Joniskis95-86
14/12/24AZalgiris Kaunas 260-84
12/12/24HJurbarkas96-70
07/12/24HPlunges Olimpas78-59
05/12/24AVytis VDU82-80
30/11/24HBC Olimpas Palanga89-73
28/11/24HSuduva-Mantinga69-62
23/11/24HNeptunas 293-78
21/11/24ANeptunas 264-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alytaus Alytus
NKL 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL38%
HomeWLWLL27%
AwayWWWLL46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241113
Win %38%27%46%
Points / game81.181.580.8
Allowed / game88.890.587.2
Point differential-7.7-9.1-6.5
Avg total169.8172.0168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%9%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (1)60% (5)
Overtime %4%9%0%
Vilkaviskis
NKL 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW62%
HomeWWWWW83%
AwayLLWLW42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %62%83%42%
Points / game82.486.878.0
Allowed / game76.973.780.1
Point differential+5.5+13.2-2.1
Avg total159.3160.5158.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%58%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)33% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Telsiai2418675%85.777.5+8.2
2 Jurbarkas2216673%82.479.7+2.7
3 BC Olimpas Palanga2417771%81.571.7+9.8
4 Vytis VDU2315865%90.184.3+5.8
5 Vilkaviskis2415962%82.476.9+5.5
6 Neptunas 22314961%79.577.5+2.0
7 Omega-Tauras2314961%80.779.3+1.3
8 Zalgiris Kaunas 222121055%79.776.6+3.1
9 Suduva-Mantinga24131154%81.678.6+3.0
10 Silute24111346%80.981.4-0.5
11 Ukmerges Stekas24101442%76.778.7-2.0
12 Alytaus Alytus2491538%81.188.8-7.7
13 Plunges Olimpas2381535%78.082.2-4.2
14 Rytas 22481633%78.282.1-3.9
15 Kretinga2471729%78.584.9-6.4
16 Delikatesas Joniskis241234%76.692.8-16.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alytaus Alytus2517191475
Vilkaviskis1725232388
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