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Alytaus Alytus vs Neptunas 2 Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 17 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 68-76
26-23 17-16 13-22 12-15
Position#15
Record9-12
FormWLWWL
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game88.8
Alytaus Alytus
Lithuania
vs
Neptunas 2 🏆
Lithuania
Position#10
Record12-9
FormWLWLW
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game77.7
LithuaniaNKL· Silutes Vyduno gimnazija
Other2024-25
Meetings · Alytaus Alytus v Neptunas 2
21 Feb 2026
ALYT89
NEPT91
13 Nov 2025
ALYT87
NEPT94
17 Dec 2024
ALYT68
NEPT76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alytaus Alytus winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas 2 winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alytaus AlytusLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlytus
Date
Competition
Ukmerges Stekas
#8
L
77-87
77
87
-10
59avg 75
H09/11
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
W
112-101 OT
112
101
+11
110avg 75
H14/11
NKL
Neptunas 2
#10
W
83-80
83
80
+3
81avg 75
A16/11
NKL
Rytas 2
#11
W
90-82
90
82
+8
91avg 75
H21/11
NKL
Rytas 2
#11
W
96-86
96
86
+10
88avg 75
A23/11
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#8
W
84-79
84
79
+5
74avg 75
A28/11
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
74-91
74
91
-17
66avg 75
H01/12
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
W
113-88
113
88
+25
112avg 75
A05/12
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
100-96
100
96
+4
99avg 75
H12/12
NKL
Vytis VDU
#4
L
91-108
91
108
-17
83avg 75
A14/12
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-33
26-18
11-18
27-18
29-23
25-28
18-24
24-21
19-16
25-22
19-27
20-15
24-23
17-7
25-19
24-33
33-19
22-29
19-20
22-18
11-17
16-18
27-22
30-22
29-24
15-17
13-20
17-30
19-16
35-15
27-26
32-31
20-10
31-16
26-26
23-44
25-19
20-34
21-26
25-29
181.8Avg total
92.0Scored
89.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)83.088.8171.8-5.743%
Season at home (9)83.693.0176.6-9.433%
Season away (12)82.785.6168.2-2.950%
Last 10 (10)92.089.8181.8+2.270%
Last 5 (5)92.492.4184.8+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)79.988.2168.1-8.237%
vs Similar (2)112.594.5207.0+18.0100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Neptunas 2) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Neptunas 2LithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form2
Date
Competition
Plunges Olimpas
#14
L
74-84
74
84
-10
70avg 72
A09/11
NKL
Silute
#12
L
69-80
69
80
-11
57avg 72
A14/11
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#15
L
80-83
80
83
-3
62avg 72
H16/11
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
W
73-64
73
64
+9
62avg 72
H21/11
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
L
78-93
78
93
-15
65avg 72
A23/11
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
86-80
86
80
+6
82avg 72
H28/11
NKL
Vytis VDU
#4
L
82-87
82
87
-5
66avg 72
A30/11
NKL
Silute
#12
W
73-65
73
65
+8
62avg 72
H05/12
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
68-88
68
88
-20
58avg 72
A12/12
NKL
Kretinga
#13
W
97-89
97
89
+8
88avg 72
H14/12
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-22
24-32
13-17
20-13
16-26
22-19
14-23
17-12
16-19
22-25
27-19
15-20
15-18
20-17
23-8
15-21
25-25
13-21
22-26
18-21
21-16
24-29
22-24
19-11
19-24
19-24
23-15
21-24
19-12
16-21
19-20
19-12
15-22
11-20
19-23
23-23
26-22
19-23
24-13
28-31
159.3Avg total
78.0Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)78.977.7156.6+1.257%
Season at home (11)82.776.8159.5+5.973%
Season away (10)74.778.6153.3-3.940%
Last 10 (10)78.081.3159.3-3.340%
Last 5 (5)81.281.8163.0-0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)73.376.5149.8-3.250%
vs Similar (22)82.580.2162.7+2.364%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)91.081.0172.0+10.050%
This opponent (Alytaus Alytus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: -4.1-4.1Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +0.7+0.7
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: -4.1-4.1Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +0.7+0.7
Alytaus AlytusNeptunas 2
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alytaus AlytusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ukmerges Stekas
#8
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H09/11
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
W
54-51
54
51
+3
H14/11
NKL
Neptunas 2
#10
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A16/11
NKL
Rytas 2
#11
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H21/11
NKL
Rytas 2
#11
W
55-48
55
48
+7
A23/11
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#8
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A28/11
NKL
Telsiai
#1
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H01/12
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
W
54-31
54
31
+23
A05/12
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
51-26
51
26
+25
H12/12
NKL
Vytis VDU
#4
L
45-53
45
53
-8
A14/12
NKL
85.8Avg total
45.4Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (21)41.142.083.0-0.943%-
Last 30 at home (9)41.942.484.3-0.656%-
Last 30 away (12)40.541.682.1-1.133%-
Last 10 (10)45.440.485.8+5.070%-
Last 5 (5)44.237.281.4+7.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)39.742.181.8-2.337%-
vs Similar (2)54.041.095.0+13.0100%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Neptunas 2) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Neptunas 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Plunges Olimpas
#14
L
41-54
41
54
-13
A09/11
NKL
Silute
#12
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A14/11
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#15
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H16/11
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H21/11
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A23/11
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H28/11
NKL
Vytis VDU
#4
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A30/11
NKL
Silute
#12
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H05/12
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
26-42
26
42
-16
A12/12
NKL
Kretinga
#13
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H14/12
NKL
81.6Avg total
37.9Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.941.582.3-0.633%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.938.580.3+3.440%-
Last 30 away (15)39.944.584.3-4.627%-
Last 10 (10)37.943.781.6-5.810%-
Last 5 (5)37.842.680.4-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)36.235.371.5+0.867%-
vs Similar (22)41.743.585.2-1.823%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)45.537.583.0+8.050%-
This opponent (Alytaus Alytus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alytaus Alytustheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alytaus Alytus: 91.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.8 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.927.4
56.0%
52.5%54.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.48.3
38.8%
32.5%24.9
🏀 Free throws16.611.5
69.3%
70.5%11.5
They take 70.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Neptunas 2their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas 2: 77.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.816.7
50.9%
52.5%33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.210.2
31.7%
32.5%30.6
🏀 Free throws18.613.3
71.5%
70.5%13.3
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alytaus Alytus
LWWLWWWWWL
Neptunas 2
WLWLWLWLLL
#15
League position
#10
+2.1
Net rating
-4.6
113.4
Offensive rating
103.6
111.3
Defensive rating
108.2
56.7%
Effective FG%
49.2%
52.2%
Opp. effective FG%
53.5%
18.0%
Turnover %
16.7%
31.7%
Off. rebound %
28.1%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.29
38.8%
3-point %
31.7%
58.0%
Assist %
49.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence113.4 · 103.6Defence111.3 · 108.2Shooting56.7% · 49.2%3-point %38.8% · 31.7%Ball care18.0% · 16.7%Off. rebounds31.7% · 28.1%Free throws0.24 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Alytaus Alytus   ■ Neptunas 2
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Alytaus Alytus wins
0
Neptunas 2 wins
DateGameScore
16/11/24Neptunas 2 v Alytaus Alytus80-83
Alytaus Alytuslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/24AVytis VDU91-108
12/12/24HPlunges Olimpas100-96
05/12/24ADelikatesas Joniskis113-88
01/12/24HTelsiai74-91
28/11/24AUkmerges Stekas84-79
23/11/24ARytas 296-86
21/11/24HRytas 290-82
16/11/24ANeptunas 283-80
14/11/24HDelikatesas Joniskis112-101 OT
09/11/24HUkmerges Stekas77-87
Neptunas 2last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/24HKretinga97-89
12/12/24ATelsiai68-88
05/12/24HSilute73-65
30/11/24AVytis VDU82-87
28/11/24HPlunges Olimpas86-80
23/11/24AVilkaviskis78-93
21/11/24HVilkaviskis73-64
16/11/24HAlytaus Alytus80-83
14/11/24ASilute69-80
09/11/24APlunges Olimpas74-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alytaus Alytus
NKL 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL43%
HomeLWWLW33%
AwayWWWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21912
Win %43%33%50%
Points / game83.083.682.7
Allowed / game88.893.085.6
Point differential-5.7-9.4-2.9
Avg total171.8176.6168.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%11%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (1)60% (5)
Overtime %5%11%0%
Neptunas 2
NKL 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW57%
HomeLWWWW73%
AwayLLLLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %57%73%40%
Points / game78.982.774.7
Allowed / game77.776.878.6
Point differential+1.2+5.9-3.9
Avg total156.6159.5153.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%18%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)33% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %5%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Jurbarkas2015575%82.779.4+3.2
2 Telsiai2216673%86.078.4+7.6
3 BC Olimpas Palanga2215768%80.672.7+8.0
4 Omega-Tauras2114767%81.078.1+2.9
5 Vytis VDU2113862%90.785.0+5.8
6 Vilkaviskis2213959%82.277.1+5.1
7 Zalgiris Kaunas 22112957%79.876.2+3.5
8 Neptunas 22112957%78.977.7+1.2
9 Suduva-Mantinga22121055%81.577.8+3.7
10 Alytaus Alytus2191243%83.088.8-5.7
11 Silute2291341%79.781.0-1.3
12 Ukmerges Stekas2291341%77.480.1-2.7
13 Rytas 22281436%78.582.1-3.7
14 Plunges Olimpas2171433%77.782.2-4.5
15 Kretinga2271532%80.085.8-5.7
16 Delikatesas Joniskis221215%76.593.4-17.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alytaus Alytus2617131268
Neptunas 22316221576
← all games of the day
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