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Alytaus Alytus vs Vilkaviskis Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 75-90
17-20 20-26 17-27 21-17
Position#17
Record6-25
FormLLLLW
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game85.7
vs
Position#7
Record17-14
FormWLLWW
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game78.0
LithuaniaNKL· Silutes Vyduno gimnazija
Other2025-26
Meetings · Alytaus Alytus v Vilkaviskis
07 Feb 2026
ALYT75
VILK90
04 Jan 2025
ALYT75
VILK88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alytaus Alytus winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vilkaviskis winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alytaus AlytusLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlytus
Date
Competition
Rytas 2
#8
L
82-95
82
95
-13
71avg 69
A18/12
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
L
80-85
80
85
-5
70avg 69
H03/01
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
L
60-88
60
88
-28
49avg 69
A08/01
NKL
Telsiai
#10
W
83-81
83
81
+2
no box
A15/01
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
L
81-84 OT
81
84
-3
no box
H18/01
NKL
Kedainiu SC
#6
L
76-104
76
104
-28
61avg 69
H22/01
NKL
Mazeikiai
#11
L
60-94
60
94
-34
48avg 69
A24/01
NKL
Silute
#12
L
94-98
94
98
-4
89avg 69
A29/01
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
L
95-102 OT
95
102
-7
91avg 69
A31/01
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#16
W
83-62
83
62
+21
78avg 69
A05/02
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-21
15-23
20-28
22-23
23-31
21-14
16-16
20-24
10-19
17-25
18-22
15-22
19-20
21-15
19-26
24-20
18-16
18-21
9-19
23-12
16-23
21-30
20-27
19-24
12-27
14-30
10-18
24-19
18-28
28-20
20-25
28-25
23-22
24-18
18-24
21-22
19-20
25-15
21-16
18-11
168.7Avg total
79.4Scored
89.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)78.785.7164.4-7.119%
Season at home (15)79.382.9162.2-3.520%
Season away (16)78.188.4166.5-10.419%
Last 10 (10)79.489.3168.7-9.920%
Last 5 (5)81.692.0173.6-10.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)76.786.5163.2-9.814%
vs Similar (8)83.483.1166.5+0.238%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Vilkaviskis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VilkaviskisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVilkaviskis
Date
Competition
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
W
88-76
88
76
+12
80avg 71
H03/01
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
77-72
77
72
+5
71avg 71
A08/01
NKL
Jurbarkas
#5
W
72-54
72
54
+18
60avg 71
A10/01
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
90-94 OT
90
94
-4
no box
A15/01
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
L
70-88
70
88
-18
no box
H17/01
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
W
99-66
99
66
+33
109avg 71
H22/01
NKL
Kretinga
#9
L
77-83
77
83
-6
64avg 71
A24/01
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
L
67-71
67
71
-4
62avg 71
A27/01
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#16
W
78-63
78
63
+15
84avg 71
H29/01
NKL
Kedainiu SC
#6
W
77-66
77
66
+11
70avg 71
H05/02
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-21
26-11
14-19
23-25
18-18
20-16
20-19
19-19
23-17
15-15
15-13
19-9
23-19
21-24
17-26
23-15
15-31
20-18
20-18
15-21
22-18
26-17
29-12
22-19
12-17
21-20
22-25
22-21
19-13
14-29
15-17
19-12
23-12
21-20
19-14
15-17
24-16
16-21
14-19
23-10
152.8Avg total
79.5Scored
73.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)82.278.0160.1+4.255%
Season at home (16)81.275.1156.2+6.169%
Season away (15)83.281.1164.3+2.140%
Last 10 (10)79.573.3152.8+6.260%
Last 5 (5)79.669.8149.4+9.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)87.091.0178.0-4.00%
vs Similar (16)77.676.3153.9+1.350%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)86.478.5164.9+7.967%
This opponent (Alytaus Alytus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.4-4.4Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -5.0-5.0Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +3.2+3.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.4-4.4Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -5.0-5.0Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +3.2+3.2
Alytaus AlytusVilkaviskis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alytaus AlytusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas 2
#8
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A18/12
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H03/01
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
L
27-44
27
44
-17
A08/01
NKL
Telsiai
#10
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A15/01
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H18/01
NKL
Kedainiu SC
#6
L
37-53
37
53
-16
H22/01
NKL
Mazeikiai
#11
L
26-57
26
57
-31
A24/01
NKL
Silute
#12
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A29/01
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A31/01
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#16
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A05/02
NKL
82.5Avg total
38.7Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.041.979.9-4.033%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.640.678.2-3.129%-
Last 30 away (16)38.343.181.4-4.838%-
Last 10 (10)38.743.882.5-5.130%-
Last 5 (5)40.046.686.6-6.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)37.142.579.6-5.327%-
vs Similar (8)40.240.580.8-0.250%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Vilkaviskis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VilkaviskisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
W
51-32
51
32
+19
H03/01
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A08/01
NKL
Jurbarkas
#5
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A10/01
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A15/01
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
L
35-49
35
49
-14
H17/01
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H22/01
NKL
Kretinga
#9
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A24/01
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A27/01
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#16
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H29/01
NKL
Kedainiu SC
#6
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H05/02
NKL
77.7Avg total
40.4Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.839.179.9+1.653%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.938.179.0+2.856%-
Last 30 away (14)40.640.380.9+0.450%-
Last 10 (10)40.437.377.7+3.170%-
Last 5 (5)39.636.676.2+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)42.045.087.0-3.050%-
vs Similar (16)37.539.176.6-1.638%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)44.938.283.1+6.875%-
This opponent (Alytaus Alytus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alytaus Alytustheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alytaus Alytus: 76.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.719.2
48.4%
54.5%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.58.3
32.5%
32.3%24.9
🏀 Free throws17.513.1
74.9%
69.3%13.1
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vilkaviskistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vilkaviskis: 77.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.821.1
53.0%
54.5%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.76.8
28.7%
32.3%20.4
🏀 Free throws21.714.6
67.3%
69.3%14.6
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alytaus Alytus
WLLLLLWLLL
Vilkaviskis
WWLLWLLWWW
#17
League position
#7
-15.5
Net rating
+7.1
91.2
Offensive rating
91.4
106.7
Defensive rating
84.3
48.5%
Effective FG%
49.3%
56.5%
Opp. effective FG%
45.0%
16.1%
Turnover %
18.8%
19.6%
Off. rebound %
35.5%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.34
32.5%
3-point %
28.7%
53.5%
Assist %
62.0%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence91.2 · 91.4Defence106.7 · 84.3Shooting48.5% · 49.3%3-point %32.5% · 28.7%Ball care16.1% · 18.8%Off. rebounds19.6% · 35.5%Free throws0.27 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)20% · 60%
■ Alytaus Alytus   ■ Vilkaviskis
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Alytaus Alytus wins
3
Vilkaviskis wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/02/26AUkmerges Stekas83-62
31/01/26APlunges Olimpas95-102 OT
29/01/26ASilute94-98
24/01/26AMazeikiai60-94
22/01/26HKedainiu SC76-104
18/01/26HOmega-Tauras81-84 OT
15/01/26ATelsiai83-81
08/01/26ABC Olimpas Palanga60-88
03/01/26HVytis VDU80-85
18/12/25ARytas 282-95
Vilkaviskislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/02/26HKedainiu SC77-66
29/01/26HUkmerges Stekas78-63
27/01/26ARytas 267-71
24/01/26AKretinga77-83
22/01/26HOmega-Tauras99-66
17/01/26HVytis VDU70-88
15/01/26ASuduva-Mantinga90-94 OT
10/01/26AJurbarkas72-54
08/01/26APlunges Olimpas77-72
03/01/26HBC Olimpas Palanga88-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alytaus Alytus
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW19%
HomeLLLLL20%
AwayWLLLW19%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %19%20%19%
Points / game78.779.378.1
Allowed / game85.782.988.4
Point differential-7.1-3.5-10.4
Avg total164.4162.2166.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%13%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won9% (11)0% (6)20% (5)
Overtime %6%7%6%
Vilkaviskis
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW55%
HomeWLWWW69%
AwayWWLLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %55%69%40%
Points / game82.281.283.2
Allowed / game78.075.181.1
Point differential+4.2+6.1+2.1
Avg total160.1156.2164.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%56%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)50% (2)29% (7)
Overtime %10%6%13%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Suduva-Mantinga3127487%90.275.5+14.7
2 Vytis VDU3223972%88.183.8+4.2
3 Zalgiris Kaunas 231201165%86.085.3+0.7
4 Kedainiu SC30181260%88.086.5+1.5
5 Mazeikiai32181456%84.180.7+3.4
6 Vilkaviskis31171455%82.278.0+4.2
7 Rytas 231171455%83.781.2+2.5
8 Neptunas 231171455%79.677.1+2.5
9 Telsiai31171455%85.184.9+0.3
10 Jurbarkas31161552%79.678.0+1.6
11 Kretinga31151648%85.085.8-0.8
12 Silute32141844%86.890.5-3.7
13 Omega-Tauras31131842%85.289.0-3.8
14 BC Olimpas Palanga31112035%79.584.2-4.8
15 Ukmerges Stekas3082227%80.189.7-9.6
16 Plunges Olimpas3172423%80.787.0-6.3
17 Alytaus Alytus3162519%78.785.7-7.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alytaus Alytus1720172175
Vilkaviskis2026271790
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