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Neptunas 2 vs Vilkaviskis Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 21 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 73-64
15-18 20-17 23-8 15-21
Position#10
Record8-6
FormWWLLL
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game76.1
vs
Position#6
Record7-7
FormWLLLL
Points / game84.1
Allowed / game79.8
LithuaniaNKL· Klaip
Other2024-25
Meetings · Neptunas 2 v Vilkaviskis
19 Nov 2026
NEPT v VILK
upcoming
09 Oct 2025
NEPT81
VILK82
09 Mar 2025
NEPT80
VILK83
21 Nov 2024
NEPT73
VILK64
12 Oct 2023
NEPT87
VILK89
09 Feb 2023
NEPT68
VILK99
20 Oct 2022
NEPT66
VILK73
11 Dec 2021
NEPT76
VILK79
26 Jan 2021
NEPT88
VILK72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas 2 winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vilkaviskis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Neptunas 2LithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form2
Date
Competition
Telsiai
#1
L
64-73
64
73
-9
59avg 72
H17/10
NKL
Kretinga
#13
W
78-76
78
76
+2
67avg 72
A19/10
NKL
Jurbarkas
#3
L
73-77
73
77
-4
61avg 72
H24/10
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
L
73-84
73
84
-11
65avg 72
A26/10
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
W
76-72
76
72
+4
74avg 72
A31/10
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
W
102-79
102
79
+23
108avg 72
H02/11
NKL
Vytis VDU
#4
W
90-87 OT
90
87
+3
81avg 72
H07/11
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
L
74-84
74
84
-10
70avg 72
A09/11
NKL
Silute
#12
L
69-80
69
80
-11
57avg 72
A14/11
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#15
L
80-83
80
83
-3
62avg 72
H16/11
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
15-10
7-20
22-25
28-16
18-25
12-14
20-21
20-21
18-18
12-15
23-23
22-19
9-25
21-20
21-20
15-26
16-15
23-12
22-19
25-14
28-17
24-26
25-22
21-24
23-23
21-18
15-15
17-22
24-32
13-17
20-13
16-26
22-19
14-23
17-12
16-19
22-25
27-19
15-20
157.4Avg total
77.9Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)78.676.1154.6+2.557%
Season at home (7)83.078.1161.1+4.957%
Season away (7)74.174.0148.1+0.157%
Last 10 (10)77.979.5157.4-1.640%
Last 5 (5)83.082.6165.6+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)71.776.0147.7-4.343%
vs Similar ◀ (21)82.080.2162.2+1.762%
vs Weaker (2)91.081.0172.0+10.050%
This opponent (Vilkaviskis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VilkaviskisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVilkaviskis
Date
Competition
Jurbarkas
#3
L
86-88
86
88
-2
73avg 68
A17/10
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
L
86-87
86
87
-1
72avg 68
H19/10
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
W
88-80
88
80
+8
76avg 68
A24/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#11
W
92-76
92
76
+16
94avg 68
H26/10
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#8
W
77-69
77
69
+8
69avg 68
A31/10
NKL
Telsiai
#1
W
104-73
104
73
+31
106avg 68
H02/11
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
L
74-84
74
84
-10
60avg 68
A07/11
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
L
66-72
66
72
-6
56avg 68
A09/11
NKL
Vytis VDU
#4
L
79-83
79
83
-4
73avg 68
H14/11
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
L
88-93
88
93
-5
72avg 68
A16/11
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-23
26-23
17-23
17-19
21-18
21-23
24-25
20-21
20-19
21-9
23-16
24-36
20-13
19-22
25-25
28-16
22-7
17-24
26-17
12-21
24-11
18-29
25-14
37-19
17-20
13-26
18-18
26-20
21-23
15-13
14-17
16-19
26-21
15-29
17-15
21-18
22-19
16-22
27-17
23-35
164.5Avg total
84.0Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)84.179.8163.9+4.450%
Season at home (6)87.076.0163.0+11.067%
Season away (8)82.082.6164.6-0.638%
Last 10 (10)84.080.5164.5+3.540%
Last 5 (5)82.281.0163.2+1.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)72.476.0148.4-3.630%
vs Similar ◀ (14)79.679.4159.1+0.236%
vs Weaker (6)86.782.8169.5+3.867%
This opponent (Neptunas 2) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +4.5+4.5Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: -3.9-3.9Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +0.0+0.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +4.5+4.5Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: -3.9-3.9Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +0.0+0.0
Neptunas 2Vilkaviskis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Neptunas 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Telsiai
#1
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H17/10
NKL
Kretinga
#13
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A19/10
NKL
Jurbarkas
#3
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H24/10
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A26/10
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A31/10
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
W
53-31
53
31
+22
H02/11
NKL
Vytis VDU
#4
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H07/11
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
L
41-54
41
54
-13
A09/11
NKL
Silute
#12
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A14/11
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#15
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H16/11
NKL
80.9Avg total
39.5Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.141.482.4-0.340%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.538.178.5+2.447%-
Last 30 away (15)41.744.786.3-3.033%-
Last 10 (10)39.541.480.9-1.930%-
Last 5 (5)42.844.287.0-1.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)37.437.675.0-0.171%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)41.943.084.9-1.129%-
vs Weaker (2)45.537.583.0+8.050%-
This opponent (Vilkaviskis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VilkaviskisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jurbarkas
#3
W
52-46
52
46
+6
A17/10
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H19/10
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
W
41-28
41
28
+13
A24/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#11
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H26/10
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#8
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A31/10
NKL
Telsiai
#1
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H02/11
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A07/11
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A09/11
NKL
Vytis VDU
#4
L
41-50
41
50
-9
H14/11
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A16/11
NKL
79.4Avg total
40.0Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.139.678.7-0.647%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.537.977.4+1.664%-
Last 30 away (16)38.741.179.8-2.431%-
Last 10 (10)40.039.479.4+0.660%-
Last 5 (5)37.442.680.0-5.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)35.838.674.4-2.840%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)41.140.481.5+0.650%-
vs Weaker (6)39.839.579.3+0.350%-
This opponent (Neptunas 2) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunas 2their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas 2: 77.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.617.2
51.2%
52.5%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.89.6
32.2%
32.5%28.8
🏀 Free throws19.014.3
75.3%
70.5%14.3
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vilkaviskistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vilkaviskis: 83.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.821.5
52.7%
52.5%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.68.9
32.2%
32.5%26.7
🏀 Free throws20.713.5
65.2%
70.5%13.5
They take 68.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neptunas 2
LLLWWWLLWL
Vilkaviskis
LLLLWWWWLL
#10
League position
#6
-1.9
Net rating
+4.6
105.9
Offensive rating
108.7
107.9
Defensive rating
104.2
49.8%
Effective FG%
51.0%
48.9%
Opp. effective FG%
51.3%
17.2%
Turnover %
17.4%
30.1%
Off. rebound %
34.4%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.30
32.2%
3-point %
32.2%
60.4%
Assist %
53.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence105.9 · 108.7Defence107.9 · 104.2Shooting49.8% · 51.0%3-point %32.2% · 32.2%Ball care17.2% · 17.4%Off. rebounds30.1% · 34.4%Free throws0.30 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Neptunas 2   ■ Vilkaviskis
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Neptunas 2 wins
9
Vilkaviskis wins
Neptunas 2last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/11/24HAlytaus Alytus80-83
14/11/24ASilute69-80
09/11/24APlunges Olimpas74-84
07/11/24HVytis VDU90-87 OT
02/11/24HDelikatesas Joniskis102-79
31/10/24AOmega-Tauras76-72
26/10/24AZalgiris Kaunas 273-84
24/10/24HJurbarkas73-77
19/10/24AKretinga78-76
17/10/24HTelsiai64-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/11/24APlunges Olimpas88-93
14/11/24HVytis VDU79-83
09/11/24ASuduva-Mantinga66-72
07/11/24ABC Olimpas Palanga74-84
02/11/24HTelsiai104-73
31/10/24AUkmerges Stekas77-69
26/10/24HRytas 292-76
24/10/24ADelikatesas Joniskis88-80
19/10/24HZalgiris Kaunas 286-87
17/10/24AJurbarkas86-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas 2
NKL 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL57%
HomeLLWWL57%
AwayWLWLL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %57%57%57%
Points / game78.683.074.1
Allowed / game76.178.174.0
Point differential+2.5+4.9+0.1
Avg total154.6161.1148.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%29%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)33% (3)100% (3)
Overtime %7%14%0%
Vilkaviskis
NKL 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL50%
HomeWLWWL67%
AwayWWLLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1468
Win %50%67%38%
Points / game84.187.082.0
Allowed / game79.876.082.6
Point differential+4.4+11.0-0.6
Avg total163.9163.0164.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%50%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)33% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Jurbarkas1613381%82.077.5+4.5
2 Telsiai1411379%86.679.0+7.6
3 BC Olimpas Palanga1410471%79.269.2+10.0
4 Suduva-Mantinga139469%82.877.8+5.0
5 Omega-Tauras149564%79.676.6+2.9
6 Vytis VDU159660%90.184.5+5.7
7 Neptunas 2148657%78.676.1+2.5
8 Vilkaviskis147750%84.179.8+4.4
9 Zalgiris Kaunas 2147750%79.878.7+1.1
10 Rytas 2146843%80.481.5-1.1
11 Ukmerges Stekas146843%77.379.7-2.4
12 Plunges Olimpas145936%76.181.9-5.9
13 Silute1441029%77.282.4-5.1
14 Kretinga1441029%78.284.4-6.1
15 Alytaus Alytus1441029%78.388.1-9.9
16 Delikatesas Joniskis141137%77.491.2-13.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas 21520231573
Vilkaviskis181782164
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