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Alytaus Alytus vs Zalgiris Kaunas 2 Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 04 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 67-79
14-24 22-20 15-11 16-24
Position#17
Record3-13
FormLLLWL
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game84.8
vs
Position#3
Record10-6
FormWWLLW
Points / game86.8
Allowed / game85.6
LithuaniaNKL· Silutes Vyduno gimnazija
Other2025-26
Meetings · Alytaus Alytus v Zalgiris Kaunas 2
04 Dec 2025
ALYT67
ZALG79
11 Jan 2025
ALYT56
ZALG69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alytaus Alytus winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas 2 winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alytaus AlytusLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlytus
Date
Competition
Jurbarkas
#5
L
70-76
70
76
-6
54avg 68
H25/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
L
72-88
72
88
-16
65avg 68
A30/10
NKL
Kedainiu SC
#6
L
67-75
67
75
-8
55avg 68
A06/11
NKL
Mazeikiai
#11
L
70-80
70
80
-10
65avg 68
H08/11
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
L
87-94
87
94
-7
78avg 68
H13/11
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
L
102-105
102
105
-3
102avg 68
A15/11
NKL
Telsiai
#10
L
81-83
81
83
-2
70avg 68
H20/11
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
L
89-94
89
94
-5
92avg 68
A22/11
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#16
W
93-83
93
83
+10
98avg 68
H27/11
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#7
L
70-84
70
84
-14
64avg 68
A29/11
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-16
10-24
21-17
18-19
15-20
27-17
7-18
23-33
23-20
11-17
12-22
21-16
11-16
17-21
19-20
23-23
19-21
25-19
19-25
24-29
26-22
28-26
23-27
25-30
22-22
13-20
20-22
26-19
16-22
21-25
27-19
25-28
23-22
26-26
23-24
21-11
10-23
19-24
21-17
20-20
166.3Avg total
80.1Scored
86.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)79.684.8164.4-5.119%
Season at home (10)80.380.4160.7-0.130%
Season away (6)78.592.0170.5-13.50%
Last 10 (10)80.186.2166.3-6.110%
Last 5 (5)87.089.8176.8-2.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)73.190.0163.2-16.94%
vs Similar (5)88.886.8175.6+2.040%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas 2) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris Kaunas 2LithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form2
Date
Competition
Kedainiu SC
#6
L
81-99
81
99
-18
69avg 74
A28/10
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#16
W
116-84
116
84
+32
114avg 74
H30/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
L
85-91 OT
85
91
-6
76avg 74
A08/11
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
L
67-81
67
81
-14
59avg 74
A13/11
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#17
W
105-102
105
102
+3
104avg 74
H15/11
NKL
Jurbarkas
#5
W
71-64
71
64
+7
64avg 74
A20/11
NKL
Silute
#12
W
114-107 OT
114
107
+7
no box
H22/11
NKL
Mazeikiai
#11
L
72-93
72
93
-21
74avg 74
H25/11
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
76-89
76
89
-13
62avg 74
A27/11
NKL
Kretinga
#9
W
91-86
91
86
+5
84avg 74
H29/11
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-18
28-32
18-24
13-25
26-18
22-23
37-19
31-24
19-12
18-12
13-22
20-24
22-26
16-9
17-19
12-27
22-26
26-28
27-23
30-25
12-14
18-19
17-19
24-12
25-28
23-21
24-19
25-29
24-15
10-25
23-22
15-31
12-29
21-18
20-17
23-25
20-16
20-30
31-20
20-20
177.4Avg total
87.8Scored
89.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)86.885.6172.4+1.162%
Season at home (8)94.887.2182.0+7.588%
Season away (8)78.884.0162.8-5.238%
Last 10 (10)87.889.6177.4-1.850%
Last 5 (5)84.887.8172.6-3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)76.089.0165.0-13.00%
vs Similar (21)80.181.1161.3-1.057%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)96.888.6185.4+8.188%
This opponent (Alytaus Alytus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -2.9-2.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -2.9-2.9
Alytaus AlytusZalgiris Kaunas 2
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alytaus AlytusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jurbarkas
#5
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H25/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A30/10
NKL
Kedainiu SC
#6
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A06/11
NKL
Mazeikiai
#11
L
28-37
28
37
-9
H08/11
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H13/11
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
W
54-48
54
48
+6
A15/11
NKL
Telsiai
#10
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H20/11
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A22/11
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#16
W
49-48
49
48
+1
H27/11
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#7
L
29-47
29
47
-18
A29/11
NKL
80.6Avg total
38.3Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.544.380.8-7.830%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.641.077.6-4.435%-
Last 30 away (13)36.448.685.0-12.223%-
Last 10 (10)38.342.380.6-4.040%-
Last 5 (5)40.846.487.2-5.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)35.144.179.2-9.028%-
vs Similar (5)43.645.489.0-1.840%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas 2) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris Kaunas 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kedainiu SC
#6
D
50-50
50
50
+0
A28/10
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#16
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H30/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
W
37-24
37
24
+13
A08/11
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A13/11
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#17
L
48-54
48
54
-6
H15/11
NKL
Jurbarkas
#5
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A20/11
NKL
Silute
#12
L
48-49
48
49
-1
H22/11
NKL
Mazeikiai
#11
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H25/11
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A27/11
NKL
Kretinga
#9
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H29/11
NKL
82.5Avg total
40.6Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.139.880.9+1.343%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.641.884.4+0.938%-
Last 30 away (14)39.437.677.0+1.750%-
Last 10 (10)40.641.982.5-1.330%-
Last 5 (5)37.043.080.0-6.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)33.047.080.0-14.00%-
vs Similar (21)40.539.179.6+1.443%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)43.840.984.6+2.950%-
This opponent (Alytaus Alytus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alytaus Alytustheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alytaus Alytus: 79.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.019.9
53.8%
54.5%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.89.3
36.0%
32.3%27.9
🏀 Free throws16.111.4
70.8%
69.3%11.4
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunas 2their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas 2: 84.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.922.0
53.8%
54.5%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.08.1
31.2%
32.3%24.3
🏀 Free throws23.115.8
68.4%
69.3%15.8
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alytaus Alytus
LWLLLLLLLL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
WLLWWWLLWL
#17
League position
#3
-8.9
Net rating
-2.1
107.8
Offensive rating
105.9
116.7
Defensive rating
108.1
53.9%
Effective FG%
51.0%
57.5%
Opp. effective FG%
48.6%
17.7%
Turnover %
20.3%
27.0%
Off. rebound %
36.8%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.35
36.0%
3-point %
31.2%
60.3%
Assist %
57.8%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence107.8 · 105.9Defence116.7 · 108.1Shooting53.9% · 51.0%3-point %36.0% · 31.2%Ball care17.7% · 20.3%Off. rebounds27.0% · 36.8%Free throws0.26 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)10% · 50%
■ Alytaus Alytus   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas 2
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Alytaus Alytus wins
3
Zalgiris Kaunas 2 wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/11/25AVilkaviskis70-84
27/11/25HUkmerges Stekas93-83
22/11/25AOmega-Tauras89-94
20/11/25HTelsiai81-83
15/11/25AZalgiris Kaunas 2102-105
13/11/25HNeptunas 287-94
08/11/25HMazeikiai70-80
06/11/25AKedainiu SC67-75
30/10/25AVytis VDU72-88
25/10/25HJurbarkas70-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/11/25HKretinga91-86
27/11/25ASuduva-Mantinga76-89
25/11/25HMazeikiai72-93
22/11/25HSilute114-107 OT
20/11/25AJurbarkas71-64
15/11/25HAlytaus Alytus105-102
13/11/25ARytas 267-81
08/11/25ABC Olimpas Palanga85-91 OT
30/10/25HUkmerges Stekas116-84
28/10/25AKedainiu SC81-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alytaus Alytus
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL19%
HomeLLLLW30%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16106
Win %19%30%0%
Points / game79.680.378.5
Allowed / game84.880.492.0
Point differential-5.1-0.1-13.5
Avg total164.4160.7170.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (5)0% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW62%
HomeWWWLW88%
AwayLLLWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %62%88%38%
Points / game86.894.878.8
Allowed / game85.687.284.0
Point differential+1.1+7.5-5.2
Avg total172.4182.0162.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%38%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %12%12%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kedainiu SC1512380%91.984.1+7.8
2 Suduva-Mantinga1612475%86.478.2+8.1
3 Telsiai1612475%86.083.0+3.0
4 Vytis VDU1410471%84.179.4+4.8
5 Zalgiris Kaunas 21610662%86.885.6+1.1
6 Vilkaviskis169756%86.281.4+4.8
7 Omega-Tauras169756%90.188.3+1.8
8 Mazeikiai158753%84.081.5+2.5
9 Jurbarkas168850%76.678.2-1.7
10 Rytas 2157847%82.881.7+1.1
11 Kretinga167944%84.684.6-0.1
12 Silute167944%87.288.9-1.6
13 Neptunas 21661038%76.181.0-4.9
14 BC Olimpas Palanga1651131%79.786.8-7.1
15 Ukmerges Stekas1541127%81.590.4-8.9
16 Plunges Olimpas1641225%80.885.7-4.9
17 Alytaus Alytus1631319%79.684.8-5.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alytaus Alytus1422151667
Zalgiris Kaunas 22420112479
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