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Amager vs Svendborg Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Sep 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 89-106
22-28 26-26 18-26 23-26
Position#13
Record0-1
FormWWWLL
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game111.0
vs
Position#3
Record-
FormWLLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
DenmarkBasketligaen· Amager Hallen
Other2025-26
Meetings · Amager v Svendborg
27 Sep 2025
AMAG89
SVEN106
14 Nov 2024
AMAG66
SVEN98
15 Feb 2024
AMAG94
SVEN123
17 Sep 2022
AMAG91
SVEN83
31 Jan 2022
AMAG65
SVEN104
21 Nov 2020
AMAG69
SVEN119
11 Dec 2019
AMAG79
SVEN96
07 Dec 2010
AMAG45
SVEN78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Amager winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Svendborg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AmagerDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAmager
Date
Competition
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
W
95-85
95
85
+10
89avg 78
H08/03
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
83-75
83
75
+8
78avg 78
A12/03
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
100-85
100
85
+15
104avg 78
H15/03
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#10
W
93-79
93
79
+14
92avg 78
A22/03
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
L
93-104
93
104
-11
80avg 78
A06/04
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
93-76
93
76
+17
90avg 78
H12/04
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
83-72
83
72
+11
77avg 78
A15/04
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#10
W
90-74
90
74
+16
84avg 78
H24/04
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
L
98-106
98
106
-8
81avg 78
H03/05
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#2
L
83-111
83
111
-28
56avg 78
A25/09
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-23
31-22
20-18
23-22
27-9
21-24
23-21
12-21
28-22
26-12
21-16
25-35
30-21
16-13
25-28
22-17
24-23
28-24
16-32
25-25
16-17
26-19
20-17
31-23
14-27
29-14
19-22
21-9
20-16
27-22
29-17
14-19
25-26
21-31
18-26
34-23
23-25
18-29
20-29
22-28
177.8Avg total
91.1Scored
86.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)83.0111.0194.0-28.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)83.0111.0194.0-28.00%
Last 10 (10)91.186.7177.8+4.470%
Last 5 (5)89.487.8177.2+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)81.3103.4184.6-22.10%
vs Similar (1)78.091.0169.0-13.00%
vs Weaker (17)91.983.8175.8+8.171%
This opponent (Svendborg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SvendborgDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSvendborg
Date
Competition
Horsens
#3
W
91-61
91
61
+30
96avg 80
H07/04
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
84-101
84
101
-17
76avg 80
A17/04
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
W
96-79
96
79
+17
86avg 80
H21/04
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
W
90-70
90
70
+20
82avg 80
H28/04
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
W
78-75
78
75
+3
75avg 80
A01/05
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
W
76-75
76
75
+1
64avg 80
H05/05
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
68-79
68
79
-11
54avg 80
H15/05
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
86-110
86
110
-24
74avg 80
A19/05
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
W
86-79
86
79
+7
76avg 80
H22/05
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
63-82
63
82
-19
51avg 80
A26/05
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-16
25-12
29-19
26-14
22-26
18-37
20-26
24-12
27-13
27-23
19-24
23-19
21-22
19-10
28-15
22-23
22-27
22-20
19-11
15-17
15-20
20-13
22-25
19-17
21-23
20-18
15-11
12-27
23-30
25-29
10-29
28-22
29-13
17-19
18-26
22-21
16-25
17-14
7-25
23-18
162.9Avg total
81.8Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)81.881.1162.9+0.760%
Last 5 (5)75.885.0160.8-9.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)72.084.0156.0-12.00%
vs Similar (14)83.982.8166.7+1.164%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)89.974.4164.4+15.579%
This opponent (Amager) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +2.4+2.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +2.4+2.4
AmagerSvendborg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AmagerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
W
52-45
52
45
+7
H08/03
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
48-33
48
33
+15
A12/03
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
54-34
54
34
+20
H15/03
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#10
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A22/03
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
W
52-47
52
47
+5
A06/04
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H12/04
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A15/04
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#10
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H24/04
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
L
46-57
46
57
-11
H03/05
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#2
L
41-54
41
54
-13
A25/09
Basketligaen
89.0Avg total
47.1Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.446.791.1-2.440%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.447.391.7-2.947%-
Last 30 away (15)44.346.290.5-1.933%-
Last 10 (10)47.141.989.0+5.280%-
Last 5 (5)43.845.289.0-1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)39.752.291.9-12.50%-
vs Similar (1)39.050.089.0-11.00%-
vs Weaker (17)47.342.689.9+4.771%-
This opponent (Svendborg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SvendborgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Horsens
#3
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H07/04
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
40-63
40
63
-23
A17/04
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
W
54-36
54
36
+18
H21/04
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H28/04
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A01/05
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H05/05
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H15/05
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
48-59
48
59
-11
A19/05
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H22/05
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A26/05
Basketligaen
82.7Avg total
41.7Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.238.982.1+4.363%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.433.677.0+9.887%-
Last 30 away (15)43.044.387.3-1.340%-
Last 10 (10)41.741.082.7+0.750%-
Last 5 (5)40.640.881.4-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)39.038.077.0+1.0100%-
vs Similar (14)43.241.684.8+1.650%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)43.436.880.1+6.671%-
This opponent (Amager) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Amagertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Amager: 90.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.6 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.722.2
52.0%
54.6%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.78.7
35.2%
32.9%26.1
🏀 Free throws30.719.6
63.8%
70.1%19.6
They take 67.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Svendborgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Svendborg: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.4 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.218.1
47.4%
54.6%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.18.8
33.7%
32.9%26.4
🏀 Free throws26.518.4
69.4%
70.1%18.4
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Sep 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Amager
LLWWWLWWWW
Svendborg
LWLLWWWWLW
#13
League position
#3
+4.8
Net rating
+1.4
104.6
Offensive rating
104.9
99.8
Defensive rating
103.5
52.3%
Effective FG%
48.7%
46.7%
Opp. effective FG%
50.1%
19.0%
Turnover %
20.9%
27.8%
Off. rebound %
37.8%
0.46
Free-throw rate
0.41
35.2%
3-point %
33.7%
57.3%
Assist %
57.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence104.6 · 104.9Defence99.8 · 103.5Shooting52.3% · 48.7%3-point %35.2% · 33.7%Ball care19.0% · 20.9%Off. rebounds27.8% · 37.8%Free throws0.46 · 0.41Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Amager   ■ Svendborg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Amager wins
9
Svendborg wins
DateGameScore
09/02/25Svendborg v Amager89-78
14/11/24Amager v Svendborg66-98
15/02/24Amager v Svendborg94-123
18/11/23Svendborg v Amager125-73
07/12/22Svendborg v Amager110-65
17/09/22Amager v Svendborg91-83
31/01/22Amager v Svendborg65-104
20/10/21Svendborg v Amager93-74
22/03/21Svendborg v Amager112-47
21/11/20Amager v Svendborg69-119
Amagerlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/09/25ATeam FOG Naestved83-111
03/05/25HHolbaek-Stenhus98-106
24/04/25HVaerlose90-74
15/04/25ABears Academy83-72
12/04/25HHerlev Wolfpack93-76
06/04/25AHolbaek-Stenhus93-104
22/03/25AVaerlose93-79
15/03/25HBears Academy100-85
12/03/25AHerlev Wolfpack83-75
08/03/25HHolbaek-Stenhus95-85
Svendborglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/05/25ABakken Bears63-82
22/05/25HBakken Bears86-79
19/05/25ABakken Bears86-110
15/05/25HBakken Bears68-79
05/05/25HRanders76-75
01/05/25ARanders78-75
28/04/25HRanders90-70
21/04/25HRanders96-79
17/04/25ARanders84-101
07/04/25HHorsens91-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Amager
Basketligaen 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game83.0-83.0
Allowed / game111.0-111.0
Point differential-28.0--28.0
Avg total194.0-194.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Svendborg
Basketligaen 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bakken Bears110100%115.064.0+51.0
2 Horsens110100%95.057.0+38.0
3 Team FOG Naestved110100%111.083.0+28.0
4 Randers220100%105.081.0+24.0
5 Vaerlose110100%88.081.0+7.0
6 Copenhagen21150%82.097.0-15.0
7 Holbaek-Stenhus1010%81.088.0-7.0
8 BMS Herlev2020%77.097.0-20.0
9 Amager1010%83.0111.0-28.0
10 Bears Academy1010%87.0116.0-29.0
11 Vejen1010%57.095.0-38.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Amager2226182389
Svendborg28262626106
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