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Amager vs Vaerlose Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 24 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 90-74
20-16 27-22 29-17 14-19
Position#6
Record12-15
FormWWLWW
Points / game87.6
Allowed / game90.3
Amager 🏆
Denmark
vs
Position#10
Record8-19
FormLLWLW
Points / game79.3
Allowed / game88.9
DenmarkBasketligaen· Amager Hallen
Other2024-25
Meetings · Amager v Vaerlose
14 Mar 2026
AMAG107
VAER109
20 Nov 2025
AMAG80
VAER91
24 Apr 2025
AMAG90
VAER74
01 Nov 2024
AMAG102
VAER90
28 Sep 2023
AMAG83
VAER102
22 Apr 2023
AMAG86
VAER79
15 Dec 2022
AMAG87
VAER73
09 Apr 2022
AMAG99
VAER91
28 Oct 2021
AMAG71
VAER78
14 Feb 2021
AMAG72
VAER82
31 Oct 2020
AMAG83
VAER76
15 Jan 2020
AMAG71
VAER98
07 Jan 2019
AMAG77
VAER111
02 Feb 2011
AMAG83
VAER87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Amager winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vaerlose winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AmagerDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAmager
Date
Competition
Bears Academy
#11
W
97-70
97
70
+27
94avg 79
H02/02
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#2
L
78-89
78
89
-11
73avg 79
A09/02
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
93-75
93
75
+18
88avg 79
H13/02
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
W
95-85
95
85
+10
89avg 79
H08/03
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
83-75
83
75
+8
78avg 79
A12/03
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
100-85
100
85
+15
104avg 79
H15/03
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#10
W
93-79
93
79
+14
92avg 79
A22/03
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
L
93-104
93
104
-11
80avg 79
A06/04
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
93-76
93
76
+17
90avg 79
H12/04
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
83-72
83
72
+11
77avg 79
A15/04
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-26
26-22
20-11
26-11
24-30
22-19
20-23
12-17
30-21
16-23
20-15
27-16
21-23
31-22
20-18
23-22
27-9
21-24
23-21
12-21
28-22
26-12
21-16
25-35
30-21
16-13
25-28
22-17
24-23
28-24
16-32
25-25
16-17
26-19
20-17
31-23
14-27
29-14
19-22
21-9
171.8Avg total
90.8Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)87.690.3177.8-2.744%
Season at home (13)91.888.8180.6+2.962%
Season away (14)83.691.6175.2-7.929%
Last 10 (10)90.881.0171.8+9.880%
Last 5 (5)92.483.2175.6+9.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)82.5101.8184.4-19.39%
vs Similar (3)92.385.7178.0+6.767%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)91.783.0174.7+8.773%
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VaerloseDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVaerlose
Date
Competition
Copenhagen
#8
L
61-86
61
86
-25
49avg 71
A01/02
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
69-89
69
89
-20
61avg 71
H08/02
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
L
82-104
82
104
-22
69avg 71
A13/02
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
L
77-98
77
98
-21
57avg 71
A03/03
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
100-80
100
80
+20
96avg 71
H08/03
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
L
72-73
72
73
-1
64avg 71
A12/03
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
L
79-93
79
93
-14
70avg 71
H22/03
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
W
100-98 OT
100
98
+2
92avg 71
H31/03
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
L
70-72
70
72
-2
58avg 71
A05/04
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
104-93
104
93
+11
102avg 71
H12/04
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-23
13-23
11-23
18-17
16-23
16-25
19-25
18-16
20-20
26-27
23-27
13-30
20-21
23-32
9-24
25-21
28-19
20-27
16-22
36-12
22-20
21-13
15-25
14-15
21-30
13-16
28-25
17-22
28-25
28-21
10-21
23-22
15-23
14-19
28-13
13-17
29-24
30-27
15-18
30-24
170.0Avg total
81.4Scored
88.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)79.388.9168.2-9.630%
Season at home (14)81.886.9168.7-5.143%
Season away (13)76.791.0167.7-14.315%
Last 10 (10)81.488.6170.0-7.230%
Last 5 (5)85.085.8170.8-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)73.692.5166.1-18.812%
vs Similar (12)86.785.5172.2+1.250%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Amager) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +4.9+4.9Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -4.9-4.9Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: +1.1+1.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +4.9+4.9Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -4.9-4.9Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: +1.1+1.1
AmagerVaerlose
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AmagerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bears Academy
#11
W
51-48
51
48
+3
H02/02
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#2
L
46-49
46
49
-3
A09/02
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H13/02
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
W
52-45
52
45
+7
H08/03
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
48-33
48
33
+15
A12/03
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
54-34
54
34
+20
H15/03
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#10
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A22/03
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
W
52-47
52
47
+5
A06/04
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H12/04
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A15/04
Basketligaen
89.1Avg total
48.0Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.345.990.2-1.643%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.146.290.2-2.150%-
Last 30 away (14)44.645.690.2-1.136%-
Last 10 (10)48.041.189.1+6.990%-
Last 5 (5)47.438.485.8+9.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)40.050.290.2-10.29%-
vs Similar (3)42.347.790.0-5.333%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)47.441.989.3+5.573%-
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VaerloseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Copenhagen
#8
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A01/02
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
32-48
32
48
-16
H08/02
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A13/02
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
L
43-53
43
53
-10
A03/03
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H08/03
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A12/03
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
L
34-46
34
46
-12
H22/03
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
W
56-46
56
46
+10
H31/03
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A05/04
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
59-51
59
51
+8
H12/04
Basketligaen
88.0Avg total
42.2Scored
45.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.344.785.0-4.430%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.544.286.7-1.740%-
Last 30 away (15)38.145.283.3-7.120%-
Last 10 (10)42.245.888.0-3.640%-
Last 5 (5)44.243.687.8+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)36.146.282.3-10.26%-
vs Similar (12)45.243.288.3+2.058%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Amager) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Amagertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Amager: 89.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.722.9
53.6%
51.9%45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.78.8
37.1%
32.6%26.4
🏀 Free throws27.317.6
64.5%
70.2%17.6
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vaerlosetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vaerlose: 80.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.322.1
52.2%
51.9%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.48.0
31.5%
32.6%24.0
🏀 Free throws21.112.4
58.8%
70.2%12.4
They take 67.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Amager
WWLWWWWWLW
Vaerlose
WLWLLWLLLL
#6
League position
#10
+11.3
Net rating
-8.6
105.0
Offensive rating
98.9
93.7
Defensive rating
107.4
54.4%
Effective FG%
50.4%
44.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
20.2%
Turnover %
21.4%
26.9%
Off. rebound %
30.9%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.31
37.1%
3-point %
31.5%
62.8%
Assist %
58.1%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence105.0 · 98.9Defence93.7 · 107.4Shooting54.4% · 50.4%3-point %37.1% · 31.5%Ball care20.2% · 21.4%Off. rebounds26.9% · 30.9%Free throws0.41 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)80% · 30%
■ Amager   ■ Vaerlose
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Amager wins
4
Vaerlose wins
DateGameScore
22/03/25Vaerlose v Amager79-93
30/01/25Vaerlose v Amager84-77
01/11/24Amager v Vaerlose102-90
28/12/23Vaerlose v Amager91-89
28/09/23Amager v Vaerlose83-102
22/04/23Amager v Vaerlose86-79
30/03/23Vaerlose v Amager87-92
15/12/22Amager v Vaerlose87-73
28/09/22Vaerlose v Amager98-72
09/04/22Amager v Vaerlose99-91 OT
Amagerlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/04/25ABears Academy83-72
12/04/25HHerlev Wolfpack93-76
06/04/25AHolbaek-Stenhus93-104
22/03/25AVaerlose93-79
15/03/25HBears Academy100-85
12/03/25AHerlev Wolfpack83-75
08/03/25HHolbaek-Stenhus95-85
13/02/25HHerlev Wolfpack93-75
09/02/25ASvendborg78-89
02/02/25HBears Academy97-70
Vaerloselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/04/25HBears Academy104-93
05/04/25AHerlev Wolfpack70-72
31/03/25HHolbaek-Stenhus100-98 OT
22/03/25HAmager79-93
12/03/25ABears Academy72-73
08/03/25HHerlev Wolfpack100-80
03/03/25AHolbaek-Stenhus77-98
13/02/25AHolbaek-Stenhus82-104
08/02/25HHorsens69-89
01/02/25ACopenhagen61-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Amager
Basketligaen 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW44%
HomeWWWWW62%
AwayLWWLW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %44%62%29%
Points / game87.691.883.6
Allowed / game90.388.891.6
Point differential-2.7+2.9-7.9
Avg total177.8180.6175.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%62%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)-33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Vaerlose
Basketligaen 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW30%
HomeLWLWW43%
AwayLLLLL15%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %30%43%15%
Points / game79.381.876.7
Allowed / game88.986.991.0
Point differential-9.6-5.1-14.3
Avg total168.2168.7167.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%14%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)67% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %4%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Svendborg3024680%88.976.1+12.8
2 Bakken Bears3022873%93.581.2+12.3
3 Horsens3022873%86.179.6+6.5
4 Randers30201067%91.281.8+9.4
5 Team FOG Naestved30191163%94.690.7+3.9
6 Amager27121544%87.690.3-2.7
7 Holbaek-Stenhus27101737%83.391.0-7.8
8 Copenhagen3092130%81.787.4-5.7
9 Vaerlose2781930%79.388.9-9.6
10 Herlev Wolfpack2882029%78.788.1-9.4
11 Bears Academy2742315%75.789.5-13.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Amager2027291490
Vaerlose1622171974
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