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Amager vs Holbaek-Stenhus Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 May 2025
Tip-off: 12:30
Final 98-106
25-26 21-31 18-26 34-23
Position#6
Record13-15
FormWLWWW
Points / game87.6
Allowed / game89.7
vs
Position#7
Record11-17
FormWLWWW
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game90.4
DenmarkBasketligaenBasketligaen - Final· Amager Hallen
Other2024-25
Meetings · Amager v Holbaek-Stenhus
08 Apr 2026
AMAG98
HOLB86
18 Dec 2025
AMAG96
HOLB90
03 May 2025
AMAG98
HOLB106
08 Mar 2025
AMAG95
HOLB85
30 Dec 2024
AMAG103
HOLB82
26 Apr 2024
AMAG99
HOLB91
13 Oct 2023
AMAG83
HOLB84
18 Mar 2023
AMAG82
HOLB78
28 Oct 2022
AMAG90
HOLB88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Amager winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Holbaek-Stenhus winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AmagerDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAmager
Date
Competition
Svendborg
#2
L
78-89
78
89
-11
73avg 79
A09/02
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
93-75
93
75
+18
88avg 79
H13/02
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
W
95-85
95
85
+10
89avg 79
H08/03
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
83-75
83
75
+8
78avg 79
A12/03
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
100-85
100
85
+15
104avg 79
H15/03
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#10
W
93-79
93
79
+14
92avg 79
A22/03
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
L
93-104
93
104
-11
80avg 79
A06/04
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
93-76
93
76
+17
90avg 79
H12/04
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
83-72
83
72
+11
77avg 79
A15/04
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#10
W
90-74
90
74
+16
84avg 79
H24/04
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-30
22-19
20-23
12-17
30-21
16-23
20-15
27-16
21-23
31-22
20-18
23-22
27-9
21-24
23-21
12-21
28-22
26-12
21-16
25-35
30-21
16-13
25-28
22-17
24-23
28-24
16-32
25-25
16-17
26-19
20-17
31-23
14-27
29-14
19-22
21-9
20-16
27-22
29-17
14-19
171.5Avg total
90.1Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)87.689.7177.3-2.046%
Season at home (14)91.687.8179.4+3.964%
Season away (14)83.691.6175.2-7.929%
Last 10 (10)90.181.4171.5+8.780%
Last 5 (5)90.481.0171.4+9.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)81.1102.6183.7-21.50%
vs Similar (3)92.385.7178.0+6.767%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)91.682.4174.0+9.175%
This opponent (Holbaek-Stenhus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Holbaek-StenhusDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHolbaek-Stenhus
Date
Competition
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
L
73-80
73
80
-7
54avg 68
A07/02
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#10
W
104-82
104
82
+22
96avg 68
H13/02
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#10
W
98-77
98
77
+21
94avg 68
H03/03
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
L
85-95
85
95
-10
66avg 68
A08/03
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
100-76
100
76
+24
90avg 68
A15/03
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
90-83
90
83
+7
71avg 68
A23/03
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#10
L
98-100 OT
98
100
-2
84avg 68
A31/03
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
W
104-93
104
93
+11
96avg 68
H06/04
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
86-73
86
73
+13
79avg 68
H16/04
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
77-73
77
73
+4
70avg 68
H24/04
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-24
22-20
8-22
29-14
20-20
27-26
27-23
30-13
21-20
32-23
24-9
21-25
23-21
22-31
18-20
22-23
26-19
28-18
22-23
24-16
27-23
17-25
24-14
22-21
25-28
21-28
21-10
22-23
23-24
24-28
32-16
25-25
24-24
26-14
15-14
21-21
14-20
16-22
32-17
15-14
174.7Avg total
91.5Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)83.090.4173.4-7.439%
Season at home (14)85.289.9175.1-4.657%
Season away (14)80.990.9171.8-10.121%
Last 10 (10)91.583.2174.7+8.370%
Last 5 (5)91.084.4175.4+6.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)77.696.5174.1-18.913%
vs Similar (10)91.585.4176.9+6.160%
vs Weaker (4)77.878.5156.2-0.875%
This opponent (Amager) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +5.0+5.0Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +5.5+5.5Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +3.6+3.6
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +5.0+5.0Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +5.5+5.5Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +3.6+3.6
AmagerHolbaek-Stenhus
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AmagerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Svendborg
#2
L
46-49
46
49
-3
A09/02
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H13/02
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
W
52-45
52
45
+7
H08/03
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
48-33
48
33
+15
A12/03
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
54-34
54
34
+20
H15/03
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#10
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A22/03
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
W
52-47
52
47
+5
A06/04
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H12/04
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A15/04
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#10
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H24/04
Basketligaen
87.7Avg total
47.6Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.446.190.5-1.743%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.246.690.8-2.350%-
Last 30 away (14)44.645.690.2-1.136%-
Last 10 (10)47.640.187.7+7.590%-
Last 5 (5)46.039.285.2+6.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)39.652.091.6-12.40%-
vs Similar (3)42.347.790.0-5.333%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)47.441.789.1+5.775%-
This opponent (Holbaek-Stenhus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Holbaek-StenhusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A07/02
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#10
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H13/02
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#10
W
53-43
53
43
+10
H03/03
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
L
45-52
45
52
-7
A08/03
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
54-37
54
37
+17
A15/03
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A23/03
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#10
L
46-56
46
56
-10
A31/03
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
L
47-52
47
52
-5
H06/04
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H16/04
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H24/04
Basketligaen
91.0Avg total
45.2Scored
45.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.946.987.8-6.037%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.547.690.1-5.143%-
Last 30 away (16)39.446.285.7-6.831%-
Last 10 (10)45.245.891.0-0.640%-
Last 5 (5)43.447.290.6-3.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)38.049.387.3-11.320%-
vs Similar (10)47.246.293.4+1.060%-
vs Weaker (4)36.838.074.8-1.250%-
This opponent (Amager) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Amagertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Amager: 89.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.422.1
52.1%
51.9%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.48.9
38.0%
32.6%26.7
🏀 Free throws28.218.2
64.5%
70.2%18.2
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Holbaek-Stenhustheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Holbaek-Stenhus: 90.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.5 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.722.1
51.8%
51.9%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.98.4
30.1%
32.6%25.2
🏀 Free throws30.021.5
71.7%
70.2%21.5
They take 70.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Amager
WWWLWWWWWL
Holbaek-Stenhus
WWWLWWLWWL
#6
League position
#7
+10.2
Net rating
+9.9
105.8
Offensive rating
107.1
95.6
Defensive rating
97.2
53.9%
Effective FG%
49.2%
44.4%
Opp. effective FG%
50.4%
19.8%
Turnover %
19.0%
28.2%
Off. rebound %
34.9%
0.43
Free-throw rate
0.42
38.0%
3-point %
30.1%
62.6%
Assist %
42.0%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence105.8 · 107.1Defence95.6 · 97.2Shooting53.9% · 49.2%3-point %38.0% · 30.1%Ball care19.8% · 19.0%Off. rebounds28.2% · 34.9%Free throws0.43 · 0.42Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Amager   ■ Holbaek-Stenhus
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Amager wins
5
Holbaek-Stenhus wins
Amagerlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/04/25HVaerlose90-74
15/04/25ABears Academy83-72
12/04/25HHerlev Wolfpack93-76
06/04/25AHolbaek-Stenhus93-104
22/03/25AVaerlose93-79
15/03/25HBears Academy100-85
12/03/25AHerlev Wolfpack83-75
08/03/25HHolbaek-Stenhus95-85
13/02/25HHerlev Wolfpack93-75
09/02/25ASvendborg78-89
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/04/25HBears Academy77-73
16/04/25HHerlev Wolfpack86-73
06/04/25HAmager104-93
31/03/25AVaerlose98-100 OT
23/03/25ABears Academy90-83
15/03/25AHerlev Wolfpack100-76
08/03/25AAmager85-95
03/03/25HVaerlose98-77
13/02/25HVaerlose104-82
07/02/25AHerlev Wolfpack73-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Amager
Basketligaen 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW46%
HomeWWWWW64%
AwayLWWLW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %46%64%29%
Points / game87.691.683.6
Allowed / game89.787.891.6
Point differential-2.0+3.9-7.9
Avg total177.3179.4175.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%64%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)-33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Holbaek-Stenhus
Basketligaen 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW39%
HomeWWWWW57%
AwayLLWWL21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %39%57%21%
Points / game83.085.280.9
Allowed / game90.489.990.9
Point differential-7.4-4.6-10.1
Avg total173.4175.1171.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%29%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %7%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Svendborg3226681%88.675.9+12.8
2 Bakken Bears3224875%93.881.0+12.8
3 Horsens32221069%85.680.8+4.8
4 Team FOG Naestved30191163%94.690.7+3.9
5 Randers32201262%90.081.9+8.1
6 Amager28131546%87.689.7-2.0
7 Holbaek-Stenhus28111739%83.090.4-7.4
8 Copenhagen3092130%81.787.4-5.7
9 Herlev Wolfpack2882029%78.788.1-9.4
10 Vaerlose2882029%79.188.9-9.8
11 Bears Academy2842414%75.689.0-13.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Amager2521183498
Holbaek-Stenhus26312623106
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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