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Vaerlose vs Amager Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 22 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 79-93
21-30 13-16 28-25 17-22
Position#10
Record6-17
FormLLLWL
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game88.9
Vaerlose
Denmark
vs
Amager 🏆
Denmark
Position#6
Record9-14
FormLWWWW
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game91.6
DenmarkBasketligaen· Sondersohallen
Other2024-25
Meetings · Vaerlose v Amager
12 Apr 2026
VAER96
AMAG90
04 Feb 2026
VAER100
AMAG93
22 Mar 2025
VAER79
AMAG93
30 Jan 2025
VAER84
AMAG77
28 Dec 2023
VAER91
AMAG89
30 Mar 2023
VAER87
AMAG92
28 Sep 2022
VAER98
AMAG72
27 Mar 2022
VAER77
AMAG76
28 Jan 2022
VAER98
AMAG88
06 Feb 2021
VAER102
AMAG88
22 Mar 2020
VAER v AMAG
upcoming
16 Feb 2020
VAER82
AMAG74
15 Jan 2011
VAER84
AMAG54
24 Oct 2010
VAER62
AMAG66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vaerlose winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Amager winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VaerloseDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVaerlose
Date
Competition
Svendborg
#2
L
70-86
70
86
-16
62avg 70
H05/01
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
73-98
73
98
-25
60avg 70
H12/01
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
L
93-125
93
125
-32
82avg 70
A16/01
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
W
84-77
84
77
+7
80avg 70
H30/01
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#8
L
61-86
61
86
-25
49avg 70
A01/02
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
69-89
69
89
-20
61avg 70
H08/02
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
L
82-104
82
104
-22
69avg 70
A13/02
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
L
77-98
77
98
-21
57avg 70
A03/03
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
100-80
100
80
+20
96avg 70
H08/03
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
L
72-73
72
73
-1
64avg 70
A12/03
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-29
17-22
19-20
16-15
19-28
23-24
23-26
8-20
23-35
22-32
25-29
23-29
20-21
24-23
22-14
18-19
19-23
13-23
11-23
18-17
16-23
16-25
19-25
18-16
20-20
26-27
23-27
13-30
20-21
23-32
9-24
25-21
28-19
20-27
16-22
36-12
22-20
21-13
15-25
14-15
169.7Avg total
78.1Scored
91.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)77.888.9166.7-11.126%
Season at home (11)78.484.8163.2-6.536%
Season away (12)77.292.6169.8-15.317%
Last 10 (10)78.191.6169.7-13.520%
Last 5 (5)80.088.8168.8-8.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)74.592.2166.8-17.715%
vs Similar (9)85.184.8169.9+0.344%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Amager) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AmagerDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAmager
Date
Competition
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
W
103-82
103
82
+21
101avg 78
H30/12
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
L
99-121
99
121
-22
82avg 78
A05/01
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
75-114
75
114
-39
44avg 78
H16/01
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#10
L
77-84
77
84
-7
68avg 78
A30/01
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
97-70
97
70
+27
94avg 78
H02/02
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#2
L
78-89
78
89
-11
73avg 78
A09/02
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
93-75
93
75
+18
88avg 78
H13/02
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
W
95-85
95
85
+10
89avg 78
H08/03
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
83-75
83
75
+8
78avg 78
A12/03
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
100-85
100
85
+15
104avg 78
H15/03
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-16
27-25
26-21
24-20
19-26
27-27
34-37
19-31
14-30
22-32
17-28
22-24
21-20
23-24
14-22
19-18
25-26
26-22
20-11
26-11
24-30
22-19
20-23
12-17
30-21
16-23
20-15
27-16
21-23
31-22
20-18
23-22
27-9
21-24
23-21
12-21
28-22
26-12
21-16
25-35
178.0Avg total
90.0Scored
88.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)87.091.6178.6-4.539%
Season at home (12)91.789.9181.6+1.858%
Season away (11)82.093.4175.4-11.418%
Last 10 (10)90.088.0178.0+2.060%
Last 5 (5)89.881.8171.6+8.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)81.696.5178.1-14.920%
vs Similar (3)92.385.7178.0+6.767%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)92.183.1175.2+9.073%
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -4.3-4.3Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -5.3-5.3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -0.6-0.6
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -4.3-4.3Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -5.3-5.3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -0.6-0.6
VaerloseAmager
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VaerloseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Svendborg
#2
L
35-51
35
51
-16
H05/01
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
42-52
42
52
-10
H12/01
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
L
45-67
45
67
-22
A16/01
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H30/01
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#8
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A01/02
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
32-48
32
48
-16
H08/02
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A13/02
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
L
43-53
43
53
-10
A03/03
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H08/03
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A12/03
Basketligaen
89.7Avg total
41.0Scored
48.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.944.184.0-4.130%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.344.185.4-2.929%-
Last 30 away (16)38.844.082.8-5.231%-
Last 10 (10)41.048.789.7-7.720%-
Last 5 (5)42.445.487.8-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)37.345.382.6-8.015%-
vs Similar (9)44.242.186.3+2.156%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Amager) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AmagerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
W
53-41
53
41
+12
H30/12
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
L
46-53
46
53
-7
A05/01
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
36-62
36
62
-26
H16/01
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#10
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A30/01
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
51-48
51
48
+3
H02/02
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#2
L
46-49
46
49
-3
A09/02
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H13/02
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
W
52-45
52
45
+7
H08/03
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
48-33
48
33
+15
A12/03
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
54-34
54
34
+20
H15/03
Basketligaen
92.9Avg total
47.6Scored
45.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.646.389.9-2.637%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.847.090.8-3.244%-
Last 30 away (14)43.445.488.9-2.029%-
Last 10 (10)47.645.392.9+2.360%-
Last 5 (5)49.241.090.2+8.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)40.248.088.2-7.820%-
vs Similar (3)42.347.790.0-5.333%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)48.042.890.8+5.264%-
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vaerlosetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vaerlose: 77.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.519.3
48.9%
51.9%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.08.2
30.4%
32.6%24.6
🏀 Free throws22.614.1
62.4%
70.2%14.1
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Amagertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Amager: 89.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.921.5
51.3%
51.9%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.89.5
34.2%
32.6%28.5
🏀 Free throws26.917.7
65.8%
70.2%17.7
They take 69.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Vaerlose
LWLLLLWLLL
Amager
WWWWLWLLLW
#10
League position
#6
-16.4
Net rating
+2.7
95.5
Offensive rating
101.8
111.9
Defensive rating
99.1
47.5%
Effective FG%
51.3%
54.3%
Opp. effective FG%
48.3%
22.0%
Turnover %
18.4%
31.4%
Off. rebound %
24.7%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.39
30.4%
3-point %
34.2%
60.0%
Assist %
60.0%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence95.5 · 101.8Defence111.9 · 99.1Shooting47.5% · 51.3%3-point %30.4% · 34.2%Ball care22.0% · 18.4%Off. rebounds31.4% · 24.7%Free throws0.34 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)20% · 60%
■ Vaerlose   ■ Amager
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Vaerlose wins
5
Amager wins
DateGameScore
30/01/25Vaerlose v Amager84-77
01/11/24Amager v Vaerlose102-90
28/12/23Vaerlose v Amager91-89
28/09/23Amager v Vaerlose83-102
22/04/23Amager v Vaerlose86-79
30/03/23Vaerlose v Amager87-92
15/12/22Amager v Vaerlose87-73
28/09/22Vaerlose v Amager98-72
09/04/22Amager v Vaerlose99-91 OT
27/03/22Vaerlose v Amager77-76
Vaerloselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/25ABears Academy72-73
08/03/25HHerlev Wolfpack100-80
03/03/25AHolbaek-Stenhus77-98
13/02/25AHolbaek-Stenhus82-104
08/02/25HHorsens69-89
01/02/25ACopenhagen61-86
30/01/25HAmager84-77
16/01/25ATeam FOG Naestved93-125
12/01/25HBakken Bears73-98
05/01/25HSvendborg70-86
Amagerlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/25HBears Academy100-85
12/03/25AHerlev Wolfpack83-75
08/03/25HHolbaek-Stenhus95-85
13/02/25HHerlev Wolfpack93-75
09/02/25ASvendborg78-89
02/02/25HBears Academy97-70
30/01/25AVaerlose77-84
16/01/25HRanders75-114
05/01/25ATeam FOG Naestved99-121
30/12/24HHolbaek-Stenhus103-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vaerlose
Basketligaen 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL26%
HomeLLWLW36%
AwayLLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %26%36%17%
Points / game77.878.477.2
Allowed / game88.984.892.6
Point differential-11.1-6.5-15.3
Avg total166.7163.2169.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%9%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Amager
Basketligaen 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW39%
HomeLWWWW58%
AwayLLLLW18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %39%58%18%
Points / game87.091.782.0
Allowed / game91.689.993.4
Point differential-4.5+1.8-11.4
Avg total178.6181.6175.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%58%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)-33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Svendborg2419579%88.375.7+12.7
2 Team FOG Naestved2419579%97.688.2+9.4
3 Horsens2418675%87.479.8+7.7
4 Bakken Bears2417771%94.181.6+12.5
5 Randers2417771%92.681.8+10.9
6 Amager2391439%87.091.6-4.5
7 Copenhagen2481633%82.086.1-4.2
8 Holbaek-Stenhus2371630%81.391.7-10.4
9 Vaerlose2361726%77.888.9-11.1
10 Herlev Wolfpack2461825%79.089.4-10.4
11 Bears Academy2341917%75.089.3-14.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Vaerlose2113281779
Amager3016252293
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